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Matt Shaw
CHCbats R7th in the orderMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs7:41 PMWrigley Field
facingJacob Misiorowski1.73 ERA · 13.23 K/9 · 0.75 WHIP · 151.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.3% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 3.6% (league avg 7.4%)
Shaw at the plateHR/PA 3.1%barrel rate 5.3%hard-hit% 36.0%
Home Runs
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.3%2.8%
33rd percentileleague avg 2.9%572 batters facedvs RHB · 50th pctseason 2.3% (33rd)248 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed3.6%4.0%
6th percentileleague avg 7.4%572 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 3.6% (6th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed33.6%33.6%
19th percentileleague avg 38.2%572 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 33.6% (19th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed25.6%21.7%
44th percentileleague avg 26.6%572 batters facedvs RHB · 17th pctseason 25.6% (44th)152 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.250.299
2nd percentileleague avg .386571 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .250 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 7 | 2.8% |
| vs LHB | 323 | 6 | 1.9% |
| on the road ● | 257 | 3 | 1.2% |
| at home | 314 | 10 | 3.2% |
| season | 571 | 13 | 2.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 home runs in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.1%3.6%
59th percentileleague avg 3.0%160 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 3.1% (59th)83 PAneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate5.3%6.7%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%160 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 5.3% (30th)60 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%36.0%33.3%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.9%160 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 36.0% (32nd)60 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%25.4%30.0%
41st percentileleague avg 26.8%160 PAvs RHP · 72nd pctseason 25.4% (41st)60 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.366.382
38th percentileleague avg .386160 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .366 (38th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xISO.128.138
39th percentileleague avg .146160 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .128 (39th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
avg exit velo85.4 mph83.5 mph
17th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph160 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 85.4 mph (17th)60 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 1 | 1.1% | .329 | 3% (1/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 4 | 6.0% | .603 | 22% (4/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 2 | 2.6% | .465 | 7% (2/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 3 | 3.7% | .420 | 11% (3/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 5 | 3.1% | .443 | 9% (5/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 3.6% | 60 | 6.7% | .382 | .138 | 83.5 |
| vs LHP | 77 | 2.6% | 54 | 3.7% | .339 | .113 | 87.5 |
| at home ● | 78 | 2.6% | 58 | 5.2% | .365 | .130 | 86.1 |
| on the road | 82 | 3.7% | 56 | 5.4% | .358 | .122 | 84.6 |
| season | 160 | 3.1% | 114 | 5.3% | .362 | .126 | 85.4 |
0.5line
OVER+850Hard Rockpooled fair +828
30% boost+1105pooled fair50% boost+1275pooled fair
UNDER-900NoVigfair -836 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost-692+2.2% vs market · +4% vs season50% boost-600+4.2% vs market · +6.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+12500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+16250no market fair50% boost+18750no market fair
Total Bases
55 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.250.299
2nd percentileleague avg .386571 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .250 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.168.204
2nd percentileleague avg .239571 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason .168 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.150.195
league avg .244-0.094 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .150248 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed33.6%33.6%
19th percentileleague avg 38.2%572 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 33.6% (19th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed3.6%4.0%
6th percentileleague avg 7.4%572 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 3.6% (6th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 68 | 0.27 | .294 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 59 | 0.18 | .201 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 49 | 0.19 | .209 |
| at home | 314 | 78 | 0.25 | .268 |
| season | 571 | 127 | 0.22 | .242 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 total bases in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.366.382
38th percentileleague avg .386160 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .366 (38th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
SLG.443.389
73rd percentileleague avg .400160 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .443 (73rd)83 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.250.222
53rd percentileleague avg .244160 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason .250 (53rd)83 PAneutralsupports UNDER
xISO.128.138
39th percentileleague avg .146160 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .128 (39th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%36.0%33.3%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.9%160 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 36.0% (32nd)60 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate5.3%6.7%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%160 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 5.3% (30th)60 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%24.6%26.7%
62nd percentileleague avg 23.6%160 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 24.6% (62nd)60 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 27 | 0.73 | .329 | 14% (5/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 35 | 1.94 | .603 | 50% (9/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 33 | 1.22 | .465 | 33% (9/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 29 | 1.04 | .420 | 18% (5/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 62 | 1.13 | .443 | 25% (14/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 33.7% | 60 | .382 | .138 | 6.7% | 83.5 |
| vs LHP | 77 | 44.2% | 54 | .339 | .113 | 3.7% | 87.5 |
| at home ● | 78 | 42.3% | 58 | .365 | .130 | 5.2% | 86.1 |
| on the road | 82 | 35.4% | 56 | .358 | .122 | 5.4% | 84.6 |
| season | 160 | 38.8% | 114 | .362 | .126 | 5.3% | 85.4 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 50%SZN 47%over rate
OVER+100BetMGMfair -104 · +1.9% vs fair
30% boost+130+17.3% vs market · +8.7% vs season50% boost+150+27.5% vs market · +18.2% vs season
UNDER-108Pinnaclefair -102 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+120+11.3% vs market · +16.2% vs season50% boost+139+20.6% vs market · +26% vs season
1.5line
OVER+251NoVigpooled fair +254
30% boost+326pooled fair50% boost+376pooled fair
UNDER-320theScore Betpooled fair -254
30% boost-246pooled fair50% boost-213pooled fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 16%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+640DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+832no market fair50% boost+960no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1400BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
Hits
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.168.204
2nd percentileleague avg .239571 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason .168 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.150.195
league avg .244-0.094 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .150248 batters facedneutralneutral
K%38.9%31.5%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%571 batters facedvs RHB · 96th pctseason 38.9% (99th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%37.6%30.0%
99th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%571 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 37.6% (99th)466 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 45 | 18.1% | .195 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 34 | 10.5% | .116 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 33 | 12.8% | .141 |
| at home | 314 | 46 | 14.6% | .158 |
| season | 571 | 79 | 13.8% | .150 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 hits in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.250.222
53rd percentileleague avg .244160 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason .250 (53rd)83 PAneutralsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin86.8%88.8%
69th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%160 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 86.8% (69th)thin sample: 98 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.6%18.2%
19th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%160 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 19.6% (19th)154 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%17.5%16.9%
22nd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%160 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason 17.5% (22nd)83 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.6%26.7%
62nd percentileleague avg 23.6%160 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 24.6% (62nd)60 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 82 | 18 | .220 | 38% (14/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 58 | 17 | .293 | 67% (12/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 71 | 20 | .282 | 59% (16/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 69 | 15 | .217 | 36% (10/28) |
| season | 55 | 140 | 35 | .250 | 47% (26/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 19.3% | 60 | .243 | 26.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 77 | 24.7% | 54 | .226 | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| at home ● | 78 | 25.6% | 58 | .235 | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| on the road | 82 | 18.3% | 56 | .236 | 26.8% | 41.1% |
| season | 160 | 21.9% | 114 | — | 24.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER+100BetMGMfair -105 · +2.3% vs fair
30% boost+130+17.5% vs market · +8.7% vs season50% boost+150+27.8% vs market · +18.2% vs season
UNDER+102NoVigfair +101 · +0.6% vs fair
30% boost+133+15.8% vs market · +22.6% vs season50% boost+153+26% vs market · +33.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+550BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-750theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-577no market fair50% boost-500no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+3000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.168.204
2nd percentileleague avg .239571 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason .168 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.01—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17571 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.250.299
2nd percentileleague avg .386571 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .250 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%6.0%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%571 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 6.1% (14th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%38.9%31.5%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%571 batters facedvs RHB · 96th pctseason 38.9% (99th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 45 | 68 | .250 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 34 | 59 | .189 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 33 | 49 | .218 |
| at home | 314 | 46 | 78 | .214 |
| season | 571 | 79 | 127 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.440.97
22nd percentileleague avg 1.7455 gamesvs RHP · 1st pctseason 1.44 (22nd)37 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.307—
no split for this stat47th percentileleague avg .310160 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.443.389
73rd percentileleague avg .400160 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .443 (73rd)83 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0.97 | 43% (16/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 2.39 | 78% (14/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 1.63 | 63% (17/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 1.25 | 46% (13/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 35 | 22 | 22 | 1.44 | 55% (30/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 19.3% | 60 | .243 | .382 | 6.7% | 83.5 |
| vs LHP | 77 | 24.7% | 54 | .226 | .339 | 3.7% | 87.5 |
| at home ● | 78 | 25.6% | 58 | .235 | .365 | 5.2% | 86.1 |
| on the road | 82 | 18.3% | 56 | .236 | .358 | 5.4% | 84.6 |
| season | 160 | 21.9% | 114 | — | .362 | 5.3% | 85.4 |
0.5line
OVER-140theScore Betfair -137 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost-108+11.5% vs market · +5.2% vs season50% boost+107+19.7% vs market · +13% vs season
UNDER+135bet365fair +137 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+176+16.3% vs market · +25.2% vs season50% boost+203+27.7% vs market · +37.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 45%SZN 35%over rate
OVER+133NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+173no market fair50% boost+200no market fair
UNDER-182NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-140no market fair50% boost-121no market fair
RBIs
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.01—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17571 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.250.299
2nd percentileleague avg .386571 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .250 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed3.6%4.0%
6th percentileleague avg 7.4%572 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 3.6% (6th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%6.0%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%571 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 6.1% (14th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 45 | 7 | .294 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 34 | 6 | .201 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 33 | 3 | .209 |
| at home | 314 | 46 | 10 | .268 |
| season | 571 | 79 | 13 | .242 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 RBI in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.400.19
37th percentileleague avg 0.4455 gamesvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 0.40 (37th)37 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.366.382
38th percentileleague avg .386160 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .366 (38th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%36.0%33.3%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.9%160 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 36.0% (32nd)60 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate5.3%6.7%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%160 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 5.3% (30th)60 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupMatt Shaw: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 7 | 0.19 | .329 | 16% (6/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 15 | 0.83 | .603 | 50% (9/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 13 | 0.48 | .465 | 26% (7/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 9 | 0.32 | .420 | 29% (8/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 22 | 0.40 | .443 | 27% (15/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 10.8% | 60 | .382 | 6.7% | 33.3% | 83.5 |
| vs LHP | 77 | 16.9% | 54 | .339 | 3.7% | 38.9% | 87.5 |
| at home ● | 78 | 16.7% | 58 | .365 | 5.2% | 34.5% | 86.1 |
| on the road | 82 | 11.0% | 56 | .358 | 5.4% | 37.5% | 84.6 |
| season | 160 | — | 114 | .362 | 5.3% | 36.0% | 85.4 |
0.5line
OVER+325Hard Rockfair +332 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+423+20.7% vs market · +42.5% vs season50% boost+488+35.7% vs market · +60.2% vs season
UNDER-400theScore Betfair -331 · -4% vs fair
30% boost-308+1.8% vs market · -3.6% vs season50% boost-267+5.6% vs market · 0% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.01—
no split for this stat1st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17571 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.168.204
2nd percentileleague avg .239571 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason .168 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.1%6.0%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%571 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 6.1% (14th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 45 | 15 | .250 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 34 | 20 | .189 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 33 | 18 | .218 |
| at home | 314 | 46 | 17 | .214 |
| season | 571 | 79 | 35 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career4 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.400.30
35th percentileleague avg 0.4655 gamesvs RHP · 10th pctseason 0.40 (35th)37 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.307—
no split for this stat47th percentileleague avg .310160 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4160 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%9.4%9.6%
58th percentileleague avg 8.8%160 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 9.4% (58th)83 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 11 | 0.30 | .293 | 24% (9/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 11 | 0.61 | .388 | 39% (7/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 11 | 0.41 | .333 | 33% (9/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 11 | 0.39 | .333 | 25% (7/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 22 | 0.40 | .333 | 29% (16/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | — | 60 | .243 | 26.7% | 36.7% | 83.5 |
| vs LHP | 77 | — | 54 | .226 | 22.2% | 33.3% | 87.5 |
| at home ● | 78 | 14.1% | 58 | .235 | 22.4% | 29.3% | 86.1 |
| on the road | 82 | 14.6% | 56 | .236 | 26.8% | 41.1% | 84.6 |
| season | 160 | — | 114 | — | 24.6% | 35.1% | 85.4 |
0.5line
OVER+225BetMGMfair +221 · +1.4% vs fair
30% boost+292+22.5% vs market · +14.2% vs season50% boost+338+36.5% vs market · +27.3% vs season
UNDER-273DraftKingsfair -229 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-210+2.7% vs market · +4.7% vs season50% boost-182+7.8% vs market · +9.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
UNDER-7500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-5769no market fair50% boost-5000no market fair
Doubles
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.250.299
2nd percentileleague avg .386571 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason .250 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed33.6%33.6%
19th percentileleague avg 38.2%572 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 33.6% (19th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed3.6%4.0%
6th percentileleague avg 7.4%572 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 3.6% (6th)152 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed21.7%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat571 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 2 | 0.8% | .294 |
| vs LHB | 323 | 5 | 1.5% | .201 |
| on the road ● | 257 | 5 | 1.9% | .209 |
| at home | 314 | 2 | 0.6% | .268 |
| season | 571 | 7 | 1.2% | .242 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 doubles in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.0%1.2%
79th percentileleague avg 4.1%160 PAvs RHP · 1st pctseason 5.0% (79th)83 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG.366.382
38th percentileleague avg .386160 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .366 (38th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xISO.128.138
39th percentileleague avg .146160 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .128 (39th)74 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%24.6%26.7%
62nd percentileleague avg 23.6%160 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 24.6% (62nd)60 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%35.1%36.7%
47th percentileleague avg 35.3%160 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 35.1% (47th)60 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4160 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 4 | 4.3% | .329 | 11% (4/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 4 | 6.0% | .603 | 11% (2/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 3 | 3.8% | .465 | 11% (3/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 5 | 6.1% | .420 | 11% (3/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 8 | 5.0% | .443 | 11% (6/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 1.2% | 60 | .382 | 26.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 77 | 9.1% | 54 | .339 | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| at home ● | 78 | 3.8% | 58 | .365 | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| on the road | 82 | 6.1% | 56 | .358 | 26.8% | 41.1% |
| season | 160 | 5.0% | 114 | .362 | 24.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER+625BetMGMfair +593 · +4.6% vs fair
30% boost+812+31.4% vs market · -0.5% vs season50% boost+938+49.4% vs market · +13.2% vs season
UNDER-900Hard Rockfair -619 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-692-1.5% vs market · +2% vs season50% boost-600+0.4% vs market · +3.9% vs season
Singles
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.168.204
2nd percentileleague avg .239571 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason .168 (2nd)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%38.9%31.5%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%571 batters facedvs RHB · 96th pctseason 38.9% (99th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%37.6%30.0%
99th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%571 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 37.6% (99th)466 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 36 | 14.5% |
| vs LHB | 323 | 22 | 6.8% |
| on the road ● | 257 | 24 | 9.3% |
| at home | 314 | 34 | 10.8% |
| season | 571 | 58 | 10.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career0 singles in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
zone contact%thin86.8%88.8%
69th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%160 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 86.8% (69th)thin sample: 98 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.6%18.2%
19th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%160 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 19.6% (19th)154 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.6%26.7%
62nd percentileleague avg 23.6%160 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 24.6% (62nd)60 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4160 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 82 | 12 | .220 | 32% (12/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 58 | 8 | .293 | 33% (6/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 71 | 13 | .282 | 41% (11/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 69 | 7 | .217 | 25% (7/28) |
| season | 55 | 140 | 20 | .250 | 33% (18/55) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Shaw: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 83 | 13.3% | 60 | .243 | 26.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 77 | 11.7% | 54 | .226 | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| at home ● | 78 | 16.7% | 58 | .235 | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| on the road | 82 | 8.5% | 56 | .236 | 26.8% | 41.1% |
| season | 160 | 13.8% | 114 | — | 24.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER+175BetMGMfair +162 · +4.9% vs fair
30% boost+228+24.8% vs market · +7.2% vs season50% boost+262+38.1% vs market · +18.6% vs season
UNDER-175bet365fair -167 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost-135+9.1% vs market · +17.2% vs season50% boost-117+16.3% vs market · +24.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.1%6.0%
14th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%571 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 6.1% (14th)248 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%66.2%65.7%
87th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%571 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 66.2% (87th)248 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.12.1
league avg 3.4-1.3 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason 2.1248 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmJacob Misiorowski: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 248 | 15 | 6.0% |
| vs LHB | 323 | 20 | 6.2% |
| on the road ● | 257 | 18 | 7.0% |
| at home | 314 | 17 | 5.4% |
| season | 571 | 35 | 6.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Shaw vs Jacob Misiorowski, career2 walks in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .500 |
| career | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | .500 |
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
BB%9.4%9.6%
58th percentileleague avg 8.8%160 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 9.4% (58th)83 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase rate34.0%30.3%
71st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 34.0% (71st)185 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERneutral
zone swing%60.5%62.4%
league avg 66.9%-6.4% vs league160 PAvs RHPseason 60.5%157 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 6 | 6.5% | .293 | 16% (6/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 9 | 13.4% | .388 | 50% (9/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 6 | 7.7% | .333 | 22% (6/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 9 | 11.0% | .333 | 32% (9/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 15 | 9.4% | .333 | 27% (15/55) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
C+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 53% blended (L10 70%, season 27%) against a 28% priced probability
- the bet365 price beats the devigged fair by 4.4%
- counterpoint - faces Jacob Misiorowski (RHP): BB% 6.1% - 14th percentile for walks allowed
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 70% vs 27% season
basis: 55 games this season
OVER+275bet365fair +259 · +4.4% vs fair
30% boost+358+27.2% vs market · +24.8% vs season50% boost+412+42.5% vs market · +39.8% vs season
UNDER-336DraftKingsfair -261 · -6.2% vs fair
30% boost-258+0.3% vs market · +0.9% vs season50% boost-224+4.6% vs market · +5.2% vs season
Stolen Bases
55 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Jacob Misiorowski Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.0%—
no split for this stat5th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%0 of 591 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.2%—
no split for this stat7th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%1 of 591 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Matt Shaw Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4160 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.070.03
60th percentileleague avg 0.0755 gamesvs RHP · 41st pctseason 0.07 (60th)37 gamessupports OVERneutral
xBA.239.243
43rd percentileleague avg .240160 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason .239 (43rd)74 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%9.4%9.6%
58th percentileleague avg 8.8%160 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 9.4% (58th)83 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Shaw: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 37 | 93 | 1 | 0.03 | 3% (1/37) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 67 | 3 | 0.17 | 17% (3/18) |
| at home ● | 27 | 78 | 2 | 0.07 | 7% (2/27) |
| on the road | 28 | 82 | 2 | 0.07 | 7% (2/28) |
| season | 55 | 160 | 4 | 0.07 | 7% (4/55) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1438NoVigpooled fair +1034
30% boost+1869pooled fair50% boost+2157pooled fair
UNDER-2198bet365fair -1034 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-1691-3.4% vs market · -1.8% vs season50% boost-1465-2.6% vs market · -0.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3348NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4352no market fair50% boost+5022no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 7:00 PM ET · not live pricing