Jose Fermin
STLbats R7th in the orderSt. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers10:11 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Home Runs
98 games logged| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 8 | 2.8% |
| vs LHB | 321 | 8 | 2.5% |
| at home ● | 324 | 10 | 3.1% |
| on the road | 283 | 6 | 2.1% |
| season | 607 | 16 | 2.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 2 | 1.2% | .265 | 3% (2/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 4 | 2.6% | .455 | 10% (4/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 3 | 2.1% | .386 | 7% (3/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 3 | 1.8% | .327 | 6% (3/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 6 | 1.9% | .355 | 6% (6/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 1.2% | 132 | 1.5% | .309 | .078 | 86.0 |
| vs LHP | 141 | 2.8% | 111 | 3.6% | .371 | .108 | 85.9 |
| on the road ● | 144 | 2.1% | 116 | 2.6% | .371 | .097 | 87.8 |
| at home | 169 | 1.8% | 127 | 2.4% | .307 | .086 | 84.2 |
| season | 313 | 1.9% | 243 | 2.5% | .337 | .091 | 85.9 |
30% boost+1586pooled fair50% boost+1830pooled fair
30% boost-1205-1.2% vs market · +1.7% vs season50% boost-1045-0.1% vs market · +2.9% vs season
30% boost+18200no market fair50% boost+21000no market fair
Total Bases
98 games logged| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 87 | 0.30 | .328 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 87 | 0.27 | .293 |
| at home ● | 324 | 103 | 0.32 | .346 |
| on the road | 283 | 71 | 0.25 | .269 |
| season | 607 | 174 | 0.29 | .310 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 39 | 0.67 | .265 | 43% (25/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 60 | 1.50 | .455 | 68% (27/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 51 | 1.11 | .386 | 54% (25/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 48 | 0.92 | .327 | 52% (27/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 99 | 1.01 | .355 | 53% (52/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 25.6% | 132 | .309 | .078 | 1.5% | 86.0 |
| vs LHP | 141 | 39.0% | 111 | .371 | .108 | 3.6% | 85.9 |
| on the road ● | 144 | 35.4% | 116 | .371 | .097 | 2.6% | 87.8 |
| at home | 169 | 28.4% | 127 | .307 | .086 | 2.4% | 84.2 |
| season | 313 | 31.6% | 243 | .337 | .091 | 2.5% | 85.9 |
30% boost-108+9% vs market · +2.3% vs season50% boost+107+17% vs market · +9.9% vs season
30% boost+156+12.6% vs market · +20.2% vs season50% boost+180+23.2% vs market · +31.4% vs season
30% boost+286pooled fair50% boost+330pooled fair
30% boost-231pooled fair50% boost-200pooled fair
30% boost+685no market fair50% boost+790no market fair
30% boost+1118no market fair50% boost+1290no market fair
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
98 games logged| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 51 | 17.8% | .192 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 54 | 16.8% | .182 |
| at home ● | 324 | 57 | 17.6% | .191 |
| on the road | 283 | 48 | 17.0% | .182 |
| season | 607 | 105 | 17.3% | .187 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 147 | 29 | .197 | 43% (25/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 132 | 38 | .288 | 68% (27/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 132 | 33 | .250 | 54% (25/46) |
| at home | 52 | 147 | 34 | .231 | 52% (27/52) |
| season | 98 | 279 | 67 | .240 | 53% (52/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 19.2% | 132 | .231 | 22.7% | 32.6% |
| vs LHP | 141 | 24.1% | 111 | .263 | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| on the road ● | 144 | 22.9% | 116 | .274 | 25.9% | 34.5% |
| at home | 169 | 20.1% | 127 | .221 | 23.6% | 33.9% |
| season | 313 | 21.4% | 243 | — | 24.7% | 34.2% |
30% boost-104+10.5% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+111+18.9% vs market · +12% vs season
30% boost+160+14.6% vs market · +22% vs season50% boost+184+25.5% vs market · +33.5% vs season
30% boost+520no market fair50% boost+600no market fair
30% boost-538no market fair50% boost-467no market fair
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
H+R+RBI
98 games logged| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 51 | 87 | .245 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 54 | 87 | .240 |
| at home ● | 324 | 57 | 103 | .250 |
| on the road | 283 | 48 | 71 | .233 |
| season | 607 | 105 | 174 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 0.86 | 48% (28/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 38 | 17 | 22 | 1.93 | 73% (29/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 33 | 12 | 20 | 1.41 | 57% (26/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 34 | 13 | 15 | 1.19 | 60% (31/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 67 | 25 | 35 | 1.30 | 58% (57/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 19.2% | 132 | .231 | .309 | 1.5% | 86.0 |
| vs LHP | 141 | 24.1% | 111 | .263 | .371 | 3.6% | 85.9 |
| on the road ● | 144 | 22.9% | 116 | .274 | .371 | 2.6% | 87.8 |
| at home | 169 | 20.1% | 127 | .221 | .307 | 2.4% | 84.2 |
| season | 313 | 21.4% | 243 | — | .337 | 2.5% | 85.9 |
30% boost-142+2.6% vs market · -0.7% vs season50% boost-123+9.1% vs market · +5.6% vs season
30% boost+189+14.8% vs market · +20.7% vs season50% boost+218+26.4% vs market · +32.8% vs season
30% boost+182pooled fair50% boost+210pooled fair
30% boost-138pooled fair50% boost-120pooled fair
RBIs
98 games logged| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 51 | 8 | .328 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 54 | 8 | .293 |
| at home ● | 324 | 57 | 10 | .346 |
| on the road | 283 | 48 | 6 | .269 |
| season | 607 | 105 | 16 | .310 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 13 | 0.22 | .265 | 21% (12/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 22 | 0.55 | .455 | 43% (17/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 20 | 0.43 | .386 | 35% (16/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 15 | 0.29 | .327 | 25% (13/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 35 | 0.36 | .355 | 30% (29/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 11.6% | 132 | .309 | 1.5% | 32.6% | 86.0 |
| vs LHP | 141 | 10.6% | 111 | .371 | 3.6% | 30.6% | 85.9 |
| on the road ● | 144 | 13.9% | 116 | .371 | 2.6% | 37.9% | 87.8 |
| at home | 169 | 8.9% | 127 | .307 | 2.4% | 26.0% | 84.2 |
| season | 313 | — | 243 | .337 | 2.5% | 31.7% | 85.9 |
- the over has hit 42% blended (L10 50%, season 30%) against a 23% priced probability
- the DraftKings price beats the devigged fair by 3.6%
- counterpoint - faces Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP): xERA 3.04 - 12th percentile for expected ERA
basis: 98 games this season
30% boost+445+27.4% vs market · +61.2% vs season50% boost+513+43.4% vs market · +81.4% vs season
30% boost-346-0.4% vs market · -9.3% vs season50% boost-300+3.1% vs market · -6.1% vs season
30% boost+1560no market fair50% boost+1800no market fair
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
98 games logged| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 51 | 16 | .245 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 54 | 20 | .240 |
| at home ● | 324 | 57 | 20 | .250 |
| on the road | 283 | 48 | 16 | .233 |
| season | 607 | 105 | 36 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 8 | 0.14 | .267 | 14% (8/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 17 | 0.42 | .345 | 35% (14/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 12 | 0.26 | .306 | 26% (12/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 13 | 0.25 | .303 | 19% (10/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 25 | 0.26 | .304 | 22% (22/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | — | 132 | .231 | 22.7% | 32.6% | 86.0 |
| vs LHP | 141 | — | 111 | .263 | 27.0% | 36.0% | 85.9 |
| on the road ● | 144 | 8.3% | 116 | .274 | 25.9% | 34.5% | 87.8 |
| at home | 169 | 7.7% | 127 | .221 | 23.6% | 33.9% | 84.2 |
| season | 313 | — | 243 | — | 24.7% | 34.2% | 85.9 |
30% boost+286+16.2% vs market · -13.3% vs season50% boost+330+29.4% vs market · -3.5% vs season
30% boost-231+0.2% vs market · +11.2% vs season50% boost-200+4.9% vs market · +16.3% vs season
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
98 games logged| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 10 | 3.5% | .328 |
| vs LHB | 321 | 9 | 2.8% | .293 |
| at home ● | 324 | 14 | 4.3% | .346 |
| on the road | 283 | 5 | 1.8% | .269 |
| season | 607 | 19 | 3.1% | .310 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 4 | 2.5% | .265 | 7% (4/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 10 | 6.6% | .455 | 23% (9/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 9 | 6.3% | .386 | 17% (8/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 5 | 3.0% | .327 | 10% (5/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 14 | 4.5% | .355 | 13% (13/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 2.9% | 132 | .309 | 22.7% | 32.6% |
| vs LHP | 141 | 6.4% | 111 | .371 | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| on the road ● | 144 | 6.3% | 116 | .371 | 25.9% | 34.5% |
| at home | 169 | 3.0% | 127 | .307 | 23.6% | 33.9% |
| season | 313 | 4.5% | 243 | .337 | 24.7% | 34.2% |
30% boost+780+30.2% vs market · +16.7% vs season50% boost+900+48% vs market · +32.7% vs season
30% boost-654-1.5% vs market · 0% vs season50% boost-567+0.5% vs market · +2% vs season
Singles
98 games logged| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 32 | 11.2% |
| vs LHB | 321 | 37 | 11.5% |
| at home ● | 324 | 32 | 9.9% |
| on the road | 283 | 37 | 13.1% |
| season | 607 | 69 | 11.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 147 | 23 | .197 | 34% (20/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 132 | 24 | .288 | 50% (20/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 132 | 21 | .250 | 37% (17/46) |
| at home | 52 | 147 | 26 | .231 | 44% (23/52) |
| season | 98 | 279 | 47 | .240 | 41% (40/98) |
● tonight's split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 172 | 15.1% | 132 | .231 | 22.7% | 32.6% |
| vs LHP | 141 | 14.9% | 111 | .263 | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| on the road ● | 144 | 14.6% | 116 | .274 | 25.9% | 34.5% |
| at home | 169 | 15.4% | 127 | .221 | 23.6% | 33.9% |
| season | 313 | 15.0% | 243 | — | 24.7% | 34.2% |
30% boost+143+9.4% vs market · -0.8% vs season50% boost+165+19.3% vs market · +8.2% vs season
30% boost-108+6.1% vs market · +14.1% vs season50% boost+107+13.9% vs market · +22.6% vs season
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
98 games logged| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 16 | 5.6% |
| vs LHB | 321 | 20 | 6.2% |
| at home ● | 324 | 20 | 6.2% |
| on the road | 283 | 16 | 5.7% |
| season | 607 | 36 | 5.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 13 | 8.0% | .267 | 19% (11/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 13 | 8.6% | .345 | 25% (10/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 10 | 6.9% | .306 | 20% (9/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 16 | 9.5% | .303 | 23% (12/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 26 | 8.3% | .304 | 21% (21/98) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+269+16.6% vs market · -20.9% vs season50% boost+310+29.7% vs market · -12% vs season
30% boost-212+1.8% vs market · +15.7% vs season50% boost-183+6.8% vs market · +21.4% vs season
Stolen Bases
98 games logged| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 162 | 2 | 0.03 | 2% (1/58) |
| vs LHP | 40 | 151 | 6 | 0.15 | 15% (6/40) |
| on the road ● | 46 | 144 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/46) |
| at home | 52 | 169 | 7 | 0.13 | 12% (6/52) |
| season | 98 | 313 | 8 | 0.08 | 7% (7/98) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+1183pooled fair50% boost+1365pooled fair
30% boost-1231-2.5% vs market · +0.4% vs season50% boost-1067-1.3% vs market · +1.6% vs season
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
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