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Freddy Fermin
SDbats R8th in the order · projectedSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds12:41 PMGreat American Ball Park
facingBrandon Williamson5.94 ERA · 6.48 K/9 · 1.65 WHIP · 33.1 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 3.1% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 10.5% (league avg 7.4%)
Fermin at the plateHR/PA 1.7%barrel rate 4.1%hard-hit% 29.6%
Home Runs
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin3.1%1.9%
60th percentileleague avg 2.9%128 batters facedvs RHB · 24th pctseason 3.1% (60th)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed10.5%9.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs RHB · 85th pctseason 10.5% (89th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed41.9%42.3%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 41.9% (75th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed32.6%33.8%
88th percentileleague avg 26.6%128 batters facedvs RHB · 91st pctseason 32.6% (88th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.486.438
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason .486 (96th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 2 | 1.9% |
| vs LHB | 24 | 2 | 8.3% |
| at home ● | 59 | 3 | 5.1% |
| on the road | 69 | 1 | 1.4% |
| season | 128 | 4 | 3.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin1.7%2.9%
19th percentileleague avg 3.0%240 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason 1.7% (19th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERneutral
barrel ratethin4.1%7.5%
19th percentileleague avg 7.8%240 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason 4.1% (19th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%thin29.6%39.6%
12th percentileleague avg 38.9%240 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason 29.6% (12th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
fly-ball%thin29.0%34.0%
65th percentileleague avg 26.8%240 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 29.0% (65th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.324.352
17th percentileleague avg .386240 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason .324 (17th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.107.143
25th percentileleague avg .146240 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .107 (25th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
avg exit velothin85.5 mph88.5 mph
17th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph240 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason 85.5 mph (17th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 1 | 1.2% | .288 | 4% (1/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 3 | 1.9% | .312 | 6% (3/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 0 | 0.0% | .239 | 0% (0/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 4 | 3.4% | .378 | 11% (4/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 4 | 1.7% | .303 | 6% (4/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 2.9% | 53 | 7.5% | .352 | .143 | 88.5 |
| vs RHP | 170 | 1.2% | 116 | 2.6% | .297 | .086 | 84.1 |
| on the road ● | 124 | 0.0% | 87 | 3.5% | .278 | .094 | 86.2 |
| at home | 116 | 3.4% | 82 | 4.9% | .354 | .114 | 84.7 |
| season | 240 | 1.7% | 169 | 4.1% | .314 | .103 | 85.5 |
0.5line
OVER+700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1870Fliffmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1438no market fair50% boost-1247no market fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.486.438
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason .486 (96th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.276.259
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason .276 (90th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.266.244
league avg .244+.022 vs league7 startsvs RHBseason .266thin sample: 104 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.9%42.3%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 41.9% (75th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.5%9.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs RHB · 85th pctseason 10.5% (89th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 31 | 0.30 | .378 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 13 | 0.54 | .650 |
| at home ● | 59 | 26 | 0.44 | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 18 | 0.26 | .316 |
| season | 128 | 44 | 0.34 | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.324.352
17th percentileleague avg .386240 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason .324 (17th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.303.308
4th percentileleague avg .400240 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason .303 (4th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.217.209
20th percentileleague avg .240240 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason .217 (20th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.194.169
3rd percentileleague avg .244240 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .194 (3rd)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.107.143
25th percentileleague avg .146240 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .107 (25th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%thin29.6%39.6%
12th percentileleague avg 38.9%240 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason 29.6% (12th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel ratethin4.1%7.5%
19th percentileleague avg 7.8%240 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason 4.1% (19th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%thin24.9%26.4%
65th percentileleague avg 23.6%240 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 24.9% (65th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 21 | 0.91 | .288 | 52% (12/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 43 | 0.90 | .312 | 44% (21/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 27 | 0.75 | .239 | 50% (18/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 37 | 1.06 | .378 | 43% (15/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 64 | 0.90 | .303 | 46% (33/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 28.6% | 53 | .352 | .143 | 7.5% | 88.5 |
| vs RHP | 170 | 25.9% | 116 | .297 | .086 | 2.6% | 84.1 |
| on the road ● | 124 | 21.8% | 87 | .278 | .094 | 3.5% | 86.2 |
| at home | 116 | 31.9% | 82 | .354 | .114 | 4.9% | 84.7 |
| season | 240 | 26.7% | 169 | .314 | .103 | 4.1% | 85.5 |
0.5line
OVER-170Fanaticspooled fair -145
30% boost-131pooled fair50% boost-113pooled fair
UNDER+127ProphetXpooled fair +145
30% boost+165pooled fair50% boost+191pooled fair
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 25%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+160Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+208no market fair50% boost+240no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+340Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+442no market fair50% boost+510no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.276.259
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason .276 (90th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.266.244
league avg .244+.022 vs league7 startsvs RHBseason .266thin sample: 104 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thin14.8%12.5%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%24.1%23.2%
45th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%128 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 24.1% (45th)181 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | .244 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | .300 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 22.0% | .289 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 18.8% | .228 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 20.3% | .255 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.217.209
20th percentileleague avg .240240 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason .217 (20th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.194.169
3rd percentileleague avg .244240 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .194 (3rd)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin85.8%86.2%
62nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%240 PAvs LHP · 65th pctseason 85.8% (62nd)thin sample: 94 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin26.6%24.6%
59th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%240 PAvs LHP · 47th pctseason 26.6% (59th)thin sample: 134 swingsneutralneutral
K%thin20.0%18.6%
36th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%240 PAvs LHP · 29th pctseason 20.0% (36th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin24.9%26.4%
65th percentileleague avg 23.6%240 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 24.9% (65th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 73 | 14 | .192 | 52% (12/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 138 | 27 | .196 | 44% (21/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 113 | 20 | .177 | 50% (18/36) |
| at home | 35 | 98 | 21 | .214 | 43% (15/35) |
| season | 71 | 211 | 41 | .194 | 46% (33/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 15.7% | 53 | .209 | 26.4% | 41.5% |
| vs RHP | 170 | 17.6% | 116 | .211 | 24.1% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 124 | 16.1% | 87 | .184 | 24.1% | 41.4% |
| at home | 116 | 18.1% | 82 | .239 | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| season | 240 | 17.1% | 169 | — | 24.9% | 37.9% |
0.5line
OVER-156ProphetXpooled fair -138
30% boost-120pooled fair50% boost-104pooled fair
UNDER+127ProphetXpooled fair +138
30% boost+165pooled fair50% boost+191pooled fair
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+290Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+1300Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
H+R+RBI
71 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.276.259
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason .276 (90th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.486.438
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason .486 (96th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%17.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin14.8%12.5%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 20 | 31 | .385 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 6 | 13 | .375 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 26 | .441 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 18 | .333 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 44 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.111.17
5th percentileleague avg 1.7471 gamesvs LHP · 7th pctseason 1.11 (5th)23 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.275—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg .310240 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthin.217.209
20th percentileleague avg .240240 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason .217 (20th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.303.308
4th percentileleague avg .400240 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason .303 (4th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1.17 | 30% (7/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 1.08 | 27% (13/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0.94 | 22% (8/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 1.29 | 34% (12/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 41 | 21 | 17 | 1.11 | 28% (20/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 15.7% | 53 | .209 | .352 | 7.5% | 88.5 |
| vs RHP | 170 | 17.6% | 116 | .211 | .297 | 2.6% | 84.1 |
| on the road ● | 124 | 16.1% | 87 | .184 | .278 | 3.5% | 86.2 |
| at home | 116 | 18.1% | 82 | .239 | .354 | 4.9% | 84.7 |
| season | 240 | 17.1% | 169 | — | .314 | 4.1% | 85.5 |
1.5line
OVER+105Bovadafair +122 · -7.8% vs fair
30% boost+136+6.4% vs market · -33.4% vs season50% boost+157+15.9% vs market · -27.5% vs season
UNDER-135Bovadafair -122 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-104+8% vs market · +41% vs season50% boost+111+16.1% vs market · +51.6% vs season
RBIs
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.486.438
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason .486 (96th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.5%9.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs RHB · 85th pctseason 10.5% (89th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%17.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 20 | 2 | .378 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 6 | 2 | .650 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 3 | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 1 | .316 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 4 | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.240.30
8th percentileleague avg 0.4471 gamesvs LHP · 13th pctseason 0.24 (8th)23 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.324.352
17th percentileleague avg .386240 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason .324 (17th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin29.6%39.6%
12th percentileleague avg 38.9%240 PAvs LHP · 50th pctseason 29.6% (12th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel ratethin4.1%7.5%
19th percentileleague avg 7.8%240 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason 4.1% (19th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 7 | 0.30 | .288 | 26% (6/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 10 | 0.21 | .312 | 10% (5/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 6 | 0.17 | .239 | 17% (6/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 11 | 0.31 | .378 | 14% (5/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 17 | 0.24 | .303 | 15% (11/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 10.0% | 53 | .352 | 7.5% | 39.6% | 88.5 |
| vs RHP | 170 | 5.9% | 116 | .297 | 2.6% | 25.0% | 84.1 |
| on the road ● | 124 | 4.8% | 87 | .278 | 3.5% | 29.9% | 86.2 |
| at home | 116 | 9.5% | 82 | .354 | 4.9% | 29.3% | 84.7 |
| season | 240 | — | 169 | .314 | 4.1% | 29.6% | 85.5 |
0.5line
OVER+200Fanaticspooled fair +220
30% boost+260pooled fair50% boost+300pooled fair
UNDER-300ProphetXpooled fair -220
30% boost-231pooled fair50% boost-200pooled fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+650Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1800Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
Runs
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.81—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17128 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.276.259
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason .276 (90th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin15.6%17.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 20 | 18 | .385 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 6 | 2 | .375 |
| at home ● | 59 | 13 | 12 | .441 |
| on the road | 69 | 13 | 8 | .333 |
| season | 128 | 26 | 20 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.300.26
10th percentileleague avg 0.4671 gamesvs LHP · 3rd pctseason 0.30 (10th)23 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.275—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg .310240 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed27.5—
no split for this stat51st percentileleague avg 27.4240 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBAthin.217.209
20th percentileleague avg .240240 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason .217 (20th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin7.5%5.7%
36th percentileleague avg 8.8%240 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason 7.5% (36th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 6 | 0.26 | .259 | 22% (5/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 15 | 0.31 | .268 | 27% (13/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 8 | 0.22 | .236 | 17% (6/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 13 | 0.37 | .297 | 34% (12/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 21 | 0.30 | .265 | 25% (18/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | — | 53 | .209 | 26.4% | 41.5% | 88.5 |
| vs RHP | 170 | — | 116 | .211 | 24.1% | 36.2% | 84.1 |
| on the road ● | 124 | 6.5% | 87 | .184 | 24.1% | 41.4% | 86.2 |
| at home | 116 | 11.2% | 82 | .239 | 25.6% | 34.2% | 84.7 |
| season | 240 | — | 169 | — | 24.9% | 37.9% | 85.5 |
0.5line
OVER+138ProphetXpooled fair +160
30% boost+179pooled fair50% boost+207pooled fair
UNDER-210ProphetXpooled fair -160
30% boost-162pooled fair50% boost-140pooled fair
Doubles
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.486.438
96th percentileleague avg .386128 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason .486 (96th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed41.9%42.3%
75th percentileleague avg 38.2%128 batters facedvs RHB · 77th pctseason 41.9% (75th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.5%9.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.4%128 batters facedvs RHB · 85th pctseason 10.5% (89th)71 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed23.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat128 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBrandon Williamson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 3 | 2.9% | .378 |
| vs LHB | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | .650 |
| at home ● | 59 | 4 | 6.8% | .578 |
| on the road | 69 | 0 | 0.0% | .316 |
| season | 128 | 4 | 3.1% | .431 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin4.6%4.3%
68th percentileleague avg 4.1%240 PAvs LHP · 57th pctseason 4.6% (68th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports OVERneutral
xSLGthin.324.352
17th percentileleague avg .386240 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason .324 (17th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.107.143
25th percentileleague avg .146240 PAvs LHP · 52nd pctseason .107 (25th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%thin24.9%26.4%
65th percentileleague avg 23.6%240 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 24.9% (65th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%thin37.9%41.5%
74th percentileleague avg 35.3%240 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 37.9% (74th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.5—
no split for this stat51st percentileleague avg 27.4240 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 4 | 4.8% | .288 | 17% (4/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 7 | 4.5% | .312 | 15% (7/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 7 | 5.6% | .239 | 19% (7/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 4 | 3.4% | .378 | 11% (4/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 11 | 4.6% | .303 | 15% (11/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 4.3% | 53 | .352 | 26.4% | 41.5% |
| vs RHP | 170 | 4.7% | 116 | .297 | 24.1% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 124 | 5.6% | 87 | .278 | 24.1% | 41.4% |
| at home | 116 | 3.4% | 82 | .354 | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| season | 240 | 4.6% | 169 | .314 | 24.9% | 37.9% |
0.5line
OVER+475Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
Singles
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.276.259
90th percentileleague avg .239128 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason .276 (90th)84 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin14.8%12.5%
3rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%128 batters facedvs RHB · 1st pctseason 14.8% (3rd)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%24.1%23.2%
45th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%128 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 24.1% (45th)181 swingsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBrandon Williamson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 14 | 13.5% |
| vs LHB | 24 | 3 | 12.5% |
| at home ● | 59 | 6 | 10.2% |
| on the road | 69 | 11 | 15.9% |
| season | 128 | 17 | 13.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.217.209
20th percentileleague avg .240240 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason .217 (20th)thin sample: 66 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin85.8%86.2%
62nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%240 PAvs LHP · 65th pctseason 85.8% (62nd)thin sample: 94 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin26.6%24.6%
59th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%240 PAvs LHP · 47th pctseason 26.6% (59th)thin sample: 134 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%thin24.9%26.4%
65th percentileleague avg 23.6%240 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 24.9% (65th)thin sample: 53 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed27.5—
no split for this stat51st percentileleague avg 27.4240 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 73 | 9 | .192 | 39% (9/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 138 | 17 | .196 | 31% (15/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 113 | 13 | .177 | 36% (13/36) |
| at home | 35 | 98 | 13 | .214 | 31% (11/35) |
| season | 71 | 211 | 26 | .194 | 34% (24/71) |
● tonight's split
The BatFreddy Fermin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 70 | 8.6% | 53 | .209 | 26.4% | 41.5% |
| vs RHP | 170 | 11.8% | 116 | .211 | 24.1% | 36.2% |
| on the road ● | 124 | 10.5% | 87 | .184 | 24.1% | 41.4% |
| at home | 116 | 11.2% | 82 | .239 | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| season | 240 | 10.8% | 169 | — | 24.9% | 37.9% |
0.5line
OVER+101ProphetXpooled fair +120
30% boost+131pooled fair50% boost+151pooled fair
UNDER-150ProphetXpooled fair -120
30% boost-115pooled fair50% boost-100pooled fair
Walks
71 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brandon Williamson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thin15.6%17.3%
100th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%128 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 15.6% (100th)thin sample: 104 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%52.4%51.0%
0th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%128 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 52.4% (0th)104 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/9thin5.97.0
league avg 3.4+2.5 vs league7 startsvs RHBseason 5.9thin sample: 104 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBrandon Williamson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 104 | 18 | 17.3% |
| vs LHB | 24 | 2 | 8.3% |
| at home ● | 59 | 12 | 20.3% |
| on the road | 69 | 8 | 11.6% |
| season | 128 | 20 | 15.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFreddy Fermin vs Brandon Williamsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Freddy Fermin Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin7.5%5.7%
36th percentileleague avg 8.8%240 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason 7.5% (36th)thin sample: 70 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase ratethin34.5%31.0%
74th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%240 PAvs LHP · 55th pctseason 34.5% (74th)thin sample: 129 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERneutral
zone swing%thin71.8%70.1%
league avg 66.9%+4.9% vs league240 PAvs LHPseason 71.8%thin sample: 134 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupFreddy Fermin: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 23 | 84 | 7 | 8.3% | .259 | 26% (6/23) |
| vs RHP | 48 | 156 | 11 | 7.1% | .268 | 19% (9/48) |
| on the road ● | 36 | 124 | 7 | 5.6% | .236 | 14% (5/36) |
| at home | 35 | 116 | 11 | 9.5% | .297 | 29% (10/35) |
| season | 71 | 240 | 18 | 7.5% | .265 | 21% (15/71) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+260Fanaticspooled fair +283
30% boost+338pooled fair50% boost+390pooled fair
UNDER-400Fanaticspooled fair -283
30% boost-308pooled fair50% boost-267pooled fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Redssorted by the focused market, not batting order
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