STEEZANOMICS.

Elijah Sarratt

BAL · NFLWRBAL @ BUFSun 1:00 PM
FacingBuffalo Billsdefence0.8 TDs allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks T-23 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET

Anytime TD

1 games logged · thin sample

Elijah Sarratt Anytime TD · 1 games logged · thin sample

0 of 1 (0%) scored a touchdown over all 1, too few games to read anything into · to score +2250 Hard Rock Bet · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0

quoted at 0.5: O +2250 (Hard Rock Bet) · no under

10/4vs TEN

latest0 Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · vs TEN

TD

0 of 1 (0%) cleared 0.5 over all 1, too few games to read anything into

touchesno range set1.0 avg over the 1 charted
by window, any range:all1.0

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Elijah Sarratt Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per gamethin0.00—0.00
last 5 not on file
13th percentile for mostleague avg 0.36thin sample: 1 games (2026)no per-play form for this stat13th percentile for mostleague avg 0.361 game (2026)supports UNDER105/142 WRs105/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone targets per gamethin0.00—0.00
last 5 not on file
6th percentile for mostleague avg 0.64thin sample: 1 games (2026)no per-play form for this stat6th percentile for mostleague avg 0.641 game (2026)supports UNDER127/142 WRs127/142 WRssupports UNDER
receptions per gamethin1.00—1.00
last 5 not on file
18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.79thin sample: 1 games (2026)no per-play form for this stat18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.791 game (2026)supports UNDER113/142 WRs113/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone target sharethinthin0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
6th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%thin sample: 1 games with red zone data (2026)6th percentileleague avg 14.1%thin sample: 1 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%6th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.1%1 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER127/142 WRssupports UNDER127/142 WRssupports UNDER
red zone rush sharethinthin0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
45th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%thin sample: 1 games with red zone data (2026)45th percentileleague avg 0.5%thin sample: 1 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%45th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.5%1 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/142 WRsneutral14/142 WRsneutral
red zone touch sharethinthin0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
13th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%thin sample: 1 games with red zone data (2026)13th percentileleague avg 4.4%thin sample: 1 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%13th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.4%1 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER105/142 WRssupports UNDER105/142 WRssupports UNDER
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.82.01.8
SZN
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 total100th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.8100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.64.03.8
SZN
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 total95th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.894th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.53.43.5
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 total90th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.590th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 21 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

See the full defense funnels for BAL @ BUF →

New lines every morning · Today’s board · Results

Yes +2250 Hard Rock Betprices from