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Francisco Alvarez
NYMbats R9th in the order · projectedNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays6:41 PMTropicana Field
facingGriffin Jax3.88 ERA · 9.71 K/9 · 1.24 WHIP · 92.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 3.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Alvarez at the plateHR/PA 3.6%barrel rate 15.5%hard-hit% 44.9%
Home Runs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed3.7%3.4%
76th percentileleague avg 2.9%380 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 3.7% (76th)149 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.0%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 9.3% (79th)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed39.8%40.0%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 39.8% (63rd)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed25.1%28.0%
39th percentileleague avg 26.6%380 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 25.1% (39th)100 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG against.418.393
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs RHB · 55th pctseason .418 (70th)134 at-batssupports OVERneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 5 | 3.4% |
| vs LHB | 230 | 9 | 3.9% |
| at home ● | 192 | 9 | 4.7% |
| on the road | 187 | 5 | 2.7% |
| season | 379 | 14 | 3.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 home runs in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.6%4.3%
69th percentileleague avg 3.0%359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 3.6% (69th)258 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate15.5%15.9%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 15.5% (96th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.9%46.5%
78th percentileleague avg 38.9%359 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 44.9% (78th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%25.6%25.5%
42nd percentileleague avg 26.8%359 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 25.6% (42nd)157 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.421.439
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (72nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.193.206
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .193 (82nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo90.1 mph90.3 mph
77th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 90.1 mph (77th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 11 | 4.5% | .425 | 13% (9/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 2 | 1.8% | .320 | 7% (2/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 6 | 3.3% | .383 | 8% (4/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 7 | 4.0% | .403 | 15% (7/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 13 | 3.6% | .392 | 11% (11/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 4.3% | 157 | 15.9% | .439 | .206 | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 101 | 2.0% | 50 | 14.0% | .369 | .156 | 89.3 |
| on the road ● | 183 | 3.3% | 105 | 16.2% | .429 | .189 | 90.7 |
| at home | 176 | 4.0% | 102 | 14.7% | .411 | .197 | 89.4 |
| season | 359 | 3.6% | 207 | 15.5% | .420 | .193 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+600Fanaticspooled fair +602
30% boost+780pooled fair50% boost+900pooled fair
UNDER-733NoVigfair -583 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-564+0.5% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost-489+2.9% vs market · +6.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+10000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.418.393
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs RHB · 55th pctseason .418 (70th)134 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xBA against.252.230
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason .252 (63rd)134 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG against.245.223
league avg .244+.001 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason .245149 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed39.8%40.0%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 39.8% (63rd)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.0%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 9.3% (79th)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmGriffin Jax: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 48 | 0.32 | .369 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 87 | 0.38 | .420 |
| at home ● | 192 | 69 | 0.36 | .404 |
| on the road | 187 | 66 | 0.35 | .398 |
| season | 379 | 135 | 0.36 | .401 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 total bases in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.421.439
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (72nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.392.437
41st percentileleague avg .400359 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason .392 (41st)258 PAneutralsupports OVER
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.245
29th percentileleague avg .244359 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason .231 (29th)258 PAsupports UNDERneutral
xISO.193.206
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .193 (82nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.9%46.5%
78th percentileleague avg 38.9%359 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 44.9% (78th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate15.5%15.9%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 15.5% (96th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.3%20.4%
15th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason 20.3% (15th)157 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 93 | 1.39 | .425 | 63% (42/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 31 | 1.07 | .320 | 59% (17/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 62 | 1.29 | .383 | 65% (31/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 62 | 1.29 | .403 | 58% (28/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 124 | 1.29 | .392 | 61% (59/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 38.8% | 157 | .439 | .206 | 15.9% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 101 | 23.8% | 50 | .369 | .156 | 14.0% | 89.3 |
| on the road ● | 183 | 33.9% | 105 | .429 | .189 | 16.2% | 90.7 |
| at home | 176 | 35.2% | 102 | .411 | .197 | 14.7% | 89.4 |
