Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points
Next best −225 at DraftKingsSame 0.5 line
NHL PLAYER PROPS · Tuesday, October 27
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 87 NHL points props across 11 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Tuesday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points | -220 | Fanatics | over in 90% of his last ten; Matthew Tkachuk averages 1.33 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (97th percentile of 475 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 31 games last season |
| Seth Jones Over 0.5 Points | -105 | theScore Bet | over in 70% of his last ten; Seth Jones averages 1.00 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.30 for defencemen (97th percentile of 250 defencemen), and 0.62 a game over 52 games last season |
| Mason McTavish Over 0.5 Points | +115 | theScore Bet | over in 70% of his last ten; Mason McTavish averages 0.91 points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (88th percentile of 475 forwards), and 0.55 a game over 75 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −225 at DraftKingsSame 0.5 line
Matthew Tkachuk has gone over 0.5 points in 83% of 12 games this season, 75% of his last twenty, 90% of his last ten and 80% of his last five.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 1.33 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (97th percentile of 475 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 31 games last season.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 0.75 power-play points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.12 for forwards (99th percentile of 475 forwards), and 0.42 a game over 31 games last season.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 19.2 minutes of ice time a game through 12 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (89th percentile of 475 forwards), and 18.3 a game over 31 games last season.
Next best −110 at bet365Same 0.5 line
Seth Jones has gone over 0.5 points in 58% of 12 games this season and 70% across the last ten.
Seth Jones averages 1.00 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.30 for defencemen (97th percentile of 250 defencemen), and 0.62 a game over 52 games last season.
Seth Jones averages 0.58 power-play points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.05 for defencemen (99th percentile of 250 defencemen), and 0.31 a game over 52 games last season.
Seth Jones averages 24.9 minutes of ice time a game through 12 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (95th percentile of 250 defencemen), and 23.7 a game over 52 games last season.
Next best +111 at NoVigSame 0.5 line
Mason McTavish has gone over 0.5 points in 73% of 11 games this season and 70% across the last ten.
Mason McTavish averages 0.91 points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (88th percentile of 475 forwards), and 0.55 a game over 75 games last season.
Mason McTavish averages 0.09 power-play points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.12 for forwards (63rd percentile of 475 forwards), and 0.15 a game over 75 games last season.
Montréal Canadiens have allowed 6.32 points a game to forwards over 82 games last season, against a league average of 6.19.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL shots on goal props for Tuesday.
Built from the Lab's board for Tuesday, October 27 and published at Oct 27, 10:30 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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