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MINRBMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit LionsSun 1:00 PM
Jones on the fieldcarries per game 17.50yards per carry 3.96
FacingDetroit Lionsdefence89.2 rushing yards allowed to RBs (2026) · ranks 21 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:18 AM ET Sat Oct 31
Anytime TD
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Anytime TD · 36 games logged
5 of 20 (25%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +270 Fanatics · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +270 (Fanatics) · no under
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
TD
5 of 20 (25%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set1.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 52.0last 102.6last 201.7last 302.320262.320251.420243.2all2.4
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.422.002.33
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0412 games (2025)56th percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)2026 season 2.3364th percentile for mostleague avg 2.056 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral26/74 RBssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.420.600.50
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3412 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 0.345 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5076th percentile for mostleague avg 0.346 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER16/74 RBssupports OVER
carries per game11.0018.6017.50
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 10.2912 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 10.065 games (last 5)2026 season 17.5091st percentile for mostleague avg 10.066 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER7/74 RBssupports OVER
receptions per game2.332.602.17
SZN70th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0412 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)2026 season 2.1759th percentile for mostleague avg 2.056 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/74 RBsneutral
red zone target share12.5%18.8%13.6%
SZN78th percentile for highest shareleague avg 8.3%11 games with red zone data (2025)90th percentileleague avg 7.7%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 13.6%79th percentile for highest shareleague avg 7.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER12/58 RBssupports OVER15/68 RBssupports OVER
red zone rush share36.8%41.2%44.0%
SZN39th percentile for highest shareleague avg 40.3%11 games with red zone data (2025)55th percentileleague avg 38.3%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 44.0%58th percentile for highest shareleague avg 38.3%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER36/58 RBsneutral29/68 RBsneutral
red zone touch share29.3%34.5%35.0%
SZN51st percentile for highest shareleague avg 30.0%12 games with red zone data (2025)68th percentileleague avg 28.2%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 35.0%68th percentile for highest shareleague avg 28.2%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT29/58 RBssupports OVER22/68 RBssupports OVER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to RBs0.80.80.8
SZN29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 total42nd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.842nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencesneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.43.83.7
SZN26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 58 total42nd percentileleague avg 4.05 games (last 5)2026 season 3.742nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.06 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.83.63.7
SZN77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 total100th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.7100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET2/4 with a touchdown · 2 seasons
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 4 | 21 | 53 | 10 | 1 |
| 11/02'25 | 0 | 11 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 01/05'25 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 10/20'24 | 0 | 17 | 93 | 23 | 1 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Anytime TD · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s scored a touchdown in 1 of 5 games vs DET · 1 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 4 | 3 | 3 | 34 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 3 | 2 | 2 | 32 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 0 | no TD | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 4 of 19 | 21% |
| 2024 | 18 | 7 of 18 | 39% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| Home | 17 | 8 of 17 | 47% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 of 12 | 25% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 1 | yes |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 0 | no |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | no |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 1 | yes |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 0 | no |
Rushing Attempts
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Rushing Attempts · 36 games logged
17 of 20 (85%) cleared 7.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Bovada · under +100 bet365 · pull times beside each book
line7.5
7.5
quoted at 7.5: O -110 (Bovada) · U +100 (bet365)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest8 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
7.5
17 of 20 (85%) cleared 7.5 over his last 20
snap shareno range set59.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 569.2last 1062.4last 2059.4last 3061.6202665.3202555.1202463.7all61.1
Rushing Attempts: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
snap share55.1%69.2%65.3%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 50.1%12 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 48.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.3%80th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER15/74 RBssupports OVER
rushing yards per game45.6779.2072.67
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 45.0512 games (2025)88th percentileleague avg 41.425 games (last 5)2026 season 72.6786th percentile for mostleague avg 41.426 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER11/74 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.094.093.96
SZN43rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.1212 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 3.935 games (last 5)2026 season 3.9649th percentile for mostleague avg 3.936 games (2026)neutralneutral36/69 RBsneutral
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
carries allowed to RBs20.819.219.3
SZN32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 354 total10th percentileleague avg 22.25 games (last 5)2026 season 19.310th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.26 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced23.521.221.5
SZN39th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 400 total10th percentileleague avg 24.15 games (last 5)2026 season 21.510th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.16 games (2026) · 129 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.279.679.7
SZN35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 total29th percentileleague avg 91.15 games (last 5)2026 season 79.729th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.16 games (2026) · 478 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Rushing Attempts: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 7.5 · 2 seasons
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 11/02'25 | 9 | 78 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 01/05'25 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 10/20'24 | 14 | 93 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Rushing Attempts at 7.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 7.5 carries in 1 of 5 games vs DET · 1 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | CAR | AT 7.5 | OWN LINE | RUSH YDS | YPC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 9 | over | — | 30 | 3.3 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | — | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 4 | under | 4.5under | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 5 | under | 3.5over | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 3 | under | 6.5under | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 6 | under | — | 20 | 3.3 | 0 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
Rushing Attempts: Lineup
Rushing Attempts: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rushing Attempts at 7.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 17 of 19 | 89% |
| 2024 | 18 | 16 of 18 | 89% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| Home | 17 | 14 of 17 | 82% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs IND | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 5 of 5 | 100% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 6 | 6 of 6 | 100% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Rushing Attempts: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 7.5
| Date | Opponent | Rushing Attempts | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 8 | over |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 25 | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 20 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 17 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 23 | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 12 | over |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 18 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 21 | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 12 | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 14 | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 6 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 9 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 16 | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 9 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 9 | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 5 | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 5 | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 8 | over |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 13 | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 10 | over |
Rushing Yards
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Rushing Yards · 36 games logged
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 29.5 over his last 20 · over −108 Courtside · under −114 BetOnline · prices from
line29.5
29.5
quoted at 29.5: O -108 (Courtside) · U -114 (BetOnline.ag)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest26 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
29.5
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 29.5 over his last 20
carriesno range set13.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 518.6last 1017.0last 2013.0last 3014.0202617.5202511.0202414.9all14.0
Rushing Yards: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
carries per game11.0018.6017.50
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 10.2912 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 10.065 games (last 5)2026 season 17.5091st percentile for mostleague avg 10.066 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER7/74 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.094.093.96
SZN43rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.1212 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 3.935 games (last 5)2026 season 3.9649th percentile for mostleague avg 3.936 games (2026)neutralneutral36/69 RBsneutral
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.279.679.7
SZN35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 total29th percentileleague avg 91.15 games (last 5)2026 season 79.729th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.16 games (2026) · 478 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs20.819.219.3
SZN32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 354 total10th percentileleague avg 22.25 games (last 5)2026 season 19.310th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.26 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced23.521.221.5
SZN39th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 400 total10th percentileleague avg 24.15 games (last 5)2026 season 21.510th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.16 games (2026) · 129 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line2.83.63.5
SZN6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 48 total32nd percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 3.529th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.96 games (2026) · 21 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Rushing Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 29.5 · 2 seasons
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 11/02'25 | 9 | 78 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 01/05'25 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 10/20'24 | 14 | 93 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Rushing Yards at 29.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 29.5 rushing yards in 1 of 5 games vs DET · 0 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | RUSH YDS | AT 29.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | YPC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 30 | over | — | 9 | 3.3 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | 7.5under | 0 | — | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 14 | under | 16.5under | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 2 | under | 12.5under | 5 | 0.4 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 7 | under | 27.5under | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 20 | under | — | 6 | 3.3 | 0 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
Rushing Yards: Lineup
Rushing Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rushing Yards at 29.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 16 of 19 | 84% |
| 2024 | 18 | 16 of 18 | 89% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| Home | 17 | 13 of 17 | 76% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| 2025 | 12 | 8 of 12 | 67% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 of 6 | 83% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Rushing Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 29.5
| Date | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 26 | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 113 | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 94 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 58 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 105 | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 40 | over |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 53 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 85 | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 34 | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 76 | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 3 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 41 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 70 | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 47 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 78 | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 15 | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 23 | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 23 | under |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 48 | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 45 | over |
Longest Rush
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Longest Rush · 36 games logged
14 of 20 (70%) cleared 9.5 over his last 20 · over −120 bet365 · under +100 betPARX · pull times beside each book
line9.5
9.5
quoted at 9.5: O -120 (bet365) · U +100 (betPARX)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest17 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
9.5
14 of 20 (70%) cleared 9.5 over his last 20
carriesno range set13.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 518.6last 1017.0last 2013.0last 3014.0202617.5202511.0202414.9all14.0
Longest Rush: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
carries per game11.0018.6017.50
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 10.2912 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 10.065 games (last 5)2026 season 17.5091st percentile for mostleague avg 10.066 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER7/74 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.094.093.96
SZN43rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.1212 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 3.935 games (last 5)2026 season 3.9649th percentile for mostleague avg 3.936 games (2026)neutralneutral36/69 RBsneutral
10+ yard runs per game1.001.801.50
SZN46th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0712 games (2025)85th percentileleague avg 0.965 games (last 5)2026 season 1.5074th percentile for mostleague avg 0.966 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER19/74 RBssupports OVER
snap share55.1%69.2%65.3%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 50.1%12 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 48.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.3%80th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER15/74 RBssupports OVER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.22.22.2
SZN48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 37 total58th percentileleague avg 2.05 games (last 5)2026 season 2.258th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.06 games (2026) · 13 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral14/32 NFL defencesneutral
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.51.00.8
SZN53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 8 total100th percentileleague avg 0.45 games (last 5)2026 season 0.898th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.46 games (2026) · 5 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.34.24.1
SZN53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)58th percentileleague avg 4.15 games (last 5)2026 season 4.152nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.16 games (2026)neutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line2.83.63.5
SZN6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 48 total32nd percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 3.529th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.96 games (2026) · 21 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Longest Rush: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET3/4 over 9.5 · 2 seasons
| date | car | rush yds | lng rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 18 | 53 | 10 |
| 11/02'25 | 9 | 78 | 31 |
| 01/05'25 | 10 | 45 | 8 |
| 10/20'24 | 14 | 93 | 34 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Longest Rush at 9.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 9.5 longest rush in 0 of 5 games vs DET · 0 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 9.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | RUSH YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 8 | under | — | 9 | 30 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 7 | under | 7.5under | 4 | 14 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 2 | under | 7.5under | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 3 | under | 9.5under | 3 | 7 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 6 | under | — | 6 | 20 | 0 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
Longest Rush: Lineup
Longest Rush: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Rush at 9.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 13 of 19 | 68% |
| 2024 | 18 | 12 of 18 | 67% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| Home | 17 | 12 of 17 | 71% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs IND | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| 2025 | 12 | 8 of 12 | 67% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 6 | 5 of 6 | 83% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Longest Rush: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 9.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Rush | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 17 | over |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 19 | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 19 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 14 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 20 | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 8 | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 10 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 15 | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 16 | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 18 | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 4 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 13 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 14 | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 17 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 31 | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 5 | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 8 | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 9 | under |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 13 | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 8 | under |
Receptions
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Receptions · 36 games logged
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20 · over −140 Fanatics · under +123 DraftKings · prices from
line1.5
1.5
quoted at 1.5: O -140 (Fanatics) · U +123 (DraftKings)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest1 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
1.5
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.6last 103.0last 203.6last 303.520263.220253.420243.8all3.6
Receptions: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.332.602.17
SZN70th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0412 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)2026 season 2.1759th percentile for mostleague avg 2.056 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/74 RBsneutral
targets per game3.423.603.17
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 2.5812 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 2.615 games (last 5)2026 season 3.1770th percentile for mostleague avg 2.616 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/74 RBssupports OVER
target share14.0%12.5%11.2%
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 8.4%12 games (2025)84th percentileleague avg 8.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 11.2%75th percentile for mostleague avg 8.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER19/74 RBssupports OVER
snap share55.1%69.2%65.3%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 50.1%12 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 48.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.3%80th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER15/74 RBssupports OVER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to RBs3.53.64.3
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 60 total23rd percentileleague avg 4.55 games (last 5)2026 season 4.345th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.56 games (2026) · 26 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to RBs4.74.85.8
SZN13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 79 total26th percentileleague avg 5.85 games (last 5)2026 season 5.860th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.86 games (2026) · 35 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.127.428.7
SZN35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 342 total100th percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 28.7100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.56 games (2026) · 172 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 1.5 · 2 seasons· 14.7% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 28.6% |
| 11/02'25 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8.7% |
| 01/05'25 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 15.8% |
| 10/20'24 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 11.1% |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Receptions at 1.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 1.5 receptions in 3 of 5 games vs DET · 3 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 1.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 3 | over | 0.5over | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 1 | under | 0.5over | 1 | 5 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 2 | over | 1.5over | 2 | 9 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 2 | over | — | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS DET
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Aaron Jones Sr., 4 of 4 games at 1.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr. | 1.5 | −140 | 4 of 4 | 3.3 |
| Justin Jefferson | 5.5 | −120 | 2 of 4 | 5.0 |
| Jauan Jennings | 1.5 | +100 | 1 of 1 | 7.0 |
| Jordan Mason | 0.5 | −240 | 1 of 1 | 1.0 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 4.5 | +100 | 0 of 2 | 2.0 |
| Jordan Addison | 3.5 | +140 | 0 of 4 | 1.5 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 1.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 17 of 19 | 89% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 18 | 16 of 18 | 89% | 12.0% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 10.8% |
| Home | 17 | 12 of 17 | 71% | 12.5% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.1% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 21.9% |
| vs GB | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 13.6% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.6% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 14.7% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8.8% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.3% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11.3% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 6.1% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.1% |
| 2025 | 12 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 13.6% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 14.3% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.3% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| 2026 | 6 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 12.3% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.2% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.3% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 1.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 1 | 4.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 3 | 10.3% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 4 | 24.2% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 5 | 24.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 0 | 4.2% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 3 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 2 | 13.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 3 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 0 | 4.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 4 | 13.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 3 | 22.2% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 3 | 18.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 3 | 14.3% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 2 | 8.7% | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 2 | 13.3% | over |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | 4.8% | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 3 | 13.6% | over |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 3 | 14.6% | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 5 | 15.8% | over |
Receiving Yards
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Receiving Yards · 36 games logged
14 of 20 (70%) cleared 7.5 over his last 20 · over −114 FanDuel · under −105 DraftKings · prices from
line7.5
7.5
quoted at 7.5: O -114 (FanDuel) · U -105 (DraftKings)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
7.5
14 of 20 (70%) cleared 7.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set2.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 52.6last 102.1last 202.5last 302.520262.220252.320243.0all2.6
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.332.602.17
SZN70th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0412 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)2026 season 2.1759th percentile for mostleague avg 2.056 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/74 RBsneutral
targets per game3.423.603.17
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 2.5812 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 2.615 games (last 5)2026 season 3.1770th percentile for mostleague avg 2.616 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/74 RBssupports OVER
target share14.0%12.5%11.2%
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 8.4%12 games (2025)84th percentileleague avg 8.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 11.2%75th percentile for mostleague avg 8.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER19/74 RBssupports OVER
snap share55.1%69.2%65.3%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 50.1%12 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 48.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.3%80th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER15/74 RBssupports OVER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to RBs24.623.224.3
SZN15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 418 total26th percentileleague avg 32.05 games (last 5)2026 season 24.326th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.06 games (2026) · 146 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to RBs3.53.64.3
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 60 total23rd percentileleague avg 4.55 games (last 5)2026 season 4.345th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.56 games (2026) · 26 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed236.9294.2313.5
SZN65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4027 total97th percentileleague avg 236.15 games (last 5)2026 season 313.5100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.16 games (2026) · 1881 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.017.220.8
SZN6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 total0th percentileleague avg 34.35 games (last 5)2026 season 20.86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.36 games (2026) · 125 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 7.5 · 2 seasons· 14.7% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 28.6% |
| 11/02'25 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8.7% |
| 01/05'25 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 15.8% |
| 10/20'24 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 11.1% |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Receiving Yards at 7.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 7.5 receiving yards in 2 of 5 games vs DET · 2 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 7.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 3 | under | 2.5over | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 5 | under | 0.5over | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 9 | over | 9.5under | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 15 | over | — | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS DET
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Aaron Jones Sr., 4 of 4 games at 7.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr. | 7.5 | −114 | 4 of 4 | 20.8 |
| Jordan Addison | 37.5 | −114 | 2 of 4 | 28.5 |
| Jauan Jennings | 13.5 | −105 | 1 of 1 | 67.0 |
| Justin Jefferson | 79.5 | +102 | 1 of 4 | 53.0 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 40.5 | −109 | 0 of 2 | 10.0 |
| Jordan Mason | 4.5 | −115 | 0 of 1 | 1.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 7.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 18 | 16 of 18 | 89% | 12.0% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 10.8% |
| Home | 17 | 12 of 17 | 71% | 12.5% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.1% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 21.9% |
| vs GB | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 13.6% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3.6% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 14.7% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8.8% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.3% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11.3% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 6.1% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.1% |
| 2025 | 12 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 13.6% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 14.3% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.3% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| 2026 | 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 12.3% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.2% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.3% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 7.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 0 | 4.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 4 | 10.3% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 34 | 24.2% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 34 | 24.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 0 | 4.2% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 10 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 8 | 13.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 31 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 0 | 4.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 22 | 13.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 16 | 22.2% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 11 | 18.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 22 | 14.3% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 20 | 8.7% | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 15 | 13.3% | over |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | 4.8% | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 44 | 13.6% | over |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 12 | 14.6% | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 30 | 15.8% | over |
Longest Reception
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Longest Reception · 36 games logged
13 of 20 (65%) cleared 6.5 over his last 20 · over −120 bet365 · under −110 bet365 · prices from
line6.5
6.5
quoted at 6.5: O -120 (bet365) · U -110 (bet365)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest0 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
6.5
13 of 20 (65%) cleared 6.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.6last 103.0last 203.6last 303.520263.220253.420243.8all3.6
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.332.602.17
SZN70th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0412 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 2.055 games (last 5)2026 season 2.1759th percentile for mostleague avg 2.056 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/74 RBsneutral
yards per catch7.173.994.16
SZN45th percentile for mostleague avg 7.4410 games (2025)15th percentileleague avg 6.805 games (last 5)2026 season 4.1616th percentile for mostleague avg 6.804 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER60/71 RBssupports UNDER
air yards per target-1.320.320.32
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg -0.1212 games (2025)65th percentileleague avg 0.075 games (last 5)2026 season 0.3265th percentile for mostleague avg 0.075 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER26/73 RBssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.080.000.00
SZN35th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1412 games (2025)30th percentileleague avg 0.115 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0030th percentile for mostleague avg 0.116 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER30/74 RBssupports UNDER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.20.20.2
SZN52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 4 total48th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.244th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.26 games (2026) · 1 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.20.00.0
SZN85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 3 total29th percentileleague avg 0.15 games (last 5)2026 season 0.029th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.16 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.50.40.7
SZN66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 total23rd percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.771st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.66 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.017.220.8
SZN6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 total0th percentileleague avg 34.35 games (last 5)2026 season 20.86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.36 games (2026) · 125 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced315.5351.0370.0
SZN100th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 5364 total100th percentileleague avg 251.95 games (last 5)2026 season 370.0100th percentile for most facedleague avg 251.96 games (2026) · 2220 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 6.5 · 2 seasons· 14.7% of their targets, 4 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 |
| 11/02'25 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 |
| 01/05'25 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 10 |
| 10/20'24 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 17 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Longest Reception at 6.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 6.5 longest reception in 1 of 5 games vs DET · 2 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 6.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 7 | over | 2.5over | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 5 | under | 0.5over | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 5 | under | 8.5under | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 6 | under | — | 2 | 2 | 15 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS DET
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Aaron Jones Sr., 4 of 4 games at 6.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr. | 6.5 | −120 | 4 of 4 | 12.8 |
| Jordan Addison | 18.5 | −104 | 2 of 3 | 27.3 |
| Jauan Jennings | 10.5 | −110 | 1 of 1 | 15.0 |
| Justin Jefferson | 25.5 | −110 | 1 of 4 | 21.8 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 15.5 | −109 | 0 of 2 | 7.5 |
| Jordan Mason | 4.5 | −115 | 0 of 1 | 1.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 6.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 15 of 19 | 79% | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 18 | 15 of 18 | 83% | 12.0% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 10.8% |
| Home | 17 | 11 of 17 | 65% | 12.5% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 20.1% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 21.9% |
| vs GB | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 13.6% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3.6% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 14.7% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8.8% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.1% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.3% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11.3% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.3% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 6.1% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 14.1% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 13.6% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 14.3% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 4.3% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| 2026 | 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 12.3% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 24.2% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.3% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 6.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 0 | 4.2% | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 2 | 10.3% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 15 | 24.2% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 12 | 24.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 0 | 4.2% | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 10 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 7 | 13.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 18 | 12.5% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 0 | 4.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 13 | 13.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 6 | 22.2% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 7 | 18.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 12 | 14.3% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 14 | 8.7% | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 13 | 13.3% | over |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | 4.8% | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 27 | 13.6% | over |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 8 | 14.6% | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 10 | 15.8% | over |
Rush + Rec Yards
36 games loggedAaron Jones Sr. Rush + Rec Yards · 36 games logged
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 41.5 over his last 20 · over −109 Courtside · under −115 bet365 · pull times beside each book
line41.5
41.5
quoted at 41.5: O -109 (Courtside) · U -115 (bet365)
1/5@ DET1/13@ LAR9/8@ CHI9/14vs ATL10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/4vs MIA10/11@ NO10/25vs IND
latest26 Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · vs IND
41.5
15 of 20 (75%) cleared 41.5 over his last 20
touchesno range set15.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 521.2last 1019.1last 2015.4last 3016.5202619.7202513.3202417.9all16.7
Rush + Rec Yards: Breakdowns
Aaron Jones Sr. Breakdown · his own data
touches per game13.3321.2019.67
SZN54th percentile for mostleague avg 12.3312 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 12.105 games (last 5)2026 season 19.6783rd percentile for mostleague avg 12.106 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER13/74 RBssupports OVER
carries per game11.0018.6017.50
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 10.2912 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 10.065 games (last 5)2026 season 17.5091st percentile for mostleague avg 10.066 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER7/74 RBssupports OVER
targets per game3.423.603.17
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 2.5812 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 2.615 games (last 5)2026 season 3.1770th percentile for mostleague avg 2.616 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/74 RBssupports OVER
snap share55.1%69.2%65.3%
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 50.1%12 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 48.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 65.3%80th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER15/74 RBssupports OVER
DET · what this defence allowssee the games
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.279.679.7
SZN35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 total29th percentileleague avg 91.15 games (last 5)2026 season 79.729th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.16 games (2026) · 478 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs24.623.224.3
SZN15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 418 total26th percentileleague avg 32.05 games (last 5)2026 season 24.326th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.06 games (2026) · 146 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed114.5100.899.2
SZN42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1947 total42nd percentileleague avg 110.95 games (last 5)2026 season 99.235th percentile for most allowedleague avg 110.96 games (2026) · 595 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.017.220.8
SZN6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 total0th percentileleague avg 34.35 games (last 5)2026 season 20.86th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.36 games (2026) · 125 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Rush + Rec Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadAaron Jones Sr. vs DET4/4 over 41.5 · 2 seasons
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | rush+rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25'25 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 63 |
| 11/02'25 | 9 | 78 | 2 | 20 | 98 |
| 01/05'25 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 30 | 75 |
| 10/20'24 | 14 | 93 | 3 | 23 | 116 |
SAME ROLE VS DET
RB2s vs DET
Rush + Rec Yards at 41.5 · Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2
RB2s went over 41.5 rush + rec yards in 0 of 5 games vs DET · 0 of 3 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | R+R YDS | AT 41.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | RUSH YDS | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | NO | 30 | under | — | 9 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9/17 | BUF | left early (14% of snaps) | 0 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | NYJ | 17 | under | 23.5under | 4 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| 10/4 | CAR | 7 | under | 18.5under | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 10/11 | ARI | 16 | under | 40.5under | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 10/25 | GB | 35 | under | — | 6 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
Each past RB2 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Aaron Jones Sr. is MIN's RB2 by today's rushing yards lines. DET has played 6 games; the RB2 was clear in all 6.
Rush + Rec Yards: Lineup
Rush + Rec Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rush + Rec Yards at 41.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 17 of 19 | 89% |
| 2024 | 18 | 17 of 18 | 94% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| Home | 17 | 13 of 17 | 76% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 3 of 4 | 75% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DET | 4 | 4 of 4 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CHI | 5 | 5 of 5 | 100% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| 2025 | 12 | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 6 | 4 of 6 | 67% |
| vs TB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Rush + Rec Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 41.5
| Date | Opponent | Rush + Rec Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | 26 | under |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | 117 | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | 128 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | 92 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | 105 | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | 40 | under |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 63 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 93 | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 65 | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 76 | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 25 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 57 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 81 | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 69 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 98 | over |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 30 | under |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 23 | under |
| Mon, Sep 8, 2025 | @ CHI | 67 | over |
| Mon, Jan 13, 2025 | @ LAR | 60 | over |
| Sun, Jan 5, 2025 | @ DET | 75 | over |
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