STEEZANOMICS.

Julius Chestnut

TEN · NFLRBTEN @ CINSun 1:00 PM
FacingCincinnati Bengalsdefence1.2 TDs allowed to RBs (2025) · ranks T-4 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

20 games logged

Julius Chestnut Anytime TD · 20 games logged

0 of 20 (0%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +4000 Hard Rock Bet · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
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quoted at 0.5: O +4000 (Hard Rock Bet) · no under

9/15vs NYJ10/13vs IND10/20@ BUF10/27@ DET11/3vs NE11/24@ HOU12/1@ WAS12/8vs JAX12/29@ JAX1/5vs HOU9/7@ DEN9/14vs LAR9/21vs IND9/28@ HOU10/5@ ARI10/12@ LV10/26@ IND11/23vs SEA12/14@ SF12/21vs KC

latest0 Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · vs KC

TD

0 of 20 (0%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.4last 200.420250.420240.4all0.4

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Julius Chestnut Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.400.20
10th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0410 games (2025)11th percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.000.00
4th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3410 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 0.345 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game1.101.00
8th percentile for mostleague avg 10.2910 games (2025)8th percentileleague avg 10.065 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.000.00
1st percentile for mostleague avg 2.0410 games (2025)2nd percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone target share0.0%0.0%
2nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 8.3%8 games with red zone data (2025)16th percentileleague avg 7.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER57/58 RBssupports UNDER
red zone rush share11.8%5.6%
7th percentile for highest shareleague avg 40.3%8 games with red zone data (2025)7th percentileleague avg 38.3%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER55/58 RBssupports UNDER
red zone touch share6.6%2.6%
4th percentile for highest shareleague avg 30.0%9 games with red zone data (2025)6th percentileleague avg 28.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER56/58 RBssupports UNDER
CIN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.20.40.5
SZN
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 20 total0th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.510th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs4.74.84.3
SZN
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 80 total74th percentileleague avg 4.05 games (last 5)2026 season 4.358th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.06 games (2026) · 26 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed3.01.81.8
SZN
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 total13th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

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