STEEZANOMICS.

Nick Muse

ATL · NFLTEATL @ TBSun 1:00 PM
FacingTampa Bay Buccaneersdefence0.7 TDs allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 3 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

7 games logged

Nick Muse Anytime TD · 7 games logged

1 of 7 (14%) scored a touchdown over all 7 · to score +2800 BetMGM · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
0
0
0
1

quoted at 0.5: O +2800 (BetMGM) · no under

9/13@ PIT9/20vs CAR9/24@ GB10/5@ NO10/11vs BAL10/18vs CHI10/25vs SF

latest1 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs SF

TD

1 of 7 (14%) cleared 0.5 over all 7

red zone touchesno range set0.1 avg over the 7 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2all0.1

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Nick Muse Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.140.200.14
SZN
28th percentile for mostleague avg 0.357 games (2026)37th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.1428th percentile for mostleague avg 0.357 games (2026)supports UNDER60/88 TEssupports UNDER60/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.140.200.14
SZN
20th percentile for mostleague avg 0.507 games (2026)30th percentileleague avg 0.505 games (last 5)2026 season 0.1420th percentile for mostleague avg 0.507 games (2026)supports UNDER65/88 TEssupports UNDER65/88 TEssupports UNDER
receptions per game0.290.400.29
SZN
8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)9th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 0.298th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports UNDER81/88 TEssupports UNDER81/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone target share3.4%3.4%3.4%
SZN
22nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%5 games with red zone data (2026)22nd percentileleague avg 11.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 3.4%22nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER69/88 TEssupports UNDER69/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%5 games with red zone data (2026)48th percentileleague avg 0.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT5/88 TEsneutral5/88 TEsneutral
red zone touch share2.0%2.0%2.0%
SZN
31st percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%5 games with red zone data (2026)31st percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 2.0%31st percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER60/88 TEssupports UNDER60/88 TEssupports UNDER
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.60.7
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 total68th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.779th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.01.3
SZN
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 total32nd percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 1.363rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.37 games (2026) · 9 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.71.81.9
SZN
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 total13th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.921st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

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