Josh Downs

IND · NFLWRIND @ JAXSun 1:00 PM
FacingJacksonville Jaguarsdefence139.0 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2026) · ranks 15 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

37 games logged

Josh Downs Anytime TD · 37 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +475 Fanatics · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +475 (Fanatics) · no under

9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN10/25@ MIN

latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ MIN

TD

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.4last 200.7last 300.620260.620250.620240.5all0.6

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.620.400.57
SZN
85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3416 games (2025)60th percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5777th percentile for mostleague avg 0.367 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.940.600.71
SZN
84th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6016 games (2025)54th percentileleague avg 0.645 games (last 5)2026 season 0.7164th percentile for mostleague avg 0.647 games (2026)supports OVERneutral50/142 WRssupports OVER
receptions per game3.623.403.71
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7516 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7171st percentile for mostleague avg 2.797 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER41/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone target share19.7%20.0%22.7%
SZN
76th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%16 games with red zone data (2025)76th percentileleague avg 14.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 22.7%81st percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER33/134 WRssupports OVER28/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%3.8%2.7%
SZN
38th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)94th percentileleague avg 0.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 2.7%93rd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/134 WRssupports OVER10/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone touch share7.1%6.1%7.8%
SZN
78th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)69th percentileleague avg 4.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 7.8%80th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER30/134 WRssupports OVER28/142 WRssupports OVER
JAX · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.80.40.5
SZN
34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 total3rd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.510th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs3.13.83.3
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 52 total90th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.384th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.22.01.8
SZN
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 38 total26th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for IND @ JAX →

Receptions

37 games logged

Josh Downs Receptions · 37 games logged

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20 · over +128 betPARX · under −145 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line3.5
3.5
4
6
6
3
6
1
2
2
4
3
5
2
4
2
7
5
3
3
4
2

quoted at 3.5: O +128 (betPARX) · U -145 (bet365)

9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN10/25@ MIN

latest2 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ MIN

3.5

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set6.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.6last 106.4last 206.0last 306.220266.620255.520247.6all6.5

Receptions: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.623.403.71
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7516 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7171st percentile for mostleague avg 2.797 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER41/142 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.506.606.57
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)79th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5779th percentile for mostleague avg 4.527 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER31/142 WRssupports OVER
target share17.3%19.9%20.4%
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%16 games (2025)74th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 20.4%76th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%7 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/142 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%80.2%81.9%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.9%86th percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%7 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER21/142 WRssupports OVER
JAX · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.314.813.7
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 210 total97th percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.782nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.46 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs21.222.621.0
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 360 total97th percentileleague avg 18.65 games (last 5)2026 season 21.081st percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.66 games (2026) · 126 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.324.823.3
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 396 total90th percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 23.384th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.56 games (2026) · 140 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for IND @ JAX →

Receiving Yards

37 games logged

Josh Downs Receiving Yards · 37 games logged

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 33.5 over his last 20 · over −109 Courtside · under −115 DraftKings · prices from

line33.5
33.5
24
54
42
39
57
3
10
44
23
13
65
34
61
37
72
77
16
47
40
18

quoted at 33.5: O -109 (Courtside) · U -115 (DraftKings)

9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN10/25@ MIN

latest18 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ MIN

33.5

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 33.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.4last 103.7last 203.7last 303.920263.720253.620245.1all4.2

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.623.403.71
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7516 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7171st percentile for mostleague avg 2.797 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER41/142 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.506.606.57
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)79th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5779th percentile for mostleague avg 4.527 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER31/142 WRssupports OVER
target share17.3%19.9%20.4%
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%16 games (2025)74th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 20.4%76th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%7 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/142 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%80.2%81.9%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.9%86th percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%7 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER21/142 WRssupports OVER
JAX · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs139.0226.4210.0
SZN
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2363 total100th percentileleague avg 149.45 games (last 5)2026 season 210.0100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.46 games (2026) · 1260 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs12.314.813.7
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 210 total97th percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.782nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.46 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed231.3298.6283.0
SZN
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 total94th percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 283.094th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.16 games (2026) · 1698 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.865.258.7
SZN
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 710 total97th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 58.784th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.56 games (2026) · 352 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for IND @ JAX →

Longest Reception

37 games logged

Josh Downs Longest Reception · 37 games logged

11 of 20 (55%) cleared 16.5 over his last 20 · over +100 Bally Bet · under −124 DraftKings · prices from

line16.5
16.5
8
12
11
18
17
3
6
34
12
8
18
18
30
25
20
24
9
42
23
13

quoted at 16.5: O +100 (Bally Bet) · U -124 (DraftKings)

9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN10/25@ MIN

latest13 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ MIN

16.5

11 of 20 (55%) cleared 16.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set6.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.6last 106.4last 206.0last 306.220266.620255.520247.6all6.5

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.623.403.71
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7516 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7171st percentile for mostleague avg 2.797 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER41/142 WRssupports OVER
yards per catch10.0811.0812.03
SZN
19th percentile for mostleague avg 13.0516 games (2025)35th percentileleague avg 13.395 games (last 5)2026 season 12.0345th percentile for mostleague avg 13.397 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER77/140 WRsneutral
air yards per target7.4710.099.65
SZN
13th percentile for mostleague avg 11.4216 games (2025)43rd percentileleague avg 11.105 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6538th percentile for mostleague avg 11.107 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral89/142 WRssupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.250.600.71
SZN
21st percentile for mostleague avg 0.5416 games (2025)66th percentileleague avg 0.535 games (last 5)2026 season 0.7172nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.537 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER39/142 WRssupports OVER
JAX · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.93.43.3
SZN
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 32 total100th percentileleague avg 2.15 games (last 5)2026 season 3.398th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.16 games (2026) · 20 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.81.41.3
SZN
50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 13 total94th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.394th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.30.80.8
SZN
40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 5 total94th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.894th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.865.258.7
SZN
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 710 total97th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 58.784th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.56 games (2026) · 352 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced285.2315.2300.7
SZN
90th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4848 total94th percentileleague avg 251.95 games (last 5)2026 season 300.787th percentile for most facedleague avg 251.96 games (2026) · 1804 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for IND @ JAX →

Rush + Rec Yards

37 games logged

Josh Downs Rush + Rec Yards · 37 games logged

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 30.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from

line30.5
30.5
24
54
42
39
57
3
10
44
23
13
68
34
56
37
72
77
16
47
47
18

quoted at 30.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)

9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN10/25@ MIN

latest18 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ MIN

30.5

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 30.5 over his last 20

touchesno range set3.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.6last 104.0last 203.9last 304.020263.920253.820245.2all4.3

Rush + Rec Yards: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.753.603.86
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9116 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.935 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8671st percentile for mostleague avg 2.937 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER41/142 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.506.606.57
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)79th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5779th percentile for mostleague avg 4.527 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER31/142 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%80.2%81.9%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.9%86th percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%7 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER21/142 WRssupports OVER
JAX · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs139.0226.4210.0
SZN
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2363 total100th percentileleague avg 149.45 games (last 5)2026 season 210.0100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.46 games (2026) · 1260 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs0.54.26.0
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 8 total71st percentileleague avg 3.25 games (last 5)2026 season 6.081st percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.26 games (2026) · 36 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed231.3298.6283.0
SZN
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 total94th percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 283.094th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.16 games (2026) · 1698 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.865.258.7
SZN
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 710 total97th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 58.784th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.56 games (2026) · 352 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for IND @ JAX →

New lines every morning · Today’s board · Results

Other markets

Josh Downs, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 0 of 10 (0%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
Yes +475
show
Receptions3.5
last 10 5 of 10 (50%) · last 20 10 of 20 (50%)
O +128 · U −145
show
Longest Reception16.5
last 10 8 of 10 (80%) · last 20 11 of 20 (55%)
O +100 · U −124
show
Rush + Rec Yards30.5
last 10 8 of 10 (80%) · last 20 13 of 20 (65%)
O −115 · U −115
show
O 33.5 −109 Courtside · U 33.5 −115 DraftKingsprices from