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Jackson Merrill
SDbats L3rd in the orderSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingBrandon Williamson5.94 ERA · 6.48 K/9 · 1.65 WHIP · 33.1 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 3.1% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 10.5% (league avg 7.4%)
Merrill at the plateHR/PA 3.8%barrel rate 11.3%hard-hit% 46.9%
Home Runs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin3.1%8.3%
60th percentileleague avg 2.9%128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason 3.1% (60th)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthin10.5%13.3%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 10.5% (89th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowedthin41.9%40.0%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs LHB · 64th pctseason 41.9% (75th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowedthin32.6%26.7%
88th percentileleague avg 26.6%128 batters facedvs LHB · 51st pctseason 32.6% (88th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
xSLG againstthin.486.610
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .486 (96th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 2 | 8.3% |
| vs RHB | 104 | 2 | 1.9% |
| at home ● | 59 | 3 | 5.1% |
| on the road | 69 | 1 | 1.4% |
| season | 128 | 4 | 3.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.8%2.5%
72nd percentileleague avg 3.0%574 PAvs LHP · 40th pctseason 3.8% (72nd)159 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel rate11.3%7.4%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%574 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.3% (79th)108 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%46.9%48.1%
85th percentileleague avg 38.9%574 PAvs LHP · 89th pctseason 46.9% (85th)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%29.9%25.9%
71st percentileleague avg 26.8%574 PAvs LHP · 44th pctseason 29.9% (71st)108 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
xSLG.468.406
89th percentileleague avg .386572 PAvs LHP · 66th pctseason .468 (89th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.209.144
87th percentileleague avg .146572 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .209 (87th)152 at-batssupports OVERneutral
avg exit velo90.0 mph90.8 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph574 PAvs LHP · 86th pctseason 90.0 mph (76th)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 6 | 4.5% | .461 | 16% (5/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 16 | 3.7% | .409 | 16% (16/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 14 | 4.8% | .428 | 19% (13/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 8 | 2.9% | .414 | 12% (8/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 22 | 3.8% | .421 | 16% (21/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 2.5% | 108 | 7.4% | .406 | .144 | 90.8 |
| vs RHP | 413 | 4.4% | 282 | 12.8% | .486 | .232 | 89.7 |
| on the road ● | 292 | 4.8% | 195 | 12.8% | .467 | .217 | 90.6 |
| at home | 280 | 2.9% | 195 | 9.7% | .459 | .196 | 89.3 |
| season | 572 | 3.8% | 390 | 11.3% | .463 | .207 | 90.0 |
0.5line
OVER+456Polymarketpooled fair +417
30% boost+593pooled fair50% boost+684pooled fair
UNDER-441NoVigfair -421 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost-339+4.6% vs market · +9.3% vs season50% boost-294+8.3% vs market · +13.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+6000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Total Bases
135 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthin.486.610
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .486 (96th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA againstthin.276.304
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .276 (90th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.266.300
league avg .244+.022 vs league7 startsvs LHBseason .266thin sample: 24 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthin41.9%40.0%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs LHB · 64th pctseason 41.9% (75th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthin10.5%13.3%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 10.5% (89th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 13 | 0.54 | .650 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 31 | 0.30 | .378 |
| at home ● | 59 | 26 | 0.44 | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 18 | 0.26 | .316 |
| season | 128 | 44 | 0.34 | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.468.406
89th percentileleague avg .386572 PAvs LHP · 66th pctseason .468 (89th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.421.421
61st percentileleague avg .400572 PAvs LHP · 61st pctseason .421 (61st)159 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.243.289
44th percentileleague avg .244572 PAvs LHP · 94th pctseason .243 (44th)159 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISO.209.144
87th percentileleague avg .146572 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .209 (87th)152 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%46.9%48.1%
85th percentileleague avg 38.9%574 PAvs LHP · 89th pctseason 46.9% (85th)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.3%7.4%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%574 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.3% (79th)108 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%27.1%29.6%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%574 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 59 | 1.84 | .461 | 41% (13/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 163 | 1.58 | .409 | 43% (44/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 116 | 1.71 | .428 | 41% (28/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 106 | 1.58 | .414 | 43% (29/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 222 | 1.64 | .421 | 42% (57/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 40.3% | 108 | .406 | .144 | 7.4% | 90.8 |
| vs RHP | 413 | 38.3% | 282 | .486 | .232 | 12.8% | 89.7 |
| on the road ● | 292 | 39.7% | 195 | .467 | .217 | 12.8% | 90.6 |
| at home | 280 | 37.9% | 195 | .459 | .196 | 9.7% | 89.3 |
| season | 572 | 38.8% | 390 | .463 | .207 | 11.3% | 90.0 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 70%L20 60%SZN 59%over rate
OVER-275Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-212no market fair50% boost-183no market fair
1.5line
OVER+108betPARXfair +111 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+140+14.2% vs market · +1.5% vs season50% boost+162+24.4% vs market · +10.6% vs season
UNDER-120DraftKingsfair -110 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost+108+9.4% vs market · +20.4% vs season50% boost+125+18.1% vs market · +30% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 50%L20 35%SZN 27%over rate
OVER+225Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+292no market fair50% boost+338no market fair
UNDER-260theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-200no market fair50% boost-173no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+340Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+442no market fair50% boost+510no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+525Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+682no market fair50% boost+788no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+950Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1235no market fair50% boost+1425no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hits
135 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.276.304
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .276 (90th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.266.300
league avg .244+.022 vs league7 startsvs LHBseason .266thin sample: 24 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thin14.8%25.0%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs LHB · 68th pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin24.1%27.9%
45th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%128 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 24.1% (45th)thin sample: 43 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | .300 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | .244 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 22.0% | .289 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 18.8% | .228 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 20.3% | .255 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.243.289
44th percentileleague avg .244572 PAvs LHP · 94th pctseason .243 (44th)159 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%81.9%84.5%
31st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%572 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 81.9% (31st)226 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.2%26.6%
62nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%572 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 27.2% (62nd)338 swingssupports UNDERneutral
K%24.7%27.7%
67th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%572 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason 24.7% (67th)159 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%27.1%29.6%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%574 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 128 | 37 | .289 | 41% (13/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 399 | 91 | .228 | 23% (24/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 271 | 65 | .240 | 28% (19/68) |
| at home | 67 | 256 | 63 | .246 | 27% (18/67) |
| season | 135 | 527 | 128 | .243 | 27% (37/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 27.7% | 108 | .263 | 29.6% | 40.7% |
| vs RHP | 413 | 20.3% | 282 | .254 | 26.2% | 38.6% |
| on the road ● | 292 | 22.3% | 195 | .250 | 26.7% | 41.0% |
| at home | 280 | 22.5% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 572 | 22.4% | 390 | — | 27.2% | 39.2% |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 70%L20 60%SZN 59%over rate
OVER-265ProphetXfair -231 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-204+3.9% vs market · -11.7% vs season50% boost-177+9.2% vs market · -7.2% vs season
UNDER+220theScore Betfair +230 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+286+17% vs market · +57.3% vs season50% boost+330+30.3% vs market · +75.2% vs season
1.5line
OVER+199NoVigfair +198 · +0.4% vs fair
30% boost+259+20.5% vs market · -1.7% vs season50% boost+299+33.9% vs market · +9.2% vs season
UNDER-226DraftKingsfair -205 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-174+5.9% vs market · +14.3% vs season50% boost-151+11.8% vs market · +20.8% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+800FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
135 games loggedline2.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.276.304
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .276 (90th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG againstthin.486.610
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .486 (96th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%8.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
K%thin14.8%25.0%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs LHB · 68th pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 6 | 13 | .375 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 20 | 31 | .385 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 26 | .441 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 18 | .333 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 44 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.002.25
76th percentileleague avg 1.74135 gamesvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 2.00 (76th)32 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.421.421
61st percentileleague avg .400572 PAvs LHP · 61st pctseason .421 (61st)159 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 37 | 18 | 17 | 2.25 | 34% (11/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 91 | 54 | 53 | 1.92 | 35% (36/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 65 | 37 | 36 | 2.03 | 32% (22/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 63 | 35 | 34 | 1.97 | 37% (25/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 128 | 72 | 70 | 2.00 | 35% (47/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 27.7% | 108 | .263 | .406 | 7.4% | 90.8 |
| vs RHP | 413 | 20.3% | 282 | .254 | .486 | 12.8% | 89.7 |
| on the road ● | 292 | 22.3% | 195 | .250 | .467 | 12.8% | 90.6 |
| at home | 280 | 22.5% | 195 | .263 | .459 | 9.7% | 89.3 |
| season | 572 | 22.4% | 390 | — | .463 | 11.3% | 90.0 |
1.5lineL5 80%L10 70%L20 60%SZN 51%over rate
OVER-154ProphetXfair -133 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-118+5.1% vs market · -5.7% vs season50% boost-103+12.5% vs market · +0.9% vs season
UNDER+127ProphetXfair +133 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost+165+14% vs market · +29.6% vs season50% boost+191+24.9% vs market · +42% vs season
2.5line
OVER+125NoVigfair +133 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+162+12.9% vs market · -8.6% vs season50% boost+188+23.6% vs market · +0.1% vs season
UNDER-145BetMGMfair -135 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-112+8.9% vs market · +23.6% vs season50% boost+103+16.8% vs market · +32.6% vs season
RBIs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG againstthin.486.610
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .486 (96th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthin10.5%13.3%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 10.5% (89th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%8.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
The ArmBrandon Williamson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 6 | 2 | .650 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 20 | 2 | .378 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 3 | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 1 | .316 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 4 | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.520.53
73rd percentileleague avg 0.44135 gamesvs LHP · 76th pctseason 0.52 (73rd)32 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.468.406
89th percentileleague avg .386572 PAvs LHP · 66th pctseason .468 (89th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%46.9%48.1%
85th percentileleague avg 38.9%574 PAvs LHP · 89th pctseason 46.9% (85th)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.3%7.4%
79th percentileleague avg 7.8%574 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 11.3% (79th)108 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupJackson Merrill: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 17 | 0.53 | .461 | 34% (11/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 53 | 0.51 | .409 | 37% (38/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 36 | 0.53 | .428 | 37% (25/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 34 | 0.51 | .414 | 36% (24/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 70 | 0.52 | .421 | 36% (49/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 14.5% | 108 | .406 | 7.4% | 48.1% | 90.8 |
| vs RHP | 413 | 11.4% | 282 | .486 | 12.8% | 46.5% | 89.7 |
| on the road ● | 292 | 12.3% | 195 | .467 | 12.8% | 48.2% | 90.6 |
| at home | 280 | 12.1% | 195 | .459 | 9.7% | 45.6% | 89.3 |
| season | 572 | — | 390 | .463 | 11.3% | 46.9% | 90.0 |
0.5line
OVER+130Bovadapooled fair +138
30% boost+169pooled fair50% boost+195pooled fair
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -139 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-115+8.6% vs market · +18.9% vs season50% boost-100+16.4% vs market · +27.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+390Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+507no market fair50% boost+585no market fair
UNDER-550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-423no market fair50% boost-367no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3300BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4290no market fair50% boost+4950no market fair
Runs
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA againstthin.276.304
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .276 (90th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%8.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
The ArmBrandon Williamson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 6 | 2 | .375 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 20 | 18 | .385 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 12 | .441 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 8 | .333 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 20 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.530.56
72nd percentileleague avg 0.46135 gamesvs LHP · 79th pctseason 0.53 (72nd)32 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.334—
no split for this stat77th percentileleague avg .310572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.5%3.8%
26th percentileleague avg 8.8%572 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 6.5% (26th)159 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 18 | 0.56 | .316 | 38% (12/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 54 | 0.52 | .289 | 46% (47/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 37 | 0.54 | .289 | 41% (28/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 35 | 0.52 | .302 | 46% (31/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 72 | 0.53 | .295 | 44% (59/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | — | 108 | .263 | 29.6% | 40.7% | 90.8 |
| vs RHP | 413 | — | 282 | .254 | 26.2% | 38.6% | 89.7 |
| on the road ● | 292 | 12.7% | 195 | .250 | 26.7% | 41.0% | 90.6 |
| at home | 280 | 12.5% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% | 89.3 |
| season | 572 | — | 390 | — | 27.2% | 39.2% | 90.0 |
0.5line
OVER-108NoVigpooled fair +105
30% boost+120pooled fair50% boost+139pooled fair
UNDER-115BetMGMfair -106 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+113+9.7% vs market · +19.9% vs season50% boost+130+18.7% vs market · +29.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
Doubles
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthin.486.610
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .486 (96th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowedthin41.9%40.0%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs LHB · 64th pctseason 41.9% (75th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthin10.5%13.3%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 10.5% (89th)thin sample: 15 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed23.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat128 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBrandon Williamson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | .650 |
| vs RHB | 104 | 3 | 2.9% | .378 |
| at home ● | 59 | 4 | 6.8% | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 0 | 0.0% | .316 |
| season | 128 | 4 | 3.1% | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.8%5.0%
40th percentileleague avg 4.1%574 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason 3.8% (40th)159 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG.468.406
89th percentileleague avg .386572 PAvs LHP · 66th pctseason .468 (89th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.209.144
87th percentileleague avg .146572 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .209 (87th)152 at-batssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%27.1%29.6%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%574 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%39.2%40.7%
84th percentileleague avg 35.3%574 PAvs LHP · 90th pctseason 39.2% (84th)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 4 | 3.0% | .461 | 13% (4/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 18 | 4.1% | .409 | 17% (17/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 9 | 3.1% | .428 | 12% (8/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 13 | 4.6% | .414 | 19% (13/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 22 | 3.8% | .421 | 16% (21/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 5.0% | 108 | .406 | 29.6% | 40.7% |
| vs RHP | 413 | 3.4% | 282 | .486 | 26.2% | 38.6% |
| on the road ● | 292 | 3.1% | 195 | .467 | 26.7% | 41.0% |
| at home | 280 | 4.6% | 195 | .459 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 572 | 3.8% | 390 | .463 | 27.2% | 39.2% |
0.5line
OVER+390BetMGMfair +356 · +7.5% vs fair
30% boost+507+32.9% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost+585+50% vs market · +6.6% vs season
UNDER-463DraftKingsfair -392 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-356+2.1% vs market · +8.2% vs season50% boost-309+5.5% vs market · +11.8% vs season
Singles
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthin.276.304
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason .276 (90th)thin sample: 21 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin14.8%25.0%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs LHB · 68th pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin24.1%27.9%
45th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%128 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 24.1% (45th)thin sample: 43 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 3 | 12.5% |
| vs RHB | 104 | 14 | 13.5% |
| at home ● | 59 | 6 | 10.2% |
| on the road | 69 | 11 | 15.9% |
| season | 128 | 17 | 13.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%81.9%84.5%
31st percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%572 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 81.9% (31st)226 in-zone swingssupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.2%26.6%
62nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%572 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 27.2% (62nd)338 swingssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%27.1%29.6%
83rd percentileleague avg 23.6%574 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 27.1% (83rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 128 | 27 | .289 | 59% (19/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 399 | 54 | .228 | 39% (40/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 271 | 42 | .240 | 41% (28/68) |
| at home | 67 | 256 | 39 | .246 | 46% (31/67) |
| season | 135 | 527 | 81 | .243 | 44% (59/135) |
● tonight's split
The BatJackson Merrill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 159 | 20.1% | 108 | .263 | 29.6% | 40.7% |
| vs RHP | 413 | 11.9% | 282 | .254 | 26.2% | 38.6% |
| on the road ● | 292 | 14.4% | 195 | .250 | 26.7% | 41.0% |
| at home | 280 | 13.9% | 195 | .263 | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| season | 572 | 14.7% | 390 | — | 27.2% | 39.2% |
0.5line
OVER-115BetMGMfair -113 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost+113+12.9% vs market · -6.9% vs season50% boost+130+22.1% vs market · +0.7% vs season
UNDER+102DraftKingsfair +108 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+133+11.6% vs market · +30.9% vs season50% boost+153+21.4% vs market · +42.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+450theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
Walks
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thin15.6%8.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 24 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
first-pitch strike%thin52.4%58.3%
0th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%128 batters facedvs LHB · 18th pctseason 52.4% (0th)thin sample: 24 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/9thin5.93.6
league avg 3.4+2.5 vs league7 startsvs LHBseason 5.9thin sample: 24 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBrandon Williamson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 24 | 2 | 8.3% |
| vs RHB | 104 | 18 | 17.3% |
| at home ● | 59 | 12 | 20.3% |
| on the road | 69 | 8 | 11.6% |
| season | 128 | 20 | 15.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadJackson Merrill vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
BB%6.5%3.8%
26th percentileleague avg 8.8%572 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 6.5% (26th)159 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate37.5%35.4%
86th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%572 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 37.5% (86th)316 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%77.7%73.1%
league avg 66.9%+10.8% vs league572 PAvs LHPseason 77.7%309 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 5 | 3.7% | .316 | 16% (5/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 32 | 7.3% | .289 | 27% (28/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 16 | 5.5% | .289 | 24% (16/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 21 | 7.5% | .302 | 25% (17/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 37 | 6.5% | .295 | 24% (33/135) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+275Fanaticsfair +273 · +0.6% vs fair
30% boost+358+22.6% vs market · +11.8% vs season50% boost+412+37.4% vs market · +25.3% vs season
UNDER-353DraftKingsfair -281 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost-272+1% vs market · +3.4% vs season50% boost-235+5.2% vs market · +7.7% vs season
Stolen Bases
135 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.0%—
no split for this stat5th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%0 of 190 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.0%—
no split for this stat3rd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%0 of 190 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Jackson Merrill Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4572 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.180.22
93rd percentileleague avg 0.07135 gamesvs LHP · 95th pctseason 0.18 (93rd)32 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.259.263
76th percentileleague avg .240572 PAvs LHP · 82nd pctseason .259 (76th)152 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.5%3.8%
26th percentileleague avg 8.8%572 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 6.5% (26th)159 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJackson Merrill: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 32 | 134 | 7 | 0.22 | 19% (6/32) |
| vs RHP | 103 | 438 | 17 | 0.17 | 17% (17/103) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 292 | 12 | 0.18 | 16% (11/68) |
| at home | 67 | 280 | 12 | 0.18 | 18% (12/67) |
| season | 135 | 572 | 24 | 0.18 | 17% (23/135) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+700NoVigpooled fair +632
30% boost+910pooled fair50% boost+1050pooled fair
UNDER-810DraftKingsfair -679 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-623+1.2% vs market · -3.7% vs season50% boost-540+3.3% vs market · -1.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 12:00 PM ET · not live pricing