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BUFWRBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Palmer on the fieldreceptions per game 1.00targets per game 2.75target share 9.3%
FacingBaltimore Ravensdefence167.6 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks 3 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET
Anytime TD
31 games loggedJoshua Palmer Anytime TD · 31 games logged
2 of 20 (10%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +700 Bally Bet · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +700 (Bally Bet) · no under
12/8@ KC12/15vs TB12/19vs DEN12/28@ NE9/7vs BAL9/14@ NYJ9/18vs MIA9/28vs NO10/5vs NE10/13@ ATL11/16vs TB11/20@ HOU12/14@ NE12/21@ CLE12/28vs PHI1/4vs NYJ9/13@ HOU9/17vs DET10/4vs NE10/18@ LV
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ LV
TD
2 of 20 (10%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.2 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.1last 200.2last 300.220260.020250.320240.2all0.2
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.250.200.00
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3412 games (2025)41st percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0013th percentile for mostleague avg 0.364 games (2026)neutralneutral105/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.500.600.25
SZN46th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6012 games (2025)54th percentileleague avg 0.645 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2523rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.644 games (2026)neutralneutral110/142 WRssupports UNDER
receptions per game1.831.001.00
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7512 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0018th percentile for mostleague avg 2.794 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER113/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone target share10.0%9.1%4.5%
SZN41st percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%12 games with red zone data (2025)31st percentileleague avg 14.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.5%17th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT79/134 WRssupports UNDER118/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN38th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%12 games with red zone data (2025)45th percentileleague avg 0.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%45th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/134 WRsneutral14/142 WRsneutral
red zone touch share2.5%1.9%0.0%
SZN32nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%12 games with red zone data (2025)30th percentileleague avg 4.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%13th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER89/134 WRssupports UNDER105/142 WRssupports UNDER
BAL · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.90.80.7
SZN53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 16 total39th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.735th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.97 games (2026) · 5 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs3.42.82.4
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 58 total65th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.447th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.42.42.4
SZN55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 41 total42nd percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.447th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 17 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs BAL0/2 with a touchdown · 2 seasons
| date | RZ | touch | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 1 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
| 11/25'24 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17 | 1 of 17 | 6% |
| 2024 | 15 | 1 of 15 | 7% |
| vs LV | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| Away | 14 | 2 of 14 | 14% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs TB | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NE | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% |
| 2025 | 12 | 0 of 12 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ LV | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | 0 | no |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | 0 | no |
| Thu, Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | 0 | no |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs NO | 0 | no |
| Thu, Sep 18, 2025 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | @ NYJ | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 7, 2025 | vs BAL | 0 | no |
| Sat, Dec 28, 2024 | @ NE | 0 | no |
| Thu, Dec 19, 2024 | vs DEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 15, 2024 | vs TB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 8, 2024 | @ KC | 0 | no |
Receptions
31 games loggedJoshua Palmer Receptions · 31 games logged
11 of 20 (55%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20 · over +172 bet365 · under −180 DraftKings · pull times beside each book
line1.5
1.5
quoted at 1.5: O +172 (bet365) · U -180 (DraftKings)
12/8@ KC12/15vs TB12/19vs DEN12/28@ NE9/7vs BAL9/14@ NYJ9/18vs MIA9/28vs NO10/5vs NE10/13@ ATL11/16vs TB11/20@ HOU12/14@ NE12/21@ CLE12/28vs PHI1/4vs NYJ9/13@ HOU9/17vs DET10/4vs NE10/18@ LV
latest1 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ LV
1.5
11 of 20 (55%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 52.8last 102.8last 203.6last 303.620262.820253.120244.3all3.6
Receptions: Breakdowns
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.001.00
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7512 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0018th percentile for mostleague avg 2.794 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER113/142 WRssupports UNDER
targets per game3.082.802.75
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4312 games (2025)30th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 2.7529th percentile for mostleague avg 4.524 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER101/142 WRssupports UNDER
target share10.0%9.4%9.3%
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%12 games (2025)35th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 9.3%34th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%4 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER94/142 WRssupports UNDER
snap share48.3%47.4%38.3%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%12 games (2025)28th percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 38.3%13th percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%4 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER123/142 WRssupports UNDER
BAL · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.913.013.1
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 220 total73rd percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.176th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.47 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs21.420.219.7
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 364 total74th percentileleague avg 18.65 games (last 5)2026 season 19.773rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.67 games (2026) · 138 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.520.821.4
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 399 total32nd percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 21.452nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.57 games (2026) · 150 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs BAL2/2 over 1.5 · 2 seasons· 20.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 18.8% |
| 11/25'24 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 22.2% |
TEAMMATES VS BAL
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Khalil Shakir, 3 of 3 games at 3.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 3.5 | −149 | 3 of 3 | 5.3 |
| Joshua Palmer | 1.5 | +172 | 2 of 2 | 4.0 |
| Keon Coleman | 2.5 | +139 | 2 of 3 | 4.0 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 3.5 | −125 | 2 of 3 | 3.3 |
| James Cook III | 1.5 | −112 | 2 of 3 | 3.0 |
| Dawson Knox | 1.5 | +160 | 1 of 3 | 1.3 |
| DJ Moore | 4.5 | +130 | 0 of 1 | 4.0 |
| Ty Johnson | 2.5 | +142 | 0 of 3 | 0.3 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 1.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17 | 11 of 17 | 65% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 15 | 13 of 15 | 87% | 13.8% |
| vs LV | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 11.3% |
| Away | 14 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 11.4% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs DEN | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.5% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs NO | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 13.0% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 9.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.7% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 6.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 12.7% |
| vs NE | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 10.8% |
| 2025 | 12 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 10.6% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 10.9% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.7% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 9.8% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.9% |
| 2026 | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.7% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 1.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ LV | 1 | 6.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | 1 | 12.9% | under |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | 1 | 10.7% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | 1 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 1 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | 1 | 5.9% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | 1 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | 1 | 7.7% | under |
| Thu, Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | 2 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | 2 | 16.1% | over |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | 2 | 7.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | 2 | 6.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs NO | 2 | 13.6% | over |
| Thu, Sep 18, 2025 | vs MIA | 1 | 3.7% | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | @ NYJ | 2 | 12.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 7, 2025 | vs BAL | 5 | 18.8% | over |
| Sat, Dec 28, 2024 | @ NE | 4 | 15.0% | over |
| Thu, Dec 19, 2024 | vs DEN | 3 | 19.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 15, 2024 | vs TB | 2 | 9.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 8, 2024 | @ KC | 6 | 31.0% | over |
Receiving Yards
31 games loggedJoshua Palmer Receiving Yards · 31 games logged
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 10.5 over his last 20 · over −111 Courtside · under −112 DraftKings · prices from
line10.5
10.5
quoted at 10.5: O -111 (Courtside) · U -112 (DraftKings)
12/8@ KC12/15vs TB12/19vs DEN12/28@ NE9/7vs BAL9/14@ NYJ9/18vs MIA9/28vs NO10/5vs NE10/13@ ATL11/16vs TB11/20@ HOU12/14@ NE12/21@ CLE12/28vs PHI1/4vs NYJ9/13@ HOU9/17vs DET10/4vs NE10/18@ LV
latest37 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ LV
10.5
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 10.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set2.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.0last 101.2last 202.0last 302.120261.020251.820242.6all2.1
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.001.00
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7512 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0018th percentile for mostleague avg 2.794 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER113/142 WRssupports UNDER
targets per game3.082.802.75
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4312 games (2025)30th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 2.7529th percentile for mostleague avg 4.524 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER101/142 WRssupports UNDER
target share10.0%9.4%9.3%
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%12 games (2025)35th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 9.3%34th percentile for mostleague avg 14.2%4 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER94/142 WRssupports UNDER
snap share48.3%47.4%38.3%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%12 games (2025)28th percentileleague avg 59.8%5 games (last 5)2026 season 38.3%13th percentile for mostleague avg 59.8%4 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER123/142 WRssupports UNDER
BAL · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs167.6195.2181.6
SZN94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2849 total94th percentileleague avg 149.45 games (last 5)2026 season 181.687th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.47 games (2026) · 1271 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs12.913.013.1
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 220 total73rd percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 13.176th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.47 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed259.0245.6235.1
SZN90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4403 total68th percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 235.147th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.17 games (2026) · 1646 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs49.960.453.6
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 849 total87th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 53.674th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.57 games (2026) · 375 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs BAL2/2 over 10.5 · 2 seasons· 20.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 18.8% |
| 11/25'24 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 22.2% |
TEAMMATES VS BAL
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Khalil Shakir, 3 of 3 games at 41.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 41.5 | −114 | 3 of 3 | 64.3 |
| Joshua Palmer | 10.5 | −111 | 2 of 2 | 49.5 |
| Keon Coleman | 29.5 | −107 | 2 of 3 | 56.0 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 45.5 | −110 | 2 of 3 | 35.3 |
| James Cook III | 9.5 | −114 | 2 of 3 | 27.3 |
| DJ Moore | 55.5 | −113 | 1 of 1 | 73.0 |
| Dawson Knox | 7.5 | −105 | 1 of 3 | 6.7 |
| Ty Johnson | 15.5 | +100 | 0 of 3 | 2.7 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 10.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 15 | 14 of 15 | 93% | 13.8% |
| vs LV | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 11.3% |
| Away | 14 | 13 of 14 | 93% | 11.4% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs DEN | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.5% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs NO | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 13.0% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 9.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.7% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 6.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 12.7% |
| vs NE | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 10.8% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 10.6% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 10.9% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.7% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 9.8% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.9% |
| 2026 | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.7% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 10.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ LV | 37 | 6.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | 3 | 12.9% | under |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | 43 | 10.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | 34 | 6.9% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 1 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | 12 | 5.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | 2 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | 16 | 7.7% | over |
| Thu, Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | 21 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | 17 | 16.1% | over |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | 60 | 7.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | 36 | 6.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs NO | 25 | 13.6% | over |
| Thu, Sep 18, 2025 | vs MIA | 5 | 3.7% | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | @ NYJ | 47 | 12.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 7, 2025 | vs BAL | 61 | 18.8% | over |
| Sat, Dec 28, 2024 | @ NE | 41 | 15.0% | over |
| Thu, Dec 19, 2024 | vs DEN | 41 | 19.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 15, 2024 | vs TB | 10 | 9.4% | under |
| Sun, Dec 8, 2024 | @ KC | 78 | 31.0% | over |
Longest Reception
31 games loggedJoshua Palmer Longest Reception · 31 games logged
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 9.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −114 betPARX · prices from
line9.5
9.5
quoted at 9.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -114 (betPARX)
12/8@ KC12/15vs TB12/19vs DEN12/28@ NE9/7vs BAL9/14@ NYJ9/18vs MIA9/28vs NO10/5vs NE10/13@ ATL11/16vs TB11/20@ HOU12/14@ NE12/21@ CLE12/28vs PHI1/4vs NYJ9/13@ HOU9/17vs DET10/4vs NE10/18@ LV
latest37 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ LV
9.5
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 9.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 52.8last 102.8last 203.6last 303.620262.820253.120244.3all3.6
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.001.00
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7512 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 2.795 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0018th percentile for mostleague avg 2.794 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER113/142 WRssupports UNDER
yards per catch12.6023.6029.25
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 13.0512 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 13.395 games (last 5)2026 season 29.2599th percentile for mostleague avg 13.394 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER2/140 WRssupports OVER
air yards per target10.7618.2322.38
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 11.4212 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 11.105 games (last 5)2026 season 22.3898th percentile for mostleague avg 11.104 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER4/142 WRssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.330.600.75
SZN28th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5412 games (2025)66th percentileleague avg 0.535 games (last 5)2026 season 0.7574th percentile for mostleague avg 0.534 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER37/142 WRssupports OVER
BAL · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.82.62.6
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 48 total77th percentileleague avg 2.15 games (last 5)2026 season 2.676th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.17 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.91.61.1
SZN73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 16 total97th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.179th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.97 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.40.60.4
SZN74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 7 total84th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.444th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs49.960.453.6
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 849 total87th percentileleague avg 48.55 games (last 5)2026 season 53.674th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.57 games (2026) · 375 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced294.0231.6219.9
SZN97th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4998 total32nd percentileleague avg 251.95 games (last 5)2026 season 219.923rd percentile for most facedleague avg 251.97 games (2026) · 1539 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs BAL2/2 over 9.5 · 2 seasons· 20.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07'25 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 32 |
| 11/25'24 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 17 |
TEAMMATES VS BAL
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Khalil Shakir, 3 of 3 games at 19.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 19.5 | −105 | 3 of 3 | 37.3 |
| Joshua Palmer | 9.5 | −110 | 2 of 2 | 24.5 |
| James Cook III | 7.5 | −110 | 2 of 3 | 22.3 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 19.5 | −120 | 2 of 3 | 19.3 |
| Keon Coleman | 16.5 | −106 | 2 of 3 | 18.0 |
| DJ Moore | 23.5 | −110 | 1 of 1 | 42.0 |
| Dawson Knox | 7.5 | −106 | 1 of 3 | 4.0 |
| Ty Johnson | 9.5 | −105 | 0 of 1 | 8.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 9.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 15 | 14 of 15 | 93% | 13.8% |
| vs LV | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 11.3% |
| Away | 14 | 13 of 14 | 93% | 11.4% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs DEN | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.5% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs NO | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 13.0% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 9.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.7% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.5% |
| vs BAL | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 20.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 6.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 12.7% |
| vs NE | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 10.8% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 10.6% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 10.9% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.7% |
| vs HOU | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 9.8% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.9% |
| 2026 | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.7% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 9.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ LV | 37 | 6.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | 3 | 12.9% | under |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | 43 | 10.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | 34 | 6.9% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 1 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | 12 | 5.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | 2 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | 16 | 7.7% | over |
| Thu, Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | 11 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | 13 | 16.1% | over |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | 45 | 7.7% | over |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | 23 | 6.7% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | vs NO | 14 | 13.6% | over |
| Thu, Sep 18, 2025 | vs MIA | 5 | 3.7% | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | @ NYJ | 32 | 12.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 7, 2025 | vs BAL | 32 | 18.8% | over |
| Sat, Dec 28, 2024 | @ NE | 19 | 15.0% | over |
| Thu, Dec 19, 2024 | vs DEN | 24 | 19.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 15, 2024 | vs TB | 5 | 9.4% | under |
| Sun, Dec 8, 2024 | @ KC | 38 | 31.0% | over |
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