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Luis Lara
MILbats L6th in the orderMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs7:41 PMWrigley Field
facingDavid Peterson5.11 ERA · 7.95 K/9 · 1.52 WHIP · 123.1 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.3% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Lara at the plateHR/PA 0.7%barrel rate 4.9%hard-hit% 44.7%
Home Runs
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.3%3.0%
34th percentileleague avg 2.9%558 batters facedvs LHB · 56th pctseason 2.3% (34th)166 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.4%8.3%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.4%558 batters facedvs LHB · 65th pctseason 6.4% (33rd)108 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed41.6%43.5%
73rd percentileleague avg 38.2%558 batters facedvs LHB · 84th pctseason 41.6% (73rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed20.5%17.6%
13th percentileleague avg 26.6%558 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 20.5% (13th)108 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.412.383
68th percentileleague avg .386556 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .412 (68th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
The ArmDavid Peterson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 5 | 3.0% |
| vs RHB | 390 | 8 | 2.1% |
| at home ● | 288 | 6 | 2.1% |
| on the road | 268 | 7 | 2.6% |
| season | 556 | 13 | 2.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin0.7%0.0%
3rd percentileleague avg 3.0%147 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 0.7% (3rd)thin sample: 42 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin4.9%0.0%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%147 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 4.9% (25th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin44.7%45.5%
77th percentileleague avg 38.9%147 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason 44.7% (77th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%thin15.5%9.1%
2nd percentileleague avg 26.8%147 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 15.5% (2nd)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.369.311
41st percentileleague avg .386146 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason .369 (41st)thin sample: 39 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xISOthin.091.047
15th percentileleague avg .146146 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .091 (15th)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velothin89.7 mph91.9 mph
72nd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph147 PAvs LHP · 92nd pctseason 89.7 mph (72nd)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 0 | 0.0% | .308 | 0% (0/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 1 | 1.0% | .413 | 3% (1/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 0 | 0.0% | .319 | 0% (0/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 1 | 1.5% | .452 | 5% (1/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 1 | 0.7% | .382 | 2% (1/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 0.0% | 33 | 0.0% | .311 | .047 | 91.9 |
| vs RHP | 104 | 1.0% | 70 | 7.1% | .389 | .108 | 88.6 |
| on the road ● | 78 | 0.0% | 54 | 5.6% | .351 | .089 | 89.3 |
| at home | 68 | 1.5% | 49 | 4.1% | .382 | .092 | 90.1 |
| season | 146 | 0.7% | 103 | 4.9% | .366 | .090 | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+1233NoVigfair +1128 · +8.6% vs fair
30% boost+1603+37.9% vs market · -58.5% vs season50% boost+1850+57.9% vs market · -52.5% vs season
UNDER-2122NoVigfair -1128 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-1632-2.5% vs market · +3.5% vs season50% boost-1415-1.6% vs market · +4.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+17500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+22750no market fair50% boost+26250no market fair
Total Bases
41 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.412.383
68th percentileleague avg .386556 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .412 (68th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xBA against.272.247
87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedvs LHB · 58th pctseason .272 (87th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.273.239
league avg .244+.029 vs league18 startsvs LHBseason .273166 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.6%43.5%
73rd percentileleague avg 38.2%558 batters facedvs LHB · 84th pctseason 41.6% (73rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%8.3%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.4%558 batters facedvs LHB · 65th pctseason 6.4% (33rd)108 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmDavid Peterson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 62 | 0.37 | .400 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 141 | 0.36 | .416 |
| at home ● | 288 | 108 | 0.38 | .424 |
| on the road | 268 | 95 | 0.35 | .397 |
| season | 556 | 203 | 0.37 | .411 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.369.311
41st percentileleague avg .386146 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason .369 (41st)thin sample: 39 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
SLGthin.382.359
34th percentileleague avg .400146 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .382 (34th)thin sample: 42 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthin.275.256
82nd percentileleague avg .244146 PAvs LHP · 63rd pctseason .275 (82nd)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthin.091.047
15th percentileleague avg .146146 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .091 (15th)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin44.7%45.5%
77th percentileleague avg 38.9%147 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason 44.7% (77th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin4.9%0.0%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%147 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 4.9% (25th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin34.0%21.2%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%147 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 34.0% (100th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 12 | 1.09 | .308 | 27% (3/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 38 | 1.27 | .413 | 37% (11/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 22 | 1.05 | .319 | 29% (6/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 28 | 1.40 | .452 | 40% (8/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 50 | 1.22 | .382 | 34% (14/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 33.3% | 33 | .311 | .047 | 0.0% | 91.9 |
| vs RHP | 104 | 34.6% | 70 | .389 | .108 | 7.1% | 88.6 |
| on the road ● | 78 | 28.2% | 54 | .351 | .089 | 5.6% | 89.3 |
| at home | 68 | 41.2% | 49 | .382 | .092 | 4.1% | 90.1 |
| season | 146 | 34.2% | 103 | .366 | .090 | 4.9% | 89.7 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 90%L20 75%SZN 66%over rate
OVER-185Pinnaclefair -166 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-142+6.4% vs market · +12.1% vs season50% boost-123+13.2% vs market · +19.2% vs season
UNDER+160theScore Betfair +160 · +0.1% vs fair
30% boost+208+18.6% vs market · +5.2% vs season50% boost+240+30.9% vs market · +16.1% vs season
1.5line
OVER+176ProphetXfair +169 · +2.5% vs fair
30% boost+229+22% vs market · +12.3% vs season50% boost+264+35% vs market · +24.3% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -180 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost-146+8.3% vs market · +10.9% vs season50% boost-127+15.1% vs market · +17.8% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+400Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+520no market fair50% boost+600no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+650DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1300BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
Hits
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.272.247
87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedvs LHB · 58th pctseason .272 (87th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.273.239
league avg .244+.029 vs league18 startsvs LHBseason .273166 batters facedneutralneutral
K%19.6%28.9%
30th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%556 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 19.6% (30th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
whiff%22.3%29.6%
29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%556 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 22.3% (29th)297 swingssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmDavid Peterson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 37 | 22.3% | .239 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 98 | 25.1% | .289 |
| at home ● | 288 | 76 | 26.4% | .298 |
| on the road | 268 | 59 | 22.0% | .247 |
| season | 556 | 135 | 24.3% | .273 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVGthin.275.256
82nd percentileleague avg .244146 PAvs LHP · 63rd pctseason .275 (82nd)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thin86.7%92.7%
68th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%146 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 86.7% (68th)thin sample: 55 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin18.1%11.7%
13th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%146 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason 18.1% (13th)thin sample: 77 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin19.9%14.3%
36th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%146 PAvs LHP · 9th pctseason 19.9% (36th)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin34.0%21.2%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%147 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 34.0% (100th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 39 | 10 | .256 | 64% (7/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 92 | 26 | .283 | 67% (20/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 69 | 16 | .232 | 71% (15/21) |
| at home | 20 | 62 | 20 | .323 | 60% (12/20) |
| season | 41 | 131 | 36 | .275 | 66% (27/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 23.8% | 33 | .264 | 21.2% | 33.3% |
| vs RHP | 104 | 25.0% | 70 | .281 | 40.0% | 48.6% |
| on the road ● | 78 | 20.5% | 54 | .262 | 37.0% | 46.3% |
| at home | 68 | 29.4% | 49 | .290 | 30.6% | 40.8% |
| season | 146 | 24.7% | 103 | — | 34.0% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER-174ProphetXfair -160 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-134+7.4% vs market · +15.1% vs season50% boost-116+14.5% vs market · +22.6% vs season
UNDER+160theScore Betfair +159 · +0.5% vs fair
30% boost+208+18.9% vs market · +5.2% vs season50% boost+240+31.2% vs market · +16.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 20%over rate
OVER+310BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1600DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+7500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9750no market fair50% boost+11250no market fair
H+R+RBI
41 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.272.247
87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedvs LHB · 58th pctseason .272 (87th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xERA4.89—
no split for this stat77th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.412.383
68th percentileleague avg .386556 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .412 (68th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%9.4%4.2%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%556 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 9.4% (66th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%19.6%28.9%
30th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%556 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 19.6% (30th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmDavid Peterson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 37 | 62 | .283 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 98 | 141 | .370 |
| at home ● | 288 | 76 | 108 | .366 |
| on the road | 268 | 59 | 95 | .321 |
| season | 556 | 135 | 203 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per gamethin1.801.64
52nd percentileleague avg 1.7441 gamesvs LHP · 39th pctseason 1.80 (52nd)thin sample: 11 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
xwOBA.319—
no split for this stat63rd percentileleague avg .310146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLGthin.382.359
34th percentileleague avg .400146 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .382 (34th)thin sample: 42 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1.64 | 55% (6/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 1.87 | 50% (15/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 1.57 | 52% (11/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 2.05 | 50% (10/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 36 | 19 | 19 | 1.80 | 51% (21/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 23.8% | 33 | .264 | .311 | 0.0% | 91.9 |
| vs RHP | 104 | 25.0% | 70 | .281 | .389 | 7.1% | 88.6 |
| on the road ● | 78 | 20.5% | 54 | .262 | .351 | 5.6% | 89.3 |
| at home | 68 | 29.4% | 49 | .290 | .382 | 4.1% | 90.1 |
| season | 146 | 24.7% | 103 | — | .366 | 4.9% | 89.7 |
1.5line
C+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 74% blended (L10 90%, season 51%) against a 48% priced probability
- faces David Peterson (LHP): xBA against .272 - 87th percentile for xBA against
- his xBA of .278 - 92nd percentile for xBA
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 51% season
basis: 41 games this season
OVER+104DraftKingsfair +107 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+135+13.8% vs market · +20.5% vs season50% boost+156+23.9% vs market · +31.1% vs season
UNDER-105BetMGMfair -106 · +0.7% vs fair
30% boost+124+15.5% vs market · +9.2% vs season50% boost+143+25.3% vs market · +18.5% vs season
RBIs
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.89—
no split for this stat77th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.412.383
68th percentileleague avg .386556 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .412 (68th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed6.4%8.3%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.4%558 batters facedvs LHB · 65th pctseason 6.4% (33rd)108 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%9.4%4.2%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%556 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 9.4% (66th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmDavid Peterson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 37 | 5 | .400 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 98 | 8 | .416 |
| at home ● | 288 | 76 | 6 | .424 |
| on the road | 268 | 59 | 7 | .397 |
| season | 556 | 135 | 13 | .411 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
RBI per gamethin0.460.27
58th percentileleague avg 0.4441 gamesvs LHP · 10th pctseason 0.46 (58th)thin sample: 11 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.369.311
41st percentileleague avg .386146 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason .369 (41st)thin sample: 39 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin44.7%45.5%
77th percentileleague avg 38.9%147 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason 44.7% (77th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin4.9%0.0%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%147 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 4.9% (25th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 3 | 0.27 | .308 | 18% (2/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 16 | 0.53 | .413 | 23% (7/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 6 | 0.29 | .319 | 14% (3/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 13 | 0.65 | .452 | 30% (6/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 19 | 0.46 | .382 | 22% (9/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 4.8% | 33 | .311 | 0.0% | 45.5% | 91.9 |
| vs RHP | 104 | 16.3% | 70 | .389 | 7.1% | 44.3% | 88.6 |
| on the road ● | 78 | 7.7% | 54 | .351 | 5.6% | 46.3% | 89.3 |
| at home | 68 | 19.1% | 49 | .382 | 4.1% | 42.9% | 90.1 |
| season | 146 | — | 103 | .366 | 4.9% | 44.7% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+225ProphetXfair +235 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+292+17.4% vs market · -13.8% vs season50% boost+338+30.8% vs market · -4% vs season
UNDER-250theScore Betfair -240 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost-192+7.3% vs market · +18.6% vs season50% boost-167+13% vs market · +24.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+700Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+2000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.89—
no split for this stat77th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.272.247
87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedvs LHB · 58th pctseason .272 (87th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%9.4%4.2%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%556 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 9.4% (66th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmDavid Peterson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 37 | 7 | .283 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 98 | 45 | .370 |
| at home ● | 288 | 76 | 28 | .366 |
| on the road | 268 | 59 | 24 | .321 |
| season | 556 | 135 | 52 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
runs per gamethin0.460.45
52nd percentileleague avg 0.4641 gamesvs LHP · 48th pctseason 0.46 (52nd)thin sample: 11 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.319—
no split for this stat63rd percentileleague avg .310146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed28.3—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg 27.4146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin9.6%7.1%
61st percentileleague avg 8.8%146 PAvs LHP · 32nd pctseason 9.6% (61st)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 5 | 0.45 | .293 | 45% (5/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 14 | 0.47 | .362 | 40% (12/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 11 | 0.52 | .321 | 52% (11/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 8 | 0.40 | .368 | 30% (6/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 19 | 0.46 | .342 | 41% (17/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | — | 33 | .264 | 21.2% | 33.3% | 91.9 |
| vs RHP | 104 | — | 70 | .281 | 40.0% | 48.6% | 88.6 |
| on the road ● | 78 | 14.1% | 54 | .262 | 37.0% | 46.3% | 89.3 |
| at home | 68 | 11.8% | 49 | .290 | 30.6% | 40.8% | 90.1 |
| season | 146 | — | 103 | — | 34.0% | 43.7% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+146ProphetXfair +153 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+190+14.5% vs market · +20.2% vs season50% boost+219+26% vs market · +32.3% vs season
UNDER-165theScore Betfair -159 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost-127+9.8% vs market · +4.7% vs season50% boost-110+17.2% vs market · +11.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Doubles
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.412.383
68th percentileleague avg .386556 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .412 (68th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.6%43.5%
73rd percentileleague avg 38.2%558 batters facedvs LHB · 84th pctseason 41.6% (73rd)108 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%8.3%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.4%558 batters facedvs LHB · 65th pctseason 6.4% (33rd)108 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed25.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat556 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmDavid Peterson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 6 | 3.6% | .400 |
| vs RHB | 390 | 15 | 3.8% | .416 |
| at home ● | 288 | 14 | 4.9% | .424 |
| on the road | 268 | 7 | 2.6% | .397 |
| season | 556 | 21 | 3.8% | .411 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin4.8%4.8%
72nd percentileleague avg 4.1%147 PAvs LHP · 72nd pctseason 4.8% (72nd)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.369.311
41st percentileleague avg .386146 PAvs LHP · 10th pctseason .369 (41st)thin sample: 39 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xISOthin.091.047
15th percentileleague avg .146146 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .091 (15th)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin34.0%21.2%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%147 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 34.0% (100th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thin43.7%33.3%
98th percentileleague avg 35.3%147 PAvs LHP · 30th pctseason 43.7% (98th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
sprint speed28.3—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg 27.4146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupLuis Lara: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 2 | 4.9% | .308 | 9% (1/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 5 | 4.8% | .413 | 17% (5/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 4 | 5.1% | .319 | 19% (4/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 3 | 4.4% | .452 | 10% (2/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 7 | 4.8% | .382 | 15% (6/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 4.8% | 33 | .311 | 21.2% | 33.3% |
| vs RHP | 104 | 4.8% | 70 | .389 | 40.0% | 48.6% |
| on the road ● | 78 | 5.1% | 54 | .351 | 37.0% | 46.3% |
| at home | 68 | 4.4% | 49 | .382 | 30.6% | 40.8% |
| season | 146 | 4.8% | 103 | .366 | 34.0% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER+469DraftKingsfair +422 · +9% vs fair
30% boost+610+36.3% vs market · +3.9% vs season50% boost+704+54.3% vs market · +17.6% vs season
UNDER-525BetMGMfair -485 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost-404+3.4% vs market · +6.5% vs season50% boost-350+6.6% vs market · +9.8% vs season
Singles
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.272.247
87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedvs LHB · 58th pctseason .272 (87th)156 at-batssupports OVERneutral
K%19.6%28.9%
30th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%556 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 19.6% (30th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
whiff%22.3%29.6%
29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%556 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 22.3% (29th)297 swingssupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmDavid Peterson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 24 | 14.5% |
| vs RHB | 390 | 73 | 18.7% |
| at home ● | 288 | 56 | 19.4% |
| on the road | 268 | 41 | 15.3% |
| season | 556 | 97 | 17.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%thin86.7%92.7%
68th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%146 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason 86.7% (68th)thin sample: 55 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thin18.1%11.7%
13th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%146 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason 18.1% (13th)thin sample: 77 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin34.0%21.2%
100th percentileleague avg 23.6%147 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 34.0% (100th)thin sample: 33 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
sprint speed28.3—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg 27.4146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupLuis Lara: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 39 | 8 | .256 | 55% (6/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 92 | 18 | .283 | 47% (14/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 69 | 11 | .232 | 48% (10/21) |
| at home | 20 | 62 | 15 | .323 | 50% (10/20) |
| season | 41 | 131 | 26 | .275 | 49% (20/41) |
● tonight's split
The BatLuis Lara: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 42 | 16.7% | 33 | .264 | 21.2% | 33.3% |
| vs RHP | 104 | 18.3% | 70 | .281 | 40.0% | 48.6% |
| on the road ● | 78 | 14.1% | 54 | .262 | 37.0% | 46.3% |
| at home | 68 | 22.1% | 49 | .290 | 30.6% | 40.8% |
| season | 146 | 19.2% | 103 | — | 34.0% | 43.7% |
0.5line
OVER-112DraftKingsfair -103 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost+116+9.5% vs market · +5.4% vs season50% boost+134+18.6% vs market · +14.1% vs season
UNDER+105bet365fair +101 · +2% vs fair
30% boost+136+17.5% vs market · +21.1% vs season50% boost+157+28% vs market · +31.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
Walks
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%9.4%4.2%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%556 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 9.4% (66th)166 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%62.2%70.5%
54th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%556 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 62.2% (54th)166 first pitchesneutralsupports UNDER
BB/93.81.6
league avg 3.4+0.4 vs league18 startsvs LHBseason 3.8166 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmDavid Peterson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 166 | 7 | 4.2% |
| vs RHB | 390 | 45 | 11.5% |
| at home ● | 288 | 28 | 9.7% |
| on the road | 268 | 24 | 9.0% |
| season | 556 | 52 | 9.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadLuis Lara vs David Petersonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin9.6%7.1%
61st percentileleague avg 8.8%146 PAvs LHP · 32nd pctseason 9.6% (61st)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
chase ratethin23.7%28.2%
13th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%146 PAvs LHP · 35th pctseason 23.7% (13th)thin sample: 78 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%thin60.9%67.1%
league avg 66.9%-6.0% vs league146 PAvs LHPseason 60.9%thin sample: 82 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupLuis Lara: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 2 | 4.9% | .293 | 18% (2/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 12 | 11.4% | .362 | 40% (12/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 9 | 11.5% | .321 | 43% (9/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 5 | 7.4% | .368 | 25% (5/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 14 | 9.6% | .342 | 34% (14/41) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+188DraftKingsfair +204 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost+244+13.3% vs market · +17.6% vs season50% boost+282+25.7% vs market · +30.4% vs season
UNDER-250bet365fair -206 · -5.7% vs fair
30% boost-192+2.3% vs market · +0.1% vs season50% boost-167+7.7% vs market · +5.4% vs season
Stolen Bases
41 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
David Peterson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.6%—
no split for this stat38th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%5 of 785 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.9%—
no split for this stat37th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%7 of 785 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed5—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Luis Lara Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed28.3—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg 27.4146 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per gamethin0.070.00
60th percentileleague avg 0.0741 gamesvs LHP · 6th pctseason 0.07 (60th)thin sample: 11 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.278.264
92nd percentileleague avg .240146 PAvs LHP · 83rd pctseason .278 (92nd)thin sample: 39 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thin9.6%7.1%
61st percentileleague avg 8.8%146 PAvs LHP · 32nd pctseason 9.6% (61st)thin sample: 42 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The MatchupLuis Lara: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 11 | 41 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/11) |
| vs RHP | 30 | 105 | 3 | 0.10 | 10% (3/30) |
| on the road ● | 21 | 78 | 2 | 0.10 | 10% (2/21) |
| at home | 20 | 68 | 1 | 0.05 | 5% (1/20) |
| season | 41 | 146 | 3 | 0.07 | 7% (3/41) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+900Hard Rockpooled fair +853
30% boost+1170pooled fair50% boost+1350pooled fair
UNDER-2400NoVigfair -839 · -6.9% vs fair
30% boost-1846-5.8% vs market · -2.3% vs season50% boost-1600-5% vs market · -1.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3126NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4064no market fair50% boost+4689no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 7:00 PM ET · not live pricing