Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · NFL

IND @ JAX

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 29, 2026 · 6–8 games per defense

JAX defense allowsWhat Indianapolis sees

6 games

JAX funnels toward QB passing yards: 3rd-most allowed (283.0). Offenses pass 0.2 pp less often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rec yards / game · WR	210.0	+40.6%
Supports OVER Keenan Alleno37.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Josh Downso33.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 8/10 Laquon Treadwello25.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL7 3/7
3	QB pass yards / game	283.0	+19.9%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso190.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
4	QB pass yards / attempt	8.01	+13.3%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso190.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
5	Receptions / game · RB	5.5	+21.9%
Supports OVER Jonathan Tayloro2.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 5/10 Seth McGowano0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L7 4/7
6	Target share · WR	62.1%	+4.2 pp
Supports OVER Keenan Alleno4.5 Receptions−103 betPARXL10 6/10 Josh Downso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 5/10 Laquon Treadwello2.5 Receptions+138 CourtsideL7 2/7 Keenan Alleno37.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10 Josh Downso33.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 8/10 Laquon Treadwello25.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL7 3/7
6	QB completions / game	23.3	+8.5%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso19.5 Completions−105 betPARXL10 4/10
T6	Receptions / game · WR	13.7	+19.4%
Supports OVER Keenan Alleno4.5 Receptions−103 betPARXL10 6/10 Josh Downso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 5/10 Laquon Treadwello2.5 Receptions+138 CourtsideL7 2/7
6	RZ targets / game · WR	3.33	+32.1%
Supports OVER Anthony Gouldo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Ashton Dulino0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Deion Burkso0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL6 0/6 Josh Downso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL10 0/10 Keenan Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+400 FanDuelL10 1/10 Laquon Treadwello0.5 Anytime TD+800 FanDuelL7 0/7
7	Rec yards / game · RB	38.3	+19.6%
Supports OVER Jonathan Tayloro15.5 Rec Yards−116 CourtsideL10 5/10 Seth McGowano3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 1/7
T8	QB pass attempts / game	35.3	+5.5%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso31.5 Passing Attempts−111 BetMGML10 4/10
9	Dropbacks / game	38.8	+3.4%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso31.5 Passing Attempts−111 BetMGML10 4/10
10	Target share · RB	19.7%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Jonathan Tayloro2.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 5/10 Seth McGowano0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L7 4/7 Jonathan Tayloro15.5 Rec Yards−116 CourtsideL10 5/10 Seth McGowano3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 1/7
10	Dropback success rate	46.8%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso190.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
10	Dropback explosive rate	9.0%	+1.0 pp
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso32.5 Longest Completion−107 Bally BetL10 5/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.67	+28.9%
Supports OVER Drew Ogletreeo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Mo Alie-Coxo0.5 Anytime TD+1850 BetMGML10 2/10 Pharaoh Browno0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Bally BetL10 0/10 Tyler Warreno0.5 Anytime TD+335 Bally BetL10 3/10 Will Malloryo0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 0/10
12	QB completion rate	66.0%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso19.5 Completions−105 betPARXL10 4/10
T14	RZ targets / game · TE	1.17	−11.0%
No lean at 14 (tied) of 32 Drew Ogletree0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 1/10 over Mo Alie-Cox0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 2/10 over Pharaoh Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +3000L10 0/10 over Tyler Warren0.5 Anytime TDo +335L10 3/10 over Will Mallory0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L10 0/10 over
T16	Red-zone trips / game	3.33	+0.9%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Anthony Gould0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Ashton Dulin0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 0/10 over Daniel Jones0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 1/10 over Deion Burks0.5 Anytime TDo +1750L6 0/6 over DJ Giddens0.5 Anytime TDo +3400L9 0/9 over Drew Ogletree0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 1/10 over Jonathan Taylor0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 7/10 over Josh Downs0.5 Anytime TDo +475L10 0/10 over Keenan Allen0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 1/10 over Laquon Treadwell0.5 Anytime TDo +800L7 0/7 over Mo Alie-Cox0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 2/10 over Pharaoh Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +3000L10 0/10 over Seth McGowan0.5 Anytime TDo +380L7 0/7 over Tyler Warren0.5 Anytime TDo +335L10 3/10 over Will Mallory0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L10 0/10 over
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.035	−0.03
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu190.5 Passing Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
23	Offensive plays faced / game	59.0	−4.3%
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu31.5 Passing Attempts−103 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
28	Rush success rate	34.7%	−5.6 pp
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7 Daniel Jonesu8.5 Rush Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 6/10
28	Receptions / game · TE	4.2	−24.3%
Supports UNDER Tyler Warrenu4.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 4/10 Mo Alie-Coxu0.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 4/10 Will Malloryu0.5 Receptions+122 bet365L10 6/10
T28	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.50	−44.9%
T28	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.50	−43.0%
29	Target share · TE	18.2%	−5.8 pp
Supports UNDER Tyler Warrenu4.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 4/10 Mo Alie-Coxu0.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 4/10 Will Malloryu0.5 Receptions+122 bet365L10 6/10 Tyler Warrenu35.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Will Malloryu4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Mo Alie-Coxu0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
29	RZ targets / game · RB	0.33	−56.1%
30	Rush explosive rate	5.8%	−3.5 pp
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru13.5 Longest Rush−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Seth McGowanu8.5 Longest Rush−120 DraftKingsL7 3/7 Daniel Jonesu7.5 Longest Rush−125 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
31	RB carries / game	17.3	−21.8%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru15.5 Rushing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 2/10 Seth McGowanu6.5 Rushing Attempts+100 bet365L7 6/7
31	Rec yards / game · TE	34.7	−36.4%
Supports UNDER Tyler Warrenu35.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Will Malloryu4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Mo Alie-Coxu0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
32	RB yards / carry	2.97	−27.3%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7
32	RB rush yards / game	51.5	−43.5%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7
32	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.222	−0.13
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7

IND defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

7 games

IND leans toward TE targets: 13th-most allowed (24.6%). Offenses pass 1.3 pp less often than expected against IND.

IND allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
5	Rush success rate	43.6%	+3.2 pp
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno64.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o31.5 Rush Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Trevor Lawrenceo11.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
6	RB yards / carry	4.49	+9.8%
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno64.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o31.5 Rush Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10
6	Rec yards / game · RB	38.7	+20.8%
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno16.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Rec Yards+182 bet365L10 3/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.71	+36.6%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+650 FanaticsL6 1/6 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
T8	RZ targets / game · TE	1.57	+19.4%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+650 FanaticsL6 1/6 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
12	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.075	+0.02
Supports OVER Bhayshul Tuteno64.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o31.5 Rush Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10
12	QB pass yards / attempt	7.47	+5.8%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo240.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
12	Dropback EPA / play	+0.082	+0.02
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo240.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
13	Target share · TE	24.6%	+0.6 pp
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo3.5 Receptions−135 BetMGML10 5/10 Nate Boerkirchero1.5 Receptions+183 CourtsideL6 2/6 Brenton Strangeo40.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL10 5/10 Nate Boerkirchero7.5 Rec Yards−106 CourtsideL6 4/6
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.86	−5.2%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD−109 Bally BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+310 Bally BetL10 5/10 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL10 0/10
14	RB rush yards / game	95.6	+4.9%
No lean at 14 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten64.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.31.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −111L10 7/10 over
15	Target share · WR	58.1%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Parker Washington4.5 Receptionso −120 · u +105L10 7/10 over Jakobi Meyers3.5 Receptionso +130 · u −150L10 5/10 over Josh Cameron2.5 Receptionso +112 · u −130L6 1/6 over Brian Thomas Jr.1.5 Receptionso −110 · u +114L10 7/10 over Travis Hunter1.5 Receptionso −135 · u +118L10 5/10 over Parker Washington67.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 7/10 over Jakobi Meyers34.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −115L10 7/10 over Josh Cameron22.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −105L6 2/6 over Brian Thomas Jr.16.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −115L10 7/10 over Travis Hunter14.5 Rec Yardso −116 · u −109L10 6/10 over
16	Target share · RB	17.2%	−0.8 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten2.5 Receptionso +138 · u −152L10 1/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Receptionso +155 · u −200L10 3/10 over Bhayshul Tuten16.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −111L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Rec Yardso +182 · u −240L10 3/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · RB	0.57	−24.2%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Ameer Abdullah0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Bhayshul Tuten0.5 Anytime TDo −109L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +310L10 5/10 over LeQuint Allen Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L10 0/10 over
17	Dropback explosive rate	8.4%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Trevor Lawrence39.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −113L10 2/10 over
18	Rush explosive rate	9.2%	−0.1 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten15.5 Longest Rusho −107 · u −104L10 3/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.11.5 Longest Rusho −110 · u −110L10 5/10 over Trevor Lawrence8.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u −106L10 6/10 over
T18	Receptions / game · TE	4.9	−11.8%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Brenton Strange3.5 Receptionso −135 · u +127L10 5/10 over Nate Boerkircher1.5 Receptionso +183 · u −220L6 2/6 over
20	RB carries / game	21.3	−4.0%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu15.5 Rushing Attempts−118 betPARXL10 8/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u7.5 Rushing Attempts−103 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
20	Rec yards / game · WR	141.6	−5.2%
Supports UNDER Parker Washingtonu67.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 3/10 Jakobi Meyersu34.5 Rec Yards−115 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Josh Cameronu22.5 Rec Yards−105 bet365L6 4/6 Brian Thomas Jr.u16.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10 Travis Hunteru14.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T20	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.71	−19.1%
21	Rec yards / game · TE	45.3	−17.0%
Supports UNDER Brenton Strangeu40.5 Rec Yards−105 FanaticsL10 5/10 Nate Boerkircheru7.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL6 2/6
22	QB pass yards / game	227.4	−3.7%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu240.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
T22	Red-zone trips / game	2.86	−13.4%
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	2.00	−20.7%
24	Receptions / game · WR	10.1	−11.4%
Supports UNDER Parker Washingtonu4.5 Receptions+105 BovadaL10 3/10 Jakobi Meyersu3.5 Receptions−150 bet365L10 5/10 Josh Cameronu2.5 Receptions−130 BetOnline.agL6 5/6 Brian Thomas Jr.u1.5 Receptions+114 betPARXL10 3/10 Travis Hunteru1.5 Receptions+118 FanDuelL10 5/10
T25	QB pass attempts / game	30.4	−9.2%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu30.5 Passing Attempts−102 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T26	Receptions / game · RB	3.4	−24.0%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu2.5 Receptions−152 DraftKingsL10 9/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L10 7/10
27	Dropback success rate	42.2%	−3.3 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu240.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
27	QB completion rate	61.0%	−3.2 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu19.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
28	Dropbacks / game	33.9	−9.9%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu30.5 Passing Attempts−102 DraftKingsL10 6/10
29	QB completions / game	18.6	−13.6%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu19.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
30	Offensive plays faced / game	57.1	−7.3%
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu30.5 Passing Attempts−102 DraftKingsL10 6/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

JAX defense allowsWhat Indianapolis sees

17 games

JAX leans toward QB passing yards: 14th-most allowed (231.3). Offenses pass 1.7 pp more often than expected against JAX.

JAX allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB pass attempts / game	37.4	+16.5%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso31.5 Passing Attempts−111 BetMGML10 4/10
1	Dropbacks / game	41.5	+13.9%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso31.5 Passing Attempts−111 BetMGML10 4/10
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER Daniel Joneso19.5 Completions−105 betPARXL10 4/10
T4	Receptions / game · WR	12.3	+12.0%
Supports OVER Keenan Alleno4.5 Receptions−103 betPARXL10 6/10 Josh Downso3.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 5/10 Laquon Treadwello2.5 Receptions+138 CourtsideL7 2/7
T4	RZ targets / game · WR	3.06	+28.9%
Supports OVER Anthony Gouldo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Ashton Dulino0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Deion Burkso0.5 Anytime TD+1750 Hard Rock BetL6 0/6 Josh Downso0.5 Anytime TD+475 FanaticsL10 0/10 Keenan Alleno0.5 Anytime TD+400 FanDuelL10 1/10 Laquon Treadwello0.5 Anytime TD+800 FanDuelL7 0/7
6	Receptions / game · TE	6.1	+16.5%
Supports OVER Tyler Warreno4.5 Receptions+104 betPARXL10 6/10 Mo Alie-Coxo0.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 6/10 Will Malloryo0.5 Receptions−155 bet365L10 4/10
8	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+12.6%
Supports OVER Jonathan Tayloro2.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 5/10 Seth McGowano0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L7 4/7
10	Rec yards / game · TE	59.1	+10.8%
Supports OVER Tyler Warreno35.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10 Will Malloryo4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Mo Alie-Coxo0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.47	+7.7%
Supports OVER Drew Ogletreeo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Mo Alie-Coxo0.5 Anytime TD+1850 BetMGML10 2/10 Pharaoh Browno0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Bally BetL10 0/10 Tyler Warreno0.5 Anytime TD+335 Bally BetL10 3/10 Will Malloryo0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 0/10
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Drew Ogletreeo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Mo Alie-Coxo0.5 Anytime TD+1850 BetMGML10 2/10 Pharaoh Browno0.5 Anytime TD+3000 Bally BetL10 0/10 Tyler Warreno0.5 Anytime TD+335 Bally BetL10 3/10 Will Malloryo0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL10 0/10
12	Rec yards / game · RB	33.3	+5.2%
Supports OVER Jonathan Tayloro15.5 Rec Yards−116 CourtsideL10 5/10 Seth McGowano3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 1/7
14	QB pass yards / game	231.3	+2.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Daniel Jones190.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −110L10 5/10 over
15	Target share · WR	58.5%	+0.5 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Keenan Allen4.5 Receptionso −103 · u −120L10 6/10 over Josh Downs3.5 Receptionso +128 · u −145L10 5/10 over Laquon Treadwell2.5 Receptionso +138 · u −166L7 2/7 over Keenan Allen37.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −111L10 4/10 over Josh Downs33.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −115L10 8/10 over Laquon Treadwell25.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −114L7 3/7 over
15	Rec yards / game · WR	139.0	−0.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Keenan Allen37.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −111L10 4/10 over Josh Downs33.5 Rec Yardso −109 · u −115L10 8/10 over Laquon Treadwell25.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −114L7 3/7 over
17	Target share · TE	24.2%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Tyler Warren4.5 Receptionso +104 · u −120L10 6/10 over Mo Alie-Cox0.5 Receptionso −120 · u −110L10 6/10 over Will Mallory0.5 Receptionso −155 · u +122L10 4/10 over Tyler Warren35.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −111L10 4/10 over Will Mallory4.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L10 4/10 over Mo Alie-Cox0.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L10 6/10 over
17	Offensive plays faced / game	60.6	+0.1%
No lean at 17 of 32 Daniel Jones31.5 Passing Attemptso −111 · u −103L10 4/10 over
21	Target share · RB	17.2%	−0.7 pp
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru2.5 Receptions−108 FanDuelL10 5/10 Seth McGowanu0.5 Receptions+155 bet365L7 3/7 Jonathan Tayloru15.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Seth McGowanu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 6/7
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.82	−7.8%
22	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.086	−0.03
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7
23	Dropback success rate	43.2%	−2.4 pp
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu190.5 Passing Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
T25	QB completion rate	62.4%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu19.5 Completions−105 bet365L10 6/10
T25	RZ targets / game · RB	0.53	−29.6%
T26	Red-zone trips / game	2.76	−13.8%
27	Dropback explosive rate	6.7%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu32.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
28	Rush explosive rate	7.7%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru13.5 Longest Rush−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Seth McGowanu8.5 Longest Rush−120 DraftKingsL7 3/7 Daniel Jonesu7.5 Longest Rush−125 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
28	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.65	−27.4%
29	Rush success rate	37.0%	−4.4 pp
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7 Daniel Jonesu8.5 Rush Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 6/10
29	RB yards / carry	3.87	−10.7%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7
30	QB pass yards / attempt	6.19	−11.8%
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu190.5 Passing Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
30	Dropback EPA / play	−0.113	−0.16
Supports UNDER Daniel Jonesu190.5 Passing Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
32	RB carries / game	17.6	−19.5%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru15.5 Rushing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 2/10 Seth McGowanu6.5 Rushing Attempts+100 bet365L7 6/7
32	RB rush yards / game	68.0	−28.3%
Supports UNDER Jonathan Tayloru57.5 Rush Yards−110 betPARXL10 3/10 Seth McGowanu20.5 Rush Yards−115 Hard Rock BetL7 4/7

IND defense allowsWhat Jacksonville sees

17 games

IND funnels toward QB passing yards: 2nd-most allowed (262.5). Offenses pass 0.1 pp more often than expected against IND.

IND allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Receptions / game · WR	13.4	+21.6%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+130 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Josh Camerono2.5 Receptions+112 FanDuelL6 1/6 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 7/10 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions−135 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
1	RZ targets / game · WR	3.65	+53.7%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+380 BetMGML10 2/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML6 2/6 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+105 BetMGML10 6/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 2/10
2	QB pass attempts / game	36.9	+15.0%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo30.5 Passing Attempts−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
2	Rec yards / game · WR	168.3	+20.6%
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono67.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso34.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Josh Camerono22.5 Rec Yards−115 CourtsideL6 2/6 Brian Thomas Jr.o16.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Travis Huntero14.5 Rec Yards−116 CourtsideL10 6/10
2	Rec yards / game · TE	69.8	+30.9%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo40.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL10 5/10 Nate Boerkirchero7.5 Rec Yards−106 CourtsideL6 4/6
2	QB pass yards / game	262.5	+16.6%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo240.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
2	Offensive plays faced / game	64.8	+6.9%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo30.5 Passing Attempts−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
3	QB completions / game	23.4	+13.2%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo19.5 Completions−108 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
3	Red-zone trips / game	3.94	+23.0%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD−109 Bally BetL10 5/10 Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+380 BetMGML10 2/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+310 Bally BetL10 5/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML6 2/6 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL10 0/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+650 FanaticsL6 1/6 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+105 BetMGML10 6/10 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 2/10 Trevor Lawrenceo0.5 Anytime TD+320 BovadaL10 2/10
T4	RZ targets / game · TE	1.65	+34.9%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Nate Boerkirchero0.5 Anytime TD+650 FanaticsL6 1/6 Quintin Morriso0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tanner Koziolo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
4	Dropbacks / game	40.8	+12.0%
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo30.5 Passing Attempts−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
7	Receptions / game · TE	6.0	+14.2%
Supports OVER Brenton Strangeo3.5 Receptions−135 BetMGML10 5/10 Nate Boerkirchero1.5 Receptions+183 CourtsideL6 2/6
12	Target share · WR	60.2%	+2.2 pp
Supports OVER Parker Washingtono4.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso3.5 Receptions+130 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Josh Camerono2.5 Receptions+112 FanDuelL6 1/6 Brian Thomas Jr.o1.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 7/10 Travis Huntero1.5 Receptions−135 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Parker Washingtono67.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 7/10 Jakobi Meyerso34.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Josh Camerono22.5 Rec Yards−115 CourtsideL6 2/6 Brian Thomas Jr.o16.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Travis Huntero14.5 Rec Yards−116 CourtsideL10 6/10
T12	RZ targets / game · RB	0.82	+8.9%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD−109 Bally BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+310 Bally BetL10 5/10 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL10 0/10
13	Dropback success rate	47.6%	+1.9 pp
Supports OVER Trevor Lawrenceo240.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 6/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−1.7%
Supports OVER Ameer Abdullaho0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Bhayshul Tuteno0.5 Anytime TD−109 Bally BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+310 Bally BetL10 5/10 LeQuint Allen Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL10 0/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER Brian Thomas Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+380 BetMGML10 2/10 CJ Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Jakobi Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Josh Camerono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML6 2/6 Parker Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+105 BetMGML10 6/10 Travis Huntero0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML10 2/10
14	Rush success rate	42.0%	+0.6 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten64.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.31.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −111L10 7/10 over Trevor Lawrence11.5 Rush Yardso −105 · u −113L10 5/10 over
14	QB pass yards / attempt	7.12	+1.3%
No lean at 14 of 32 Trevor Lawrence240.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 6/10 over
14	Dropback EPA / play	+0.061	+0.02
No lean at 14 of 32 Trevor Lawrence240.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 6/10 over
15	RB carries / game	21.7	−0.7%
No lean at 15 of 32 Bhayshul Tuten15.5 Rushing Attemptso +105 · u −118L10 2/10 over Chris Rodriguez Jr.7.5 Rushing Attemptso +100 · u −103L10 6/10 over
15	Dropback explosive rate	8.2%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Trevor Lawrence39.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −113L10 2/10 over
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Brenton Strange0.5 Anytime TDo +210L10 3/10 over Nate Boerkircher0.5 Anytime TDo +650L6 1/6 over Quintin Morris0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Tanner Koziol0.5 Anytime TDo +4000
19	Target share · TE	23.8%	−0.1 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Brenton Strange3.5 Receptionso −135 · u +127L10 5/10 over Nate Boerkircher1.5 Receptionso +183 · u −220L6 2/6 over Brenton Strange40.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −105L10 5/10 over Nate Boerkircher7.5 Rec Yardso −106 · u −110L6 4/6 over
21	QB completion rate	63.3%	−1.0 pp
Supports UNDER Trevor Lawrenceu19.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
22	Rush explosive rate	9.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu15.5 Longest Rush−104 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u11.5 Longest Rush−110 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Trevor Lawrenceu8.5 Longest Rush−106 betPARXL10 4/10
T22	Receptions / game · RB	3.9	−7.9%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu2.5 Receptions−152 DraftKingsL10 9/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L10 7/10
23	RB rush yards / game	86.8	−8.6%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu64.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u31.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 3/10
24	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.088	−0.04
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu64.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u31.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 3/10
26	RB yards / carry	4.00	−7.7%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu64.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u31.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 3/10
T27	Target share · RB	16.0%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu2.5 Receptions−152 DraftKingsL10 9/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Receptions−200 bet365L10 7/10 Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Rec Yards−240 bet365L10 7/10
29	Rec yards / game · RB	24.4	−22.8%
Supports UNDER Bhayshul Tutenu16.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Chris Rodriguez Jr.u0.5 Rec Yards−240 bet365L10 7/10