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KCTEKansas City Chiefs @ Denver BroncosSun 4:25 PM
Kelce on the fieldreceptions per game 4.00targets per game 5.83target share 18.5%
FacingDenver Broncosdefence59.7 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 9 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET
Anytime TD
42 games loggedTravis Kelce Anytime TD · 42 games logged
6 of 20 (30%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +260 Bovada · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +260 (Bovada) · no under
9/28vs BAL10/6@ JAX10/12vs DET10/19vs LV10/27vs WAS11/2@ BUF11/16@ DEN11/23vs IND11/27@ DAL12/7vs HOU12/14vs LAC12/21@ TEN12/25vs DEN1/4@ LV9/14vs DEN9/20vs IND9/27@ MIA10/4@ LV10/18vs LAC10/25@ SEA
latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ SEA
TD
6 of 20 (30%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.3last 200.6last 300.620260.320250.620241.2all0.8
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Travis Kelce Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.590.400.33
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3517 games (2025)64th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.3360th percentile for mostleague avg 0.356 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER33/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.760.600.50
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5217 games (2025)69th percentileleague avg 0.505 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5060th percentile for mostleague avg 0.506 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER33/88 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game4.474.204.00
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0086th percentile for mostleague avg 2.136 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER13/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share16.0%12.5%11.1%
SZN72nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%16 games with red zone data (2025)65th percentileleague avg 11.4%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 11.1%61st percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER24/85 TEssupports OVER34/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share1.1%0.0%0.0%
SZN86th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%17 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.1%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER12/85 TEsneutral5/88 TEsneutral
red zone touch share7.4%4.8%3.7%
SZN77th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%17 games with red zone data (2025)59th percentileleague avg 4.5%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 3.7%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER20/85 TEsneutral46/88 TEsneutral
DEN · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.80.6
SZN39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 total84th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.660th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.12.01.6
SZN32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 18 total84th percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 1.674th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.37 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed1.71.82.0
SZN5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 total13th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.027th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadTravis Kelce vs DEN2/4 with a touchdown · 3 seasons
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'26 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 71 | 0 |
| 12/25'25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| 11/16'25 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 91 | 1 |
| 11/10'24 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 64 | 1 |
SAME ROLE VS DEN
TE1s vs DEN
Anytime TD · Travis Kelce is KC's TE1
TE1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 6 games vs DEN · 1 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/14 | KC | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 5 | 3 | 49 | |
| 9/20 | JAX | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 2 | 2 | 49 | |
| 9/27 | LAR | left early (26% of snaps) | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| 10/4 | SF | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 6 | 4 | 60 | |
| 10/11 | LAC | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 1 | 0 | 39 | |
| 10/15 | SEA | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 4 | 3 | 79 | |
| 10/25 | ARI | 1 | scored | — | 0 | 13 | 10 | 75 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Travis Kelce is KC's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. DEN has played 7 games; the TE1 was clear in all 7.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 4 of 22 | 18% |
| 2024 | 19 | 4 of 19 | 21% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Away | 20 | 7 of 20 | 35% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LAC | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LV | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs BUF | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 5 of 17 | 29% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | vs LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | 1 | yes |
| Mon, Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ LV | 0 | no |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | 0 | no |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | 0 | no |
| Mon, Oct 27, 2025 | vs WAS | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | 0 | no |
| Mon, Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | 0 | no |
Receptions
42 games loggedTravis Kelce Receptions · 42 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 4.5 over his last 20 · over +130 bet365 · under −132 FanDuel · pull times beside each book
line4.5
4.5
quoted at 4.5: O +130 (bet365) · U -132 (FanDuel)
9/28vs BAL10/6@ JAX10/12vs DET10/19vs LV10/27vs WAS11/2@ BUF11/16@ DEN11/23vs IND11/27@ DAL12/7vs HOU12/14vs LAC12/21@ TEN12/25vs DEN1/4@ LV9/14vs DEN9/20vs IND9/27@ MIA10/4@ LV10/18vs LAC10/25@ SEA
latest4 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ SEA
4.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 4.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set6.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.0last 106.0last 206.3last 306.420265.820256.420247.9all7.0
Receptions: Breakdowns
Travis Kelce Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.474.204.00
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0086th percentile for mostleague avg 2.136 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER13/88 TEssupports OVER
targets per game6.356.005.83
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.8388th percentile for mostleague avg 2.966 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/88 TEssupports OVER
target share19.9%18.2%18.5%
SZN92nd percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 9.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 18.5%88th percentile for mostleague avg 9.2%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/88 TEssupports OVER
snap share81.9%79.2%77.8%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 53.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 77.8%87th percentile for mostleague avg 53.3%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER12/88 TEssupports OVER
DEN · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to TEs5.67.06.1
SZN65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 95 total87th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 6.171st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.57 games (2026) · 43 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs8.410.08.6
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 143 total94th percentileleague avg 7.75 games (last 5)2026 season 8.676th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.77 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.223.421.3
SZN39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 343 total84th percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 21.344th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.57 games (2026) · 149 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadTravis Kelce vs DEN3/4 over 4.5 · 3 seasons· 28.1% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'26 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 20% |
| 12/25'25 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 30% |
| 11/16'25 | 13 | 9 | 91 | 30.2% |
| 11/10'24 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 30% |
SAME ROLE VS DEN
TE1s vs DEN
Receptions at 4.5 · Travis Kelce is KC's TE1
TE1s went over 4.5 receptions in 1 of 6 games vs DEN · 1 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 4.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/14 | KC | 3 | under | 4.5under | 5 | 71 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | JAX | 2 | under | 3.5under | 2 | 17 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | LAR | left early (26% of snaps) | 1 | under | 3.5under | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 10/4 | SF | 4 | under | 4.5under | 6 | 70 | 1 | |
| 10/11 | LAC | 0 | under | 3.5under | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/15 | SEA | 3 | under | 2.5over | 4 | 16 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | ARI | 10 | over | — | 13 | 111 | 1 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Travis Kelce is KC's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. DEN has played 7 games; the TE1 was clear in all 7.
TEAMMATES VS DEN
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Travis Kelce, 3 of 4 games at 4.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 4.5 | +130 | 3 of 4 | 6.3 |
| Noah Gray | 1.5 | +107 | 2 of 5 | 1.4 |
| Emmett Johnson | 1.5 | +137 | 1 of 1 | 2.0 |
| Rashee Rice | 4.5 | +100 | 1 of 2 | 4.0 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 3.5 | +140 | 0 of 2 | 2.5 |
| Xavier Worthy | 3.5 | +130 | 0 of 5 | 1.4 |
| Cyrus Allen | 0.5 | +100 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Royals | 0.5 | −220 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 4.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 22.2% |
| 2024 | 19 | 11 of 19 | 58% | 23.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14.5% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| Away | 20 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 20.6% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.9% |
| vs LAC | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 20.4% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.4% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs LV | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 22.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 38.4% |
| vs DEN | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 28.1% |
| vs BUF | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 14.9% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 22.2% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 21.1% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 2 of 3 | 67% | 21.2% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.2% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 18.7% |
| 2025 | 17 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 19.6% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 19.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.8% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| 2026 | 6 | 1 of 6 | 17% | 19.4% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8.7% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 4.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | 4 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | vs LAC | 4 | 17.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 2 | 14.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 2 | 8.7% | under |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | 9 | 25.6% | over |
| Mon, Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | 3 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ LV | 3 | 20.0% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DEN | 5 | 30.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | 1 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | 7 | 30.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | 1 | 17.2% | under |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | 5 | 18.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | 4 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | 9 | 30.2% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | 4 | 16.7% | under |
| Mon, Oct 27, 2025 | vs WAS | 6 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | 3 | 8.8% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | 6 | 25.0% | over |
| Mon, Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | 7 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | 5 | 14.3% | over |
Receiving Yards
42 games loggedTravis Kelce Receiving Yards · 42 games logged
12 of 20 (60%) cleared 46.5 over his last 20 · over −111 Courtside · under −113 DraftKings · prices from
line46.5
46.5
quoted at 46.5: O -111 (Courtside) · U -113 (DraftKings)
9/28vs BAL10/6@ JAX10/12vs DET10/19vs LV10/27vs WAS11/2@ BUF11/16@ DEN11/23vs IND11/27@ DAL12/7vs HOU12/14vs LAC12/21@ TEN12/25vs DEN1/4@ LV9/14vs DEN9/20vs IND9/27@ MIA10/4@ LV10/18vs LAC10/25@ SEA
latest44 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ SEA
46.5
12 of 20 (60%) cleared 46.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set4.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 54.2last 104.0last 204.5last 304.520264.020254.520245.8all5.0
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Travis Kelce Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.474.204.00
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0086th percentile for mostleague avg 2.136 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER13/88 TEssupports OVER
targets per game6.356.005.83
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.8388th percentile for mostleague avg 2.966 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/88 TEssupports OVER
target share19.9%18.2%18.5%
SZN92nd percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 9.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 18.5%88th percentile for mostleague avg 9.2%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER11/88 TEssupports OVER
snap share81.9%79.2%77.8%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 53.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 77.8%87th percentile for mostleague avg 53.3%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER12/88 TEssupports OVER
DEN · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to TEs59.769.665.3
SZN74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 1015 total81st percentileleague avg 54.65 games (last 5)2026 season 65.377th percentile for most allowedleague avg 54.67 games (2026) · 457 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.67.06.1
SZN65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 95 total87th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 6.171st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.57 games (2026) · 43 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed212.1255.8236.0
SZN32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3606 total81st percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 236.052nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.17 games (2026) · 1652 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs29.537.036.7
SZN68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 502 total90th percentileleague avg 26.85 games (last 5)2026 season 36.790th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.87 games (2026) · 257 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadTravis Kelce vs DEN3/4 over 46.5 · 3 seasons· 28.1% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'26 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 20% |
| 12/25'25 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 30% |
| 11/16'25 | 13 | 9 | 91 | 30.2% |
| 11/10'24 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 30% |
SAME ROLE VS DEN
TE1s vs DEN
Receiving Yards at 46.5 · Travis Kelce is KC's TE1
TE1s went over 46.5 receiving yards in 3 of 6 games vs DEN · 2 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 46.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/14 | KC | 71 | over | 42.5over | 5 | 3 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | JAX | 17 | under | 30.5under | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | LAR | left early (26% of snaps) | 9 | under | 50.5under | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 10/4 | SF | 70 | over | 64.5over | 6 | 4 | 1 | |
| 10/11 | LAC | 0 | under | 33.5under | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/15 | SEA | 16 | under | 23.5under | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | ARI | 111 | over | — | 13 | 10 | 1 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Travis Kelce is KC's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. DEN has played 7 games; the TE1 was clear in all 7.
TEAMMATES VS DEN
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Travis Kelce, 3 of 4 games at 46.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 46.5 | −111 | 3 of 4 | 65.5 |
| Emmett Johnson | 7.5 | −110 | 1 of 1 | 44.0 |
| Noah Gray | 13.5 | −111 | 1 of 5 | 7.0 |
| Rashee Rice | 51.5 | −114 | 0 of 2 | 28.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 19.5 | −102 | 0 of 2 | 12.0 |
| Xavier Worthy | 30.5 | −111 | 0 of 5 | 10.8 |
| Cyrus Allen | 0.5 | +105 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Royals | 8.5 | −115 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 46.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 14 of 22 | 64% | 22.2% |
| 2024 | 19 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 23.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14.5% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| Away | 20 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 20.6% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.9% |
| vs LAC | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 20.4% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.4% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs LV | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 22.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 38.4% |
| vs DEN | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 28.1% |
| vs BUF | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 14.9% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 22.2% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 21.1% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 21.2% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.2% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 18.7% |
| 2025 | 17 | 10 of 17 | 59% | 19.6% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 19.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.8% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| 2026 | 6 | 4 of 6 | 67% | 19.4% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.7% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 46.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | 44 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | vs LAC | 53 | 17.2% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 15 | 14.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 59 | 8.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | 101 | 25.6% | over |
| Mon, Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | 71 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ LV | 12 | 20.0% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DEN | 36 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | 6 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | 70 | 30.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | 8 | 17.2% | under |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | 45 | 18.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | 43 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | 91 | 30.2% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | 66 | 16.7% | over |
| Mon, Oct 27, 2025 | vs WAS | 99 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | 54 | 8.8% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | 78 | 25.0% | over |
| Mon, Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | 61 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | 48 | 14.3% | over |
Longest Reception
42 games loggedTravis Kelce Longest Reception · 42 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −114 DraftKings · prices from
line18.5
18.5
quoted at 18.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -114 (DraftKings)
9/28vs BAL10/6@ JAX10/12vs DET10/19vs LV10/27vs WAS11/2@ BUF11/16@ DEN11/23vs IND11/27@ DAL12/7vs HOU12/14vs LAC12/21@ TEN12/25vs DEN1/4@ LV9/14vs DEN9/20vs IND9/27@ MIA10/4@ LV10/18vs LAC10/25@ SEA
latest19 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ SEA
18.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set6.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.0last 106.0last 206.3last 306.420265.820256.420247.9all7.0
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Travis Kelce Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.474.204.00
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0086th percentile for mostleague avg 2.136 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER13/88 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch11.3314.4916.02
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 10.0817 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 9.125 games (last 5)2026 season 16.0297th percentile for mostleague avg 9.126 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER3/87 TEssupports OVER
air yards per target6.887.787.45
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 5.7817 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 5.685 games (last 5)2026 season 7.4578th percentile for mostleague avg 5.686 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER20/88 TEssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.530.400.50
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 0.2917 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 0.225 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5084th percentile for mostleague avg 0.226 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER12/88 TEssupports OVER
DEN · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.60.60.6
SZN53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 10 total61st percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.656th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.30.20.3
SZN90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 5 total68th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.373rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.27 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.60.80.7
SZN89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 total84th percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.781st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.67 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs29.537.036.7
SZN68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 502 total90th percentileleague avg 26.85 games (last 5)2026 season 36.790th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.87 games (2026) · 257 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced286.6335.4297.7
SZN94th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4873 total97th percentileleague avg 251.95 games (last 5)2026 season 297.784th percentile for most facedleague avg 251.97 games (2026) · 2084 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadTravis Kelce vs DEN3/4 over 18.5 · 3 seasons· 28.1% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14'26 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 59 |
| 12/25'25 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 14 |
| 11/16'25 | 13 | 9 | 91 | 21 |
| 11/10'24 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 22 |
SAME ROLE VS DEN
TE1s vs DEN
Longest Reception at 18.5 · Travis Kelce is KC's TE1
TE1s went over 18.5 longest reception in 3 of 6 games vs DEN · 1 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 18.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/14 | KC | 59 | over | — | 5 | 3 | 71 | |
| 9/20 | JAX | 14 | under | 15.5under | 2 | 2 | 17 | |
| 9/27 | LAR | left early (26% of snaps) | 9 | under | 20.5under | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 10/4 | SF | 56 | over | 23.5over | 6 | 4 | 70 | |
| 10/11 | LAC | 0 | under | 15.5under | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/15 | SEA | 11 | under | 12.5under | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| 10/25 | ARI | 27 | over | — | 13 | 10 | 111 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Travis Kelce is KC's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. DEN has played 7 games; the TE1 was clear in all 7.
TEAMMATES VS DEN
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Travis Kelce, 3 of 4 games at 18.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 18.5 | −110 | 3 of 4 | 29.0 |
| Emmett Johnson | 6.5 | −110 | 1 of 1 | 25.0 |
| Noah Gray | 10.5 | −110 | 1 of 5 | 5.2 |
| Rashee Rice | 21.5 | −107 | 0 of 2 | 12.0 |
| Xavier Worthy | 16.5 | −105 | 0 of 3 | 10.3 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 11.5 | −110 | 0 of 2 | 9.5 |
| Cyrus Allen | 0.5 | +105 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 18.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 22.2% |
| 2024 | 19 | 10 of 19 | 53% | 23.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14.5% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| Away | 20 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 20.6% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.9% |
| vs LAC | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 20.4% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.4% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs LV | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 22.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 38.4% |
| vs DEN | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 28.1% |
| vs BUF | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 14.9% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 22.2% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 21.1% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 21.2% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.2% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 18.7% |
| 2025 | 17 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 19.6% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 20.0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 19.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.8% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| 2026 | 6 | 4 of 6 | 67% | 19.4% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.7% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 18.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | 19 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | vs LAC | 24 | 17.2% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 10 | 14.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 48 | 8.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | 18 | 25.6% | under |
| Mon, Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | 59 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | @ LV | 5 | 20.0% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DEN | 14 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | 6 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | 17 | 30.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | 8 | 17.2% | under |
| Thu, Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | 22 | 18.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | 17 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | 21 | 30.2% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | 28 | 16.7% | over |
| Mon, Oct 27, 2025 | vs WAS | 38 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | 44 | 8.8% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | 17 | 25.0% | under |
| Mon, Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | 14 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | 15 | 14.3% | under |
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