This game has started. These are the prices from before first pitch, pulled at 12:00 PM EDT on Wed, Sep 2. Not a live market.
Matt McLain
CINbats R8th in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
McLain at the plateHR/PA 3.0%barrel rate 9.7%hard-hit% 37.5%
Home Runs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%4.1%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 2.5% (39th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%29.9%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 31.8% (84th)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.0%2.8%
56th percentileleague avg 3.0%431 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 3.0% (56th)327 PAneutralneutral
barrel rate9.7%9.8%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%431 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.7% (70th)194 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%37.5%40.7%
41st percentileleague avg 38.9%431 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason 37.5% (41st)194 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%34.0%35.0%
91st percentileleague avg 26.8%431 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 34.0% (91st)194 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.378.372
48th percentileleague avg .386431 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason .378 (48th)289 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.157.160
62nd percentileleague avg .146431 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason .157 (62nd)289 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo86.4 mph87.7 mph
28th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph431 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 86.4 mph (28th)194 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupMatt McLain: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 8 | 2.5% | .327 | 9% (7/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 5 | 4.5% | .371 | 14% (4/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 6 | 2.8% | .344 | 9% (5/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 7 | 3.2% | .333 | 11% (6/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 13 | 3.0% | .339 | 10% (11/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 2.8% | 194 | 9.8% | .372 | .160 | 87.7 |
| vs LHP | 104 | 3.8% | 65 | 9.2% | .381 | .138 | 82.6 |
| at home ● | 215 | 2.8% | 121 | 11.6% | .394 | .163 | 88.4 |
| on the road | 216 | 3.2% | 138 | 8.0% | .357 | .148 | 84.7 |
| season | 431 | 3.0% | 259 | 9.7% | .375 | .155 | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+650ProphetXfair +658 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+845+24.7% vs market · -6.4% vs season50% boost+975+41.9% vs market · +6.5% vs season
UNDER-770NoVigfair -647 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-592+1.2% vs market · +5.3% vs season50% boost-513+3.5% vs market · +7.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+10000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG against.232.259
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason .232193 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.378.372
48th percentileleague avg .386431 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason .378 (48th)289 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.339.329
12th percentileleague avg .400431 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .339 (12th)327 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.189.180
3rd percentileleague avg .244431 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason .189 (3rd)327 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.157.160
62nd percentileleague avg .146431 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason .157 (62nd)289 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%37.5%40.7%
41st percentileleague avg 38.9%431 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason 37.5% (41st)194 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.7%9.8%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%431 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.7% (70th)194 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.0%20.6%
24th percentileleague avg 23.6%431 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 21.0% (24th)194 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt McLain: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 91 | 1.11 | .327 | 48% (39/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 36 | 1.24 | .371 | 41% (12/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 62 | 1.07 | .344 | 43% (25/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 65 | 1.23 | .333 | 49% (26/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 127 | 1.14 | .339 | 46% (51/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 29.1% | 194 | .372 | .160 | 9.8% | 87.7 |
| vs LHP | 104 | 30.8% | 65 | .381 | .138 | 9.2% | 82.6 |
| at home ● | 215 | 28.8% | 121 | .394 | .163 | 11.6% | 88.4 |
| on the road | 216 | 30.1% | 138 | .357 | .148 | 8.0% | 84.7 |
| season | 431 | 29.5% | 259 | .375 | .155 | 9.7% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER-140theScore Betfair -126 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.6% vs market · -11.4% vs season50% boost+107+15.6% vs market · -4.8% vs season
UNDER+115ProphetXfair +126 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost+150+10.5% vs market · +34.9% vs season50% boost+172+20.7% vs market · +47.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 25%over rate
OVER+205BetRiverspooled fair +198
30% boost+266pooled fair50% boost+307pooled fair
UNDER-240theScore Betfair -200 · -5.6% vs fair
30% boost-185+2.8% vs market · +15.3% vs season50% boost-160+8.4% vs market · +21.5% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+410BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+533no market fair50% boost+615no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+512DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+666no market fair50% boost+768no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1220DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1586no market fair50% boost+1830no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG against.232.259
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason .232193 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%27.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs RHB · 70th pctseason 24.0% (44th)351 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.189.180
3rd percentileleague avg .244431 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason .189 (3rd)327 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.4%79.3%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%431 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 81.4% (28th)387 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%28.1%30.8%
68th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%431 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason 28.1% (68th)568 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%27.1%29.1%
77th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%431 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 27.1% (77th)327 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.0%20.6%
