This game has started. These are the prices from before first pitch, pulled at 12:00 PM EDT on Wed, Sep 2. Not a live market.
Elly De La Cruz
CINbats L2nd in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingCasey Mize3.64 ERA · 7.92 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 113.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 8.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Cruz at the plateHR/PA 3.9%barrel rate 13.9%hard-hit% 52.0%
Home Runs
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.5%1.2%
39th percentileleague avg 2.9%449 batters facedvs LHB · 7th pctseason 2.5% (39th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed31.8%33.1%
84th percentileleague avg 26.6%449 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 31.8% (84th)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 3 | 1.2% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 8 | 4.1% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 6 | 2.6% |
| at home | 212 | 5 | 2.4% |
| season | 446 | 11 | 2.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.9%3.3%
75th percentileleague avg 3.0%538 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 3.9% (75th)389 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.9%12.3%
93rd percentileleague avg 7.8%538 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 13.9% (93rd)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.0%51.9%
96th percentileleague avg 38.9%538 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 52.0% (96th)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%26.7%28.1%
49th percentileleague avg 26.8%538 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 26.7% (49th)235 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.471.472
89th percentileleague avg .386537 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .471 (89th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.198.199
83rd percentileleague avg .146537 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason .198 (83rd)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo93.9 mph93.5 mph
98th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph538 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 93.9 mph (98th)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 15 | 3.7% | .458 | 17% (15/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 6 | 4.5% | .524 | 17% (5/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 11 | 4.2% | .500 | 18% (11/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 10 | 3.7% | .453 | 15% (9/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 21 | 3.9% | .476 | 17% (20/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 3.4% | 235 | 12.3% | .472 | .199 | 93.5 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 5.4% | 88 | 18.2% | .456 | .192 | 95.1 |
| at home ● | 264 | 4.2% | 145 | 15.9% | .497 | .223 | 95.5 |
| on the road | 273 | 3.7% | 178 | 12.4% | .442 | .173 | 92.6 |
| season | 537 | 3.9% | 323 | 13.9% | .468 | .197 | 93.9 |
0.5line
OVER+456Polymarketpooled fair +391
30% boost+593pooled fair50% boost+684pooled fair
UNDER-413NoVigfair -389 · -1.2% vs fair
30% boost-318+4.7% vs market · +9.6% vs season50% boost-275+8.5% vs market · +13.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500Fanaticspooled fair +3103
30% boost+5850pooled fair50% boost+6750pooled fair
Total Bases
120 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 72 | 0.28 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 84 | 0.44 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 87 | 0.37 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 69 | 0.33 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 156 | 0.35 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.471.472
89th percentileleague avg .386537 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .471 (89th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.476.420
86th percentileleague avg .400537 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .476 (86th)388 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.271.248
78th percentileleague avg .244537 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .271 (78th)388 PAsupports OVERneutral
xISO.198.199
83rd percentileleague avg .146537 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason .198 (83rd)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.0%51.9%
96th percentileleague avg 38.9%538 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 52.0% (96th)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.9%12.3%
93rd percentileleague avg 7.8%538 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 13.9% (93rd)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.6%23.4%
50th percentileleague avg 23.6%538 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 23.6% (50th)235 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 160 | 1.78 | .458 | 43% (39/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 65 | 2.17 | .524 | 50% (15/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 114 | 1.90 | .500 | 45% (27/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 111 | 1.85 | .453 | 45% (27/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 225 | 1.88 | .476 | 45% (54/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 37.1% | 235 | .472 | .199 | 12.3% | 93.5 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 54.4% | 88 | .456 | .192 | 18.2% | 95.1 |
| at home ● | 264 | 43.2% | 145 | .497 | .223 | 15.9% | 95.5 |
| on the road | 273 | 40.7% | 178 | .442 | .173 | 12.4% | 92.6 |
| season | 537 | 41.9% | 323 | .468 | .197 | 13.9% | 93.9 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 90%L20 65%SZN 69%over rate
OVER-205Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-158no market fair50% boost-137no market fair
UNDER+180theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+234no market fair50% boost+270no market fair
1.5line
OVER+128BetRiverspooled fair +122
30% boost+166pooled fair50% boost+192pooled fair
UNDER-129ProphetXfair -119 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+101+9.2% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost+116+17.7% vs market · +19% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 32%over rate
OVER+240BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+312no market fair50% boost+360no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+276DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+359no market fair50% boost+414no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1140DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1482no market fair50% boost+1710no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.232.209
league avg .244-0.012 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason .232253 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 19.4% | .209 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 23.3% | .259 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 22.2% | .245 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 19.8% | .213 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 21.1% | .230 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.271.248
78th percentileleague avg .244537 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .271 (78th)388 PAsupports OVERneutral
zone contact%79.9%79.4%
21st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%537 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.9% (21st)436 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%27.9%28.4%
67th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%537 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 27.9% (67th)663 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%27.2%27.2%
78th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%537 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 27.2% (78th)389 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.6%23.4%
50th percentileleague avg 23.6%538 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 23.6% (50th)235 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 349 | 92 | .264 | 66% (59/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 124 | 36 | .290 | 80% (24/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 228 | 65 | .285 | 70% (42/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 245 | 63 | .257 | 68% (41/60) |
| season | 120 | 473 | 128 | .271 | 69% (83/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 21.9% | 235 | .274 | 23.4% | 38.7% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 28.9% | 88 | .264 | 26.1% | 35.2% |
| at home ● | 264 | 24.6% | 145 | .273 | 24.1% | 38.6% |
| on the road | 273 | 23.1% | 178 | .269 | 24.2% | 37.1% |
| season | 537 | 23.8% | 323 | — | 24.2% | 37.8% |
0.5line
OVER-212NoVigfair -192 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-163+6% vs market · +11.6% vs season50% boost-141+12.2% vs market · +18.1% vs season
UNDER+198ProphetXfair +191 · +2.6% vs fair
30% boost+257+22.9% vs market · +10.2% vs season50% boost+297+36.6% vs market · +22.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 28%over rate
OVER+277NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+360no market fair50% boost+416no market fair
UNDER-350theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-269no market fair50% boost-233no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1300FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+7500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9750no market fair50% boost+11250no market fair
H+R+RBI
120 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 72 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 84 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 87 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 69 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 156 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.252.18
93rd percentileleague avg 1.74120 gamesvs RHP · 89th pctseason 2.25 (93rd)90 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.361—
no split for this stat94th percentileleague avg .310537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.476.420
86th percentileleague avg .400537 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .476 (86th)388 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 92 | 62 | 42 | 2.18 | 59% (53/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 36 | 20 | 18 | 2.47 | 57% (17/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 65 | 41 | 28 | 2.23 | 57% (34/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 63 | 41 | 32 | 2.27 | 60% (36/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 128 | 82 | 60 | 2.25 | 58% (70/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 21.9% | 235 | .274 | .472 | 12.3% | 93.5 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 28.9% | 88 | .264 | .456 | 18.2% | 95.1 |
| at home ● | 264 | 24.6% | 145 | .273 | .497 | 15.9% | 95.5 |
| on the road | 273 | 23.1% | 178 | .269 | .442 | 12.4% | 92.6 |
| season | 537 | 23.8% | 323 | — | .468 | 13.9% | 93.9 |
1.5line
OVER-117ProphetXfair -111 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+111+11.3% vs market · +23.1% vs season50% boost+128+20.3% vs market · +33.1% vs season
UNDER+111NoVigfair +109 · +1.1% vs fair
30% boost+144+17% vs market · +1.8% vs season50% boost+167+27.7% vs market · +11% vs season
RBIs
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 3 | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 8 | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 6 | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 5 | .350 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 11 | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.500.47
68th percentileleague avg 0.44120 gamesvs RHP · 61st pctseason 0.50 (68th)90 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.471.472
89th percentileleague avg .386537 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .471 (89th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.0%51.9%
96th percentileleague avg 38.9%538 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 52.0% (96th)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.9%12.3%
93rd percentileleague avg 7.8%538 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 13.9% (93rd)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 42 | 0.47 | .458 | 34% (31/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 18 | 0.60 | .524 | 27% (8/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 28 | 0.47 | .500 | 28% (17/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 32 | 0.53 | .453 | 37% (22/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 60 | 0.50 | .476 | 33% (39/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 8.8% | 235 | .472 | 12.3% | 51.9% | 93.5 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 17.4% | 88 | .456 | 18.2% | 52.3% | 95.1 |
| at home ● | 264 | 10.6% | 145 | .497 | 15.9% | 54.5% | 95.5 |
| on the road | 273 | 11.7% | 178 | .442 | 12.4% | 50.0% | 92.6 |
| season | 537 | — | 323 | .468 | 13.9% | 52.0% | 93.9 |
0.5line
OVER+194ProphetXfair +191 · +0.9% vs fair
30% boost+252+20.8% vs market · +14.5% vs season50% boost+291+34.1% vs market · +27.1% vs season
UNDER-220theScore Betfair -200 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-169+6.1% vs market · +7.4% vs season50% boost-147+12.2% vs market · +13.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+600FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1800FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.50—
no split for this stat26th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17446 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmCasey Mize: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 49 | 15 | .254 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 45 | 12 | .307 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 52 | 16 | .300 |
| at home | 212 | 42 | 11 | .251 |
| season | 446 | 94 | 27 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.680.69
96th percentileleague avg 0.46120 gamesvs RHP · 97th pctseason 0.68 (96th)90 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.361—
no split for this stat94th percentileleague avg .310537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%11.0%11.1%
78th percentileleague avg 8.8%537 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 11.0% (78th)389 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 62 | 0.69 | .356 | 50% (45/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 20 | 0.67 | .338 | 50% (15/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 41 | 0.68 | .383 | 48% (29/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 41 | 0.68 | .322 | 52% (31/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 82 | 0.68 | .352 | 50% (60/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | — | 235 | .274 | 23.4% | 38.7% | 93.5 |
| vs LHP | 149 | — | 88 | .264 | 26.1% | 35.2% | 95.1 |
| at home ● | 264 | 15.5% | 145 | .273 | 24.1% | 38.6% | 95.5 |
| on the road | 273 | 15.0% | 178 | .269 | 24.2% | 37.1% | 92.6 |
| season | 537 | — | 323 | — | 24.2% | 37.8% | 93.9 |
0.5line
OVER-104NoVigpooled fair +106
30% boost+125pooled fair50% boost+144pooled fair
UNDER-120BetMGMfair -107 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost+108+7.7% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+125+16.3% vs market · +12.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Doubles
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.377.302
44th percentileleague avg .386446 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason .377 (44th)238 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.4%33.7%
44th percentileleague avg 38.2%449 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 37.4% (44th)184 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed8.1%4.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 7.4%449 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 8.1% (62nd)184 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed24.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat446 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmCasey Mize: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 12 | 4.7% | .306 |
| vs RHB | 193 | 15 | 7.8% | .483 |
| on the road ● | 234 | 15 | 6.4% | .410 |
| at home | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .350 |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% | .381 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.5%3.6%
63rd percentileleague avg 4.1%538 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 4.5% (63rd)389 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG.471.472
89th percentileleague avg .386537 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .471 (89th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.198.199
83rd percentileleague avg .146537 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason .198 (83rd)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.6%23.4%
50th percentileleague avg 23.6%538 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 23.6% (50th)235 batted ballsneutralneutral
sweet-spot%37.8%38.7%
74th percentileleague avg 35.3%538 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason 37.8% (74th)235 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 19 | 4.7% | .458 | 18% (16/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 5 | 3.8% | .524 | 17% (5/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 10 | 3.8% | .500 | 12% (7/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 14 | 5.1% | .453 | 23% (14/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 24 | 4.5% | .476 | 18% (21/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 3.6% | 235 | .472 | 23.4% | 38.7% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 6.7% | 88 | .456 | 26.1% | 35.2% |
| at home ● | 264 | 3.8% | 145 | .497 | 24.1% | 38.6% |
| on the road | 273 | 5.1% | 178 | .442 | 24.2% | 37.1% |
| season | 537 | 4.5% | 323 | .468 | 24.2% | 37.8% |
0.5line
OVER+405Bovadapooled fair +379
30% boost+526pooled fair50% boost+607pooled fair
UNDER-450BetMGMfair -402 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-346+3.2% vs market · +6.3% vs season50% boost-300+6.8% vs market · +10% vs season
Singles
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.230.207
37th percentileleague avg .239446 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason .230 (37th)238 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%21.3%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%446 batters facedvs LHB · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)254 batters facedneutralneutral
whiff%24.0%21.4%
44th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%446 batters facedvs LHB · 19th pctseason 24.0% (44th)457 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmCasey Mize: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 33 | 13.0% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 22 | 11.4% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 30 | 12.8% |
| at home | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| season | 446 | 55 | 12.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%79.9%79.4%
21st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%537 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.9% (21st)436 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%27.9%28.4%
67th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%537 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 27.9% (67th)663 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.6%23.4%
50th percentileleague avg 23.6%538 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason 23.6% (50th)235 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 349 | 56 | .264 | 46% (41/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 124 | 22 | .290 | 57% (17/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 228 | 41 | .285 | 52% (31/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 245 | 37 | .257 | 45% (27/60) |
| season | 120 | 473 | 78 | .271 | 48% (58/120) |
● tonight's split
The BatElly De La Cruz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 388 | 14.2% | 235 | .274 | 23.4% | 38.7% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 15.4% | 88 | .264 | 26.1% | 35.2% |
| at home ● | 264 | 15.5% | 145 | .273 | 24.1% | 38.6% |
| on the road | 273 | 13.6% | 178 | .269 | 24.2% | 37.1% |
| season | 537 | 15.5% | 323 | — | 24.2% | 37.8% |
0.5line
OVER+120DraftKingsfair +125 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+156+13.7% vs market · +23.7% vs season50% boost+180+24.3% vs market · +35.3% vs season
UNDER-140BetMGMfair -129 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-108+8.8% vs market · -0.4% vs season50% boost+107+16.8% vs market · +7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%5.9%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%446 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 6.1% (14th)254 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%65.5%68.1%
82nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%446 batters facedvs LHB · 95th pctseason 65.5% (82nd)254 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.22.1
league avg 3.4-1.2 vs league22 startsvs LHBseason 2.2253 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmCasey Mize: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 253 | 15 | 5.9% |
| vs RHB | 193 | 12 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 234 | 16 | 6.8% |
| at home | 212 | 11 | 5.2% |
| season | 446 | 27 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadElly De La Cruz vs Casey Mizefirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
BB%11.0%11.1%
78th percentileleague avg 8.8%537 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 11.0% (78th)389 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate26.1%26.8%
24th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%537 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason 26.1% (24th)847 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%58.3%58.1%
league avg 66.9%-8.6% vs league537 PAvs RHPseason 58.3%751 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 50 | 12.4% | .356 | 46% (41/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 9 | 6.8% | .338 | 23% (7/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 36 | 13.6% | .383 | 47% (28/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 23 | 8.4% | .322 | 33% (20/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 59 | 11.0% | .352 | 40% (48/120) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+149DraftKingsfair +157 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+194+14.2% vs market · +17.5% vs season50% boost+224+25.8% vs market · +29.4% vs season
UNDER-185Fanaticsfair -162 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-142+5.2% vs market · +2.2% vs season50% boost-123+11.9% vs market · +8.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
120 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Casey Mize Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.6%—
no split for this stat96th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%13 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.8%—
no split for this stat99th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%19 of 494 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed13—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Elly De La Cruz Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.5—
no split for this stat80th percentileleague avg 27.4537 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.200.20
94th percentileleague avg 0.07120 gamesvs RHP · 94th pctseason 0.20 (94th)90 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.273.274
88th percentileleague avg .240537 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason .273 (88th)341 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%11.0%11.1%
78th percentileleague avg 8.8%537 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 11.0% (78th)389 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupElly De La Cruz: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 90 | 404 | 18 | 0.20 | 17% (15/90) |
| vs LHP | 30 | 133 | 6 | 0.20 | 13% (4/30) |
| at home ● | 60 | 264 | 14 | 0.23 | 17% (10/60) |
| on the road | 60 | 273 | 10 | 0.17 | 15% (9/60) |
| season | 120 | 537 | 24 | 0.20 | 16% (19/120) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+340betPARXfair +326 · +3.2% vs fair
30% boost+442+27.4% vs market · -14.2% vs season50% boost+510+43.4% vs market · -3.4% vs season
UNDER-400BetMGMfair -341 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-308+2.4% vs market · +11.5% vs season50% boost-267+6.3% vs market · +15.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing