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Tyler Stephenson
CINbats R5th in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Stephenson at the plateHR/PA 3.5%barrel rate 12.6%hard-hit% 46.6%
Home Runs
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%4.1%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 2.5% (39th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%29.9%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 31.8% (84th)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.5%4.2%
67th percentileleague avg 3.0%395 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 3.5% (67th)307 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.6%14.3%
87th percentileleague avg 7.8%395 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 12.6% (87th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%46.6%49.7%
84th percentileleague avg 38.9%395 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 46.6% (84th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%32.9%31.2%
86th percentileleague avg 26.8%395 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 32.9% (86th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.452.474
85th percentileleague avg .386394 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .452 (85th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.208.222
87th percentileleague avg .146394 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason .208 (87th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo91.2 mph91.5 mph
88th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph395 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 91.2 mph (88th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 11 | 3.9% | .445 | 13% (10/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 3 | 2.7% | .376 | 11% (3/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 4 | 2.1% | .311 | 8% (4/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 10 | 4.8% | .530 | 17% (9/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 14 | 3.6% | .427 | 12% (13/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 4.2% | 189 | 14.3% | .474 | .222 | 91.5 |
| vs LHP | 88 | 1.1% | 49 | 6.1% | .339 | .138 | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 187 | 2.1% | 108 | 8.3% | .379 | .158 | 89.8 |
| on the road | 207 | 4.8% | 130 | 16.2% | .505 | .245 | 92.2 |
| season | 394 | 3.6% | 238 | 12.6% | .447 | .205 | 91.1 |
0.5line
OVER+520ProphetXfair +491 · +4.9% vs fair
30% boost+676+31.1% vs market · -5.7% vs season50% boost+780+48.7% vs market · +6.9% vs season
UNDER-567NoVigfair -500 · -2% vs fair
30% boost-436+2.4% vs market · +8% vs season50% boost-378+5.3% vs market · +11.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+7000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9100no market fair50% boost+10500no market fair
Total Bases
107 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG against.232.259
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason .232193 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.452.474
85th percentileleague avg .386394 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .452 (85th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.427.464
66th percentileleague avg .400394 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .427 (66th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.251.264
54th percentileleague avg .244394 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason .251 (54th)306 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISO.208.222
87th percentileleague avg .146394 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason .208 (87th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%46.6%49.7%
84th percentileleague avg 38.9%395 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 46.6% (84th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.6%14.3%
87th percentileleague avg 7.8%395 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 12.6% (87th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%30.4%31.2%
98th percentileleague avg 23.6%395 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 30.4% (98th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 113 | 1.43 | .445 | 33% (26/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 35 | 1.25 | .376 | 32% (9/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 51 | 0.96 | .311 | 25% (13/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 97 | 1.80 | .530 | 41% (22/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 148 | 1.38 | .427 | 33% (35/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 41.8% | 189 | .474 | .222 | 14.3% | 91.5 |
| vs LHP | 88 | 22.7% | 49 | .339 | .138 | 6.1% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 187 | 27.3% | 108 | .379 | .158 | 8.3% | 89.8 |
| on the road | 207 | 46.9% | 130 | .505 | .245 | 16.2% | 92.2 |
| season | 394 | 37.6% | 238 | .447 | .205 | 12.6% | 91.1 |
0.5lineL5 100%L10 80%L20 60%SZN 60%over rate
OVER-175BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-135no market fair50% boost-117no market fair
UNDER+150theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+195no market fair50% boost+225no market fair
1.5line
OVER+165BetRiverspooled fair +152
30% boost+214pooled fair50% boost+247pooled fair
UNDER-168ProphetXfair -150 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-129+6.4% vs market · +19.4% vs season50% boost-112+13.6% vs market · +27.4% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+330BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+429no market fair50% boost+495no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+380DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+494no market fair50% boost+570no market fair
4.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+900FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
5.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG against.232.259
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason .232193 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%27.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs RHB · 70th pctseason 24.0% (44th)351 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.251.264
54th percentileleague avg .244394 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason .251 (54th)306 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%85.4%83.6%
58th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%394 PAvs RHP · 46th pctseason 85.4% (58th)415 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.4%29.3%
58th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%394 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 26.4% (58th)556 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
K%27.4%28.3%
79th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%394 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 27.4% (79th)307 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%30.4%31.2%
98th percentileleague avg 23.6%395 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 30.4% (98th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 254 | 66 | .260 | 63% (50/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 93 | 21 | .226 | 50% (14/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 164 | 33 | .201 | 51% (27/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 183 | 54 | .295 | 69% (37/54) |
| season | 107 | 347 | 87 | .251 | 60% (64/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 23.9% | 189 | .252 | 31.2% | 45.5% |
| vs LHP | 88 | 15.9% | 49 | .202 | 30.6% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 187 | 17.6% | 108 | .220 | 30.6% | 42.6% |
| on the road | 207 | 26.1% | 130 | .260 | 31.5% | 44.6% |
| season | 394 | 22.1% | 238 | — | 31.1% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER-172DraftKingsfair -152 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost-132+6.1% vs market · +5% vs season50% boost-115+13.1% vs market · +12% vs season
UNDER+150theScore Betfair +153 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost+195+16.8% vs market · +18.6% vs season50% boost+225+28.7% vs market · +30.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 20%over rate
OVER+331DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+430no market fair50% boost+497no market fair
UNDER-450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-346no market fair50% boost-300no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+12500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+16250no market fair50% boost+18750no market fair
H+R+RBI
107 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.611.71
36th percentileleague avg 1.74107 gamesvs RHP · 44th pctseason 1.61 (36th)79 gamessupports UNDERneutral
xwOBA.337—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
SLG.427.464
66th percentileleague avg .400394 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .427 (66th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 66 | 30 | 39 | 1.71 | 43% (34/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 1.32 | 32% (9/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 1.11 | 28% (15/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 54 | 23 | 36 | 2.09 | 52% (28/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 87 | 36 | 49 | 1.61 | 40% (43/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 23.9% | 189 | .252 | .474 | 14.3% | 91.5 |
| vs LHP | 88 | 15.9% | 49 | .202 | .339 | 6.1% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 187 | 17.6% | 108 | .220 | .379 | 8.3% | 89.8 |
| on the road | 207 | 26.1% | 130 | .260 | .505 | 16.2% | 92.2 |
| season | 394 | 22.1% | 238 | — | .447 | 12.6% | 91.1 |
1.5line
OVER+109ProphetXfair +114 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+142+12.9% vs market · -2.9% vs season50% boost+163+23.1% vs market · +5.9% vs season
UNDER-120BetMGMfair -116 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+108+11.7% vs market · +24.6% vs season50% boost+125+20.6% vs market · +34.6% vs season
RBIs
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.460.49
58th percentileleague avg 0.44107 gamesvs RHP · 66th pctseason 0.46 (58th)79 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.452.474
85th percentileleague avg .386394 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .452 (85th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%46.6%49.7%
84th percentileleague avg 38.9%395 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 46.6% (84th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.6%14.3%
87th percentileleague avg 7.8%395 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 12.6% (87th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 39 | 0.49 | .445 | 30% (24/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 10 | 0.36 | .376 | 18% (5/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 13 | 0.25 | .311 | 17% (9/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 36 | 0.67 | .530 | 37% (20/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 49 | 0.46 | .427 | 27% (29/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 14.4% | 189 | .474 | 14.3% | 49.7% | 91.5 |
| vs LHP | 88 | 5.7% | 49 | .339 | 6.1% | 34.7% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 187 | 7.0% | 108 | .379 | 8.3% | 40.7% | 89.8 |
| on the road | 207 | 17.4% | 130 | .505 | 16.2% | 51.5% | 92.2 |
| season | 394 | — | 238 | .447 | 12.6% | 46.6% | 91.1 |
0.5line
OVER+205ProphetXfair +199 · +1.9% vs fair
30% boost+266+22.4% vs market · -0.7% vs season50% boost+307+36.1% vs market · +10.4% vs season
UNDER-225BetMGMfair -210 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-173+7% vs market · +15% vs season50% boost-150+13% vs market · +21.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.340.38
20th percentileleague avg 0.46107 gamesvs RHP · 27th pctseason 0.34 (20th)79 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.337—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat39th percentileleague avg 27.4394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.8%
71st percentileleague avg 8.8%394 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 10.4% (71st)307 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 30 | 0.38 | .324 | 33% (26/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 6 | 0.21 | .345 | 21% (6/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 13 | 0.25 | .299 | 21% (11/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 23 | 0.43 | .357 | 39% (21/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 36 | 0.34 | .330 | 30% (32/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | — | 189 | .252 | 31.2% | 45.5% | 91.5 |
| vs LHP | 88 | — | 49 | .202 | 30.6% | 36.7% | 89.7 |
| at home ● | 187 | 7.0% | 108 | .220 | 30.6% | 42.6% | 89.8 |
| on the road | 207 | 11.1% | 130 | .260 | 31.5% | 44.6% | 92.2 |
| season | 394 | — | 238 | — | 31.1% | 43.7% | 91.1 |
0.5line
OVER+138NoVigpooled fair +146
30% boost+179pooled fair50% boost+207pooled fair
UNDER-165theScore Betfair -147 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-127+6.6% vs market · +25.3% vs season50% boost-110+13.8% vs market · +33.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.460
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .377 (44th)179 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%42.3%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 37.4% (44th)137 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed8.1%12.4%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs RHB · 97th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)137 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| vs LHB | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.8%5.2%
73rd percentileleague avg 4.1%395 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 4.8% (73rd)307 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.452.474
85th percentileleague avg .386394 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .452 (85th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.208.222
87th percentileleague avg .146394 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason .208 (87th)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%30.4%31.2%
98th percentileleague avg 23.6%395 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 30.4% (98th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%43.7%45.5%
98th percentileleague avg 35.3%395 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 43.7% (98th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat39th percentileleague avg 27.4394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 14 | 4.9% | .445 | 18% (14/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 5 | 4.5% | .376 | 18% (5/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 6 | 3.2% | .311 | 11% (6/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 13 | 6.3% | .530 | 24% (13/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 19 | 4.8% | .427 | 18% (19/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 5.2% | 189 | .474 | 31.2% | 45.5% |
| vs LHP | 88 | 3.4% | 49 | .339 | 30.6% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 187 | 3.2% | 108 | .379 | 30.6% | 42.6% |
| on the road | 207 | 6.3% | 130 | .505 | 31.5% | 44.6% |
| season | 394 | 4.8% | 238 | .447 | 31.1% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER+450DraftKingsfair +455 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost+585+23.3% vs market · +21.6% vs season50% boost+675+39.5% vs market · +37.6% vs season
UNDER-650BetMGMfair -477 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-500-0.8% vs market · -1.3% vs season50% boost-433+1.8% vs market · +1.2% vs season
Singles
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.250
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs RHB · 61st pctseason .230 (37th)179 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
K%21.5%21.5%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs RHB · 42nd pctseason 21.5% (42nd)195 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%27.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs RHB · 70th pctseason 24.0% (44th)351 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%85.4%83.6%
58th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%394 PAvs RHP · 46th pctseason 85.4% (58th)415 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.4%29.3%
58th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%394 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 26.4% (58th)556 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
line-drive%30.4%31.2%
98th percentileleague avg 23.6%395 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 30.4% (98th)189 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat39th percentileleague avg 27.4394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 254 | 41 | .260 | 46% (36/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 93 | 13 | .226 | 39% (11/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 164 | 23 | .201 | 36% (19/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 183 | 31 | .295 | 52% (28/54) |
| season | 107 | 347 | 54 | .251 | 44% (47/107) |
● tonight's split
The BatTyler Stephenson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 306 | 14.4% | 189 | .252 | 31.2% | 45.5% |
| vs LHP | 88 | 11.4% | 49 | .202 | 30.6% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 187 | 12.3% | 108 | .220 | 30.6% | 42.6% |
| on the road | 207 | 15.0% | 130 | .260 | 31.5% | 44.6% |
| season | 394 | 13.7% | 238 | — | 31.1% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER+123DraftKingsfair +133 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost+160+11.5% vs market · +14.2% vs season50% boost+184+22.1% vs market · +25% vs season
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -135 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-115+7.3% vs market · +4.7% vs season50% boost-100+15% vs market · +12.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%6.2%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs RHB · 15th pctseason 6.1% (14th)195 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%60.7%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)196 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/92.22.4
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs RHBseason 2.2193 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| vs LHB | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTyler Stephenson vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.4%7.8%
71st percentileleague avg 8.8%394 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 10.4% (71st)307 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
chase rate22.5%23.7%
9th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%394 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 22.5% (9th)595 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%66.0%65.7%
league avg 66.9%-0.9% vs league394 PAvs RHPseason 66.0%632 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 24 | 8.5% | .324 | 25% (20/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 17 | 15.5% | .345 | 50% (14/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 23 | 12.3% | .299 | 34% (18/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 18 | 8.7% | .357 | 30% (16/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 41 | 10.4% | .330 | 32% (34/107) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+165Fanaticsfair +184 · -6.6% vs fair
30% boost+214+11% vs market · -0.1% vs season50% boost+247+22.7% vs market · +10.4% vs season
UNDER-228DraftKingsfair -185 · -6.6% vs fair
30% boost-175+1.9% vs market · +7.1% vs season50% boost-152+7.6% vs market · +13.1% vs season
Stolen Bases
107 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Tyler Stephenson Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat39th percentileleague avg 27.4394 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.000.00
6th percentileleague avg 0.07107 gamesvs RHP · 6th pctseason 0.00 (6th)79 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.244.252
52nd percentileleague avg .240394 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .244 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.8%
71st percentileleague avg 8.8%394 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 10.4% (71st)307 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTyler Stephenson: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 79 | 284 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/79) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 110 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/28) |
| at home ● | 53 | 187 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/53) |
| on the road | 54 | 207 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/54) |
| season | 107 | 394 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/107) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing