NBAAngle 1BetMGM
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Threes
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heattip-off 8:10 PM ET
last 5 4 of 5 · 80%last 10 7 of 10 · 70%last 20 15 of 20 · 75%last season 63%89 games
Next best +104 at DraftKingsSame 2.5 line
NBA PLAYER PROPS · Friday, October 23
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Pistons vs Heat player props, and the case against each one.
Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat, tip-off 8:10 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Threes | +105 | BetMGM | over in 70% of his last ten; Duncan Robinson averaged 2.86 threes a game over 77 games last season, against 1.49 for the position |
| Ausar Thompson Over 6.5 Rebounds | -106 | FanDuel | over in 80% of his last ten; Ausar Thompson averaged 5.73 rebounds a game over 73 games last season, against 3.87 for the position |
The reads behind them
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Why this pick?
Duncan Robinson has gone over 2.5 threes in 63% of 89 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
Duncan Robinson averaged 2.86 threes a game over 77 games last season, against 1.49 for the position.
Miami Heat allow the 8th-most threes to shooting guards, 4.3 a game over 79 games last season.
Miami Heat' opponents produce the 9th-most threes, 13.9 a game over 82 games last season.
NBAAngle 2FanDuel
Ausar Thompson Over 6.5 Rebounds
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heattip-off 8:10 PM ET
last 5 4 of 5 · 80%last 10 8 of 10 · 80%last 20 13 of 20 · 65%last season 45%85 games
Next best −106 at PinnacleSame 6.5 line
Why this pick?
Ausar Thompson has gone over 6.5 rebounds in 45% of 85 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Ausar Thompson averaged 5.73 rebounds a game over 73 games last season, against 3.87 for the position.
Miami Heat allow the 8th-most rebounds to small forwards, 8.3 a game over 77 games last season.
Miami Heat' opponents produce the 5th-most rebounds, 46.1 a game over 82 games last season.
What this is, and what it is not
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NBA rebounds props for Friday.
Built from the Lab's board for Friday, October 23. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 23, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.