24th percentileleague avg 23.6%431 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 21.0% (24th)194 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt McLain: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 278 | 53 | .191 | 48% (39/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 97 | 18 | .186 | 41% (12/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 180 | 34 | .189 | 43% (25/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 195 | 37 | .190 | 49% (26/53) |
| season | 111 | 375 | 71 | .189 | 46% (51/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 15.9% | 194 | .212 | 20.6% | 41.8% |
| vs LHP | 104 | 18.3% | 65 | .243 | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| at home ● | 215 | 15.8% | 121 | .231 | 24.0% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 216 | 17.1% | 138 | .208 | 18.8% | 37.7% |
| season | 431 | 16.5% | 259 | — | 21.2% | 39.8% |
0.5line
OVER-130ProphetXfair -122 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+100+9.8% vs market · -8.1% vs season50% boost+115+18.2% vs market · -1% vs season
UNDER+117betPARXfair +120 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost+152+14.5% vs market · +36.3% vs season50% boost+176+25.1% vs market · +48.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+449DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+584no market fair50% boost+674no market fair
UNDER-700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-538no market fair50% boost-467no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3510no market fair50% boost+4050no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
H+R+RBI
111 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.411.37
20th percentileleague avg 1.74111 gamesvs RHP · 17th pctseason 1.41 (20th)82 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.308—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg .310431 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.339.329
12th percentileleague avg .400431 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .339 (12th)327 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt McLain: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 53 | 35 | 24 | 1.37 | 34% (28/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 1.52 | 34% (10/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 34 | 26 | 20 | 1.38 | 34% (20/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 37 | 24 | 15 | 1.43 | 34% (18/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 71 | 50 | 35 | 1.41 | 34% (38/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 15.9% | 194 | .212 | .372 | 9.8% | 87.7 |
| vs LHP | 104 | 18.3% | 65 | .243 | .381 | 9.2% | 82.6 |
| at home ● | 215 | 15.8% | 121 | .231 | .394 | 11.6% | 88.4 |
| on the road | 216 | 17.1% | 138 | .208 | .357 | 8.0% | 84.7 |
| season | 431 | 16.5% | 259 | — | .375 | 9.7% | 86.4 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 45%SZN 58%over rate
OVER-165theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-127no market fair50% boost-110no market fair
UNDER+130theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+169no market fair50% boost+195no market fair
1.5line
OVER+138NoVigfair +144 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+179+14.3% vs market · -4.3% vs season50% boost+207+25.6% vs market · +5.1% vs season
UNDER-153NoVigfair -144 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost-118+9.3% vs market · +21.6% vs season50% boost-102+17% vs market · +30.2% vs season
RBIs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.320.29
18th percentileleague avg 0.44111 gamesvs RHP · 13th pctseason 0.32 (18th)82 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.378.372
48th percentileleague avg .386431 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason .378 (48th)289 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%37.5%40.7%
41st percentileleague avg 38.9%431 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason 37.5% (41st)194 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.7%9.8%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%431 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.7% (70th)194 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt McLain: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 24 | 0.29 | .327 | 18% (15/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 11 | 0.38 | .371 | 21% (6/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 20 | 0.34 | .344 | 21% (12/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 15 | 0.28 | .333 | 17% (9/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 35 | 0.32 | .339 | 19% (21/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 8.6% | 194 | .372 | 9.8% | 40.7% | 87.7 |
| vs LHP | 104 | 6.7% | 65 | .381 | 9.2% | 27.7% | 82.6 |
| at home ● | 215 | 9.3% | 121 | .394 | 11.6% | 46.3% | 88.4 |
| on the road | 216 | 6.9% | 138 | .357 | 8.0% | 29.7% | 84.7 |
| season | 431 | — | 259 | .375 | 9.7% | 37.5% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+251NoVigpooled fair +251
30% boost+326pooled fair50% boost+376pooled fair
UNDER-286betPARXfair -253 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-220+4.3% vs market · +17.9% vs season50% boost-191+9.3% vs market · +23.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+750Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+975no market fair50% boost+1125no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2200FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+7500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9750no market fair50% boost+11250no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.450.43
48th percentileleague avg 0.46111 gamesvs RHP · 44th pctseason 0.45 (48th)82 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.308—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg .310431 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4431 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.7%9.5%
75th percentileleague avg 8.8%431 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 10.7% (75th)327 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt McLain: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 35 | 0.43 | .287 | 34% (28/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 15 | 0.52 | .288 | 34% (10/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 26 | 0.45 | .316 | 31% (18/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 24 | 0.45 | .258 | 38% (20/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 50 | 0.45 | .287 | 34% (38/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | — | 194 | .212 | 20.6% | 41.8% | 87.7 |
| vs LHP | 104 | — | 65 | .243 | 23.1% | 33.9% | 82.6 |
| at home ● | 215 | 12.1% | 121 | .231 | 24.0% | 42.1% | 88.4 |
| on the road | 216 | 11.1% | 138 | .208 | 18.8% | 37.7% | 84.7 |
| season | 431 | — | 259 | — | 21.2% | 39.8% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+178NoVigpooled fair +181
30% boost+231pooled fair50% boost+267pooled fair
