This game has started. These are the prices from before first pitch, pulled at 12:00 PM EDT on Wed, Sep 2. Not a live market.
Juan Brito
CINbats L7th in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Brito at the plateHR/PA 0.0%barrel rate 2.7%hard-hit% 29.7%
Home Runs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%1.2%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 2.5% (39th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%33.1%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 31.8% (84th)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthinthin0.0%0.0%
0th percentileleague avg 3.0%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 0.0% (0th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin2.7%0.0%
9th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 2.7% (9th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thinthin29.7%26.9%
13th percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 29.7% (13th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%thinthin16.2%11.5%
3rd percentileleague avg 26.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 16.2% (3rd)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthinthin.280.243
4th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .280 (4th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthinthin.078.040
7th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .078 (7th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velothinthin84.5 mph81.7 mph
11th percentileleague avg 88.0 mphthin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 84.5 mph (11th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 0 | 0.0% | .107 | 0% (0/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0.0% | .385 | 0% (0/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 0 | 0.0% | .286 | 0% (0/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 0 | 0.0% | .192 | 0% (0/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 0 | 0.0% | .241 | 0% (0/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 0.0% | 26 | 0.0% | .243 | .040 | 81.7 |
| vs LHP | 22 | 0.0% | 11 | 9.1% | .329 | .139 | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 31 | 0.0% | 19 | 5.3% | .345 | .109 | 83.0 |
| on the road | 29 | 0.0% | 18 | 0.0% | .196 | .040 | 86.1 |
| season | 60 | 0.0% | 37 | 2.7% | .275 | .076 | 84.5 |
0.5line
OVER+900BetRiverspooled fair +787
30% boost+1170pooled fair50% boost+1350pooled fair
UNDER-850ProphetXfair -769 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost-654+2% vs market · +15.3% vs season50% boost-567+4.1% vs market · +17.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+16000BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+20800no market fair50% boost+24000no market fair
Total Bases
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthinthin.280.243
4th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .280 (4th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthinthin.241.171
0th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .241 (0th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthinthin.167.114
1st percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .167 (1st)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthinthin.078.040
7th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .078 (7th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thinthin29.7%26.9%
13th percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 29.7% (13th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin2.7%0.0%
9th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 2.7% (9th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thinthin24.3%19.2%
59th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 24.3% (59th)thin sample: 26 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 3 | 0.33 | .107 | 22% (2/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 10 | 1.43 | .385 | 71% (5/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 8 | 1.00 | .286 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 5 | 0.63 | .192 | 50% (4/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 13 | 0.81 | .241 | 44% (7/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 15.8% | 26 | .243 | .040 | 0.0% | 81.7 |
| vs LHP | 22 | 31.8% | 11 | .329 | .139 | 9.1% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 31 | 25.8% | 19 | .345 | .109 | 5.3% | 83.0 |
| on the road | 29 | 17.2% | 18 | .196 | .040 | 0.0% | 86.1 |
| season | 60 | 21.7% | 37 | .275 | .076 | 2.7% | 84.5 |
0.5line
OVER-125BetMGMfair -119 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+104+10.8% vs market · -10.7% vs season50% boost+120+19.5% vs market · -3.7% vs season
UNDER+109ProphetXfair +116 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+142+11.7% vs market · +36% vs season50% boost+163+21.7% vs market · +48.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%SZN 25%over rate
OVER+230BetRiverspooled fair +210
30% boost+299pooled fair50% boost+345pooled fair
UNDER-270NoVigpooled fair -210
30% boost-208pooled fair50% boost-180pooled fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+650FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+1600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthinthin.167.114
1st percentileleague avg .244thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .167 (1st)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thinthin80.5%83.9%
23rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 80.5% (23rd)thin sample: 56 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%thinthin31.7%27.3%
85th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 31.7% (85th)thin sample: 77 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin30.0%23.7%
87th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 30.0% (87th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%thinthin24.3%19.2%
59th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 24.3% (59th)thin sample: 26 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 28 | 2 | .071 | 22% (2/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 26 | 7 | .269 | 71% (5/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 28 | 5 | .179 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 26 | 4 | .154 | 50% (4/8) |
