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Hector Rodriguez
CINbats L1st in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Rodriguez at the plateHR/PA 5.2%barrel rate 9.8%hard-hit% 33.3%
Home Runs
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%1.2%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 2.5% (39th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%33.1%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 31.8% (84th)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthinthin5.2%4.8%
93rd percentileleague avg 3.0%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 5.2% (93rd)thin sample: 63 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethinthin9.8%9.8%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.8% (72nd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thinthin33.3%34.2%
23rd percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%thinthin25.5%24.4%
42nd percentileleague avg 26.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 25.5% (42nd)thin sample: 41 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLGthinthin.368.380
40th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .368 (40th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xISOthinthin.158.171
62nd percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason .158 (62nd)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velothinthin87.4 mph88.4 mph
40th percentileleague avg 88.0 mphthin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 87.4 mph (40th)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 3 | 4.7% | .397 | 12% (2/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | .750 | 25% (1/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0.0% | .240 | 0% (0/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 4 | 8.0% | .578 | 23% (3/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 4 | 5.2% | .457 | 14% (3/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 4.8% | 41 | 9.8% | .380 | .171 | 88.4 |
| vs LHP | 14 | 7.1% | 10 | 10.0% | .321 | .104 | 83.3 |
| at home ● | 27 | 0.0% | 16 | 6.3% | .259 | .056 | 87.3 |
| on the road | 50 | 8.0% | 35 | 11.4% | .429 | .214 | 87.4 |
| season | 77 | 5.2% | 51 | 9.8% | .368 | .158 | 87.4 |
0.5line
OVER+480betPARXfair +472 · +1.4% vs fair
30% boost+624+26.7% vs market · +3.4% vs season50% boost+720+43.5% vs market · +17.1% vs season
UNDER-567NoVigfair -472 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-436+1.4% vs market · +5.4% vs season50% boost-378+4.3% vs market · +8.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+8000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
21 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthinthin.368.380
40th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .368 (40th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
SLGthinthin.457.482
80th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason .457 (80th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthinthin.243.268
44th percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .243 (44th)thin sample: 63 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISOthinthin.158.171
62nd percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason .158 (62nd)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thinthin33.3%34.2%
23rd percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin9.8%9.8%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.8% (72nd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thinthin13.7%12.2%
1st percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 13.7% (1st)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 23 | 1.35 | .397 | 24% (4/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 9 | 2.25 | .750 | 75% (3/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 6 | 0.75 | .240 | 13% (1/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 26 | 2.00 | .578 | 46% (6/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 32 | 1.52 | .457 | 33% (7/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 42.9% | 41 | .380 | .171 | 9.8% | 88.4 |
| vs LHP | 14 | 35.7% | 10 | .321 | .104 | 10.0% | 83.3 |
| at home ● | 27 | 22.2% | 16 | .259 | .056 | 6.3% | 87.3 |
| on the road | 50 | 52.0% | 35 | .429 | .214 | 11.4% | 87.4 |
| season | 77 | 41.6% | 51 | .368 | .158 | 9.8% | 87.4 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 90%L20 60%SZN 57%over rate
OVER-200Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-154no market fair50% boost-133no market fair
UNDER+180theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
1.5line
OVER+148betPARXfair +135 · +5.4% vs fair
30% boost+192+24.3% vs market · -2.5% vs season50% boost+222+36.8% vs market · +7.3% vs season
UNDER-142ProphetXfair -134 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost-109+9.8% vs market · +27.7% vs season50% boost+106+17.8% vs market · +37.1% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+300Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+350Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+455no market fair50% boost+525no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+730DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+949no market fair50% boost+1095no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthinthin.243.268
44th percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .243 (44th)thin sample: 63 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%thinthin79.0%79.4%
17th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.0% (17th)thin sample: 63 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thinthin29.1%28.4%
73rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 29.1% (73rd)thin sample: 116 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin24.7%23.8%
67th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 24.7% (67th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%thinthin13.7%12.2%
1st percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 13.7% (1st)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 58 | 12 | .207 | 47% (8/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 12 | 5 | .417 | 100% (4/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 25 | 5 | .200 | 50% (4/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 45 | 12 | .267 | 62% (8/13) |
| season | 21 | 70 | 17 | .243 | 57% (12/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 23.8% | 41 | .209 | 12.2% | 29.3% |
| vs LHP | 14 | 14.3% | 10 | .217 | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| at home ● | 27 | 18.5% | 16 | .203 | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| on the road | 50 | 24.0% | 35 | .215 | 8.6% | 25.7% |
| season | 77 | 22.1% | 51 | — | 13.7% | 29.4% |
0.5line
OVER-205betPARXfair -187 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-158+6.4% vs market · -6.6% vs season50% boost-137+12.7% vs market · -1% vs season
UNDER+180theScore Betfair +189 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+234+15.6% vs market · +43.1% vs season50% boost+270+28% vs market · +58.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+264DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+343no market fair50% boost+396no market fair
UNDER-350theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-269no market fair50% boost-233no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1300FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+8000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
H+R+RBI
21 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per gamethin1.761.47
49th percentileleague avg 1.7421 gamesvs RHP · 24th pctseason 1.76 (49th)thin sample: 17 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
xwOBAthin.288—
no split for this stat27th percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthinthin.457.482
80th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason .457 (80th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 1.47 | 29% (5/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3.00 | 50% (2/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1.38 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.00 | 31% (4/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 1.76 | 33% (7/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 23.8% | 41 | .209 | .380 | 9.8% | 88.4 |
| vs LHP | 14 | 14.3% | 10 | .217 | .321 | 10.0% | 83.3 |
| at home ● | 27 | 18.5% | 16 | .203 | .259 | 6.3% | 87.3 |
| on the road | 50 | 24.0% | 35 | .215 | .429 | 11.4% | 87.4 |
| season | 77 | 22.1% | 51 | — | .368 | 9.8% | 87.4 |
1.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsfair +102 · -5.7% vs fair
30% boost+118+7.8% vs market · -27.3% vs season50% boost+136+16.8% vs market · -21.2% vs season
UNDER-105BetMGMfair -101 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+124+12.1% vs market · +49.2% vs season50% boost+143+21.7% vs market · +61.9% vs season
RBIs
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
RBI per gamethin0.480.35
64th percentileleague avg 0.4421 gamesvs RHP · 25th pctseason 0.48 (64th)thin sample: 17 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLGthinthin.368.380
40th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .368 (40th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%thinthin33.3%34.2%
23rd percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin9.8%9.8%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 9.8% (72nd)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 6 | 0.35 | .397 | 24% (4/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 4 | 1.00 | .750 | 50% (2/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 3 | 0.38 | .240 | 25% (2/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 7 | 0.54 | .578 | 31% (4/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 10 | 0.48 | .457 | 29% (6/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 9.5% | 41 | .380 | 9.8% | 34.2% | 88.4 |
| vs LHP | 14 | 28.6% | 10 | .321 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 83.3 |
| at home ● | 27 | 11.1% | 16 | .259 | 6.3% | 25.0% | 87.3 |
| on the road | 50 | 14.0% | 35 | .429 | 11.4% | 37.1% | 87.4 |
| season | 77 | — | 51 | .368 | 9.8% | 33.3% | 87.4 |
0.5line
OVER+212DraftKingsfair +223 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+276+16.4% vs market · +7.3% vs season50% boost+318+29.6% vs market · +19.4% vs season
UNDER-220BetMGMfair -222 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost-169+9.8% vs market · +13.6% vs season50% boost-147+16% vs market · +20.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+720DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+936no market fair50% boost+1080no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2200FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Runs
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
runs per gamethin0.480.41
59th percentileleague avg 0.4621 gamesvs RHP · 37th pctseason 0.48 (59th)thin sample: 17 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
xwOBAthin.288—
no split for this stat27th percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speedthin27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin7.8%9.5%
39th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 7.8% (39th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 7 | 0.41 | .281 | 29% (5/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 3 | 0.75 | .462 | 50% (2/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 3 | 0.38 | .259 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 7 | 0.54 | .340 | 31% (4/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 10 | 0.48 | .312 | 33% (7/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | — | 41 | .209 | 12.2% | 29.3% | 88.4 |
| vs LHP | 14 | — | 10 | .217 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 83.3 |
| at home ● | 27 | 11.1% | 16 | .203 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 87.3 |
| on the road | 50 | 14.0% | 35 | .215 | 8.6% | 25.7% | 87.4 |
| season | 77 | — | 51 | — | 13.7% | 29.4% | 87.4 |
0.5line
OVER+113NoVigpooled fair +119
30% boost+147pooled fair50% boost+169pooled fair
UNDER-125BetMGMfair -122 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+104+12.2% vs market · +36% vs season50% boost+120+21% vs market · +46.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Doubles
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthinthin3.9%4.8%
43rd percentileleague avg 4.1%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason 3.9% (43rd)thin sample: 63 PAneutralsupports OVER
xSLGthinthin.368.380
40th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .368 (40th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xISOthinthin.158.171
62nd percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason .158 (62nd)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thinthin13.7%12.2%
1st percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 13.7% (1st)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thinthin29.4%29.3%
9th percentileleague avg 35.3%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 29.4% (9th)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speedthin27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 2 | 3.1% | .397 | 12% (2/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | .750 | 25% (1/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 1 | 3.7% | .240 | 13% (1/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 2 | 4.0% | .578 | 15% (2/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 3 | 3.9% | .457 | 14% (3/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 4.8% | 41 | .380 | 12.2% | 29.3% |
| vs LHP | 14 | 0.0% | 10 | .321 | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| at home ● | 27 | 3.7% | 16 | .259 | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| on the road | 50 | 4.0% | 35 | .429 | 8.6% | 25.7% |
| season | 77 | 3.9% | 51 | .368 | 13.7% | 29.4% |
0.5line
OVER+425theScore Betfair +444 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost+552+20.1% vs market · -6.8% vs season50% boost+638+35.7% vs market · +5.4% vs season
UNDER-650BetMGMfair -452 · -5.5% vs fair
30% boost-500-1.7% vs market · +2.9% vs season50% boost-433+0.8% vs market · +5.5% vs season
Singles
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thinthin79.0%79.4%
17th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.0% (17th)thin sample: 63 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thinthin29.1%28.4%
73rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 29.1% (73rd)thin sample: 116 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thinthin13.7%12.2%
1st percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 13.7% (1st)thin sample: 41 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speedthin27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 58 | 7 | .207 | 41% (7/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 12 | 3 | .417 | 50% (2/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 25 | 4 | .200 | 50% (4/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 45 | 6 | .267 | 38% (5/13) |
| season | 21 | 70 | 10 | .243 | 43% (9/21) |
● tonight's split
The BatHector Rodriguez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 63 | 14.3% | 41 | .209 | 12.2% | 29.3% |
| vs LHP | 14 | 7.1% | 10 | .217 | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| at home ● | 27 | 14.8% | 16 | .203 | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| on the road | 50 | 12.0% | 35 | .215 | 8.6% | 25.7% |
| season | 77 | 13.0% | 51 | — | 13.7% | 29.4% |
0.5line
OVER+100BetMGMfair +112 · -5.7% vs fair
30% boost+130+8.3% vs market · -1.4% vs season50% boost+150+17.8% vs market · +7.1% vs season
UNDER-130theScore Betfair -113 · -6.3% vs fair
30% boost+100+5.8% vs market · +14.3% vs season50% boost+115+13.9% vs market · +23.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Walks
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%68.1%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)254 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.22.1
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason 2.2253 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadHector Rodriguez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
BB%thinthin7.8%9.5%
39th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 7.8% (39th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
chase ratethinthin39.0%41.1%
91st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 39.0% (91st)thin sample: 129 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%thinthin70.4%70.0%
league avg 66.9%+3.5% vs leaguethin sample: 77 PAvs RHPseason 70.4%thin sample: 90 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 5 | 7.8% | .281 | 29% (5/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | .462 | 25% (1/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | .259 | 25% (2/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 4 | 8.0% | .340 | 31% (4/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 6 | 7.8% | .312 | 29% (6/21) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+302DraftKingsfair +312 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+393+19.7% vs market · +40.7% vs season50% boost+453+34.4% vs market · +58% vs season
UNDER-425Fanaticsfair -319 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-327-0.6% vs market · -6.7% vs season50% boost-283+3% vs market · -3.4% vs season
Stolen Bases
21 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Hector Rodriguez Breakdown · batter data
sprint speedthin27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 77 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per gamethin0.000.00
6th percentileleague avg 0.0721 gamesvs RHP · 6th pctseason 0.00 (6th)thin sample: 17 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthinthin.211.209
14th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .211 (14th)thin sample: 56 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin7.8%9.5%
39th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 77 PAvs RHP · 60th pctseason 7.8% (39th)thin sample: 63 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The MatchupHector Rodriguez: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 17 | 64 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/17) |
| vs LHP | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/4) |
| at home ● | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/8) |
| on the road | 13 | 50 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/13) |
| season | 21 | 77 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/21) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1500Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing