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JJ Bleday
CINbats L4th in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Bleday at the plateHR/PA 4.5%barrel rate 9.8%hard-hit% 39.7%
Home Runs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%1.2%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 2.5% (39th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%33.1%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 31.8% (84th)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 home runs in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.5%4.6%
84th percentileleague avg 3.0%463 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 4.5% (84th)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate9.8%10.5%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%463 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 9.8% (72nd)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%39.7%40.8%
51st percentileleague avg 38.9%463 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 39.7% (51st)218 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%33.5%35.3%
88th percentileleague avg 26.8%463 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 33.5% (88th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.429.452
76th percentileleague avg .386463 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .429 (76th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.185.203
78th percentileleague avg .146463 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .185 (78th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo88.2 mph89.2 mph
48th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph463 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 88.2 mph (48th)218 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 17 | 4.7% | .434 | 20% (17/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 4 | 4.1% | .386 | 12% (3/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 14 | 6.4% | .514 | 24% (13/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 7 | 2.9% | .347 | 13% (7/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 21 | 4.5% | .423 | 18% (20/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 4.6% | 218 | 10.5% | .452 | .203 | 89.2 |
| vs LHP | 116 | 4.3% | 77 | 7.8% | .343 | .123 | 85.7 |
| at home ● | 219 | 6.4% | 133 | 10.5% | .433 | .196 | 89.4 |
| on the road | 244 | 2.9% | 162 | 9.3% | .415 | .170 | 87.3 |
| season | 463 | 4.5% | 295 | 9.8% | .423 | .182 | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+388NoVigfair +402 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+504+20.3% vs market · +8.9% vs season50% boost+582+35.7% vs market · +22.9% vs season
UNDER-400NoVigfair -400 · 0% vs fair
30% boost-308+6% vs market · +8.6% vs season50% boost-267+10% vs market · +12.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Total Bases
111 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 total bases in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.429.452
76th percentileleague avg .386463 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .429 (76th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.423.445
63rd percentileleague avg .400463 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (63rd)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.217.224
13th percentileleague avg .244463 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason .217 (13th)347 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.185.203
78th percentileleague avg .146463 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .185 (78th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%39.7%40.8%
51st percentileleague avg 38.9%463 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 39.7% (51st)218 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.8%10.5%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%463 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 9.8% (72nd)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%28.7%29.4%
95th percentileleague avg 23.6%463 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 28.7% (95th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 132 | 1.55 | .434 | 34% (29/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 34 | 1.31 | .386 | 27% (7/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 92 | 1.67 | .514 | 36% (20/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 74 | 1.32 | .347 | 29% (16/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 166 | 1.50 | .423 | 32% (36/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 37.2% | 218 | .452 | .203 | 10.5% | 89.2 |
| vs LHP | 116 | 31.9% | 77 | .343 | .123 | 7.8% | 85.7 |
| at home ● | 219 | 42.0% | 133 | .433 | .196 | 10.5% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 244 | 30.3% | 162 | .415 | .170 | 9.3% | 87.3 |
| season | 463 | 35.9% | 295 | .423 | .182 | 9.8% | 88.2 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 45%SZN 58%over rate
OVER-160ProphetXfair -142 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.2% vs market · +4.5% vs season50% boost-107+13.5% vs market · +11.7% vs season
UNDER+130theScore Betfair +141 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost+169+11.6% vs market · +13.9% vs season50% boost+195+22.4% vs market · +24.9% vs season
1.5line
OVER+150ProphetXfair +148 · +0.9% vs fair
30% boost+195+19.2% vs market · -4.3% vs season50% boost+225+31.3% vs market · +5.4% vs season
UNDER-165Bovadafair -152 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost-127+7.8% vs market · +20.8% vs season50% boost-110+15.1% vs market · +29% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+280BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+364no market fair50% boost+420no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 20%over rate
OVER+323DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+420no market fair50% boost+485no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+740DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+962no market fair50% boost+1110no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1100Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1430no market fair50% boost+1650no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 hits in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.217.224
13th percentileleague avg .244463 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason .217 (13th)347 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%82.0%83.1%
33rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%463 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 82.0% (33rd)473 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%26.1%24.6%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%463 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 26.1% (57th)617 swingsneutralneutral
K%21.4%21.0%
44th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%463 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 21.4% (44th)347 PAneutralneutral
line-drive%28.7%29.4%
95th percentileleague avg 23.6%463 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 28.7% (95th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 304 | 66 | .217 | 59% (50/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 88 | 19 | .216 | 54% (14/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 179 | 43 | .240 | 58% (32/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 213 | 42 | .197 | 57% (32/56) |
| season | 111 | 392 | 85 | .217 | 58% (64/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 18.7% | 218 | .249 | 29.4% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 116 | 17.2% | 77 | .220 | 27.3% | 39.0% |
| at home ● | 219 | 19.6% | 133 | .237 | 26.3% | 39.1% |
| on the road | 244 | 17.2% | 162 | .245 | 30.9% | 44.4% |
| season | 463 | 18.4% | 295 | — | 28.8% | 42.0% |
0.5line
OVER-160ProphetXfair -146 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost-123+7.5% vs market · +4.5% vs season50% boost-107+14.9% vs market · +11.7% vs season
UNDER+150Fanaticsfair +144 · +2.5% vs fair
30% boost+195+21% vs market · +24.9% vs season50% boost+225+33.2% vs market · +37.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+334DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+434no market fair50% boost+501no market fair
UNDER-500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-385no market fair50% boost-333no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+12500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+16250no market fair50% boost+18750no market fair
H+R+RBI
111 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.701.75
44th percentileleague avg 1.74111 gamesvs RHP · 48th pctseason 1.70 (44th)85 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.347—
no split for this stat86th percentileleague avg .310463 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
SLG.423.445
63rd percentileleague avg .400463 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (63rd)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 66 | 44 | 39 | 1.75 | 44% (37/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 1.54 | 35% (9/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 43 | 25 | 35 | 1.87 | 40% (22/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 42 | 26 | 18 | 1.54 | 43% (24/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 85 | 51 | 53 | 1.70 | 41% (46/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 18.7% | 218 | .249 | .452 | 10.5% | 89.2 |
| vs LHP | 116 | 17.2% | 77 | .220 | .343 | 7.8% | 85.7 |
| at home ● | 219 | 19.6% | 133 | .237 | .433 | 10.5% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 244 | 17.2% | 162 | .245 | .415 | 9.3% | 87.3 |
| season | 463 | 18.4% | 295 | — | .423 | 9.8% | 88.2 |
1.5line
OVER+101ProphetXfair +108 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+131+11.3% vs market · -4.1% vs season50% boost+151+21% vs market · +4.2% vs season
UNDER-118BetMGMfair -109 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+110+9.5% vs market · +23.1% vs season50% boost+127+18.3% vs market · +33% vs season
RBIs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 RBI in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.480.46
64th percentileleague avg 0.44111 gamesvs RHP · 58th pctseason 0.48 (64th)85 gamessupports OVERneutral
xSLG.429.452
76th percentileleague avg .386463 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .429 (76th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%39.7%40.8%
51st percentileleague avg 38.9%463 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 39.7% (51st)218 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.8%10.5%
72nd percentileleague avg 7.8%463 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 9.8% (72nd)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 39 | 0.46 | .434 | 33% (28/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 14 | 0.54 | .386 | 27% (7/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 35 | 0.64 | .514 | 38% (21/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 18 | 0.32 | .347 | 25% (14/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 53 | 0.48 | .423 | 32% (35/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 10.7% | 218 | .452 | 10.5% | 40.8% | 89.2 |
| vs LHP | 116 | 13.8% | 77 | .343 | 7.8% | 36.4% | 85.7 |
| at home ● | 219 | 16.0% | 133 | .433 | 10.5% | 43.6% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 244 | 7.4% | 162 | .415 | 9.3% | 36.4% | 87.3 |
| season | 463 | — | 295 | .423 | 9.8% | 39.7% | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+172DraftKingsfair +178 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+224+16.2% vs market · +2% vs season50% boost+258+28.5% vs market · +12.9% vs season
UNDER-190betPARXfair -176 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-146+7.5% vs market · +15.3% vs season50% boost-127+14.2% vs market · +22.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career2 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.460.52
52nd percentileleague avg 0.46111 gamesvs RHP · 70th pctseason 0.46 (52nd)85 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.347—
no split for this stat86th percentileleague avg .310463 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4463 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%13.8%14.7%
94th percentileleague avg 8.8%463 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 13.8% (94th)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 44 | 0.52 | .341 | 40% (34/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 7 | 0.27 | .286 | 23% (6/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 25 | 0.45 | .374 | 36% (20/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 26 | 0.46 | .288 | 36% (20/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 51 | 0.46 | .329 | 36% (40/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | — | 218 | .249 | 29.4% | 43.1% | 89.2 |
| vs LHP | 116 | — | 77 | .220 | 27.3% | 39.0% | 85.7 |
| at home ● | 219 | 11.4% | 133 | .237 | 26.3% | 39.1% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 244 | 10.7% | 162 | .245 | 30.9% | 44.4% | 87.3 |
| season | 463 | — | 295 | — | 28.8% | 42.0% | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+120theScore Betfair +132 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost+156+10.3% vs market · -7.7% vs season50% boost+180+20.7% vs market · +0.9% vs season
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -132 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost-115+6.2% vs market · +19.4% vs season50% boost-100+13.8% vs market · +27.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Doubles
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 doubles in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.0%3.5%
19th percentileleague avg 4.1%463 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 3.0% (19th)347 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.429.452
76th percentileleague avg .386463 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason .429 (76th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.185.203
78th percentileleague avg .146463 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .185 (78th)291 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%28.7%29.4%
95th percentileleague avg 23.6%463 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 28.7% (95th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%42.0%43.1%
95th percentileleague avg 35.3%463 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 42.0% (95th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4463 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 11 | 3.0% | .434 | 11% (9/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 3 | 3.1% | .386 | 12% (3/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 5 | 2.3% | .514 | 7% (4/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 9 | 3.7% | .347 | 14% (8/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 14 | 3.0% | .423 | 11% (12/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 3.5% | 218 | .452 | 29.4% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 116 | 1.7% | 77 | .343 | 27.3% | 39.0% |
| at home ● | 219 | 2.3% | 133 | .433 | 26.3% | 39.1% |
| on the road | 244 | 3.7% | 162 | .415 | 30.9% | 44.4% |
| season | 463 | 3.0% | 295 | .423 | 28.8% | 42.0% |
0.5line
OVER+450theScore Betfair +446 · +0.8% vs fair
30% boost+585+25.4% vs market · -25.9% vs season50% boost+675+41.8% vs market · -16.2% vs season
UNDER-650BetMGMfair -460 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost-500-1.5% vs market · +7% vs season50% boost-433+1% vs market · +9.8% vs season
Singles
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 singles in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%82.0%83.1%
33rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%463 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 82.0% (33rd)473 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%26.1%24.6%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%463 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 26.1% (57th)617 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%28.7%29.4%
95th percentileleague avg 23.6%463 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 28.7% (95th)218 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4463 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 304 | 36 | .217 | 36% (31/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 88 | 12 | .216 | 38% (10/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 179 | 23 | .240 | 36% (20/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 213 | 25 | .197 | 38% (21/56) |
| season | 111 | 392 | 48 | .217 | 37% (41/111) |
● tonight's split
The BatJJ Bleday: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 347 | 10.1% | 218 | .249 | 29.4% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 116 | 11.2% | 77 | .220 | 27.3% | 39.0% |
| at home ● | 219 | 10.5% | 133 | .237 | 26.3% | 39.1% |
| on the road | 244 | 10.2% | 162 | .245 | 30.9% | 44.4% |
| season | 463 | 10.8% | 295 | — | 28.8% | 42.0% |
0.5line
OVER+155BetMGMfair +157 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+201+17.3% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+232+29.3% vs market · +22.8% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -160 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-138+5.9% vs market · +8.6% vs season50% boost-120+12.8% vs market · +15.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%68.1%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)254 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.22.1
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason 2.2253 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJJ Bleday vs Casey Mize, career0 walks in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
BB%13.8%14.7%
94th percentileleague avg 8.8%463 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 13.8% (94th)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate22.4%20.9%
9th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%463 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason 22.4% (9th)680 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%70.4%69.9%
league avg 66.9%+3.5% vs league463 PAvs RHPseason 70.4%677 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 55 | 15.1% | .341 | 52% (44/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 9 | 9.2% | .286 | 35% (9/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 37 | 16.9% | .374 | 53% (29/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 27 | 11.1% | .288 | 43% (24/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 64 | 13.8% | .329 | 48% (53/111) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+138Caesarsfair +152 · -5.5% vs fair
30% boost+179+10.9% vs market · +33.4% vs season50% boost+207+21.9% vs market · +46.6% vs season
UNDER-180Hard Rockfair -153 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-138+4.2% vs market · -10% vs season50% boost-120+10.9% vs market · -4.2% vs season
Stolen Bases
111 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
JJ Bleday Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4463 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
SB per game0.050.05
52nd percentileleague avg 0.07111 gamesvs RHP · 52nd pctseason 0.05 (52nd)85 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.244.249
52nd percentileleague avg .240463 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .244 (52nd)291 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%13.8%14.7%
94th percentileleague avg 8.8%463 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 13.8% (94th)347 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJJ Bleday: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 85 | 365 | 4 | 0.05 | 5% (4/85) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 98 | 2 | 0.08 | 8% (2/26) |
| at home ● | 55 | 219 | 2 | 0.04 | 4% (2/55) |
| on the road | 56 | 244 | 4 | 0.07 | 7% (4/56) |
| season | 111 | 463 | 6 | 0.05 | 5% (6/111) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1300BetMGMpooled fair +918
30% boost+1690pooled fair50% boost+1950pooled fair
UNDER-1680DraftKingsfair -874 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-1292-3.4% vs market · +1.9% vs season50% boost-1120-2.3% vs market · +3% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing