STEEZANOMICS.

Tim Patrick

NYJ · NFLWRLV @ NYJSun 1:00 PM
FacingLas Vegas Raidersdefence0.9 TDs allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks T-13 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

37 games logged

Tim Patrick Anytime TD · 37 games logged

3 of 20 (15%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +2250 Hard Rock Bet · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
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quoted at 0.5: O +2250 (Hard Rock Bet) · no under

9/7vs CAR9/14@ CIN9/21vs HOU9/28@ SF10/6vs KC10/12vs SEA10/19vs LAR11/9@ HOU11/16vs LAC11/23@ ARI11/30@ TEN12/7vs IND12/14vs NYJ12/21@ DEN12/28@ IND1/4vs TEN1/11vs BUF10/11vs CLE10/18@ NE10/25vs MIA

latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs MIA

TD

3 of 20 (15%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.4last 200.3last 300.420260.020250.420240.4all0.3

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Tim Patrick Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.380.200.00
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3416 games (2025)41st percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0013th percentile for mostleague avg 0.363 games (2026)supports OVERneutral105/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.560.200.00
SZN
53rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6016 games (2025)20th percentileleague avg 0.645 games (last 5)2026 season 0.006th percentile for mostleague avg 0.643 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER127/142 WRssupports UNDER
receptions per game0.940.801.00
SZN
13th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7516 games (2025)12th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0018th percentile for mostleague avg 2.793 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER113/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone target share11.0%4.3%0.0%
SZN
44th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%15 games with red zone data (2025)16th percentileleague avg 14.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%6th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT75/134 WRssupports UNDER127/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
38th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%15 games with red zone data (2025)45th percentileleague avg 0.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%45th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/134 WRsneutral14/142 WRsneutral
red zone touch share4.2%2.9%0.0%
SZN
51st percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)42nd percentileleague avg 4.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%13th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT66/134 WRsneutral105/142 WRssupports UNDER
LV · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.91.61.1
SZN
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 16 total97th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.179th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.97 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs3.22.82.0
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 54 total65th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.024th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.64.43.6
SZN
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 45 total100th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.695th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 25 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

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