NHLAngle 1bet365
Joel Farabee Over 0.5 Assists
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flamespuck drop 8:30 PM ET
last 5 4 of 5 · 80%last 10 7 of 10 · 70%last 20 9 of 20 · 45%season 7 of 10 · 70%
Next best +170 at Hard RockSame 0.5 line
NHL PLAYER PROPS · Monday, October 26
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Maple Leafs vs Flames player props, and the case against each one.
Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames, puck drop 8:30 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee Over 0.5 Assists | +175 | bet365 | over in 70% of his last ten; Joel Farabee averages 18.5 minutes of ice time a game through 10 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (85th percentile of 474 forwards), and 16.9 a game over 82 games last season |
| Auston Matthews Over 0.5 Anytime Goal | +135 | DraftKings | over in 70% of his last ten; Auston Matthews averages 0.69 goals a game through 13 games this season, against 0.20 for forwards (98th percentile of 474 forwards), and 0.45 a game over 60 games last season |
The reads behind them
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against the best price a reader can take, with the vig still in it, and against what the matchup says. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, and the price is taken as the books post it, vig included, which is the stricter test. A prop only appears when at least two books quote it and the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Why this pick?
Joel Farabee has gone over 0.5 assists in 70% of 10 games this season, 45% of his last twenty, 70% of his last ten and 80% of his last five.
Joel Farabee averages 18.5 minutes of ice time a game through 10 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (85th percentile of 474 forwards), and 16.9 a game over 82 games last season.
Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed 3.60 goals a game over 82 games last season, against a league average of 3.08.
NHLAngle 2DraftKings
Auston Matthews Over 0.5 Anytime Goal
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flamespuck drop 8:30 PM ET
Full game log and every book on Auston Matthews
+135DraftKings
last 5 3 of 5 · 60%last 10 7 of 10 · 70%last 20 9 of 20 · 45%season 8 of 13 · 62%
Next best +135 at NoVigSame 0.5 line
Why this pick?
Auston Matthews has scored a goal in 62% of 13 games this season, 45% of his last twenty, 70% of his last ten and 60% of his last five.
Auston Matthews averages 0.69 goals a game through 13 games this season, against 0.20 for forwards (98th percentile of 474 forwards), and 0.45 a game over 60 games last season.
Auston Matthews averages 3.00 shots on goal a game through 13 games this season, against 1.58 for forwards (94th percentile of 474 forwards), and 3.78 a game over 60 games last season.
Auston Matthews averages 20.8 minutes of ice time a game through 13 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (96th percentile of 474 forwards), and 20.8 a game over 60 games last season.
What this is, and what it is not
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, not on price, and none of it is called an edge. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Monday.
Built from the Lab's board for Monday, October 26 and published at Oct 26, 10:30 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.