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -182 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost-154+6.6% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost-133+13% vs market · +15.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.9%4.9%
45th percentileleague avg 4.1%431 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 3.9% (45th)327 PAneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.378.372
48th percentileleague avg .386431 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason .378 (48th)289 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.157.160
62nd percentileleague avg .146431 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason .157 (62nd)289 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.0%20.6%
24th percentileleague avg 23.6%431 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 21.0% (24th)194 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%39.8%41.8%
87th percentileleague avg 35.3%431 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 39.8% (87th)194 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4431 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMatt McLain: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 14 | 4.4% | .327 | 16% (13/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 3 | 2.7% | .371 | 10% (3/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 10 | 4.7% | .344 | 17% (10/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 7 | 3.2% | .333 | 11% (6/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 17 | 3.9% | .339 | 14% (16/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 4.9% | 194 | .372 | 20.6% | 41.8% |
| vs LHP | 104 | 1.0% | 65 | .381 | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| at home ● | 215 | 4.7% | 121 | .394 | 24.0% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 216 | 3.2% | 138 | .357 | 18.8% | 37.7% |
| season | 431 | 3.9% | 259 | .375 | 21.2% | 39.8% |
0.5line
OVER+502DraftKingsfair +506 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+653+24.2% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost+753+40.7% vs market · +23% vs season
UNDER-750BetMGMfair -529 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-577-1.3% vs market · +0.4% vs season50% boost-500+0.9% vs market · +2.7% vs season
Singles
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%27.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs RHB · 70th pctseason 24.0% (44th)351 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.4%79.3%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%431 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 81.4% (28th)387 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%28.1%30.8%
68th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%431 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason 28.1% (68th)568 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.0%20.6%
24th percentileleague avg 23.6%431 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 21.0% (24th)194 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4431 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMatt McLain: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 278 | 31 | .191 | 33% (27/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 97 | 10 | .186 | 28% (8/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 180 | 18 | .189 | 26% (15/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 195 | 23 | .190 | 38% (20/53) |
| season | 111 | 375 | 41 | .189 | 32% (35/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt McLain: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 327 | 8.3% | 194 | .212 | 20.6% | 41.8% |
| vs LHP | 104 | 13.5% | 65 | .243 | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| at home ● | 215 | 8.4% | 121 | .231 | 24.0% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 216 | 10.6% | 138 | .208 | 18.8% | 37.7% |
| season | 431 | 9.5% | 259 | — | 21.2% | 39.8% |
0.5line
OVER+145BetMGMfair +157 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+189+12.2% vs market · -9% vs season50% boost+218+23.5% vs market · +0.1% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -158 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-138+5.6% vs market · +17.9% vs season50% boost-120+12.4% vs market · +25.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%60.7%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)196 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/92.22.4
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason 2.2193 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt McLain vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.7%9.5%
75th percentileleague avg 8.8%431 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 10.7% (75th)327 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate26.1%25.9%
24th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%431 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 26.1% (24th)698 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%62.0%61.3%
league avg 66.9%-4.9% vs league431 PAvs RHPseason 62.0%631 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMatt McLain: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 33 | 10.3% | .287 | 33% (27/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 13 | 11.6% | .288 | 38% (11/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 30 | 14.0% | .316 | 41% (24/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 16 | 7.4% | .258 | 26% (14/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 46 | 10.7% | .287 | 34% (38/111) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+247DraftKingsfair +248 · -0.4% vs fair
30% boost+321+20.9% vs market · +44.2% vs season50% boost+370+35% vs market · +61.1% vs season
UNDER-325Hard Rockfair -256 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-250+0.7% vs market · -7.9% vs season50% boost-217+5.1% vs market · -3.9% vs season
Stolen Bases
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Matt McLain Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4431 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.140.17
85th percentileleague avg 0.07111 gamesvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 0.14 (85th)82 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.221.212
23rd percentileleague avg .240431 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .221 (23rd)289 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.7%9.5%
75th percentileleague avg 8.8%431 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 10.7% (75th)327 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt McLain: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 82 | 319 | 14 | 0.17 | 15% (12/82) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 2 | 0.07 | 7% (2/29) |
| at home ● | 58 | 215 | 7 | 0.12 | 12% (7/58) |
| on the road | 53 | 216 | 9 | 0.17 | 13% (7/53) |
| season | 111 | 431 | 16 | 0.14 | 13% (14/111) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+680DraftKingsfair +644 · +4.9% vs fair
30% boost+884+31.9% vs market · +24.1% vs season50% boost+1020+50.1% vs market · +41.3% vs season
UNDER-1100BetMGMfair -700 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-846-2.2% vs market · -2.3% vs season50% boost-733-0.6% vs market · -0.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing