STEEZANOMICS.

Nate Adkins

DEN · NFLTEKC @ DENSun 4:25 PM
FacingKansas City Chiefsdefence0.2 TDs allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks T-30 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

36 games logged

Nate Adkins Anytime TD · 36 games logged

3 of 20 (15%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +1750 Hard Rock Bet · prices from

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1+ TD
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quoted at 0.5: O +1750 (Hard Rock Bet) · no under

1/5vs KC1/12@ BUF9/21@ LAC9/29vs CIN10/5@ PHI10/12@ NYJ10/19vs NYG10/26vs DAL12/14vs GB12/21vs JAX1/4vs LAC1/17vs BUF1/25vs NE9/14@ KC9/20vs JAX9/27vs LAR10/4@ SF10/11@ LAC10/15vs SEA10/25@ ARI

latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · @ ARI

TD

3 of 20 (15%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.2 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.2last 200.2last 300.220260.320250.120240.2all0.2

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Nate Adkins Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.110.200.29
SZN
21st percentile for mostleague avg 0.359 games (2025)37th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2949th percentile for mostleague avg 0.357 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER40/88 TEsneutral
red zone targets per game0.220.400.43
SZN
27th percentile for mostleague avg 0.529 games (2025)50th percentileleague avg 0.505 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4353rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.507 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral40/88 TEsneutral
receptions per game0.670.200.57
SZN
16th percentile for mostleague avg 2.209 games (2025)3rd percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5719th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER70/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone target share4.2%9.5%10.7%
SZN
22nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%9 games with red zone data (2025)55th percentileleague avg 11.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 10.7%57th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER66/85 TEsneutral37/88 TEsneutral
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%8 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/88 TEsneutral
red zone touch share1.6%3.7%4.9%
SZN
24th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%9 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.9%60th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER64/85 TEsneutral35/88 TEssupports OVER
KC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.20.60.7
SZN
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 4 total68th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.769th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs0.72.01.8
SZN
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 12 total84th percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 1.884th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.36 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed1.91.61.5
SZN
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 total6th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

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