Research

What happens to the Rangers' player props without Igor Shesterkin?

Quick answer

In the 37 regular-season games New York has played without Igor Shesterkin since the start of 2025-26, 31 last season and 6 this season, the Rangers faced 28.54 shots a game (median 28) against 27.95 (median 27) in the 56 games he played, and their goalies allowed 2.92 goals a game against 2.46. Their own shots went from 25.34 a game with him to 24.54 without. Dylan Garand has started all 6 games without him this season, with 22.00 saves a game (median 23.5) at a .930 save percentage. Six games this season is a small sample.

Igor Shesterkin will not play for the Rangers at Toronto on Thursday, October 22, 2026. The ESPN injury feed lists him on injured reserve in an entry dated October 11, 2026, which reads that he “will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury”. He has missed the Rangers’ last 5 games, and 1 more earlier this season, so with last season’s 31 our NHL game logs hold 37 regular-season games without him since the start of 2025-26. Why he missed the 2025-26 games is not in our logs, so the cause of those absences is unknown here.

A game counts as with Shesterkin when he played at least 12 minutes, a fifth of regulation. He played at least 50 minutes in every game he played but two. On October 9, 2026 at Washington he played 28 minutes, stopping 13 of 14 shots, and Dylan Garand played the last 30, stopping 11 of 12. On January 5, 2026 vs Utah he played 13 minutes with 9 saves on 9 shots, and Jonathan Quick played the rest, allowing 3 goals on 18 shots. Both games count as with him. Last season’s games without him included a run of 13 from January 8 to February 5.

In goal: with Shesterkin against without him

GoalieStartsSaves a game (median)Save %Goals against a game
Igor Shesterkin, 2025-26 and 2026-275625.02 (24).9132.39
Jonathan Quick, 2025-26 without him2424.29 (23).8932.92
Spencer Martin, 2025-26 without him426.50 (27).8763.75
Dylan Garand, 2025-26 without him330.33 (29).9481.67
Dylan Garand, 2026-27 without him622.00 (23.5).9301.67

Quick’s average includes two starts he left after 31 and 32 minutes, January 10, 2026 at Boston and January 14, 2026 vs Ottawa; in his 22 full starts he averaged 25.36 saves (median 24). Garand’s 2026-27 line includes October 15 at New Jersey, when he left after 24 minutes with 9 saves on 13 shots and Spencer Martin played the last 35; in his 5 full starts this season he averaged 24.60 saves (median 25).

As a team, the Rangers faced 27.95 shots a game with Shesterkin (median 27) and 28.54 without him (median 28), and their goalies allowed 2.46 goals a game with him (median 2) against 2.92 without (median 3). Their own shots went from 25.34 a game with him (median 24) to 24.54 without (median 23), and they scored 2.98 goals a game with him (median 3) against 2.70 without (median 2). Goals against here are the goals charged to the Rangers’ goalies and team goals are the skaters’ goals in our logs, so empty-net goals against and shootout winners are not counted.

Since 2025-26: the skaters, with Shesterkin against without him

PlayerGames with, withoutShots with (median)Shots without (median)Points withPoints withoutMinutes withMinutes without
Mika Zibanejad55, 372.62 (2)2.43 (2)0.930.9720.7021.15
Alexis Lafrenière56, 372.05 (2)1.92 (2)0.770.7317.8517.64
Adam Fox45, 211.49 (1)1.71 (2)0.980.9023.1523.54
J.T. Miller47, 321.91 (1)2.12 (2)0.680.8820.0019.81
Will Cuylle56, 372.20 (2)1.65 (1)0.540.3816.9516.39
Gabe Perreault32, 281.06 (1)2.21 (2)0.560.5715.3116.90

Shots are shots on goal and points are goals plus assists, both per game the player played. Cuylle reached 3 shots in 23 of his 56 games with Shesterkin and 12 of his 37 without.

This season, game by game

GameGoalie, saves on shotsGoals againstRangers shots, goalsZibanejad shots, pointsLafrenièreDorofeyevCuylle
Sep 29 at BostonShesterkin, 20 on 22224, 02, 00, 05, 03, 0
Oct 1 vs Tampa BayShesterkin, 24 on 25124, 43, 23, 05, 23, 0
Oct 2 at DetroitGarand, 22 on 22021, 21, 01, 02, 02, 1
Oct 4 vs UtahShesterkin, 28 on 30222, 40, 14, 13, 02, 1
Oct 6 vs NY IslandersShesterkin, 17 on 19224, 53, 23, 40, 04, 1
Oct 9 at WashingtonShesterkin, 13 on 14; Garand, 11 on 12222, 12, 01, 14, 11, 0
Oct 11 vs VancouverGarand, 19 on 21225, 63, 22, 22, 03, 2
Oct 13 vs Tampa BayGarand, 25 on 26123, 43, 14, 22, 04, 1
Oct 15 at New JerseyGarand, 9 on 13; Martin, 15 on 18719, 10, 01, 15, 10, 0
Oct 17 at ColumbusGarand, 28 on 29129, 01, 00, 02, 02, 0
Oct 19 vs AnaheimGarand, 29 on 31230, 51, 13, 25, 13, 0

In the 6 games without Shesterkin this season the Rangers faced 26.67 shots a game (median 27.5) and allowed 2.17 goals (median 1.5), against 24.40 shots and 1.80 goals in the 5 with him. Zibanejad has 1.50 shots a game without him this season (median 1) against 2.00 with him, and Pavel Dorofeyev, new to the Rangers, 3.00 (median 2) against 3.40 (median 4).

What this can and cannot tell you

A goalie’s absence shows up first in goal: who starts, how many shots he faces and how many saves he makes. Here the Rangers faced a few more shots without Shesterkin, 28.54 a game against 27.95, and allowed more goals, 2.92 against 2.46. This season Garand has stopped .930 of the shots he faced in his 6 starts, against Shesterkin’s .913 over both seasons, and six starts is far too few to say what his rate is. Cuylle shot less and Perreault more in the games without him, but a goalie does not take a forward’s shots, so those are patterns in these games with the cause unknown. Last season’s 31 games without him were spread across the season, with one run of 13, and the 6 this season are the only ones with this year’s goalies and lineup. None of it forecasts Thursday’s game at Toronto, and none of it says anything about prices.

Where to find these

When the Rangers’ game is on the Lab board, open Garand’s saves page, Zibanejad’s shots on goal page, Dorofeyev’s, Lafrenière’s and Cuylle’s for every game beside every result. What to read on a shots line is in stats for NHL shots on goal props, and the same question for another starting goalie is in Jets props without Connor Hellebuyck.

Source: our NHL game logs, regular season only, 2025-26 and 2026-27 through the Rangers’ October 19, 2026 game. Shesterkin’s status as listed on the ESPN injury feed, entry dated October 11, 2026, read October 21, 2026.

Written by Ben at Steezanomics. Every public Lab play since Sep 25, 2026 is logged, losses included.

Quick answers

Who starts in goal for the Rangers without Shesterkin?

This season, Dylan Garand has started all 6 games without him: 22.00 saves a game (median 23.5) at a .930 save percentage, with 1.67 goals against a game. That average includes October 15 at New Jersey, when he was replaced after 24 minutes; in his 5 full starts he averaged 24.60 saves (median 25). Last season Jonathan Quick started 24 of the 31 games without Shesterkin, Spencer Martin 4 and Garand 3.

How many saves did Shesterkin make a game?

25.02 a game (median 24) in his 56 regular-season games since the start of 2025-26, on 27.41 shots against (median 26.5), at a .913 save percentage, with 2.39 goals against a game.

Do the Rangers' skaters shoot differently without Shesterkin?

Mostly not by much. Across both seasons Mika Zibanejad averaged 2.62 shots on goal with him and 2.43 without, and Alexis Lafrenière 2.05 and 1.92. Will Cuylle went from 2.20 to 1.65, and Gabe Perreault from 1.06 to 2.21, with his minutes up from 15.31 to 16.90. A goalie does not take a forward's shots, so the cause is unknown.

What about Pavel Dorofeyev?

He is new to the Rangers this season, so his only games without Shesterkin are this season's 6: 3.00 shots a game (median 2) and 0.33 points, against 3.40 shots (median 4) and 0.60 points in the 5 games with him.

Does this tell me what will happen at Toronto?

No. Thirty-seven games across two seasons, three starting goalies and two rosters describe what happened; they do not forecast Thursday's game, and they say nothing about the prices.

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