NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, November 1
3 selections from 56 NFL receiving yards props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Williams Under 24.5 Receiving Yards | +100 | theScore Bet | under in 80% of his last ten; Kyle Williams averages 0.59 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.75 for WRs (3rd percentile) |
| DeMario Douglas Under 40.5 Receiving Yards | -109 | DraftKings | under in 70% of his last ten; DeMario Douglas averages 1.82 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.75 for WRs (36th percentile) |
| Josh Downs Over 33.5 Receiving Yards | -109 | DraftKings | over in 80% of his last ten; Josh Downs averages 3.62 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (69th percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −115 at Hard Rock BetSame 24.5 line
Kyle Williams has gone under 24.5 receiving yards in 86% of 21 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Kyle Williams averages 0.59 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.75 for WRs (3rd percentile).
Kyle Williams averages 1.24 targets a game over 17 games, against 4.43 for WRs (4th percentile).
Kyle Williams's target share is 4.1% over 17 games, against 14.3% for WRs (7th percentile).
Next best −110 at BovadaSame 40.5 line
DeMario Douglas has gone under 40.5 receiving yards in 81% of 21 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
DeMario Douglas averages 1.82 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.75 for WRs (36th percentile).
DeMario Douglas averages 2.71 targets a game over 17 games, against 4.43 for WRs (28th percentile).
DeMario Douglas's target share is 9.2% over 17 games, against 14.3% for WRs (33rd percentile).
Next best −109 at CourtsideSame 33.5 line
Josh Downs has gone over 33.5 receiving yards in 63% of 16 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Josh Downs averages 3.62 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (69th percentile).
Josh Downs averages 5.50 targets a game over 16 games, against 4.43 for WRs (65th percentile).
Josh Downs's target share is 17.3% over 16 games, against 14.3% for WRs (63rd percentile).
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL anytime touchdown props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, November 1. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 31, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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