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Trevor Story
BOSbats R8th in the orderSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox4:11 PMFenway Park
facingBryce Miller4.01 ERA · 8.67 K/9 · 1.11 WHIP · 98.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 7.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Story at the plateHR/PA 1.6%barrel rate 5.0%hard-hit% 41.2%
Home Runs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.5%4.9%
89th percentileleague avg 2.9%376 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 4.5% (89th)164 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed34.9%35.4%
93rd percentileleague avg 26.6%376 batters facedvs RHB · 94th pctseason 34.9% (93rd)110 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 8 | 4.9% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 9 | 4.2% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 11 | 5.2% |
| at home | 166 | 6 | 3.6% |
| season | 376 | 17 | 4.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career0 home runs in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA1.6%2.2%
18th percentileleague avg 3.0%188 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 1.6% (18th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate5.0%5.6%
27th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 5.0% (27th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%41.2%42.7%
59th percentileleague avg 38.9%188 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 41.2% (59th)89 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball%22.7%22.5%
25th percentileleague avg 26.8%188 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 22.7% (25th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.317.308
13th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .317 (13th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.106.113
24th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .106 (24th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo87.9 mph88.0 mph
45th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph188 PAvs RHP · 46th pctseason 87.9 mph (45th)89 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupTrevor Story: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 3 | 2.1% | .368 | 9% (3/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 0 | 0.0% | .220 | 0% (0/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 1 | 1.1% | .307 | 4% (1/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 2 | 2.1% | .360 | 10% (2/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 3 | 1.6% | .333 | 7% (3/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 2.2% | 89 | 5.6% | .308 | .113 | 88.0 |
| vs LHP | 49 | 0.0% | 30 | 3.3% | .327 | .082 | 87.8 |
| at home ● | 94 | 1.1% | 60 | 5.0% | .286 | .095 | 85.4 |
| on the road | 94 | 2.1% | 59 | 5.1% | .340 | .115 | 90.5 |
| season | 188 | 1.6% | 119 | 5.0% | .313 | .105 | 87.9 |
0.5line
OVER+1050Fanaticspooled fair +800
30% boost+1365pooled fair50% boost+1575pooled fair
UNDER-1730Fliffpooled fair -800
30% boost-1331pooled fair50% boost-1153pooled fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+15000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+19500no market fair50% boost+22500no market fair
Total Bases
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.228.196
league avg .244-0.016 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason .228164 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBryce Miller: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 57 | 0.35 | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 88 | 0.42 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 100 | 0.48 | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 45 | 0.27 | .298 |
| season | 376 | 145 | 0.39 | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career1 total bases in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.317.308
13th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .317 (13th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.333.341
10th percentileleague avg .400188 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .333 (10th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.226.220
22nd percentileleague avg .244188 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .226 (22nd)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.106.113
24th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .106 (24th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%41.2%42.7%
59th percentileleague avg 38.9%188 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 41.2% (59th)89 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate5.0%5.6%
27th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 5.0% (27th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.9%19.1%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 21.9% (31st)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 50 | 1.47 | .368 | 65% (22/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 9 | 0.90 | .220 | 80% (8/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 27 | 1.17 | .307 | 65% (15/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 32 | 1.52 | .360 | 71% (15/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 59 | 1.34 | .333 | 68% (30/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 32.4% | 89 | .308 | .113 | 5.6% | 88.0 |
| vs LHP | 49 | 28.6% | 30 | .327 | .082 | 3.3% | 87.8 |
| at home ● | 94 | 28.7% | 60 | .286 | .095 | 5.0% | 85.4 |
| on the road | 94 | 34.0% | 59 | .340 | .115 | 5.1% | 90.5 |
| season | 188 | 31.4% | 119 | .313 | .105 | 5.0% | 87.9 |
0.5line
OVER-160BetMGMfair -137 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-123+4.9% vs market · +23.6% vs season50% boost-107+12.2% vs market · +32.1% vs season
UNDER+125theScore Betfair +137 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost+162+10.5% vs market · -16.5% vs season50% boost+188+21% vs market · -8.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 80%L10 50%L20 40%SZN 32%over rate
OVER+190theScore Betpooled fair +204
30% boost+247pooled fair50% boost+285pooled fair
UNDER-250theScore Betpooled fair -204
30% boost-192pooled fair50% boost-167pooled fair
2.5lineL5 80%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 16%over rate
OVER+410FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+533no market fair50% boost+615no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+650FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.228.196
league avg .244-0.016 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason .228164 batters facedneutralneutral
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.8%26.7%
59th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%376 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 25.8% (59th)337 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 18.3% | .196 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 22.2% | .241 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 25.2% | .269 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 14.5% | .159 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 20.5% | .221 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career1 hits in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.226.220
22nd percentileleague avg .244188 PAvs RHP · 16th pctseason .226 (22nd)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%79.1%79.4%
17th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%188 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.1% (17th)160 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.0%31.2%
82nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%188 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 31.0% (82nd)282 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%31.9%31.7%
91st percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%188 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason 31.9% (91st)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.9%19.1%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 21.9% (31st)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 136 | 32 | .235 | 65% (22/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 41 | 8 | .195 | 80% (8/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 88 | 19 | .216 | 65% (15/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 89 | 21 | .236 | 71% (15/21) |
| season | 44 | 177 | 40 | .226 | 68% (30/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 20.9% | 89 | .195 | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| vs LHP | 49 | 22.4% | 30 | .245 | 30.0% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 94 | 20.2% | 60 | .191 | 18.3% | 28.3% |
| on the road | 94 | 22.3% | 59 | .225 | 25.4% | 35.6% |
| season | 188 | 21.3% | 119 | — | 21.8% | 31.9% |
0.5line
OVER-154ProphetXfair -135 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-118+6% vs market · +25.7% vs season50% boost-103+13.5% vs market · +34.6% vs season
UNDER+128ProphetXfair +135 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+166+13.2% vs market · -15.2% vs season50% boost+192+24.1% vs market · -7.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 80%L10 40%L20 30%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+390FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+507no market fair50% boost+585no market fair
UNDER-600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-462no market fair50% boost-400no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
H+R+RBI
44 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 57 | .239 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 88 | .302 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 100 | .306 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 45 | .235 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 145 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career1 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.801.85
52nd percentileleague avg 1.7444 gamesvs RHP · 56th pctseason 1.80 (52nd)34 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.249—
no split for this stat3rd percentileleague avg .310188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.333.341
10th percentileleague avg .400188 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .333 (10th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 32 | 12 | 19 | 1.85 | 50% (17/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.60 | 50% (5/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1.61 | 52% (12/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 2.00 | 48% (10/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 40 | 17 | 22 | 1.80 | 50% (22/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 20.9% | 89 | .195 | .308 | 5.6% | 88.0 |
| vs LHP | 49 | 22.4% | 30 | .245 | .327 | 3.3% | 87.8 |
| at home ● | 94 | 20.2% | 60 | .191 | .286 | 5.0% | 85.4 |
| on the road | 94 | 22.3% | 59 | .225 | .340 | 5.1% | 90.5 |
| season | 188 | 21.3% | 119 | — | .313 | 5.0% | 87.9 |
1.5line
OVER+115Bovadafair +119 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+150+13.8% vs market · +24.8% vs season50% boost+172+24.3% vs market · +36.2% vs season
UNDER-120NoVigfair -121 · +0.2% vs fair
30% boost+108+14% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+125+23.1% vs market · +12.5% vs season
RBIs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 8 | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 9 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 11 | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 6 | .298 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 17 | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career0 RBI in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.500.56
68th percentileleague avg 0.4444 gamesvs RHP · 81st pctseason 0.50 (68th)34 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.317.308
13th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .317 (13th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%41.2%42.7%
59th percentileleague avg 38.9%188 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 41.2% (59th)89 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate5.0%5.6%
27th percentileleague avg 7.8%188 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 5.0% (27th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 19 | 0.56 | .368 | 29% (10/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 3 | 0.30 | .220 | 20% (2/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 11 | 0.48 | .307 | 26% (6/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 11 | 0.52 | .360 | 29% (6/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 22 | 0.50 | .333 | 27% (12/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 10.1% | 89 | .308 | 5.6% | 42.7% | 88.0 |
| vs LHP | 49 | 16.3% | 30 | .327 | 3.3% | 36.7% | 87.8 |
| at home ● | 94 | 11.7% | 60 | .286 | 5.0% | 35.0% | 85.4 |
| on the road | 94 | 11.7% | 59 | .340 | 5.1% | 47.5% | 90.5 |
| season | 188 | — | 119 | .313 | 5.0% | 41.2% | 87.9 |
0.5line
OVER+217NoVigfair +224 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+282+18.1% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+326+31.5% vs market · +16% vs season
UNDER-260theScore Betfair -228 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-200+4.2% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost-173+9.6% vs market · +14.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+700FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 9 | .239 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 16 | .302 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 11 | .306 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 14 | .235 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 25 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career6 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.390.35
30th percentileleague avg 0.4644 gamesvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 0.39 (30th)34 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.249—
no split for this stat3rd percentileleague avg .310188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.3%4.3%
8th percentileleague avg 8.8%188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 4.3% (8th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 12 | 0.35 | .266 | 32% (11/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 5 | 0.50 | .244 | 30% (3/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 7 | 0.30 | .245 | 26% (6/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 10 | 0.48 | .277 | 38% (8/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 17 | 0.39 | .261 | 32% (14/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | — | 89 | .195 | 19.1% | 30.3% | 88.0 |
| vs LHP | 49 | — | 30 | .245 | 30.0% | 36.7% | 87.8 |
| at home ● | 94 | 7.4% | 60 | .191 | 18.3% | 28.3% | 85.4 |
| on the road | 94 | 10.6% | 59 | .225 | 25.4% | 35.6% | 90.5 |
| season | 188 | — | 119 | — | 21.8% | 31.9% | 87.9 |
0.5line
OVER+160theScore Betfair +173 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost+208+12.7% vs market · -2% vs season50% boost+240+24.4% vs market · +8.2% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -173 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-154+4.6% vs market · +12.5% vs season50% boost-133+10.9% vs market · +19.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed20.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat376 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBryce Miller: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 1 | 0.6% | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 10 | 4.8% | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 3 | 1.8% | .298 |
| season | 376 | 13 | 3.5% | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career0 doubles in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.3%5.0%
86th percentileleague avg 4.1%188 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 5.3% (86th)139 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.317.308
13th percentileleague avg .386188 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason .317 (13th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.106.113
24th percentileleague avg .146188 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .106 (24th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.9%19.1%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 21.9% (31st)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%31.9%30.3%
20th percentileleague avg 35.3%188 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason 31.9% (20th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupTrevor Story: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 9 | 6.3% | .368 | 26% (9/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 1 | 2.2% | .220 | 10% (1/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 5 | 5.3% | .307 | 22% (5/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 5 | 5.3% | .360 | 24% (5/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 10 | 5.3% | .333 | 23% (10/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 5.0% | 89 | .308 | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| vs LHP | 49 | 6.1% | 30 | .327 | 30.0% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 94 | 5.3% | 60 | .286 | 18.3% | 28.3% |
| on the road | 94 | 5.3% | 59 | .340 | 25.4% | 35.6% |
| season | 188 | 5.3% | 119 | .313 | 21.8% | 31.9% |
0.5line
OVER+475theScore Betfair +467 · +1.4% vs fair
30% boost+618+26.3% vs market · +63.1% vs season50% boost+712+43% vs market · +84.7% vs season
UNDER-625BetMGMfair -493 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost-481+0.4% vs market · -6.7% vs season50% boost-417+3% vs market · -4.2% vs season
Singles
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.8%26.7%
59th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%376 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 25.8% (59th)337 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 20 | 12.2% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 30 | 14.3% |
| at home | 166 | 15 | 9.0% |
| season | 376 | 45 | 12.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career1 singles in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%79.1%79.4%
17th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%188 PAvs RHP · 19th pctseason 79.1% (17th)160 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.0%31.2%
82nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%188 PAvs RHP · 84th pctseason 31.0% (82nd)282 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.9%19.1%
31st percentileleague avg 23.6%188 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 21.9% (31st)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupTrevor Story: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 136 | 20 | .235 | 47% (16/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 41 | 7 | .195 | 70% (7/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 88 | 13 | .216 | 52% (12/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 89 | 14 | .236 | 52% (11/21) |
| season | 44 | 177 | 27 | .226 | 52% (23/44) |
● tonight's split
The BatTrevor Story: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 139 | 13.7% | 89 | .195 | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| vs LHP | 49 | 16.3% | 30 | .245 | 30.0% | 36.7% |
| at home ● | 94 | 13.8% | 60 | .191 | 18.3% | 28.3% |
| on the road | 94 | 14.9% | 59 | .225 | 25.4% | 35.6% |
| season | 188 | 14.4% | 119 | — | 21.8% | 31.9% |
0.5line
OVER+120BetMGMfair +124 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+156+14.4% vs market · +33.8% vs season50% boost+180+25.2% vs market · +46.4% vs season
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -126 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.4% vs market · -8% vs season50% boost+107+15.4% vs market · -1.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%64.9%64.6%
77th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%376 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason 64.9% (77th)164 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.41.9
league avg 3.4-1.1 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason 2.4164 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBryce Miller: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 9 | 5.5% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 16 | 7.5% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 11 | 5.2% |
| at home | 166 | 14 | 8.4% |
| season | 376 | 25 | 6.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadTrevor Story vs Bryce Miller, career0 walks in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | .334 |
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
BB%4.3%4.3%
8th percentileleague avg 8.8%188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 4.3% (8th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate43.9%44.9%
98th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%188 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 43.9% (98th)272 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%68.9%69.0%
league avg 66.9%+2.0% vs league188 PAvs RHPseason 68.9%232 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupTrevor Story: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 6 | 4.2% | .266 | 18% (6/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 2 | 4.4% | .244 | 20% (2/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 4 | 4.3% | .245 | 17% (4/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 4 | 4.3% | .277 | 19% (4/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 8 | 4.3% | .261 | 18% (8/44) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+310Fanaticsfair +311 · -0.2% vs fair
30% boost+403+22.2% vs market · -8.5% vs season50% boost+465+37.3% vs market · +2.7% vs season
UNDER-401DraftKingsfair -322 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-308+1% vs market · +8.3% vs season50% boost-267+4.8% vs market · +12.4% vs season
Stolen Bases
44 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.2%—
no split for this stat63rd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%5 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him1.4%—
no split for this stat61st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed5—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Trevor Story Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4188 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.090.06
71st percentileleague avg 0.0744 gamesvs RHP · 56th pctseason 0.09 (71st)34 gamessupports OVERneutral
xBA.211.195
14th percentileleague avg .240188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason .211 (14th)133 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.3%4.3%
8th percentileleague avg 8.8%188 PAvs RHP · 8th pctseason 4.3% (8th)139 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupTrevor Story: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 34 | 143 | 2 | 0.06 | 6% (2/34) |
| vs LHP | 10 | 45 | 2 | 0.20 | 20% (2/10) |
| at home ● | 23 | 94 | 2 | 0.09 | 9% (2/23) |
| on the road | 21 | 94 | 2 | 0.10 | 10% (2/21) |
| season | 44 | 188 | 4 | 0.09 | 9% (4/44) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+600DraftKingsfair +553 · +7.2% vs fair
30% boost+780+34.6% vs market · -20% vs season50% boost+900+53% vs market · -9.1% vs season
UNDER-700BetMGMfair -634 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost-538+2.4% vs market · +7.8% vs season50% boost-467+4.9% vs market · +10.4% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Soxsorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing