← New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays
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Juan Soto

NYMbats L2nd in the orderNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays6:41 PMTropicana Field

facingGriffin Jax3.88 ERA · 9.71 K/9 · 1.24 WHIP · 92.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Soto at the plateHR/PA 5.9%barrel rate 14.5%hard-hit% 49.0%

Home Runs

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed3.7%3.9%
76th percentileleague avg 2.9%380 batters facedvs LHB · 80th pctseason 3.7% (76th)231 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.6%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs LHB · 83rd pctseason 9.3% (79th)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed39.8%39.7%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 39.8% (63rd)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed25.1%23.3%
39th percentileleague avg 26.6%380 batters facedvs LHB · 24th pctseason 25.1% (39th)146 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.418.414
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason .418 (70th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmGriffin Jax: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHRHR/BF
vs LHB ●23093.9%
vs RHB14953.4%
at home ●19294.7%
on the road18752.7%
season379143.7%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 home runs in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA5.9%7.2%
97th percentileleague avg 3.0%372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 5.9% (97th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.5%17.6%
94th percentileleague avg 7.8%372 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 14.5% (94th)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.0%52.1%
92nd percentileleague avg 38.9%372 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 49.0% (92nd)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.4%36.4%
95th percentileleague avg 26.8%372 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 35.4% (95th)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.589.653
99th percentileleague avg .386372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .589 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.294.347
99th percentileleague avg .146372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .294 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo92.1 mph93.4 mph
94th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph372 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 92.1 mph (94th)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Home Runs by split
GPAHRHR/PASLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●63271186.6%.53925% (16/63)
vs LHP2510144.0%.52316% (4/25)
on the road ●46195105.1%.45117% (8/46)
at home42177126.8%.62929% (12/42)
season88372225.9%.53423% (20/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAHR/PABBEbarrelxSLGxISOEV
vs RHP ●2507.2%16517.6%.653.34793.4
vs LHP1223.3%908.9%.460.18889.7
on the road ●1955.1%1319.9%.480.22491.7
at home1776.8%12419.4%.704.36892.6
season3725.9%25514.5%.585.29292.1
0.5line
OVER+426Polymarketpooled fair +409

30% boost+554pooled fair50% boost+639pooled fair

UNDER-425ProphetXfair -405 · -0.9% vs fair

30% boost-327+4.7% vs market · +0.9% vs season50% boost-283+8.5% vs market · +4.5% vs season

Total Bases

88 games logged
line1.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.418.414
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason .418 (70th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.252.254
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason .252 (63rd)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.245.251
league avg .244+.001 vs league19 startsvs LHBseason .245230 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed39.8%39.7%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 39.8% (63rd)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.6%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs LHB · 83rd pctseason 9.3% (79th)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmGriffin Jax: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFTBTB/BFSLG
vs LHB ●230870.38.420
vs RHB149480.32.369
at home ●192690.36.404
on the road187660.35.398
season3791350.36.401

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 total bases in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.589.653
99th percentileleague avg .386372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .589 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.534.586
98th percentileleague avg .400372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .534 (98th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.279.283
86th percentileleague avg .244372 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .279 (86th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.294.347
99th percentileleague avg .146372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .294 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.0%52.1%
92nd percentileleague avg 38.9%372 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 49.0% (92nd)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.5%17.6%
94th percentileleague avg 7.8%372 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 14.5% (94th)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.8%20.0%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%372 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 19.8% (12th)165 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Total Bases by split
GPATBTB/GSLGover 1.5
vs RHP ●632711181.87.53940% (25/63)
vs LHP25101451.80.52340% (10/25)
on the road ●46195731.59.45133% (15/46)
at home42177902.14.62948% (20/42)
season883721631.85.53440% (35/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PATB/PABBExSLGxISObarrelEV
vs RHP ●25046.4%165.653.34717.6%93.4
vs LHP12238.5%90.460.1888.9%89.7
on the road ●19537.4%131.480.2249.9%91.7
at home17750.8%124.704.36819.4%92.6
season37243.8%255.585.29214.5%92.1
1.5line
OVER+152ProphetXfair +146 · +2.5% vs fair

30% boost+198+21.1% vs market · +18.4% vs season50% boost+228+33.5% vs market · +30.5% vs season

UNDER-160ProphetXfair -146 · -3.6% vs fair

30% boost-123+7.5% vs market · +9.2% vs season50% boost-107+14.9% vs market · +16.7% vs season

Hits

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.254
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason .252 (63rd)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.245.251
league avg .244+.001 vs league19 startsvs LHBseason .245230 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.4%28.6%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason 26.4% (80th)231 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%32.0%
90th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%379 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 31.2% (90th)431 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHH/BFAVG
vs LHB ●2305222.6%.251
vs RHB1492919.5%.223
at home ●1923618.8%.211
on the road1874524.1%.271
season3798121.4%.240

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 hits in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.279.283
86th percentileleague avg .244372 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason .279 (86th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%85.8%88.6%
62nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%372 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason 85.8% (62nd)271 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%20.9%19.3%
25th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%372 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 20.9% (25th)379 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%13.4%13.2%
7th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%372 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 13.4% (7th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.8%20.0%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%372 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 19.8% (12th)165 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Hits by split
GABHAVGover 0.5
vs RHP ●6321958.26565% (41/63)
vs LHP258627.31472% (18/25)
on the road ●4616238.23559% (27/46)
at home4214347.32976% (32/42)
season8830585.27967% (59/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs RHP ●25022.4%165.30520.0%35.1%
vs LHP12223.8%90.27218.9%33.3%
on the road ●19519.5%131.25716.8%25.9%
at home17726.6%124.33622.6%43.5%
season37222.8%25519.6%34.5%
0.5line
OVER-174NoVigfair -159 · -3.3% vs fair

30% boost-134+7.3% vs market · +17.1% vs season50% boost-116+14.3% vs market · +24.8% vs season

UNDER+153NoVigfair +159 · -2.4% vs fair

30% boost+199+15.4% vs market · -1.5% vs season50% boost+230+27.2% vs market · +8.6% vs season

H+R+RBI

88 games logged
line1.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.254
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason .252 (63rd)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA4.42
no split for this stat
64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.418.414
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason .418 (70th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%7.4%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs LHB · 37th pctseason 7.9% (44th)231 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
K%26.4%28.6%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason 26.4% (80th)231 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHTBOBP
vs LHB ●2305287.304
vs RHB1492948.297
at home ●1923669.277
on the road1874566.326
season37981135

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 3 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333

H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.

Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.122.13
85th percentileleague avg 1.7488 gamesvs RHP · 85th pctseason 2.12 (85th)63 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.421
no split for this stat
100th percentileleague avg .310372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.534.586
98th percentileleague avg .400372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .534 (98th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: H+R+RBI by split
GPAHRRBIH+R+RBI/Gover 1.5
vs RHP ●632715835412.1349% (31/63)
vs LHP251012713132.1244% (11/25)
on the road ●461953821241.8037% (17/46)
at home421774727302.4860% (25/42)
season883728548542.1348% (42/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBAxSLGbarrelEV
vs RHP ●25022.4%165.305.65317.6%93.4
vs LHP12223.8%90.272.4608.9%89.7
on the road ●19519.5%131.257.4809.9%91.7
at home17726.6%124.336.70419.4%92.6
season37222.8%255.58514.5%92.1
1.5line
OVER+100ProphetXfair +106 · -3.1% vs fair

30% boost+130+11.3% vs market · +9.8% vs season50% boost+150+21% vs market · +19.3% vs season

UNDER-115NoVigfair -107 · -3.4% vs fair

30% boost+113+10.1% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+130+19.1% vs market · +20.5% vs season

RBIs

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.42
no split for this stat
64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.418.414
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason .418 (70th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.6%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs LHB · 83rd pctseason 9.3% (79th)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%7.4%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs LHB · 37th pctseason 7.9% (44th)231 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHHRSLG
vs LHB ●230529.420
vs RHB149295.369
at home ●192369.404
on the road187455.398
season3798114.401

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 RBI in 3 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.610.65
90th percentileleague avg 0.4488 gamesvs RHP · 96th pctseason 0.61 (90th)63 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.589.653
99th percentileleague avg .386372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .589 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%49.0%52.1%
92nd percentileleague avg 38.9%372 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 49.0% (92nd)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.5%17.6%
94th percentileleague avg 7.8%372 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 14.5% (94th)165 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: RBIs by split
GPARBIRBI/GSLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●63271410.65.53941% (26/63)
vs LHP25101130.52.52332% (8/25)
on the road ●46195240.52.45130% (14/46)
at home42177300.71.62948% (20/42)
season88372540.61.53439% (34/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PARBI/PABBExSLGbarrelhard hitEV
vs RHP ●25016.0%165.65317.6%52.1%93.4
vs LHP12211.5%90.4608.9%43.3%89.7
on the road ●19512.3%131.4809.9%45.0%91.7
at home17716.9%124.70419.4%53.2%92.6
season372255.58514.5%49.0%92.1
0.5line
OVER+210bet365fair +203 · +2.2% vs fair

30% boost+273+23.1% vs market · +44.1% vs season50% boost+315+37% vs market · +60.3% vs season

UNDER-220BetMGMfair -208 · -1.8% vs fair

30% boost-169+7.4% vs market · -2.4% vs season50% boost-147+13.5% vs market · +3.2% vs season

Runs

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.42
no split for this stat
64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.252.254
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason .252 (63rd)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%7.4%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs LHB · 37th pctseason 7.9% (44th)231 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHBBOBP
vs LHB ●2305217.304
vs RHB1492913.297
at home ●1923616.277
on the road1874514.326
season3798130

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career3 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333

This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.

Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.550.56
78th percentileleague avg 0.4688 gamesvs RHP · 79th pctseason 0.55 (78th)63 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.421
no split for this stat
100th percentileleague avg .310372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.8
no split for this stat
13th percentileleague avg 27.4372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%17.2%20.0%
99th percentileleague avg 8.8%372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 17.2% (99th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Runs by split
GPARR/GOBPover 0.5
vs RHP ●63271350.56.39946% (29/63)
vs LHP25101130.52.41040% (10/25)
on the road ●46195210.46.35937% (17/46)
at home42177270.64.44952% (22/42)
season88372480.55.40244% (39/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAR/PABBExBALD%SS%EV
vs RHP ●250165.30520.0%35.1%93.4
vs LHP12290.27218.9%33.3%89.7
on the road ●19510.8%131.25716.8%25.9%91.7
at home17715.3%124.33622.6%43.5%92.6
season37225519.6%34.5%92.1
0.5line
OVER+106NoVigpooled fair +117

30% boost+138pooled fair50% boost+159pooled fair

UNDER-130BetMGMfair -119 · -3.8% vs fair

30% boost+100+8.8% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+115+17.2% vs market · +19.9% vs season

Doubles

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.418.414
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason .418 (70th)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed39.8%39.7%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 39.8% (63rd)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.6%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs LHB · 83rd pctseason 9.3% (79th)146 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.4%
no comparison availableno split for this stat
379 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmGriffin Jax: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF2B2B/BFSLG
vs LHB ●23083.5%.420
vs RHB14942.7%.369
at home ●19263.1%.404
on the road18763.2%.398
season379123.2%.401

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 doubles in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.2%2.4%
6th percentileleague avg 4.1%372 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 2.2% (6th)250 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.589.653
99th percentileleague avg .386372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .589 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.294.347
99th percentileleague avg .146372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .294 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.8%20.0%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%372 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 19.8% (12th)165 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%34.5%35.1%
41st percentileleague avg 35.3%372 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 34.5% (41st)165 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed25.8
no split for this stat
13th percentileleague avg 27.4372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Soto: Doubles by split
GPA2B2B/PASLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●6327162.2%.53910% (6/63)
vs LHP2510122.0%.5238% (2/25)
on the road ●4619531.5%.4517% (3/46)
at home4217752.8%.62912% (5/42)
season8837282.2%.5349% (8/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA2B/PABBExSLGLD%SS%
vs RHP ●2502.4%165.65320.0%35.1%
vs LHP1221.6%90.46018.9%33.3%
on the road ●1951.5%131.48016.8%25.9%
at home1772.8%124.70422.6%43.5%
season3722.2%255.58519.6%34.5%
0.5line
OVER+484DraftKingsfair +467 · +2.9% vs fair

30% boost+629+28.3% vs market · -33.7% vs season50% boost+726+45.4% vs market · -24.9% vs season

UNDER-650BetMGMfair -507 · -3.6% vs fair

30% boost-500+0.2% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost-433+2.8% vs market · +11.9% vs season

Singles

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.254
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs LHB · 67th pctseason .252 (63rd)212 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%26.4%28.6%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason 26.4% (80th)231 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%32.0%
90th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%379 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 31.2% (90th)431 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF1B1B/BF
vs LHB ●2303515.2%
vs RHB1492013.4%
at home ●1922110.9%
on the road1873418.2%
season3795514.5%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career0 singles in 2 AB (.000), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%85.8%88.6%
62nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%372 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason 85.8% (62nd)271 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%20.9%19.3%
25th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%372 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 20.9% (25th)379 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%19.8%20.0%
12th percentileleague avg 23.6%372 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 19.8% (12th)165 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.8
no split for this stat
13th percentileleague avg 27.4372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupJuan Soto: Singles by split
GAB1BAVGover 0.5
vs RHP ●6321934.26546% (29/63)
vs LHP258619.31464% (16/25)
on the road ●4616224.23543% (20/46)
at home4214329.32960% (25/42)
season8830553.27951% (45/88)

● tonight's split

The BatJuan Soto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA1B/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs RHP ●25012.8%165.30520.0%35.1%
vs LHP12217.2%90.27218.9%33.3%
on the road ●19512.3%131.25716.8%25.9%
at home17716.4%124.33622.6%43.5%
season37214.8%25519.6%34.5%
0.5line
OVER+128ProphetXfair +135 · -3.2% vs fair

30% boost+166+13.2% vs market · +36.2% vs season50% boost+192+24.1% vs market · +49.3% vs season

UNDER-150bet365fair -139 · -3.1% vs fair

30% boost-115+8.5% vs market · -8.8% vs season50% boost-100+16.2% vs market · -2.3% vs season

Walks

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.9%7.4%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs LHB · 37th pctseason 7.9% (44th)231 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%66.7%65.2%
88th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%379 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 66.7% (88th)233 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/93.02.8
league avg 3.4-0.4 vs league19 startsvs LHBseason 3.0230 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFBBBB/BF
vs LHB ●230177.4%
vs RHB149138.7%
at home ●192168.3%
on the road187147.5%
season379307.9%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJuan Soto vs Griffin Jax, career1 walks in 3 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20231000000010.0001.000
20252200000002.000.000
career3200000012.000.333
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
BB%17.2%20.0%
99th percentileleague avg 8.8%372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 17.2% (99th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate20.0%18.9%
3rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%372 PAvs RHP · 1st pctseason 20.0% (3rd)570 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%61.9%59.4%
league avg 66.9%-5.0% vs league372 PAvs RHPseason 61.9%456 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJuan Soto: Walks by split
GPABBBB%OBPover 0.5
vs RHP ●632715018.5%.39956% (35/63)
vs LHP251011413.9%.41040% (10/25)
on the road ●461953216.4%.35950% (23/46)
at home421773218.1%.44952% (22/42)
season883726417.2%.40251% (45/88)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER-117Caesarsfair -106 · -4.4% vs fair

30% boost+111+8.7% vs market · +8% vs season50% boost+128+17.5% vs market · +16.7% vs season

UNDER+100Fanaticsfair +103 · -1.7% vs fair

30% boost+130+13.2% vs market · +12.4% vs season50% boost+150+23% vs market · +22.2% vs season

Stolen Bases

88 games logged
line0.5

Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.7%
no split for this stat
83rd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%8 of 461 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him2.0%
no split for this stat
80th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%9 of 461 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed8
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Juan Soto Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed25.8
no split for this stat
13th percentileleague avg 27.4372 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.080.06
67th percentileleague avg 0.0788 gamesvs RHP · 56th pctseason 0.08 (67th)63 gamessupports OVERneutral
xBA.296.305
99th percentileleague avg .240372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .296 (99th)198 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%17.2%20.0%
99th percentileleague avg 8.8%372 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 17.2% (99th)250 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJuan Soto: Stolen Bases by split
GPASBSB/Gover 0.5
vs RHP ●6327140.066% (4/63)
vs LHP2510130.128% (2/25)
on the road ●4619540.099% (4/46)
at home4217730.075% (2/42)
season8837270.087% (6/88)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+770NoVigpooled fair +682

30% boost+1001pooled fair50% boost+1155pooled fair

UNDER-1100bet365fair -683 · -4.9% vs fair

30% boost-846-2.5% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost-733-0.9% vs market · +5.9% vs season

Hitters on the prop boardNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rayssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 6:00 PM ET · not live pricing