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Patrick Bailey
CLEbats L8th in the orderToronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians6:41 PMProgressive Field
facingDylan Cease2.32 ERA · 12.91 K/9 · 1.05 WHIP · 151.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 1.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Bailey at the plateHR/PA 2.8%barrel rate 7.3%hard-hit% 42.4%
Home Runs
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed1.7%2.3%
17th percentileleague avg 2.9%604 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason 1.7% (17th)347 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.1%5.8%
15th percentileleague avg 7.4%604 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason 5.1% (15th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed32.5%32.0%
13th percentileleague avg 38.2%604 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 32.5% (13th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed23.7%26.7%
26th percentileleague avg 26.6%604 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason 23.7% (26th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
xSLG against.278.276
4th percentileleague avg .386601 batters facedvs LHB · 4th pctseason .278 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDylan Cease: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 8 | 2.3% |
| vs RHB | 256 | 2 | 0.8% |
| on the road ● | 271 | 3 | 1.1% |
| at home | 330 | 7 | 2.1% |
| season | 601 | 10 | 1.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career0 home runs in 7 AB (.571), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.8%2.9%
47th percentileleague avg 3.0%289 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 2.8% (47th)242 PAneutralneutral
barrel rate7.3%7.3%
51st percentileleague avg 7.8%289 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 7.3% (51st)164 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit%42.4%42.7%
68th percentileleague avg 38.9%289 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 42.4% (68th)164 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%25.9%25.0%
44th percentileleague avg 26.8%289 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 25.9% (44th)164 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG.402.407
65th percentileleague avg .386289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .402 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.162.163
65th percentileleague avg .146289 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .162 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo89.7 mph89.4 mph
72nd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 89.7 mph (72nd)164 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 8 | 3.3% | .343 | 12% (8/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 0 | 0.0% | .282 | 0% (0/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 5 | 3.3% | .364 | 11% (5/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 3 | 2.2% | .286 | 7% (3/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 8 | 2.8% | .328 | 9% (8/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 2.9% | 164 | 7.3% | .407 | .163 | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 47 | 2.1% | 27 | 7.4% | .324 | .138 | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 152 | 3.3% | 110 | 9.1% | .447 | .179 | 89.9 |
| on the road | 137 | 2.2% | 81 | 4.9% | .332 | .135 | 89.4 |
| season | 289 | 2.8% | 191 | 7.3% | .394 | .159 | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+960ProphetXfair +963 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost+1248+26.7% vs market · +24% vs season50% boost+1440+44.8% vs market · +41.6% vs season
UNDER-1076NoVigfair -986 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost-828+1.8% vs market · +1.8% vs season50% boost-717+3.5% vs market · +3.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+10000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.278.276
4th percentileleague avg .386601 batters facedvs LHB · 4th pctseason .278 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.183.170
4th percentileleague avg .239601 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason .183 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.176.161
league avg .244-0.068 vs league26 startsvs LHBseason .176345 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed32.5%32.0%
13th percentileleague avg 38.2%604 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 32.5% (13th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.1%5.8%
15th percentileleague avg 7.4%604 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason 5.1% (15th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDylan Cease: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 81 | 0.23 | .271 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 59 | 0.23 | .257 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 51 | 0.19 | .213 |
| at home | 330 | 89 | 0.27 | .308 |
| season | 601 | 140 | 0.23 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career5 total bases in 7 AB (.571), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.402.407
65th percentileleague avg .386289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .402 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.328.336
8th percentileleague avg .400289 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .328 (8th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.201.206
4th percentileleague avg .244289 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .201 (4th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.162.163
65th percentileleague avg .146289 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .162 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%42.4%42.7%
68th percentileleague avg 38.9%289 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 42.4% (68th)164 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate7.3%7.3%
51st percentileleague avg 7.8%289 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 7.3% (51st)164 batted ballsneutralneutral
line-drive%23.3%25.0%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 23.3% (46th)164 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 74 | 1.09 | .343 | 46% (31/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 11 | 0.61 | .282 | 50% (9/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 51 | 1.11 | .364 | 48% (22/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 34 | 0.83 | .286 | 44% (18/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 85 | 0.98 | .328 | 46% (40/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 31.0% | 164 | .407 | .163 | 7.3% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 47 | 21.3% | 27 | .324 | .138 | 7.4% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 152 | 33.6% | 110 | .447 | .179 | 9.1% | 89.9 |
| on the road | 137 | 24.8% | 81 | .332 | .135 | 4.9% | 89.4 |
| season | 289 | 29.4% | 191 | .394 | .159 | 7.3% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER-107BetRiverspooled fair +102
30% boost+121pooled fair50% boost+140pooled fair
UNDER-114ProphetXfair -103 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost+114+8.5% vs market · +15.6% vs season50% boost+132+17.4% vs market · +25.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 35%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+285BetRiverspooled fair +267
30% boost+370pooled fair50% boost+428pooled fair
UNDER-320theScore Betpooled fair -267
30% boost-246pooled fair50% boost-213pooled fair
2.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+750BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+975no market fair50% boost+1125no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1800FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
Hits
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.183.170
4th percentileleague avg .239601 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason .183 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.176.161
league avg .244-0.068 vs league26 startsvs LHBseason .176345 batters facedneutralneutral
K%36.1%37.2%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%601 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 36.1% (99th)347 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%34.2%34.6%
96th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%601 batters facedvs LHB · 97th pctseason 34.2% (96th)691 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDylan Cease: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 48 | 13.9% | .161 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 45 | 17.6% | .196 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 36 | 13.3% | .150 |
| at home | 330 | 57 | 17.3% | .197 |
| season | 601 | 93 | 15.5% | .176 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career4 hits in 7 AB (.571), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG.201.206
4th percentileleague avg .244289 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .201 (4th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%83.6%84.2%
46th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%289 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 83.6% (46th)329 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.3%24.8%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%289 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 26.3% (57th)488 swingsneutralneutral
K%24.6%24.4%
66th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%289 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 24.6% (66th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.3%25.0%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 23.3% (46th)164 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 216 | 43 | .199 | 46% (31/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 39 | 9 | .231 | 50% (9/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 140 | 31 | .221 | 48% (22/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 119 | 21 | .176 | 44% (18/41) |
| season | 87 | 259 | 52 | .201 | 46% (40/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 19.0% | 164 | .244 | 25.0% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 47 | 12.8% | 27 | .186 | 14.8% | 37.0% |
| at home ● | 152 | 20.4% | 110 | .268 | 26.4% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 137 | 15.3% | 81 | .197 | 19.8% | 28.4% |
| season | 289 | 18.0% | 191 | — | 23.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER-107ProphetXfair +103 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost+121+9.2% vs market · +1.8% vs season50% boost+140+18.4% vs market · +10.4% vs season
UNDER-111ProphetXfair -103 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+117+10.1% vs market · +17.3% vs season50% boost+135+19.2% vs market · +27% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+620DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+806no market fair50% boost+930no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.183.170
4th percentileleague avg .239601 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason .183 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.66—
no split for this stat5th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17601 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.278.276
4th percentileleague avg .386601 batters facedvs LHB · 4th pctseason .278 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.8%11.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%601 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 10.8% (83rd)347 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%36.1%37.2%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%601 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 36.1% (99th)347 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDylan Cease: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 48 | 81 | .265 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 45 | 59 | .273 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 36 | 51 | .244 |
| at home | 330 | 57 | 89 | .289 |
| season | 601 | 93 | 140 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career4 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 8 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.251.37
12th percentileleague avg 1.7487 gamesvs RHP · 17th pctseason 1.25 (12th)68 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.309—
no split for this stat51st percentileleague avg .310289 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.328.336
8th percentileleague avg .400289 PAvs RHP · 11th pctseason .328 (8th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 43 | 24 | 26 | 1.37 | 53% (36/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0.83 | 61% (11/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 31 | 14 | 19 | 1.39 | 57% (26/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 1.10 | 54% (22/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 52 | 25 | 32 | 1.25 | 55% (48/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 19.0% | 164 | .244 | .407 | 7.3% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 47 | 12.8% | 27 | .186 | .324 | 7.4% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 152 | 20.4% | 110 | .268 | .447 | 9.1% | 89.9 |
| on the road | 137 | 15.3% | 81 | .197 | .332 | 4.9% | 89.4 |
| season | 289 | 18.0% | 191 | — | .394 | 7.3% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER-133NoVigfair -124 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost-102+9.4% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost+113+17.7% vs market · +17.4% vs season
UNDER+120theScore Betfair +121 · -0.6% vs fair
30% boost+156+15.7% vs market · +14.8% vs season50% boost+180+26.6% vs market · +25.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 80%L10 60%L20 40%SZN 30%over rate
OVER+141NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+183no market fair50% boost+212no market fair
RBIs
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.66—
no split for this stat5th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17601 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.278.276
4th percentileleague avg .386601 batters facedvs LHB · 4th pctseason .278 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.1%5.8%
15th percentileleague avg 7.4%604 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason 5.1% (15th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.8%11.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%601 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 10.8% (83rd)347 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmDylan Cease: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 48 | 8 | .271 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 45 | 2 | .257 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 36 | 3 | .213 |
| at home | 330 | 57 | 7 | .308 |
| season | 601 | 93 | 10 | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career0 RBI in 8 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.370.38
29th percentileleague avg 0.4487 gamesvs RHP · 30th pctseason 0.37 (29th)68 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.402.407
65th percentileleague avg .386289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .402 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%42.4%42.7%
68th percentileleague avg 38.9%289 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason 42.4% (68th)164 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate7.3%7.3%
51st percentileleague avg 7.8%289 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 7.3% (51st)164 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 26 | 0.38 | .343 | 28% (19/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 5 | 0.28 | .282 | 28% (5/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 19 | 0.41 | .364 | 33% (15/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 13 | 0.32 | .286 | 24% (10/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 32 | 0.37 | .328 | 29% (25/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 9.5% | 164 | .407 | 7.3% | 42.7% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 47 | 19.1% | 27 | .324 | 7.4% | 40.7% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 152 | 12.5% | 110 | .447 | 9.1% | 45.5% | 89.9 |
| on the road | 137 | 9.5% | 81 | .332 | 4.9% | 38.3% | 89.4 |
| season | 289 | — | 191 | .394 | 7.3% | 42.4% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+320ProphetXfair +330 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost+416+19.7% vs market · +48.3% vs season50% boost+480+34.6% vs market · +66.7% vs season
UNDER-400BetMGMfair -339 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-308+2.3% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost-267+6.2% vs market · -2% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+3000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+10000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.66—
no split for this stat5th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17601 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.183.170
4th percentileleague avg .239601 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason .183 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.8%11.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%601 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 10.8% (83rd)347 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmDylan Cease: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 48 | 41 | .265 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 45 | 24 | .273 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 36 | 30 | .244 |
| at home | 330 | 57 | 35 | .289 |
| season | 601 | 93 | 65 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career8 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.290.35
7th percentileleague avg 0.4687 gamesvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 0.29 (7th)68 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.309—
no split for this stat51st percentileleague avg .310289 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed25.3—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4289 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%8.7%7.0%
51st percentileleague avg 8.8%289 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 8.7% (51st)242 PAneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 24 | 0.35 | .272 | 29% (20/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 1 | 0.06 | .273 | 6% (1/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 14 | 0.30 | .265 | 28% (13/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 11 | 0.27 | .272 | 20% (8/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 25 | 0.29 | .268 | 24% (21/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | — | 164 | .244 | 25.0% | 34.8% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 47 | — | 27 | .186 | 14.8% | 37.0% | 91.1 |
| at home ● | 152 | 9.2% | 110 | .268 | 26.4% | 40.0% | 89.9 |
| on the road | 137 | 8.0% | 81 | .197 | 19.8% | 28.4% | 89.4 |
| season | 289 | — | 191 | — | 23.6% | 35.1% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+218DraftKingsfair +227 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost+283+17.3% vs market · -7.5% vs season50% boost+327+30.7% vs market · +3.1% vs season
UNDER-260theScore Betfair -232 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-200+4.9% vs market · +13.8% vs season50% boost-173+10.2% vs market · +19.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
UNDER-5000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3846no market fair50% boost-3333no market fair
Doubles
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.278.276
4th percentileleague avg .386601 batters facedvs LHB · 4th pctseason .278 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed32.5%32.0%
13th percentileleague avg 38.2%604 batters facedvs LHB · 11th pctseason 32.5% (13th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.1%5.8%
15th percentileleague avg 7.4%604 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason 5.1% (15th)172 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed22.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat601 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmDylan Cease: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 9 | 2.6% | .271 |
| vs RHB | 256 | 8 | 3.1% | .257 |
| on the road ● | 271 | 6 | 2.2% | .213 |
| at home | 330 | 11 | 3.3% | .308 |
| season | 601 | 17 | 2.8% | .265 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career1 doubles in 7 AB (.571), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.4%2.5%
9th percentileleague avg 4.1%289 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason 2.4% (9th)242 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.402.407
65th percentileleague avg .386289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .402 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.162.163
65th percentileleague avg .146289 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason .162 (65th)223 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.3%25.0%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 23.3% (46th)164 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sweet-spot%35.1%34.8%
46th percentileleague avg 35.3%289 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 35.1% (46th)164 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed25.3—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4289 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 5 | 2.1% | .343 | 7% (5/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 2 | 4.5% | .282 | 11% (2/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 5 | 3.3% | .364 | 11% (5/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 2 | 1.5% | .286 | 5% (2/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 7 | 2.4% | .328 | 8% (7/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 2.5% | 164 | .407 | 25.0% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 47 | 2.1% | 27 | .324 | 14.8% | 37.0% |
| at home ● | 152 | 3.3% | 110 | .447 | 26.4% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 137 | 1.5% | 81 | .332 | 19.8% | 28.4% |
| season | 289 | 2.4% | 191 | .394 | 23.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER+580DraftKingsfair +599 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost+754+22.1% vs market · -31.3% vs season50% boost+870+38.7% vs market · -22% vs season
UNDER-950Hard Rockfair -604 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost-731-2.5% vs market · +4.5% vs season50% boost-633-0.7% vs market · +6.5% vs season
Singles
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.183.170
4th percentileleague avg .239601 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason .183 (4th)301 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%36.1%37.2%
99th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%601 batters facedvs LHB · 99th pctseason 36.1% (99th)347 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%34.2%34.6%
96th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%601 batters facedvs LHB · 97th pctseason 34.2% (96th)691 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDylan Cease: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 31 | 9.0% |
| vs RHB | 256 | 35 | 13.7% |
| on the road ● | 271 | 27 | 10.0% |
| at home | 330 | 39 | 11.8% |
| season | 601 | 66 | 11.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career3 singles in 7 AB (.571), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
zone contact%83.6%84.2%
46th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%289 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 83.6% (46th)329 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.3%24.8%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%289 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 26.3% (57th)488 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%23.3%25.0%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%289 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 23.3% (46th)164 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed25.3—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4289 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 216 | 29 | .199 | 31% (21/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 39 | 7 | .231 | 39% (7/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 140 | 21 | .221 | 33% (15/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 119 | 15 | .176 | 32% (13/41) |
| season | 87 | 259 | 36 | .201 | 32% (28/87) |
● tonight's split
The BatPatrick Bailey: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 242 | 13.2% | 164 | .244 | 25.0% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 47 | 8.5% | 27 | .186 | 14.8% | 37.0% |
| at home ● | 152 | 13.8% | 110 | .268 | 26.4% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 137 | 10.9% | 81 | .197 | 19.8% | 28.4% |
| season | 289 | 12.8% | 191 | — | 23.6% | 35.1% |
0.5line
OVER+163DraftKingsfair +171 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+212+15.4% vs market · +0.4% vs season50% boost+244+27.5% vs market · +10.9% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -175 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-146+7.1% vs market · +14.2% vs season50% boost-127+13.8% vs market · +21.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Walks
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.8%11.8%
83rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%601 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 10.8% (83rd)347 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%63.2%61.0%
64th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%601 batters facedvs LHB · 43rd pctseason 63.2% (64th)349 first pitchessupports UNDERneutral
BB/93.94.3
league avg 3.4+0.4 vs league26 startsvs LHBseason 3.9345 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmDylan Cease: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 345 | 41 | 11.9% |
| vs RHB | 256 | 24 | 9.4% |
| on the road ● | 271 | 30 | 11.1% |
| at home | 330 | 35 | 10.6% |
| season | 601 | 65 | 10.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadPatrick Bailey vs Dylan Cease, career1 walks in 8 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
| career | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 1.339 |
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
BB%8.7%7.0%
51st percentileleague avg 8.8%289 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 8.7% (51st)242 PAneutralsupports UNDER
chase rate30.6%32.6%
53rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%289 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 30.6% (53rd)488 pitches outside the zoneneutralsupports UNDER
zone swing%70.3%70.4%
league avg 66.9%+3.4% vs league289 PAvs RHPseason 70.3%467 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 22 | 9.1% | .272 | 26% (18/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 3 | 6.8% | .273 | 17% (3/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 9 | 5.9% | .265 | 20% (9/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 16 | 11.7% | .272 | 29% (12/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 25 | 8.7% | .268 | 24% (21/87) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+275DraftKingsfair +267 · +2.3% vs fair
30% boost+358+24.9% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost+412+39.9% vs market · +23.7% vs season
UNDER-345Caesarsfair -286 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-265+2% vs market · +4.4% vs season50% boost-230+6.3% vs market · +8.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
87 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Dylan Cease Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed2.8%—
no split for this stat97th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%23 of 834 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him3.2%—
no split for this stat97th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%27 of 834 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed23—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Patrick Bailey Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed25.3—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4289 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.030.04
41st percentileleague avg 0.0787 gamesvs RHP · 47th pctseason 0.03 (41st)68 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.240.244
44th percentileleague avg .240289 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .240 (44th)223 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%8.7%7.0%
51st percentileleague avg 8.8%289 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 8.7% (51st)242 PAneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupPatrick Bailey: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 68 | 241 | 3 | 0.04 | 4% (3/68) |
| vs LHP | 18 | 44 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/18) |
| at home ● | 46 | 152 | 3 | 0.07 | 7% (3/46) |
| on the road | 41 | 137 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/41) |
| season | 87 | 289 | 3 | 0.03 | 3% (3/87) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+2250Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2925no market fair50% boost+3375no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardToronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardianssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 6:00 PM ET · not live pricing