| season | 359 | 34.5% | 207 | .420 | .193 | 15.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+101ProphetXfair +102 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost+131+14.7% vs market · +42.2% vs season50% boost+151+24.7% vs market · +54.6% vs season
UNDER-115BetOnlinefair -115 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+113+14% vs market · -17.9% vs season50% boost+130+23.3% vs market · -11.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 25%SZN 31%over rate
OVER+240Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+312no market fair50% boost+360no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+410Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+533no market fair50% boost+615no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+650no market fair50% boost+750no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.230
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason .252 (63rd)134 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVG against.245.223
league avg .244+.001 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason .245149 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.4%22.8%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 26.4% (80th)149 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%31.2%29.8%
90th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%379 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 31.2% (90th)252 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 29 | 19.5% | .223 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 52 | 22.6% | .251 |
| at home ● | 192 | 36 | 18.8% | .211 |
| on the road | 187 | 45 | 24.1% | .271 |
| season | 379 | 81 | 21.4% | .240 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 hits in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.245
29th percentileleague avg .244359 PAvs RHP · 47th pctseason .231 (29th)258 PAsupports UNDERneutral
zone contact%77.3%79.0%
11th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%359 PAvs RHP · 17th pctseason 77.3% (11th)291 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%35.5%34.0%
94th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%359 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 35.5% (94th)477 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.6%28.3%
88th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%359 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 30.6% (88th)258 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.3%20.4%
15th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason 20.3% (15th)157 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 219 | 52 | .237 | 63% (42/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 97 | 21 | .216 | 59% (17/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 162 | 40 | .247 | 65% (31/48) |
| at home | 48 | 154 | 33 | .214 | 58% (28/48) |
| season | 96 | 316 | 73 | .231 | 61% (59/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 21.7% | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 101 | 16.8% | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| on the road ● | 183 | 21.9% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| at home | 176 | 18.8% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| season | 359 | 20.3% | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER-104ProphetXfair -104 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+125+14.5% vs market · +38.3% vs season50% boost+144+24.3% vs market · +50.1% vs season
UNDER-106BetOnlinefair -102 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+123+12.2% vs market · -14.2% vs season50% boost+142+21.7% vs market · -6.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+550Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2800Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3640no market fair50% boost+4200no market fair
H+R+RBI
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.230
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason .252 (63rd)134 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xERA4.42—
no split for this stat64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.418.393
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs RHB · 55th pctseason .418 (70th)134 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%7.9%8.7%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 7.9% (44th)149 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.4%22.8%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 26.4% (80th)149 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 29 | 48 | .297 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 52 | 87 | .304 |
| at home ● | 192 | 36 | 69 | .277 |
| on the road | 187 | 45 | 66 | .326 |
| season | 379 | 81 | 135 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.411.48
20th percentileleague avg 1.7496 gamesvs RHP · 24th pctseason 1.41 (20th)67 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.322—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg .310359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.392.437
41st percentileleague avg .400359 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason .392 (41st)258 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 52 | 21 | 26 | 1.48 | 66% (44/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 1.24 | 59% (17/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 1.44 | 65% (31/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.38 | 63% (30/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 73 | 28 | 34 | 1.41 | 64% (61/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 21.7% | 157 | .233 | .439 | 15.9% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 101 | 16.8% | 50 | .212 | .369 | 14.0% | 89.3 |
| on the road ● | 183 | 21.9% | 105 | .240 | .429 | 16.2% | 90.7 |
| at home | 176 | 18.8% | 102 | .214 | .411 | 14.7% | 89.4 |
| season | 359 | 20.3% | 207 | — | .420 | 15.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER-145Bovadafair -130 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-112+7.3% vs market · +20.5% vs season50% boost+103+15.2% vs market · +29.3% vs season
UNDER+112ProphetXfair +124 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost+146+9.8% vs market · -10.5% vs season50% boost+168+19.8% vs market · -2.3% vs season
RBIs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.42—
no split for this stat64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.418.393
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs RHB · 55th pctseason .418 (70th)134 at-batssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed9.3%9.0%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 9.3% (79th)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%8.7%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 7.9% (44th)149 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 29 | 5 | .369 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 52 | 9 | .420 |
| at home ● | 192 | 36 | 9 | .404 |
| on the road | 187 | 45 | 5 | .398 |
| season | 379 | 81 | 14 | .401 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 RBI in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.350.39
25th percentileleague avg 0.4496 gamesvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 0.35 (25th)67 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.421.439
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (72nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.9%46.5%
78th percentileleague avg 38.9%359 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 44.9% (78th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate15.5%15.9%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 15.5% (96th)157 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 26 | 0.39 | .425 | 31% (21/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 8 | 0.28 | .320 | 24% (7/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 14 | 0.29 | .383 | 25% (12/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 20 | 0.42 | .403 | 33% (16/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 34 | 0.35 | .392 | 29% (28/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 10.9% | 157 | .439 | 15.9% | 46.5% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 101 | 5.9% | 50 | .369 | 14.0% | 40.0% | 89.3 |
| on the road ● | 183 | 7.7% | 105 | .429 | 16.2% | 47.6% | 90.7 |
| at home | 176 | 11.4% | 102 | .411 | 14.7% | 42.2% | 89.4 |
| season | 359 | — | 207 | .420 | 15.5% | 44.9% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+260ProphetXfair +261 · -0.4% vs fair
30% boost+338+21.3% vs market · +27.8% vs season50% boost+390+35.7% vs market · +42.9% vs season
UNDER-335betPARXfair -291 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-258+3.3% vs market · -1.7% vs season50% boost-223+7.7% vs market · +2.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+800Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
Runs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.42—
no split for this stat64th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17379 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.252.230
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason .252 (63rd)134 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%7.9%8.7%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 7.9% (44th)149 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 29 | 13 | .297 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 52 | 17 | .304 |
| at home ● | 192 | 36 | 16 | .277 |
| on the road | 187 | 45 | 14 | .326 |
| season | 379 | 81 | 30 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career1 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.290.31
7th percentileleague avg 0.4696 gamesvs RHP · 13th pctseason 0.29 (7th)67 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.322—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg .310359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.0%8.9%
66th percentileleague avg 8.8%359 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 10.0% (66th)258 PAsupports OVERneutral
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 21 | 0.31 | .317 | 25% (17/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 7 | 0.24 | .315 | 21% (6/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 15 | 0.31 | .326 | 23% (11/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 13 | 0.27 | .307 | 25% (12/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 28 | 0.29 | .317 | 24% (23/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | — | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% | 90.3 |
| vs LHP | 101 | — | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% | 89.3 |
| on the road ● | 183 | 8.2% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% | 90.7 |
| at home | 176 | 8.0% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% | 89.4 |
| season | 359 | — | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+170ProphetXpooled fair +196
30% boost+221pooled fair50% boost+255pooled fair
UNDER-270ProphetXpooled fair -196
30% boost-208pooled fair50% boost-180pooled fair
Doubles
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.418.393
70th percentileleague avg .386379 batters facedvs RHB · 55th pctseason .418 (70th)134 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit% allowed39.8%40.0%
63rd percentileleague avg 38.2%380 batters facedvs RHB · 64th pctseason 39.8% (63rd)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%9.0%
79th percentileleague avg 7.4%380 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 9.3% (79th)100 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.4%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat379 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmGriffin Jax: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 4 | 2.7% | .369 |
| vs LHB | 230 | 8 | 3.5% | .420 |
| at home ● | 192 | 6 | 3.1% | .404 |
| on the road | 187 | 6 | 3.2% | .398 |
| season | 379 | 12 | 3.2% | .401 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 doubles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.3%4.3%
27th percentileleague avg 4.1%359 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason 3.3% (27th)258 PAsupports UNDERneutral
xSLG.421.439
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (72nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.193.206
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason .193 (82nd)230 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.3%20.4%
15th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason 20.3% (15th)157 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%33.8%34.4%
35th percentileleague avg 35.3%359 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 33.8% (35th)157 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 8 | 3.2% | .425 | 12% (8/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 4 | 3.6% | .320 | 14% (4/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 4 | 2.2% | .383 | 8% (4/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 8 | 4.5% | .403 | 17% (8/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 12 | 3.3% | .392 | 13% (12/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 4.3% | 157 | .439 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 101 | 1.0% | 50 | .369 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| on the road ● | 183 | 2.2% | 105 | .429 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| at home | 176 | 4.5% | 102 | .411 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| season | 359 | 3.3% | 207 | .420 | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER+700Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
Singles
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.252.230
63rd percentileleague avg .239379 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason .252 (63rd)134 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%26.4%22.8%
80th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%379 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 26.4% (80th)149 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%31.2%29.8%
90th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%379 batters facedvs RHB · 83rd pctseason 31.2% (90th)252 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmGriffin Jax: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 20 | 13.4% |
| vs LHB | 230 | 35 | 15.2% |
| at home ● | 192 | 21 | 10.9% |
| on the road | 187 | 34 | 18.2% |
| season | 379 | 55 | 14.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 singles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%77.3%79.0%
11th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%359 PAvs RHP · 17th pctseason 77.3% (11th)291 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%35.5%34.0%
94th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%359 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 35.5% (94th)477 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.3%20.4%
15th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason 20.3% (15th)157 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 219 | 33 | .237 | 42% (28/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 97 | 15 | .216 | 41% (12/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 162 | 30 | .247 | 48% (23/48) |
| at home | 48 | 154 | 18 | .214 | 35% (17/48) |
| season | 96 | 316 | 48 | .231 | 42% (40/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 258 | 13.2% | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| vs LHP | 101 | 13.9% | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| on the road ● | 183 | 16.4% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| at home | 176 | 10.2% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| season | 359 | 13.4% | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER+164ProphetXpooled fair +188
30% boost+213pooled fair50% boost+246pooled fair
UNDER-245Fliffpooled fair -188
30% boost-188pooled fair50% boost-163pooled fair
Walks
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.9%8.7%
44th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%379 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 7.9% (44th)149 batters facedneutralneutral
first-pitch strike%66.7%67.1%
88th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%379 batters facedvs RHB · 91st pctseason 66.7% (88th)149 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/93.03.2
league avg 3.4-0.4 vs league19 startsvs RHBseason 3.0149 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmGriffin Jax: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 149 | 13 | 8.7% |
| vs LHB | 230 | 17 | 7.4% |
| at home ● | 192 | 16 | 8.3% |
| on the road | 187 | 14 | 7.5% |
| season | 379 | 30 | 7.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Griffin Jax, career0 walks in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.0%8.9%
66th percentileleague avg 8.8%359 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 10.0% (66th)258 PAsupports OVERneutral
chase rate32.2%31.7%
61st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%359 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 32.2% (61st)586 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERneutral
zone swing%61.7%62.3%
league avg 66.9%-5.2% vs league359 PAvs RHPseason 61.7%467 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 23 | 9.3% | .317 | 30% (20/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 13 | 11.6% | .315 | 34% (10/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 16 | 8.7% | .326 | 29% (14/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 20 | 11.4% | .307 | 33% (16/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 36 | 10.0% | .317 | 31% (30/96) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+225Fanaticspooled fair +245
30% boost+292pooled fair50% boost+338pooled fair
UNDER-340Fanaticspooled fair -245
30% boost-262pooled fair50% boost-227pooled fair
Stolen Bases
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Griffin Jax Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.7%—
no split for this stat83rd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%8 of 461 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him2.0%—
no split for this stat80th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%9 of 461 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed8—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.000.00
6th percentileleague avg 0.0796 gamesvs RHP · 6th pctseason 0.00 (6th)67 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.228.233
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .228 (31st)230 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.0%8.9%
66th percentileleague avg 8.8%359 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 10.0% (66th)258 PAsupports OVERneutral
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 67 | 247 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/67) |
| vs LHP | 29 | 112 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/29) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 183 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/48) |
| at home | 48 | 176 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/96) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+809NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1052no market fair50% boost+1214no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rayssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 6:00 PM ET · not live pricing