STEEZANOMICS.

Gavin Bartholomew

MIN · NFLTEMIN @ DETSun 1:00 PM
FacingDetroit Lionsdefence0.5 TDs allowed to TEs (2025) · ranks T-10 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31

Anytime TD

4 games logged

Gavin Bartholomew Anytime TD · 4 games logged

0 of 4 (0%) scored a touchdown over all 4, too few games to read anything into · to score +1400 Bally Bet · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +1400 (Bally Bet) · no under

9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND

latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND

TD

0 of 4 (0%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

red zone touchesno range set0.3 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all0.3

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Gavin Bartholomew Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.250.250.25
SZN
40th percentile for mostleague avg 0.354 games (2026)40th percentileleague avg 0.354 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2540th percentile for mostleague avg 0.354 games (2026)supports UNDER51/88 TEssupports UNDER51/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.250.250.25
SZN
33rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.504 games (2026)33rd percentileleague avg 0.504 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2533rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.504 games (2026)supports UNDER58/88 TEssupports UNDER58/88 TEssupports UNDER
receptions per game1.751.751.75
SZN
50th percentile for mostleague avg 2.134 games (2026)50th percentileleague avg 2.134 games (last 5)2026 season 1.7550th percentile for mostleague avg 2.134 games (2026)supports FLAT44/88 TEsneutral44/88 TEsneutral
red zone target share6.7%6.7%6.7%
SZN
40th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%3 games with red zone data (2026)40th percentileleague avg 11.4%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 6.7%40th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER53/88 TEssupports UNDER53/88 TEssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%3 games with red zone data (2026)48th percentileleague avg 0.1%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT5/88 TEsneutral5/88 TEsneutral
red zone touch share3.4%3.4%3.4%
SZN
44th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%3 games with red zone data (2026)44th percentileleague avg 4.5%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 3.4%44th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT50/88 TEsneutral50/88 TEsneutral
DET · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.51.61.7
SZN
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 total100th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.7100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.32.22.5
SZN
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 22 total87th percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 2.595th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.36 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.83.63.7
SZN
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 total100th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

See the full defense funnels for MIN @ DET →

New lines every morning · Today’s board · Results

Yes +1400 Bally Betprices from