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Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSbats R3rd in the orderSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox4:11 PMFenway Park
facingBryce Miller4.01 ERA · 8.67 K/9 · 1.11 WHIP · 98.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.5% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 7.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Rafaela at the plateHR/PA 2.8%barrel rate 5.3%hard-hit% 31.8%
Home Runs
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.5%4.9%
89th percentileleague avg 2.9%376 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 4.5% (89th)164 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed34.9%35.4%
93rd percentileleague avg 26.6%376 batters facedvs RHB · 94th pctseason 34.9% (93rd)110 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 8 | 4.9% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 9 | 4.2% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 11 | 5.2% |
| at home | 166 | 6 | 3.6% |
| season | 376 | 17 | 4.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career0 home runs in 3 AB (.333), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.8%2.6%
49th percentileleague avg 3.0%566 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 2.8% (49th)417 PAneutralneutral
barrel rate5.3%5.1%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%566 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason 5.3% (30th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%31.8%30.8%
18th percentileleague avg 38.9%566 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 31.8% (18th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%26.1%24.8%
45th percentileleague avg 26.8%566 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason 26.1% (45th)315 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG.355.351
31st percentileleague avg .386566 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .355 (31st)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.109.102
25th percentileleague avg .146566 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason .109 (25th)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo85.9 mph85.4 mph
23rd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph566 PAvs RHP · 17th pctseason 85.9 mph (23rd)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 14 | 3.4% | .443 | 13% (13/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 2 | 1.3% | .446 | 6% (2/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 6 | 2.1% | .418 | 9% (6/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 10 | 3.5% | .470 | 14% (9/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 16 | 2.8% | .444 | 11% (15/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 2.6% | 315 | 5.1% | .351 | .102 | 85.4 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 3.4% | 103 | 5.8% | .354 | .126 | 87.2 |
| at home ● | 284 | 2.1% | 215 | 5.1% | .346 | .107 | 84.8 |
| on the road | 282 | 3.5% | 203 | 5.4% | .358 | .109 | 86.9 |
| season | 566 | 2.8% | 418 | 5.3% | .352 | .108 | 85.8 |
0.5line
OVER+1076NoVigpooled fair +844
30% boost+1399pooled fair50% boost+1614pooled fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betpooled fair -844
30% boost-1538pooled fair50% boost-1333pooled fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+15000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+19500no market fair50% boost+22500no market fair
Total Bases
132 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.228.196
league avg .244-0.016 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason .228164 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBryce Miller: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 57 | 0.35 | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 88 | 0.42 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 100 | 0.48 | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 45 | 0.27 | .298 |
| season | 376 | 145 | 0.39 | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career1 total bases in 3 AB (.333), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.355.351
31st percentileleague avg .386566 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .355 (31st)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.444.429
74th percentileleague avg .400566 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .444 (74th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.282.286
88th percentileleague avg .244566 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason .282 (88th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.109.102
25th percentileleague avg .146566 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason .109 (25th)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%31.8%30.8%
18th percentileleague avg 38.9%566 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 31.8% (18th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate5.3%5.1%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%566 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason 5.3% (30th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%24.9%25.7%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%566 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 24.9% (66th)315 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 170 | 1.73 | .443 | 46% (45/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 66 | 1.94 | .446 | 56% (19/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 112 | 1.67 | .418 | 48% (32/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 124 | 1.91 | .470 | 49% (32/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 236 | 1.79 | .444 | 48% (64/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 40.3% | 315 | .351 | .102 | 5.1% | 85.4 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 45.6% | 103 | .354 | .126 | 5.8% | 87.2 |
| at home ● | 284 | 39.4% | 215 | .346 | .107 | 5.1% | 84.8 |
| on the road | 282 | 44.0% | 203 | .358 | .109 | 5.4% | 86.9 |
| season | 566 | 41.7% | 418 | .352 | .108 | 5.3% | 85.8 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 60%L20 70%SZN 75%over rate
OVER-245Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-188no market fair50% boost-163no market fair
UNDER+200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+260no market fair50% boost+300no market fair
1.5line
OVER+138NoVigfair +135 · +1.2% vs fair
30% boost+179+18.7% vs market · +35.5% vs season50% boost+207+30.5% vs market · +48.8% vs season
UNDER-142ProphetXfair -137 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost-109+10.5% vs market · -1.3% vs season50% boost+106+18.7% vs market · +5.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 22%over rate
OVER+310BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+550FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+1200FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1700Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
Hits
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.228.196
league avg .244-0.016 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason .228164 batters facedneutralneutral
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.8%26.7%
59th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%376 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 25.8% (59th)337 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 18.3% | .196 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 22.2% | .241 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 25.2% | .269 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 14.5% | .159 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 20.5% | .221 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career1 hits in 3 AB (.333), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG.282.286
88th percentileleague avg .244566 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason .282 (88th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%84.8%84.5%
53rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%566 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 84.8% (53rd)509 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%24.9%24.3%
49th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%566 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 24.9% (49th)870 swingsneutralneutral
K%20.3%18.9%
38th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%566 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 20.3% (38th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.9%25.7%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%566 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 24.9% (66th)315 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 384 | 106 | .276 | 74% (73/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 148 | 44 | .297 | 76% (26/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 268 | 77 | .287 | 75% (50/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 264 | 73 | .277 | 75% (49/65) |
| season | 132 | 532 | 150 | .282 | 75% (99/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 26.9% | 315 | .249 | 25.7% | 36.5% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 25.5% | 103 | .228 | 23.3% | 34.0% |
| at home ● | 284 | 27.1% | 215 | .239 | 20.5% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 282 | 25.9% | 203 | .249 | 30.0% | 37.9% |
| season | 566 | 26.5% | 418 | — | 25.1% | 35.9% |
0.5line
OVER-240ProphetXfair -214 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-185+5.1% vs market · +15.6% vs season50% boost-160+10.8% vs market · +21.9% vs season
UNDER+203NoVigfair +211 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost+264+16.8% vs market · -9% vs season50% boost+304+29.8% vs market · +1.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 30%SZN 31%over rate
OVER+240BetRiverspooled fair +225
30% boost+312pooled fair50% boost+360pooled fair
UNDER-275BetMGMpooled fair -225
30% boost-212pooled fair50% boost-183pooled fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1200BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
132 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 57 | .239 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 88 | .302 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 100 | .306 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 45 | .235 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 145 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career1 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.172.15
88th percentileleague avg 1.74132 gamesvs RHP · 86th pctseason 2.17 (88th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.280—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg .310566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
SLG.444.429
74th percentileleague avg .400566 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .444 (74th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 106 | 51 | 54 | 2.15 | 56% (55/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 44 | 16 | 16 | 2.24 | 56% (19/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 77 | 33 | 36 | 2.18 | 58% (39/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 73 | 34 | 34 | 2.17 | 54% (35/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 150 | 67 | 70 | 2.17 | 56% (74/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 26.9% | 315 | .249 | .351 | 5.1% | 85.4 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 25.5% | 103 | .228 | .354 | 5.8% | 87.2 |
| at home ● | 284 | 27.1% | 215 | .239 | .346 | 5.1% | 84.8 |
| on the road | 282 | 25.9% | 203 | .249 | .358 | 5.4% | 86.9 |
| season | 566 | 26.5% | 418 | — | .352 | 5.3% | 85.8 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 60%L20 75%SZN 78%over rate
OVER-344NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-265no market fair50% boost-229no market fair
1.5line
OVER-117ProphetXfair -112 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+111+11.5% vs market · +18.4% vs season50% boost+128+20.5% vs market · +27.9% vs season
UNDER+105BetMGMfair +109 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost+136+13.3% vs market · +3.9% vs season50% boost+157+23.3% vs market · +13.1% vs season
RBIs
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 8 | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 9 | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 11 | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 6 | .298 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 17 | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career0 RBI in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.530.55
76th percentileleague avg 0.44132 gamesvs RHP · 78th pctseason 0.53 (76th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.355.351
31st percentileleague avg .386566 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .355 (31st)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%31.8%30.8%
18th percentileleague avg 38.9%566 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 31.8% (18th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate5.3%5.1%
30th percentileleague avg 7.8%566 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason 5.3% (30th)315 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 54 | 0.55 | .443 | 36% (35/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 16 | 0.47 | .446 | 32% (11/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 36 | 0.54 | .418 | 37% (25/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 34 | 0.52 | .470 | 32% (21/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 70 | 0.53 | .444 | 35% (46/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 10.6% | 315 | .351 | 5.1% | 30.8% | 85.4 |
| vs LHP | 149 | 17.4% | 103 | .354 | 5.8% | 34.9% | 87.2 |
| at home ● | 284 | 12.7% | 215 | .346 | 5.1% | 33.5% | 84.8 |
| on the road | 282 | 12.1% | 203 | .358 | 5.4% | 30.0% | 86.9 |
| season | 566 | — | 418 | .352 | 5.3% | 31.8% | 85.8 |
0.5line
OVER+199NoVigfair +204 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+259+18% vs market · +25% vs season50% boost+299+31.1% vs market · +38.9% vs season
UNDER-210BetMGMfair -215 · +0.7% vs fair
30% boost-162+10.4% vs market · +5.5% vs season50% boost-140+16.9% vs market · +11.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2800BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3640no market fair50% boost+4200no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Runs
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.18—
no split for this stat15th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17376 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 30 | 9 | .239 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 47 | 16 | .302 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 53 | 11 | .306 |
| at home | 166 | 24 | 14 | .235 |
| season | 376 | 77 | 25 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career4 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.510.52
67th percentileleague avg 0.46132 gamesvs RHP · 70th pctseason 0.51 (67th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.280—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg .310566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%3.7%3.4%
5th percentileleague avg 8.8%566 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 3.7% (5th)417 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 51 | 0.52 | .313 | 42% (41/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 16 | 0.47 | .329 | 35% (12/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 33 | 0.49 | .322 | 40% (27/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 34 | 0.52 | .313 | 40% (26/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 67 | 0.51 | .317 | 40% (53/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | — | 315 | .249 | 25.7% | 36.5% | 85.4 |
| vs LHP | 149 | — | 103 | .228 | 23.3% | 34.0% | 87.2 |
| at home ● | 284 | 11.6% | 215 | .239 | 20.5% | 34.0% | 84.8 |
| on the road | 282 | 12.1% | 203 | .249 | 30.0% | 37.9% | 86.9 |
| season | 566 | — | 418 | — | 25.1% | 35.9% | 85.8 |
0.5line
OVER+130theScore Betfair +141 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost+169+11.9% vs market · +8% vs season50% boost+195+22.7% vs market · +18.4% vs season
UNDER-160BetMGMfair -142 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.4% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost-107+13.7% vs market · +16% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Doubles
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.363.342
34th percentileleague avg .386376 batters facedvs RHB · 23rd pctseason .363 (34th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed33.1%31.8%
15th percentileleague avg 38.2%376 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason 33.1% (15th)110 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.4%9.1%
49th percentileleague avg 7.4%376 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.4% (49th)110 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed20.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat376 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBryce Miller: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 1 | 0.6% | .373 |
| vs LHB | 212 | 12 | 5.7% | .451 |
| on the road ● | 210 | 10 | 4.8% | .508 |
| at home | 166 | 3 | 1.8% | .298 |
| season | 376 | 13 | 3.5% | .417 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career0 doubles in 3 AB (.333), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.7%5.5%
90th percentileleague avg 4.1%566 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 5.7% (90th)417 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.355.351
31st percentileleague avg .386566 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .355 (31st)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.109.102
25th percentileleague avg .146566 PAvs RHP · 20th pctseason .109 (25th)394 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%24.9%25.7%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%566 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 24.9% (66th)315 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%35.9%36.5%
58th percentileleague avg 35.3%566 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 35.9% (58th)315 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 20 | 4.9% | .443 | 19% (19/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 12 | 7.7% | .446 | 29% (10/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 17 | 6.0% | .418 | 21% (14/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 15 | 5.3% | .470 | 23% (15/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 32 | 5.7% | .444 | 22% (29/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 5.5% | 315 | .351 | 25.7% | 36.5% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 6.0% | 103 | .354 | 23.3% | 34.0% |
| at home ● | 284 | 6.0% | 215 | .346 | 20.5% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 282 | 5.3% | 203 | .358 | 30.0% | 37.9% |
| season | 566 | 5.7% | 418 | .352 | 25.1% | 35.9% |
0.5line
OVER+350theScore Betfair +342 · +1.9% vs fair
30% boost+455+25.4% vs market · +21.9% vs season50% boost+525+41.3% vs market · +37.3% vs season
UNDER-450BetMGMfair -355 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-346+0.5% vs market · +0.6% vs season50% boost-300+4% vs market · +4% vs season
Singles
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.213.183
19th percentileleague avg .239376 batters facedvs RHB · 4th pctseason .213 (19th)154 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%24.5%26.8%
64th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%376 batters facedvs RHB · 82nd pctseason 24.5% (64th)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.8%26.7%
59th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%376 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 25.8% (59th)337 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBryce Miller: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 20 | 12.2% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 25 | 11.8% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 30 | 14.3% |
| at home | 166 | 15 | 9.0% |
| season | 376 | 45 | 12.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career1 singles in 3 AB (.333), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%84.8%84.5%
53rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%566 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 84.8% (53rd)509 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%24.9%24.3%
49th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%566 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 24.9% (49th)870 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%24.9%25.7%
66th percentileleague avg 23.6%566 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 24.9% (66th)315 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 384 | 71 | .276 | 54% (53/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 148 | 28 | .297 | 56% (19/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 268 | 54 | .287 | 55% (37/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 264 | 45 | .277 | 54% (35/65) |
| season | 132 | 532 | 99 | .282 | 55% (72/132) |
● tonight's split
The BatCeddanne Rafaela: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 417 | 18.7% | 315 | .249 | 25.7% | 36.5% |
| vs LHP | 149 | 14.1% | 103 | .228 | 23.3% | 34.0% |
| at home ● | 284 | 19.0% | 215 | .239 | 20.5% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 282 | 16.0% | 203 | .249 | 30.0% | 37.9% |
| season | 566 | 18.0% | 418 | — | 25.1% | 35.9% |
0.5line
OVER-130theScore Betfair -115 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost+100+7% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost+115+15.2% vs market · +17.5% vs season
UNDER+100BetMGMfair +115 · -6.8% vs fair
30% boost+130+7.2% vs market · +4.5% vs season50% boost+150+16.5% vs market · +13.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
Walks
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.6%5.5%
22nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%376 batters facedvs RHB · 8th pctseason 6.6% (22nd)164 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%64.9%64.6%
77th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%376 batters facedvs RHB · 74th pctseason 64.9% (77th)164 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/92.41.9
league avg 3.4-1.1 vs league17 startsvs RHBseason 2.4164 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBryce Miller: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 164 | 9 | 5.5% |
| vs LHB | 212 | 16 | 7.5% |
| on the road ● | 210 | 11 | 5.2% |
| at home | 166 | 14 | 8.4% |
| season | 376 | 25 | 6.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCeddanne Rafaela vs Bryce Miller, career1 walks in 4 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .833 |
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
BB%3.7%3.4%
5th percentileleague avg 8.8%566 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 3.7% (5th)417 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate45.3%45.6%
98th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%566 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 45.3% (98th)791 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%71.5%71.3%
league avg 66.9%+4.6% vs league566 PAvs RHPseason 71.5%714 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 15 | 3.6% | .313 | 13% (13/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 6 | 3.9% | .329 | 18% (6/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 11 | 3.9% | .322 | 15% (10/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 10 | 3.5% | .313 | 14% (9/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 21 | 3.7% | .317 | 14% (19/132) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+300Hard Rockfair +307 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost+390+20.5% vs market · -29.5% vs season50% boost+450+35.3% vs market · -20.8% vs season
UNDER-413DraftKingsfair -318 · -5.5% vs fair
30% boost-318+0.1% vs market · +12.6% vs season50% boost-275+3.7% vs market · +16.7% vs season
Stolen Bases
132 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Bryce Miller Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.2%—
no split for this stat63rd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%5 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him1.4%—
no split for this stat61st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 419 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed5—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Ceddanne Rafaela Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.0—
no split for this stat90th percentileleague avg 27.4566 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.130.12
83rd percentileleague avg 0.07132 gamesvs RHP · 81st pctseason 0.13 (83rd)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.246.249
56th percentileleague avg .240566 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason .246 (56th)394 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%3.7%3.4%
5th percentileleague avg 8.8%566 PAvs RHP · 3rd pctseason 3.7% (5th)417 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCeddanne Rafaela: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 411 | 12 | 0.12 | 12% (12/98) |
| vs LHP | 34 | 155 | 5 | 0.15 | 12% (4/34) |
| at home ● | 67 | 284 | 7 | 0.10 | 10% (7/67) |
| on the road | 65 | 282 | 10 | 0.15 | 14% (9/65) |
| season | 132 | 566 | 17 | 0.13 | 12% (16/132) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+525NoVigpooled fair +499
30% boost+682pooled fair50% boost+788pooled fair
UNDER-700BetMGMfair -531 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-538-0.2% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost-467+2.2% vs market · +6.7% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Soxsorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing