← San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds
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Eugenio Suarez

CINbats R5th in the order · projectedSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park

facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Suarez at the plateHR/PA 4.7%barrel rate 10.8%hard-hit% 35.6%

Home Runs

107 games logged
line0.5

Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%4.1%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 2.5% (39th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%29.9%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 31.8% (84th)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHRHR/BF
vs RHB ●19384.1%
vs LHB25331.2%
on the road ●23462.6%
at home21252.4%
season446112.5%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadEugenio Suarez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Eugenio Suarez Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.7%4.9%
86th percentileleague avg 3.0%426 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 4.7% (86th)326 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate10.8%10.0%
77th percentileleague avg 7.8%426 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason 10.8% (77th)180 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%35.6%34.4%
30th percentileleague avg 38.9%426 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 35.6% (30th)180 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%31.3%30.6%
80th percentileleague avg 26.8%426 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 31.3% (80th)180 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.338.334
23rd percentileleague avg .386426 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason .338 (23rd)287 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.146.140
53rd percentileleague avg .146426 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .146 (53rd)287 at-batsneutralneutral
avg exit velo88.3 mph87.7 mph
50th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph426 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 88.3 mph (50th)180 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupEugenio Suarez: Home Runs by split
GPAHRHR/PASLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●81320175.3%.43620% (16/81)
vs LHP2610632.8%.33012% (3/26)
at home ●5520994.3%.39015% (8/55)
on the road52217115.1%.42921% (11/52)
season107426204.7%.41018% (19/107)

● tonight's split

The BatEugenio Suarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAHR/PABBEbarrelxSLGxISOEV
vs RHP ●3264.9%18010.0%.334.14087.7
vs LHP1004.0%4214.3%.337.15990.5
at home ●2094.3%9612.5%.327.14990.6
on the road2175.1%1269.5%.342.14086.5
season4264.7%22210.8%.335.14488.3
0.5line
OVER+426NoVigpooled fair +432

30% boost+554pooled fair50% boost+639pooled fair

UNDER-590ProphetXpooled fair -432

30% boost-454pooled fair50% boost-393pooled fair

Hits

107 games logged
line0.5

Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG against.232.259
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason .232193 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%27.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs RHB · 70th pctseason 24.0% (44th)351 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHH/BFAVG
vs RHB ●1934523.3%.259
vs LHB2534919.4%.209
on the road ●2345222.2%.245
at home2124219.8%.213
season4469421.1%.230

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadEugenio Suarez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Eugenio Suarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.192.194
6th percentileleague avg .240426 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason .192 (6th)287 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.206.215
5th percentileleague avg .244426 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .206 (5th)326 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%78.6%79.8%
16th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%426 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason 78.6% (16th)416 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%34.7%32.9%
93rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%426 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 34.7% (93rd)614 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%35.0%32.8%
98th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%426 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 35.0% (98th)326 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%24.2%25.0%
59th percentileleague avg 23.6%426 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 24.2% (59th)180 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupEugenio Suarez: Hits by split
GABHAVGover 0.5
vs RHP ●8128260.21353% (43/81)
vs LHP269117.18750% (13/26)
at home ●5518237.20349% (27/55)
on the road5219140.20956% (29/52)
season10737377.20652% (56/107)

● tonight's split

The BatEugenio Suarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs RHP ●32619.0%180.19425.0%40.0%
vs LHP10015.0%42.17723.8%40.5%
at home ●20917.7%96.17825.0%38.5%
on the road21718.4%126.20224.6%41.3%
season42618.1%22224.8%40.1%
0.5line
OVER-150ProphetXpooled fair -132

30% boost-115pooled fair50% boost-100pooled fair

UNDER+122ProphetXpooled fair +132

30% boost+159pooled fair50% boost+183pooled fair

H+R+RBI

107 games logged
line1.5

Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xERA3.50
no split for this stat
26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHTBOBP
vs RHB ●1934584.307
vs LHB2534972.254
on the road ●2345287.300
at home2124269.251
season44694156

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadEugenio Suarez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Eugenio Suarez Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.611.70
36th percentileleague avg 1.74107 gamesvs RHP · 44th pctseason 1.61 (36th)81 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xwOBA.282
no split for this stat
20th percentileleague avg .310426 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.192.194
6th percentileleague avg .240426 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason .192 (6th)287 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.410.426
54th percentileleague avg .400426 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .410 (54th)326 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupEugenio Suarez: H+R+RBI by split
GPAHRRBIH+R+RBI/Gover 1.5
vs RHP ●813206031471.7046% (37/81)
vs LHP26106175121.3135% (9/26)
at home ●552093714271.4236% (20/55)
on the road522174022321.8150% (26/52)
season1074267736591.6143% (46/107)

● tonight's split

The BatEugenio Suarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBAxSLGbarrelEV
vs RHP ●32619.0%180.194.33410.0%87.7
vs LHP10015.0%42.177.33714.3%90.5
at home ●20917.7%96.178.32712.5%90.6
on the road21718.4%126.202.3429.5%86.5
season42618.1%222.33510.8%88.3
1.5line
OVER+108ProphetXpooled fair +126

30% boost+140pooled fair50% boost+162pooled fair

UNDER-156ProphetXpooled fair -126

30% boost-120pooled fair50% boost-104pooled fair

Walks

107 games logged
line0.5

Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%60.7%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)196 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/92.22.4
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason 2.2193 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFBBBB/BF
vs RHB ●193126.2%
vs LHB253155.9%
on the road ●234166.8%
at home212115.2%
season446276.1%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadEugenio Suarez vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Eugenio Suarez Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.3%8.6%
69th percentileleague avg 8.8%426 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 10.3% (69th)326 PAsupports OVERneutral
chase rate29.0%29.7%
41st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%426 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 29.0% (41st)666 pitches outside the zoneneutralneutral
zone swing%65.0%66.8%
league avg 66.9%-1.9% vs league426 PAvs RHPseason 65.0%623 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupEugenio Suarez: Walks by split
GPABBBB%OBPover 0.5
vs RHP ●81320319.7%.29733% (27/81)
vs LHP261061312.3%.30246% (12/26)
at home ●552092311.0%.29738% (21/55)
on the road52217219.7%.30035% (18/52)
season1074264410.3%.29836% (39/107)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+190Fanaticspooled fair +210

30% boost+247pooled fair50% boost+285pooled fair

UNDER-280Fanaticspooled fair -210

30% boost-215pooled fair50% boost-187pooled fair

Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing