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MIZRBMissouri Tigers @ Arkansas RazorbacksSat 7:45 PM
Hardy on the fieldcarries per game 20.08yards per carry 6.56
FacingArkansas Razorbacksdefence196.7 rushing yards allowed (2025) · ranks 20 of 141 NCAAF defences
Game has started
Anytime TD
12 games loggedAhmad Hardy Anytime TD · 12 games logged
7 of 10 (70%) scored a touchdown over his last 10 · to score +210 Fliff · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +210 (Fliff) · no under
9/13vs UL9/20vs SC9/27vs MASS10/11vs ALA10/18@ AUB10/25@ VAN11/8vs TA&M11/15vs MSST11/22@ OU11/29@ ARK
latest1 Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · @ ARK
TD
7 of 10 (70%) cleared 0.5 over his last 10
touchesno range set21.1 avg over the 10 charted
by window, any range:last 520.8last 1021.1all20.6
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Ahmad Hardy Breakdown · his own data
carries per game20.0820.40
98th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9312 games (2025)99th percentileleague avg 6.245 games (last 5)supports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game0.500.40
26th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0912 games (2025)45th percentileleague avg 0.725 games (last 5)supports UNDERneutral
ARK · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.01.82.0
SZN79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 11 total86th percentileleague avg 1.15 games (last 5)2026 season 2.091st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.16 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-26/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-11/138 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced40.735.635.3
SZN84th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 448 total47th percentileleague avg 35.75 games (last 5)2026 season 35.346th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.76 games (2026) · 212 totalsupports OVERT-23/141 FBS defencesneutralT-74/138 FBS defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed4.13.43.8
SZN88th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 45 total66th percentileleague avg 3.15 games (last 5)2026 season 3.877th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.16 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports OVERT-17/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-29/138 FBS defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadAhmad Hardy vs ARK1/1 with a touchdown · 2025 season
| date | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29'25 | 27 | 157 | 0 | 1 |
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 7 of 8 | 88% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| vs CARK | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs KU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs UL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs SC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MASS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ALA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Away | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs AUB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs VAN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TA&M | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MSST | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs OU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ARK | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
10 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29, 2025 | @ ARK | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22, 2025 | @ OU | 0 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15, 2025 | vs MSST | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8, 2025 | vs TA&M | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25, 2025 | @ VAN | 0 | no |
| Sat, Oct 18, 2025 | @ AUB | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11, 2025 | vs ALA | 0 | no |
| Sat, Sep 27, 2025 | vs MASS | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20, 2025 | vs SC | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13, 2025 | vs UL | 3 | yes |
Rushing Yards
12 games loggedAhmad Hardy Rushing Yards · 12 games logged
10 of 10 (100%) cleared 20.5 over his last 10 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −114 FanDuel · prices from
line20.5
20.5
quoted at 20.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -114 (FanDuel)
9/13vs UL9/20vs SC9/27vs MASS10/11vs ALA10/18@ AUB10/25@ VAN11/8vs TA&M11/15vs MSST11/22@ OU11/29@ ARK
latest157 Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · @ ARK
20.5
10 of 10 (100%) cleared 20.5 over his last 10
carriesno range set20.6 avg over the 10 charted
by window, any range:last 520.4last 1020.6all20.1
Rushing Yards: Breakdowns
Ahmad Hardy Breakdown · his own data
carries per game20.0820.40
98th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9312 games (2025)99th percentileleague avg 6.245 games (last 5)supports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.566.88
91st percentile for mostleague avg 4.7912 games (2025)87th percentileleague avg 4.845 games (last 5)supports OVERsupports OVER
ARK · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed196.7166.6162.2
SZN86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 2164 total65th percentileleague avg 152.35 games (last 5)2026 season 162.261st percentile for most allowedleague avg 152.36 games (2026) · 973 totalsupports OVER20/141 FBS defencessupports OVER54/138 FBS defencessupports OVER
Rushing Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadAhmad Hardy vs ARK1/1 over 20.5 · 2025 season
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29'25 | 27 | 157 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Rushing Yards: Lineup
Rushing Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rushing Yards at 20.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 8 of 8 | 100% |
| 2025 | 12 | 12 of 12 | 100% |
| vs CARK | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs KU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs UL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs SC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MASS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ALA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| Away | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs AUB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs VAN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TA&M | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MSST | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs OU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ARK | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Rushing Yards: Game Log
Game Log
10 games, newest first · at 20.5
| Date | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29, 2025 | @ ARK | 157 | over |
| Sat, Nov 22, 2025 | @ OU | 57 | over |
| Sat, Nov 15, 2025 | vs MSST | 300 | over |
| Sat, Nov 8, 2025 | vs TA&M | 109 | over |
| Sat, Oct 25, 2025 | @ VAN | 97 | over |
| Sat, Oct 18, 2025 | @ AUB | 58 | over |
| Sat, Oct 11, 2025 | vs ALA | 52 | over |
| Sat, Sep 27, 2025 | vs MASS | 130 | over |
| Sat, Sep 20, 2025 | vs SC | 138 | over |
| Sat, Sep 13, 2025 | vs UL | 250 | over |
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