| season | 16 | 54 | 9 | .167 | 44% (7/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 10.5% | 26 | .203 | 19.2% | 23.1% |
| vs LHP | 22 | 22.7% | 11 | .190 | 36.4% | 54.5% |
| at home ● | 31 | 16.1% | 19 | .236 | 26.3% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 29 | 13.8% | 18 | .156 | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| season | 60 | 15.0% | 37 | — | 24.3% | 32.4% |
0.5line
OVER-125BetMGMfair -124 · -0.5% vs fair
30% boost+104+12.8% vs market · -10.7% vs season50% boost+120+21.7% vs market · -3.7% vs season
UNDER+122NoVigfair +119 · +1.3% vs fair
30% boost+159+17.9% vs market · +45.5% vs season50% boost+183+29% vs market · +59.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+450BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+2500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
16 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xwOBAthin.249—
no split for this stat3rd percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthinthin.241.171
0th percentileleague avg .400thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .241 (0th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.67 | 22% (2/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2.00 | 71% (5/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1.38 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1.13 | 50% (4/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1.25 | 44% (7/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 10.5% | 26 | .203 | .243 | 0.0% | 81.7 |
| vs LHP | 22 | 22.7% | 11 | .190 | .329 | 9.1% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 31 | 16.1% | 19 | .236 | .345 | 5.3% | 83.0 |
| on the road | 29 | 13.8% | 18 | .156 | .196 | 0.0% | 86.1 |
| season | 60 | 15.0% | 37 | — | .275 | 2.7% | 84.5 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 50%SZN 56%over rate
OVER-170ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-131no market fair50% boost-113no market fair
UNDER+136DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+177no market fair50% boost+204no market fair
1.5line
OVER+146ProphetXfair +143 · +1.2% vs fair
30% boost+190+19.1% vs market · +26.8% vs season50% boost+219+31.1% vs market · +39.6% vs season
UNDER-156NoVigfair -149 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost-120+9.8% vs market · +3.1% vs season50% boost-104+17.5% vs market · +10.3% vs season
RBIs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthinthin.280.243
4th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .280 (4th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thinthin29.7%26.9%
13th percentileleague avg 38.9%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 29.7% (13th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethinthin2.7%0.0%
9th percentileleague avg 7.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 2.7% (9th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 1 | 0.11 | .107 | 11% (1/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 3 | 0.43 | .385 | 29% (2/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 4 | 0.50 | .286 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 0 | 0.00 | .192 | 0% (0/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 4 | 0.25 | .241 | 19% (3/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 2.6% | 26 | .243 | 0.0% | 26.9% | 81.7 |
| vs LHP | 22 | 13.6% | 11 | .329 | 9.1% | 36.4% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 31 | 12.9% | 19 | .345 | 5.3% | 26.3% | 83.0 |
| on the road | 29 | 0.0% | 18 | .196 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 86.1 |
| season | 60 | — | 37 | .275 | 2.7% | 29.7% | 84.5 |
0.5line
OVER+277NoVigpooled fair +283
30% boost+360pooled fair50% boost+416pooled fair
UNDER-350Flifffair -286 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-269+1.6% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost-233+5.9% vs market · +16.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+850BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1105no market fair50% boost+1275no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+2700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3510no market fair50% boost+4050no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+8000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xwOBAthin.249—
no split for this stat3rd percentileleague avg .310thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speedthin26.5—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin6.7%5.3%
29th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 6.7% (29th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 3 | 0.33 | .156 | 33% (3/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 4 | 0.57 | .321 | 57% (4/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 2 | 0.25 | .226 | 25% (2/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 5 | 0.63 | .241 | 63% (5/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 7 | 0.44 | .233 | 44% (7/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | — | 26 | .203 | 19.2% | 23.1% | 81.7 |
| vs LHP | 22 | — | 11 | .190 | 36.4% | 54.5% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 31 | 6.5% | 19 | .236 | 26.3% | 42.1% | 83.0 |
| on the road | 29 | 17.2% | 18 | .156 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 86.1 |
| season | 60 | — | 37 | — | 24.3% | 32.4% | 84.5 |
0.5line
OVER+190BetMGMfair +203 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost+247+14.5% vs market · +51.8% vs season50% boost+285+27% vs market · +68.4% vs season
UNDER-257DraftKingsfair -205 · -6.6% vs fair
30% boost-198+1.3% vs market · -15.3% vs season50% boost-171+6.6% vs market · -10.9% vs season
Doubles
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthinthin6.7%5.3%
98th percentileleague avg 4.1%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 6.7% (98th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthinthin.280.243
4th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .280 (4th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthinthin.078.040
7th percentileleague avg .146thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason .078 (7th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thinthin24.3%19.2%
59th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 24.3% (59th)thin sample: 26 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thinthin32.4%23.1%
24th percentileleague avg 35.3%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 0th pctseason 32.4% (24th)thin sample: 26 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speedthin26.5—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Brito: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 1 | 3.1% | .107 | 11% (1/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | .385 | 43% (3/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | .286 | 38% (3/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 1 | 3.4% | .192 | 13% (1/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 4 | 6.7% | .241 | 25% (4/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 5.3% | 26 | .243 | 19.2% | 23.1% |
| vs LHP | 22 | 9.1% | 11 | .329 | 36.4% | 54.5% |
| at home ● | 31 | 9.7% | 19 | .345 | 26.3% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 29 | 3.4% | 18 | .196 | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| season | 60 | 6.7% | 37 | .275 | 24.3% | 32.4% |
0.5line
OVER+529DraftKingsfair +510 · +3.2% vs fair
30% boost+688+29.2% vs market · +96.9% vs season50% boost+794+46.5% vs market · +123.4% vs season
UNDER-750Hard Rockfair -540 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-577-1% vs market · -12% vs season50% boost-500+1.3% vs market · -10% vs season
Singles
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thinthin80.5%83.9%
23rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 80.5% (23rd)thin sample: 56 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%thinthin31.7%27.3%
85th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 31.7% (85th)thin sample: 77 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thinthin24.3%19.2%
59th percentileleague avg 23.6%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 24.3% (59th)thin sample: 26 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sprint speedthin26.5—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Brito: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 28 | 1 | .071 | 11% (1/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 26 | 4 | .269 | 57% (4/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 28 | 2 | .179 | 25% (2/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 26 | 3 | .154 | 38% (3/8) |
| season | 16 | 54 | 5 | .167 | 31% (5/16) |
● tonight's split
The BatJuan Brito: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 38 | 5.3% | 26 | .203 | 19.2% | 23.1% |
| vs LHP | 22 | 13.6% | 11 | .190 | 36.4% | 54.5% |
| at home ● | 31 | 6.5% | 19 | .236 | 26.3% | 42.1% |
| on the road | 29 | 10.3% | 18 | .156 | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| season | 60 | 8.3% | 37 | — | 24.3% | 32.4% |
0.5line
OVER+145BetMGMfair +142 · +1.1% vs fair
30% boost+189+19.2% vs market · -9.8% vs season50% boost+218+31.1% vs market · -0.8% vs season
UNDER-170DraftKingsfair -148 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-131+5.4% vs market · +21.3% vs season50% boost-113+12.4% vs market · +29.4% vs season
Walks
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%68.1%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)254 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.22.1
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason 2.2253 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJuan Brito vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
BB%thinthin6.7%5.3%
29th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 6.7% (29th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase ratethinthin34.3%29.2%
73rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 34.3% (73rd)thin sample: 72 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERneutral
zone swing%thinthin65.3%68.3%
league avg 66.9%-1.6% vs leaguethin sample: 60 PAvs RHPseason 65.3%thin sample: 82 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJuan Brito: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | .156 | 22% (2/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | .321 | 14% (1/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 1 | 3.2% | .226 | 13% (1/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 3 | 10.3% | .241 | 25% (2/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 4 | 6.7% | .233 | 19% (3/16) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+255Caesarsfair +278 · -6.1% vs fair
30% boost+331+14.3% vs market · -19.1% vs season50% boost+382+27.9% vs market · -9.5% vs season
UNDER-370DraftKingsfair -279 · -6.5% vs fair
30% boost-285-0.5% vs market · +9.8% vs season50% boost-247+3.4% vs market · +14.2% vs season
Stolen Bases
16 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Juan Brito Breakdown · batter data
sprint speedthin26.5—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg 27.4thin sample: 60 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthinthin.202.203
10th percentileleague avg .240thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .202 (10th)thin sample: 35 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin6.7%5.3%
29th percentileleague avg 8.8%thin sample: 60 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 6.7% (29th)thin sample: 38 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Brito: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 9 | 32 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/9) |
| vs LHP | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/7) |
| at home ● | 8 | 31 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/8) |
| on the road | 8 | 29 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/8) |
| season | 16 | 60 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/16) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1300Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing