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Edwin Arroyo
CINbats L9th in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Arroyo at the plateHR/PA 0.0%barrel rate 2.9%hard-hit% 27.6%
Home Runs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%1.2%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 2.5% (39th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%33.1%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 31.8% (84th)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA0.0%0.0%
0th percentileleague avg 3.0%154 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 0.0% (0th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate2.9%2.6%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 2.9% (11th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%27.6%22.4%
6th percentileleague avg 38.9%154 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 27.6% (6th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%19.4%21.1%
8th percentileleague avg 26.8%154 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason 19.4% (8th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.357.335
33rd percentileleague avg .386154 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason .357 (33rd)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.082.072
9th percentileleague avg .146154 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason .082 (9th)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo85.7 mph84.7 mph
19th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph154 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 85.7 mph (19th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 0 | 0.0% | .299 | 0% (0/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0.0% | .200 | 0% (0/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 0 | 0.0% | .243 | 0% (0/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 0 | 0.0% | .306 | 0% (0/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 0 | 0.0% | .275 | 0% (0/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 0.0% | 76 | 2.6% | .335 | .072 | 84.7 |
| vs LHP | 40 | 0.0% | 29 | 3.5% | .389 | .100 | 88.5 |
| at home ● | 73 | 0.0% | 47 | 4.3% | .348 | .086 | 86.9 |
| on the road | 81 | 0.0% | 58 | 1.7% | .351 | .075 | 84.8 |
| season | 154 | 0.0% | 105 | 2.9% | .350 | .080 | 85.7 |
0.5line
OVER+1200Fanaticspooled fair +1019
30% boost+1560pooled fair50% boost+1800pooled fair
UNDER-1567NoVigfair -1039 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-1205-1.2% vs market · +8.3% vs season50% boost-1045-0.1% vs market · +9.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+17500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+22750no market fair50% boost+26250no market fair
Total Bases
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.357.335
33rd percentileleague avg .386154 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason .357 (33rd)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.275.250
2nd percentileleague avg .400154 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .275 (2nd)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.232.221
30th percentileleague avg .244154 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason .232 (30th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.082.072
9th percentileleague avg .146154 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason .082 (9th)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%27.6%22.4%
6th percentileleague avg 38.9%154 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 27.6% (6th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate2.9%2.6%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 2.9% (11th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%32.4%31.6%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%154 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 32.4% (99th)76 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 32 | 0.94 | .299 | 59% (20/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 7 | 0.70 | .200 | 60% (6/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 17 | 0.81 | .243 | 57% (12/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 22 | 0.96 | .306 | 61% (14/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 39 | 0.89 | .275 | 59% (26/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 22.8% | 76 | .335 | .072 | 2.6% | 84.7 |
| vs LHP | 40 | 32.5% | 29 | .389 | .100 | 3.5% | 88.5 |
| at home ● | 73 | 23.3% | 47 | .348 | .086 | 4.3% | 86.9 |
| on the road | 81 | 27.2% | 58 | .351 | .075 | 1.7% | 84.8 |
| season | 154 | 25.3% | 105 | .350 | .080 | 2.9% | 85.7 |
0.5line
OVER-125BetRiverspooled fair -117
30% boost+104pooled fair50% boost+120pooled fair
UNDER+109ProphetXfair +117 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+142+11.4% vs market · -1.1% vs season50% boost+163+21.5% vs market · +7.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+255BetRiverspooled fair +244
30% boost+331pooled fair50% boost+382pooled fair
UNDER-320ProphetXfair -243 · -7% vs fair
30% boost-246-0.4% vs market · +15.1% vs season50% boost-213+4% vs market · +20.2% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+800BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.232.221
30th percentileleague avg .244154 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason .232 (30th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%83.9%82.6%
47th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%154 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 83.9% (47th)161 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%27.4%26.5%
64th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%154 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 27.4% (64th)238 swingssupports UNDERneutral
K%24.0%23.7%
61st percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%154 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 24.0% (61st)114 PAsupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%32.4%31.6%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%154 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 32.4% (99th)76 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 107 | 26 | .243 | 59% (20/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 7 | .200 | 60% (6/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 70 | 13 | .186 | 57% (12/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 72 | 20 | .278 | 61% (14/23) |
| season | 44 | 142 | 33 | .232 | 59% (26/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 20.2% | 76 | .262 | 31.6% | 44.7% |
| vs LHP | 40 | 25.0% | 29 | .289 | 37.9% | 48.3% |
| at home ● | 73 | 17.8% | 47 | .263 | 31.9% | 42.5% |
| on the road | 81 | 24.7% | 58 | .276 | 34.5% | 48.3% |
| season | 154 | 21.4% | 105 | — | 33.3% | 45.7% |
0.5line
OVER-122ProphetXfair -116 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+107+11.1% vs market · +22.1% vs season50% boost+123+19.9% vs market · +31.7% vs season
UNDER+111NoVigfair +114 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost+144+14.1% vs market · -0.1% vs season50% boost+167+24.5% vs market · +9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+480FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+624no market fair50% boost+720no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.181.26
8th percentileleague avg 1.7444 gamesvs RHP · 13th pctseason 1.18 (8th)34 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.298—
no split for this stat36th percentileleague avg .310154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.275.250
2nd percentileleague avg .400154 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .275 (2nd)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 1.26 | 59% (20/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0.90 | 60% (6/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1.10 | 57% (12/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1.26 | 61% (14/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 1.18 | 59% (26/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 20.2% | 76 | .262 | .335 | 2.6% | 84.7 |
| vs LHP | 40 | 25.0% | 29 | .289 | .389 | 3.5% | 88.5 |
| at home ● | 73 | 17.8% | 47 | .263 | .348 | 4.3% | 86.9 |
| on the road | 81 | 24.7% | 58 | .276 | .351 | 1.7% | 84.8 |
| season | 154 | 21.4% | 105 | — | .350 | 2.9% | 85.7 |
0.5line
OVER-160NoVigfair -142 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.2% vs market · +7.1% vs season50% boost-107+13.5% vs market · +14.5% vs season
UNDER+132ProphetXfair +138 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+172+13.8% vs market · +11.1% vs season50% boost+198+24.9% vs market · +21.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 30%SZN 36%over rate
OVER+144ProphetXfair +143 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost+187+18% vs market · +4.4% vs season50% boost+216+29.9% vs market · +14.9% vs season
UNDER-156NoVigfair -149 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost-120+9.8% vs market · +16.7% vs season50% boost-104+17.5% vs market · +24.8% vs season
RBIs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.110.15
0th percentileleague avg 0.4444 gamesvs RHP · 1st pctseason 0.11 (0th)34 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.357.335
33rd percentileleague avg .386154 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason .357 (33rd)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%27.6%22.4%
6th percentileleague avg 38.9%154 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 27.6% (6th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate2.9%2.6%
11th percentileleague avg 7.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 2.9% (11th)76 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 5 | 0.15 | .299 | 15% (5/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0.00 | .200 | 0% (0/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 2 | 0.10 | .243 | 10% (2/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 3 | 0.13 | .306 | 13% (3/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 5 | 0.11 | .275 | 11% (5/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 3.5% | 76 | .335 | 2.6% | 22.4% | 84.7 |
| vs LHP | 40 | 2.5% | 29 | .389 | 3.5% | 41.4% | 88.5 |
| at home ● | 73 | 2.7% | 47 | .348 | 4.3% | 31.9% | 86.9 |
| on the road | 81 | 3.7% | 58 | .351 | 1.7% | 24.1% | 84.8 |
| season | 154 | — | 105 | .350 | 2.9% | 27.6% | 85.7 |
0.5line
OVER+310BetMGMfair +316 · -1.4% vs fair
30% boost+403+20.7% vs market · -42.8% vs season50% boost+465+35.6% vs market · -35.8% vs season
UNDER-385betPARXfair -315 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-296+1.5% vs market · +18.6% vs season50% boost-257+5.5% vs market · +23.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+8000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.320.35
15th percentileleague avg 0.4644 gamesvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 0.32 (15th)34 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.298—
no split for this stat36th percentileleague avg .310154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%3.9%4.4%
6th percentileleague avg 8.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 3.9% (6th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 12 | 0.35 | .299 | 29% (10/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 2 | 0.20 | .200 | 20% (2/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 8 | 0.38 | .219 | 38% (8/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 6 | 0.26 | .329 | 17% (4/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 14 | 0.32 | .276 | 27% (12/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | — | 76 | .262 | 31.6% | 44.7% | 84.7 |
| vs LHP | 40 | — | 29 | .289 | 37.9% | 48.3% | 88.5 |
| at home ● | 73 | 11.0% | 47 | .263 | 31.9% | 42.5% | 86.9 |
| on the road | 81 | 7.4% | 58 | .276 | 34.5% | 48.3% | 84.8 |
| season | 154 | — | 105 | — | 33.3% | 45.7% | 85.7 |
0.5line
OVER+203NoVigpooled fair +218
30% boost+264pooled fair50% boost+304pooled fair
UNDER-260theScore Betfair -218 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-200+2.9% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost-173+8.2% vs market · +14.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
UNDER-7500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-5769no market fair50% boost-5000no market fair
Doubles
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.6%2.6%
12th percentileleague avg 4.1%154 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 2.6% (12th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.357.335
33rd percentileleague avg .386154 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason .357 (33rd)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.082.072
9th percentileleague avg .146154 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason .082 (9th)103 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%32.4%31.6%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%154 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 32.4% (99th)76 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%45.7%44.7%
100th percentileleague avg 35.3%154 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 45.7% (100th)76 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 4 | 3.4% | .299 | 12% (4/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0.0% | .200 | 0% (0/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 2 | 2.7% | .243 | 10% (2/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 2 | 2.5% | .306 | 9% (2/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 4 | 2.6% | .275 | 9% (4/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 2.6% | 76 | .335 | 31.6% | 44.7% |
| vs LHP | 40 | 2.5% | 29 | .389 | 37.9% | 48.3% |
| at home ● | 73 | 2.7% | 47 | .348 | 31.9% | 42.5% |
| on the road | 81 | 2.5% | 58 | .351 | 34.5% | 48.3% |
| season | 154 | 2.6% | 105 | .350 | 33.3% | 45.7% |
0.5line
OVER+568DraftKingsfair +560 · +1.2% vs fair
30% boost+738+26.6% vs market · -23.8% vs season50% boost+852+43.8% vs market · -13.5% vs season
UNDER-900BetMGMfair -590 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-692-2.1% vs market · +4% vs season50% boost-600-0.2% vs market · +6.1% vs season
Singles
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%83.9%82.6%
47th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%154 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 83.9% (47th)161 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%27.4%26.5%
64th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%154 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 27.4% (64th)238 swingssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%32.4%31.6%
99th percentileleague avg 23.6%154 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 32.4% (99th)76 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 107 | 21 | .243 | 50% (17/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 7 | .200 | 60% (6/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 70 | 10 | .186 | 43% (9/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 72 | 18 | .278 | 61% (14/23) |
| season | 44 | 142 | 28 | .232 | 52% (23/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatEdwin Arroyo: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 114 | 17.5% | 76 | .262 | 31.6% | 44.7% |
| vs LHP | 40 | 20.0% | 29 | .289 | 37.9% | 48.3% |
| at home ● | 73 | 13.7% | 47 | .263 | 31.9% | 42.5% |
| on the road | 81 | 22.2% | 58 | .276 | 34.5% | 48.3% |
| season | 154 | 18.8% | 105 | — | 33.3% | 45.7% |
0.5line
OVER+130theScore Betfair +141 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+169+11.6% vs market · +40.6% vs season50% boost+195+22.4% vs market · +54.2% vs season
UNDER-155BetMGMfair -144 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-119+8.5% vs market · -12.2% vs season50% boost-103+16.1% vs market · -6.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%68.1%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)254 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.22.1
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason 2.2253 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadEdwin Arroyo vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
BB%3.9%4.4%
6th percentileleague avg 8.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 3.9% (6th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate40.1%36.5%
92nd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%154 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 40.1% (92nd)211 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%77.7%78.5%
league avg 66.9%+10.8% vs league154 PAvs RHPseason 77.7%205 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 6 | 5.0% | .299 | 15% (5/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 0 | 0.0% | .200 | 0% (0/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 1 | 1.4% | .219 | 5% (1/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 5 | 6.2% | .329 | 17% (4/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 6 | 3.9% | .276 | 11% (5/44) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+325Hard Rockfair +349 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost+423+16.5% vs market · -40.6% vs season50% boost+488+31% vs market · -33.2% vs season
UNDER-475Hard Rockfair -349 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-365-1% vs market · +12.9% vs season50% boost-317+2.2% vs market · +16.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Edwin Arroyo Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.7—
no split for this stat84th percentileleague avg 27.4154 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.020.00
29th percentileleague avg 0.0744 gamesvs RHP · 6th pctseason 0.02 (29th)34 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.275.262
90th percentileleague avg .240154 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .275 (90th)103 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%3.9%4.4%
6th percentileleague avg 8.8%154 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 3.9% (6th)114 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupEdwin Arroyo: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 119 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 35 | 1 | 0.10 | 10% (1/10) |
| at home ● | 21 | 73 | 1 | 0.05 | 5% (1/21) |
| on the road | 23 | 81 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/23) |
| season | 44 | 154 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/44) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1200BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
UNDER-1620DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1246no market fair50% boost-1080no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing