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BALWRBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Flowers on the fieldreceptions per game 6.67targets per game 8.83target share 30.9%
FacingBuffalo Billsdefence116.0 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2026) · ranks 29 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET
Anytime TD
40 games loggedZay Flowers Anytime TD · 40 games logged
7 of 20 (35%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +143 Bally Bet · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +143 (Bally Bet) · no under
9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13@ IND9/27@ DAL10/4vs TEN10/11@ ATL10/18@ CLE10/25vs CIN
latest1 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs CIN
TD
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.2last 100.9last 200.7last 300.520261.020250.520240.3all0.5
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Zay Flowers Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.471.201.00
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3417 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0095th percentile for mostleague avg 0.366 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER5/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.711.401.17
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6017 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 0.645 games (last 5)2026 season 1.1790th percentile for mostleague avg 0.646 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER13/142 WRssupports OVER
receptions per game5.067.006.67
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.7517 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6795th percentile for mostleague avg 2.796 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone target share21.4%30.4%25.9%
SZN82nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%14 games with red zone data (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 14.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 25.9%88th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER25/134 WRssupports OVER18/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.9%2.9%2.4%
SZN78th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)94th percentileleague avg 0.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 2.4%92nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER30/134 WRssupports OVER12/142 WRssupports OVER
red zone touch share6.0%12.5%10.5%
SZN69th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)96th percentileleague avg 4.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 10.5%91st percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER42/134 WRssupports OVER13/142 WRssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to WRs0.82.01.8
SZN27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 total100th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.8100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.64.03.8
SZN2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 total95th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.894th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.53.43.5
SZN61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 total90th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.590th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 21 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadZay Flowers vs BUF1/2 with a touchdown · 2 seasons
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 143 | 1 |
| 09/29'24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
SAME ROLE VS BUF
WR1s vs BUF
Anytime TD · Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1
WR1s scored a touchdown in 4 of 6 games vs BUF · 4 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | HOU | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 1 | 10 | 7 | 57 | |
| 9/17 | DET | 2 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 13 | 9 | 62 | |
| 9/27 | LAC | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 5 | 4 | 61 | |
| 10/4 | NE | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 4 | 3 | 31 | |
| 10/12 | LAR | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 2 | 24 | 17 | 70 | |
| 10/18 | LV | 2 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 7 | 5 | 46 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. BUF has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 21 | 6 of 21 | 29% |
| 2024 | 17 | 3 of 17 | 18% |
| vs KC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| vs LV | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DAL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs BUF | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 0 of 5 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs PIT | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 5 of 17 | 29% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 6 | 3 of 6 | 50% |
| vs IND | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ DAL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ PIT | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ CIN | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs PIT | 0 | no |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | 0 | no |
| Thu, Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAR | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs HOU | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | 0 | no |
Receptions
40 games loggedZay Flowers Receptions · 40 games logged
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 6.5 over his last 20 · over +120 bet365 · under −143 BetOnline · pull times beside each book
line6.5
6.5
quoted at 6.5: O +120 (bet365) · U -143 (BetOnline.ag)
9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13@ IND9/27@ DAL10/4vs TEN10/11@ ATL10/18@ CLE10/25vs CIN
latest8 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs CIN
6.5
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 6.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set7.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.4last 107.6last 207.4last 307.120268.820256.920246.8all7.2
Receptions: Breakdowns
Zay Flowers Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.067.006.67
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.7517 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6795th percentile for mostleague avg 2.796 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/142 WRssupports OVER
targets per game6.949.408.83
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4317 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 8.8393rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.526 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/142 WRssupports OVER
target share29.8%32.1%30.9%
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%17 games (2025)99th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 30.9%98th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER4/142 WRssupports OVER
snap share86.5%72.2%65.0%
SZN92nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%17 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.0%61st percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER55/142 WRssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to WRs9.713.613.7
SZN13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 total81st percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.782nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.46 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs15.921.621.5
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 270 total87th percentileleague avg 18.65 games (last 5)2026 season 21.587th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.66 games (2026) · 129 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.326.226.2
SZN0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 total94th percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 26.294th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.56 games (2026) · 157 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadZay Flowers vs BUF1/2 over 6.5 · 2 seasons· 29.8% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 7 | 143 | 47.4% |
| 09/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11.1% |
SAME ROLE VS BUF
WR1s vs BUF
Receptions at 6.5 · Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1
WR1s went over 6.5 receptions in 3 of 6 games vs BUF · 4 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 6.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | HOU | 7 | over | 5.5over | 10 | 75 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | DET | 9 | over | 7.5over | 13 | 142 | 2 | |
| 9/27 | LAC | 4 | under | 4.5under | 5 | 66 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | NE | 3 | under | 3.5under | 4 | 53 | 0 | |
| 10/12 | LAR | 17 | over | 7.5over | 24 | 138 | 1 | |
| 10/18 | LV | 5 | under | 3.5over | 7 | 97 | 2 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. BUF has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS BUF
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Justice Hill, 2 of 3 games at 1.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Hill | 1.5 | −141 | 2 of 3 | 3.0 |
| Zay Flowers | 6.5 | +120 | 1 of 2 | 4.0 |
| Rashod Bateman | 2.5 | +140 | 1 of 3 | 2.3 |
| Mark Andrews | 3.5 | +116 | 1 of 3 | 2.0 |
| Derrick Henry | 1.5 | +150 | 1 of 3 | 1.3 |
| Devontez Walker | 0.5 | +100 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 6.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 21 | 5 of 21 | 24% | 27.7% |
| 2024 | 17 | 4 of 17 | 24% | 25.3% |
| vs KC | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 25.7% |
| Home | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 27.6% |
| vs LV | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 35.5% |
| vs DAL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 28.6% |
| vs BUF | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 29.8% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 27.5% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 36.0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.8% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 27.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.6% |
| vs PIT | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 29.8% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 36.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 29.1% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 27.8% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 28.8% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.3% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 40.8% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 21.7% |
| vs MIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.7% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 30.0% |
| vs NE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 35.0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| 2026 | 6 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 31.2% |
| vs IND | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 34.5% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.1% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 6.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | 8 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | 6 | 35.5% | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | 8 | 28.1% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | 8 | 34.5% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ DAL | 5 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | 5 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ PIT | 4 | 35.3% | under |
| Sat, Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | 4 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | 7 | 35.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ CIN | 3 | 41.7% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs PIT | 8 | 33.3% | over |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | vs CIN | 2 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | 5 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ CLE | 3 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | 4 | 20.7% | under |
| Thu, Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | 5 | 21.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | 7 | 40.9% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAR | 6 | 31.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs HOU | 5 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | 7 | 26.7% | over |
Receiving Yards
40 games loggedZay Flowers Receiving Yards · 40 games logged
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 83.5 over his last 20 · over −112 betPARX · under −117 betPARX · prices from
line83.5
83.5
quoted at 83.5: O -112 (betPARX) · U -117 (betPARX)
9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13@ IND9/27@ DAL10/4vs TEN10/11@ ATL10/18@ CLE10/25vs CIN
latest137 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs CIN
83.5
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 83.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set5.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.0last 105.8last 205.5last 305.020266.720255.120244.4all5.0
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Zay Flowers Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.067.006.67
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.7517 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6795th percentile for mostleague avg 2.796 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/142 WRssupports OVER
targets per game6.949.408.83
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4317 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 8.8393rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.526 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/142 WRssupports OVER
target share29.8%32.1%30.9%
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%17 games (2025)99th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 30.9%98th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER4/142 WRssupports OVER
snap share86.5%72.2%65.0%
SZN92nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%17 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.0%61st percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER55/142 WRssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.0170.0173.8
SZN10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 total77th percentileleague avg 149.45 games (last 5)2026 season 173.881st percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.46 games (2026) · 1043 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs9.713.613.7
SZN13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 total81st percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.782nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.46 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.2303.6298.7
SZN0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 total97th percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 298.797th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.16 games (2026) · 1792 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.444.047.2
SZN6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 total29th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 47.252nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.56 games (2026) · 283 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadZay Flowers vs BUF1/2 over 83.5 · 2 seasons· 29.8% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 7 | 143 | 47.4% |
| 09/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11.1% |
SAME ROLE VS BUF
WR1s vs BUF
Receiving Yards at 83.5 · Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1
WR1s went over 83.5 receiving yards in 3 of 6 games vs BUF · 6 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 83.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | HOU | 75 | under | 69.5over | 10 | 7 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | DET | 142 | over | 80.5over | 13 | 9 | 2 | |
| 9/27 | LAC | 66 | under | 59.5over | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | NE | 53 | under | 42.5over | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/12 | LAR | 138 | over | 93.5over | 24 | 17 | 1 | |
| 10/18 | LV | 97 | over | 38.5over | 7 | 5 | 2 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. BUF has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS BUF
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Derrick Henry, 2 of 3 games at 7.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 7.5 | −105 | 2 of 3 | 7.7 |
| Zay Flowers | 83.5 | −112 | 1 of 2 | 76.5 |
| Rashod Bateman | 23.5 | −114 | 1 of 3 | 33.0 |
| Justice Hill | 11.5 | −110 | 1 of 3 | 29.3 |
| Mark Andrews | 28.5 | −110 | 1 of 3 | 22.0 |
| Devontez Walker | 4.5 | +112 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 83.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 21 | 6 of 21 | 29% | 27.7% |
| 2024 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 25.3% |
| vs KC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 25.7% |
| Home | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 27.6% |
| vs LV | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 35.5% |
| vs DAL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 28.6% |
| vs BUF | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 29.8% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 27.5% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 36.0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.8% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 27.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 31.6% |
| vs PIT | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 29.8% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 36.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 29.1% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 27.8% |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 of 17 | 24% | 28.8% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.3% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 40.8% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 21.7% |
| vs MIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.7% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 30.0% |
| vs NE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 35.0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| 2026 | 6 | 4 of 6 | 67% | 31.2% |
| vs IND | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 34.5% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 28.1% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 83.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | 137 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | 66 | 35.5% | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | 53 | 28.1% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | 118 | 34.5% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ DAL | 84 | 30.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | 150 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ PIT | 138 | 35.3% | over |
| Sat, Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | 30 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | 84 | 35.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ CIN | 68 | 41.7% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs PIT | 124 | 33.3% | over |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | vs CIN | 6 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | 58 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ CLE | 78 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | 75 | 20.7% | under |
| Thu, Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | 64 | 21.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | 63 | 40.9% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAR | 46 | 31.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs HOU | 72 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | 74 | 26.7% | under |
Longest Reception
40 games loggedZay Flowers Longest Reception · 40 games logged
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 27.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Bovada · under −110 bet365 · pull times beside each book
line27.5
27.5
quoted at 27.5: O -110 (Bovada) · U -110 (bet365)
9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13@ IND9/27@ DAL10/4vs TEN10/11@ ATL10/18@ CLE10/25vs CIN
latest48 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs CIN
27.5
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 27.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set7.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.4last 107.6last 207.4last 307.120268.820256.920246.8all7.2
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Zay Flowers Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game5.067.006.67
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 2.7517 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6795th percentile for mostleague avg 2.796 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/142 WRssupports OVER
yards per catch14.3313.2616.05
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 13.0517 games (2025)54th percentileleague avg 13.395 games (last 5)2026 season 16.0574th percentile for mostleague avg 13.396 games (2026)supports OVERneutral37/140 WRssupports OVER
air yards per target9.867.418.70
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 11.4217 games (2025)19th percentileleague avg 11.105 games (last 5)2026 season 8.7026th percentile for mostleague avg 11.106 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER105/142 WRssupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game1.121.401.50
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5417 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 0.535 games (last 5)2026 season 1.5097th percentile for mostleague avg 0.536 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER5/142 WRssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.62.83.0
SZN13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 27 total84th percentileleague avg 2.15 games (last 5)2026 season 3.090th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.16 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.60.40.5
SZN26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 total3rd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.10.20.2
SZN2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 1 total6th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.444.047.2
SZN6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 total29th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 47.252nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.56 games (2026) · 283 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced197.3335.8329.0
SZN3rd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3354 total97th percentileleague avg 251.95 games (last 5)2026 season 329.097th percentile for most facedleague avg 251.96 games (2026) · 1974 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadZay Flowers vs BUF1/2 over 27.5 · 2 seasons· 29.8% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 7 | 143 | 39 |
| 09/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
SAME ROLE VS BUF
WR1s vs BUF
Longest Reception at 27.5 · Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1
WR1s went over 27.5 longest reception in 3 of 6 games vs BUF · 4 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 27.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | HOU | 25 | under | — | 10 | 7 | 75 | |
| 9/17 | DET | 34 | over | 21.5over | 13 | 9 | 142 | |
| 9/27 | LAC | 29 | over | 20.5over | 5 | 4 | 66 | |
| 10/4 | NE | 26 | under | 19.5over | 4 | 3 | 53 | |
| 10/12 | LAR | 21 | under | 26.5under | 24 | 17 | 138 | |
| 10/18 | LV | 44 | over | 17.5over | 7 | 5 | 97 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Zay Flowers is BAL's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. BUF has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS BUF
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Rashod Bateman, 2 of 3 games at 15.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashod Bateman | 15.5 | +100 | 2 of 3 | 23.3 |
| Zay Flowers | 27.5 | −110 | 1 of 2 | 24.5 |
| Mark Andrews | 13.5 | −110 | 1 of 2 | 12.0 |
| Derrick Henry | 5.5 | −105 | 1 of 2 | 9.0 |
| Justice Hill | 8.5 | +100 | 1 of 3 | 8.7 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 27.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 21 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 27.7% |
| 2024 | 17 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 25.3% |
| vs KC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 25.7% |
| Home | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 27.6% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 35.5% |
| vs DAL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 28.6% |
| vs BUF | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 29.8% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 27.5% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 36.0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.8% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 27.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 31.6% |
| vs PIT | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 29.8% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 36.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 29.1% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 27.8% |
| 2025 | 17 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 28.8% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.3% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 40.8% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 21.7% |
| vs MIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.7% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 30.0% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 35.0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| 2026 | 6 | 4 of 6 | 67% | 31.2% |
| vs IND | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 34.5% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 28.1% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 27.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | 48 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | 31 | 35.5% | over |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | 12 | 28.1% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | 52 | 34.5% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ DAL | 27 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | 54 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ PIT | 64 | 35.3% | over |
| Sat, Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | 13 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | 19 | 35.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ CIN | 28 | 41.7% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs PIT | 35 | 33.3% | over |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | vs CIN | 5 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | 20 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ CLE | 45 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | 27 | 20.7% | under |
| Thu, Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | 39 | 21.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | 20 | 40.9% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAR | 18 | 31.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs HOU | 56 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | 21 | 26.7% | under |
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