David Peterson

CHCMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs7:41 PMWrigley Field

Runs

The MatchupDavid Peterson: Runs by split

	G	PA	R	R/G	OBP	over 2.5
at home ●	14	—	—	—	—	0% (0/14)
on the road	13	—	—	—	—	0% (0/13)
season	27	—	—	—	—	0% (0/27)

● tonight's split

The BatDavid Peterson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split

	PA	R/PA	BBE	xBA	LD%	SS%	EV
vs RHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
vs LHP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
at home ●	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
on the road	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
season	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2.5line

OVER+104Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost+135no market fair50% boost+156no market fair

UNDER-138Pinnaclemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost-106no market fair50% boost+109no market fair

Strikeouts

27 games logged

line4.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs David Petersona strikeout line is a bet on the lineup as much as the arm · season to date

strikeout rate21.4%21.1%

31st percentile for strikeouts (21 of 30)league avg 22.1%5397 PAvs LHP · 28th pct · 22 of 30season 21.4% (31st)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

walk rate10.6%10.5%

93rd percentile for walks drawn (3 of 30)league avg 8.9%5397 PAvs LHP · 90th pct · 4 of 30season 10.6% (93rd)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team AVG.256.244

93rd percentile for batting average (3 of 30)league avg .2445397 PAvs LHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .256 (93rd)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5397 PA

Peterson's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	166	28.9%	4.2%	11.08	6.86	.239
vs RHB	390	15.6%	11.5%	6.54	1.36	.289
home ●	288	19.8%	9.7%	8.27	2.04	.298
away	268	19.4%	9%	7.63	2.17	.247

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.

Against This ClubDavid Peterson vs Milwaukee Brewers7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 4.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 4.5
Jun 27 '26	5.2	17	2	5	2	0	1	under
Jul 3 '25	6.2	20	4	5	1	3	1	under
Sep 29 '24	7.0	21	8	1	0	3	0	over
Jun 27 '23	6.0	18	5	5	0	3	0	over
Apr 5 '23	4.0	12	5	5	5	5	1	over
Sep 21 '22rel	0.2	2	1	0	1	1	0	under
Jun 15 '22	4.0	12	3	6	4	2	0	under

7 career games against them · they have hit .227/.338/.345 off him · 140 plate appearances · 3 of 7 went over 4.5

David Peterson Breakdown · his own data

K%19.6%—

no split for this stat

30th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

whiff%22.3%—

no split for this stat

29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

K/98.0—

no split for this stat

league avg 8.5-0.5 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

first-pitch strike%62.2%—

no split for this stat

54th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%556 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupDavid Peterson: Strikeouts by split

	G	IP	K	K/G	H	over 4.5
at home ●	14	62.0	57	4.07	76	36% (5/14)
on the road	13	61.1	52	4.00	59	46% (6/13)
season	27	123.1	109	4.04	135	41% (11/27)

● tonight's split

4.5line

OVER+136ProphetXfair +138 · -0.8% vs fair

30% boost+177+16.3% vs market · +12.8% vs season50% boost+204+27.7% vs market · +23.9% vs season

UNDER-125Bovadafair -130 · +1.8% vs fair

30% boost+104+15.5% vs market · +20.9% vs season50% boost+120+24.5% vs market · +30.4% vs season

Outs

27 games logged

line15.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs David Petersonan outs line is a bet on how long this lineup lets him work · season to date

team OBP.339.328

97th percentile for on-base (2 of 30)league avg .3195397 PAvs LHP · 83rd pct · 6 of 30season .339 (97th)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

strikeout rate21.4%21.1%

31st percentile for strikeouts (21 of 30)league avg 22.1%5397 PAvs LHP · 28th pct · 22 of 30season 21.4% (31st)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

runs per game5.00—

no split for this stat

93rd percentile for runs scored (3 of 30)league avg 4.48139 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports UNDERseason only

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5397 PA

Peterson's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	166	28.9%	4.2%	11.08	6.86	.239
vs RHB	390	15.6%	11.5%	6.54	1.36	.289
home ●	288	19.8%	9.7%	8.27	2.04	.298
away	268	19.4%	9%	7.63	2.17	.247

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.

Against This ClubDavid Peterson vs Milwaukee Brewers7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 15.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 15.5
Jun 27 '26	5.2	17	2	5	2	0	1	over
Jul 3 '25	6.2	20	4	5	1	3	1	over
Sep 29 '24	7.0	21	8	1	0	3	0	over
Jun 27 '23	6.0	18	5	5	0	3	0	over
Apr 5 '23	4.0	12	5	5	5	5	1	under
Sep 21 '22rel	0.2	2	1	0	1	1	0	under
Jun 15 '22	4.0	12	3	6	4	2	0	under

7 career games against them · they have hit .227/.338/.345 off him · 140 plate appearances · 4 of 7 went over 15.5

David Peterson Breakdown · his own data

IP per start6.9—

no comparison availableno split for this stat

18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.52—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.31+0.21 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

xERA4.89—

no split for this stat

77th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only

The MatchupDavid Peterson: Outs by split

	G	outs	IP	outs/G	ER	over 15.5
at home ●	14	186	62.0	13.29	41	21% (3/14)
on the road	13	184	61.1	14.15	29	23% (3/13)
season	27	370	123.1	13.70	70	22% (6/27)

● tonight's split

15.5line

OVER+110Bovadafair +106 · +2.2% vs fair

30% boost+143+18.1% vs market · -46% vs season50% boost+165+28.8% vs market · -41.1% vs season

UNDER-104NoVigfair -102 · -0.8% vs fair

30% boost+125+13.9% vs market · +75% vs season50% boost+144+23.6% vs market · +90% vs season

Hits Allowed

27 games logged

line5.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs David Petersona hits-allowed line is a bet on how much contact this lineup makes · season to date

team AVG.256.244

93rd percentile for batting average (3 of 30)league avg .2445397 PAvs LHP · 66th pct · 11 of 30season .256 (93rd)1632 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team OBP.339.328

97th percentile for on-base (2 of 30)league avg .3195397 PAvs LHP · 83rd pct · 6 of 30season .339 (97th)1632 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

strikeout rate21.4%21.1%

31st percentile for strikeouts (21 of 30)league avg 22.1%5397 PAvs LHP · 28th pct · 22 of 30season 21.4% (31st)1632 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

team SLG.399.375

48th percentile for slugging (16 of 30)league avg .4005397 PAvs LHP · 34th pct · 20 of 30season .399 (48th)1632 PAneutralsupports UNDER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5397 PA

Peterson's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	166	28.9%	4.2%	11.08	6.86	.239
vs RHB	390	15.6%	11.5%	6.54	1.36	.289
home ●	288	19.8%	9.7%	8.27	2.04	.298
away	268	19.4%	9%	7.63	2.17	.247

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.

Against This ClubDavid Peterson vs Milwaukee Brewers7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 5.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 5.5
Jun 27 '26	5.2	17	2	5	2	0	1	under
Jul 3 '25	6.2	20	4	5	1	3	1	under
Sep 29 '24	7.0	21	8	1	0	3	0	under
Jun 27 '23	6.0	18	5	5	0	3	0	under
Apr 5 '23	4.0	12	5	5	5	5	1	under
Sep 21 '22rel	0.2	2	1	0	1	1	0	under
Jun 15 '22	4.0	12	3	6	4	2	0	over

7 career games against them · they have hit .227/.338/.345 off him · 140 plate appearances · 1 of 7 went over 5.5

David Peterson Breakdown · his own data

xBA against.272—

no split for this stat

87th percentileleague avg .239556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

AVG against.273—

no split for this stat

league avg .244+.029 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.52—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.31+0.21 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

whiff%22.3%—

no split for this stat

29th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

The MatchupDavid Peterson: Hits Allowed by split

	G	IP	H	H/G	K	over 5.5
at home ●	14	62.0	76	5.43	57	57% (8/14)
on the road	13	61.1	59	4.54	52	23% (3/13)
season	27	123.1	135	5.00	109	41% (11/27)

● tonight's split

5.5line

OVER+122NoVigfair +127 · -2% vs fair

30% boost+159+14% vs market · +5.4% vs season50% boost+183+24.8% vs market · +15.3% vs season

UNDER-139DraftKingsfair -129 · -3.3% vs fair

30% boost-107+8.8% vs market · +14.7% vs season50% boost+108+16.8% vs market · +23.2% vs season

Earned Runs

27 games logged

line2.5

The Opposing LineupMilwaukee Brewers vs David Petersonan ER line is a bet on the damage this lineup does · season to date

runs per game5.00—

no split for this stat

93rd percentile for runs scored (3 of 30)league avg 4.48139 gamesno vs-hand split: team splits carry no runs, and their game count is not a per-game denominatorsupports OVERseason only

team OBP.339.328

97th percentile for on-base (2 of 30)league avg .3195397 PAvs LHP · 83rd pct · 6 of 30season .339 (97th)1632 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER

HR rate2.4%2.0%

0th percentile for home runs (30 of 30)league avg 3.0%5397 PAvs LHP · 0th pct · 30 of 30season 2.4% (0th)1632 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER

team SLG.399.375

48th percentile for slugging (16 of 30)league avg .4005397 PAvs LHP · 34th pct · 20 of 30season .399 (48th)1632 PAneutralsupports UNDER

Milwaukee Brewers slash.256 / .339 / .399.738 OPS · 5397 PA

Peterson's own splits

	BF	K%	BB%	K/9	K:BB	AVG
vs LHB	166	28.9%	4.2%	11.08	6.86	.239
vs RHB	390	15.6%	11.5%	6.54	1.36	.289
home ●	288	19.8%	9.7%	8.27	2.04	.298
away	268	19.4%	9%	7.63	2.17	.247

Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.

Against This ClubDavid Peterson vs Milwaukee Brewers7 career meetings, most recent first · graded against tonight's 2.5

when	IP	outs	K	H	ER	BB	HR	vs 2.5
Jun 27 '26	5.2	17	2	5	2	0	1	under
Jul 3 '25	6.2	20	4	5	1	3	1	under
Sep 29 '24	7.0	21	8	1	0	3	0	under
Jun 27 '23	6.0	18	5	5	0	3	0	under
Apr 5 '23	4.0	12	5	5	5	5	1	over
Sep 21 '22rel	0.2	2	1	0	1	1	0	under
Jun 15 '22	4.0	12	3	6	4	2	0	over

7 career games against them · they have hit .227/.338/.345 off him · 140 plate appearances · 2 of 7 went over 2.5

David Peterson Breakdown · his own data

xERA4.89—

no split for this stat

77th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17556 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

ERA5.11—

no split for this stat

76th percentileleague avg 4.1618 startsno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only

HR/90.95—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.16-0.21 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

WHIP1.52—

no split for this stat

league avg 1.31+0.21 vs league18 startsno handedness split for this statneutralseason only

The MatchupDavid Peterson: Earned Runs by split

	G	IP	ER	ERA	H	over 2.5
at home ●	14	62.0	41	5.95	76	36% (5/14)
on the road	13	61.1	29	4.26	59	38% (5/13)
season	27	123.1	70	5.11	135	37% (10/27)

● tonight's split

2.5line

OVER+106NoVigfair +116 · -4.8% vs fair

30% boost+138+9.9% vs market · -11.9% vs season50% boost+159+19.7% vs market · -4.1% vs season

UNDER-127NoVigfair -116 · -3.8% vs fair

30% boost+102+8.9% vs market · +27.4% vs season50% boost+118+17.3% vs market · +37.3% vs season

Opposing hitters on the prop boardMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 7:00 PM ET · not live pricing