NHLAngle 1bet365
Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 Anytime Goal
Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Starspuck drop 8:00 PM ET
last 5 1 of 5 · 20%last 10 3 of 10 · 30%last 20 5 of 20 · 25%season 3 of 9 · 33%
Next best +525 at Bally BetSame 0.5 line
NHL PLAYER PROPS · Thursday, October 22
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Jets vs Stars player props, and the case against each one.
Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars, puck drop 8:00 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
ON THURSDAY'S CARD
Kyle Connor Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
-133at NoVig
connor has 3 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 and is averaging 4.56 a game through 9 this season, which is 100th percentile among forwards.
he plays 20.8 minutes a night, 96th percentile, and opened the year with 9 shots against boston, so 2.5 sits well below where the role keeps putting him.
This one was on the Lab's card for Thursday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 Anytime Goal | +550 | bet365 | over in 30% of his last ten; Miro Heiskanen averages 0.33 goals a game through 9 games this season, against 0.07 for defencemen (97th percentile of 247 defencemen), and 0.12 a game over 77 games last season |
| Tyler Seguin Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | +110 | Fanatics | over in 70% of his last ten; Tyler Seguin averaged 16.7 minutes of ice time a game over 27 games last season, against 14.8 for forwards (68th percentile of 476 forwards) |
The reads behind them
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against the best price a reader can take, with the vig still in it, and against what the matchup says. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, and the price is taken as the books post it, vig included, which is the stricter test. A prop only appears when at least two books quote it and the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.
Why this pick?
Miro Heiskanen has scored a goal in 33% of 9 games this season, 25% of his last twenty, 30% of his last ten and 20% of his last five.
Miro Heiskanen averages 0.33 goals a game through 9 games this season, against 0.07 for defencemen (97th percentile of 247 defencemen), and 0.12 a game over 77 games last season.
Miro Heiskanen averages 1.44 shots on goal a game through 9 games this season, against 1.13 for defencemen (75th percentile of 247 defencemen), and 1.92 a game over 77 games last season.
Miro Heiskanen averages 25.7 minutes of ice time a game through 9 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (96th percentile of 247 defencemen), and 25.5 a game over 77 games last season.
NHLAngle 2Fanatics
Tyler Seguin Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Starspuck drop 8:00 PM ET
Full game log and every book on Tyler Seguin
+110Fanatics
last 5 4 of 5 · 80%last 10 7 of 10 · 70%last 20 9 of 20 · 45%season 7 of 9 · 78%
Next best +105 at BovadaSame 1.5 line
Why this pick?
Tyler Seguin has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 78% of 9 games this season, 45% of his last twenty, 70% of his last ten and 80% of his last five.
Tyler Seguin averaged 16.7 minutes of ice time a game over 27 games last season, against 14.8 for forwards (68th percentile of 476 forwards).
What this is, and what it is not
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, not on price, and none of it is called an edge. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Thursday.
Built from the Lab's board for Thursday, October 22 and published at Oct 22, 12:12 PM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.