This game has started. These are the prices from before first pitch, pulled at 1:00 PM EDT on Wed, Sep 2. Not a live market.
Dominic Smith
ATLbats L9th in the order · projectedAtlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals1:06 PMNationals Park
facingBrad Lord3.58 ERA · 8.63 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · 73.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Smith at the plateHR/PA 2.8%barrel rate 5.5%hard-hit% 32.7%
Home Runs
98 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.7%3.5%
46th percentileleague avg 2.9%297 batters facedvs LHB · 69th pctseason 2.7% (46th)143 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.1%10.3%
29th percentileleague avg 7.4%297 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 6.1% (29th)87 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.1%43.7%
50th percentileleague avg 38.2%297 batters facedvs LHB · 85th pctseason 38.1% (50th)87 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed19.8%24.1%
11th percentileleague avg 26.6%297 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 19.8% (11th)87 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.378.474
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason .378 (45th)120 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBrad Lord: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 143 | 5 | 3.5% |
| vs RHB | 154 | 3 | 1.9% |
| at home ● | 136 | 7 | 5.1% |
| on the road | 161 | 1 | 0.6% |
| season | 297 | 8 | 2.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDominic Smith vs Brad Lord, career0 home runs in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 1.000 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .600 |
Dominic Smith Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.8%3.2%
48th percentileleague avg 3.0%287 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 2.8% (48th)251 PAneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate5.5%5.8%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.8%287 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.5% (32nd)190 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%32.7%34.7%
20th percentileleague avg 38.9%287 PAvs RHP · 27th pctseason 32.7% (20th)190 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%29.2%29.5%
67th percentileleague avg 26.8%287 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 29.2% (67th)190 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.373.387
44th percentileleague avg .386287 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason .373 (44th)230 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.134.139
45th percentileleague avg .146287 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .134 (45th)230 at-batsneutralneutral
avg exit velo87.4 mph88.8 mph
40th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph287 PAvs RHP · 56th pctseason 87.4 mph (40th)190 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupDominic Smith: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 70 | 233 | 7 | 3.0% | .423 | 10% (7/70) |
| vs LHP | 28 | 51 | 1 | 2.0% | .200 | 4% (1/28) |
| on the road ● | 48 | 141 | 3 | 2.1% | .328 | 6% (3/48) |
| at home | 50 | 143 | 5 | 3.5% | .438 | 10% (5/50) |
| season | 98 | 284 | 8 | 2.8% | .384 | 8% (8/98) |
● tonight's split
The BatDominic Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 251 | 3.2% | 190 | 5.8% | .387 | .139 | 88.8 |
| vs LHP | 36 | 0.0% | 27 | 3.7% | .207 | .068 | 78.1 |
| on the road ● | 143 | 2.1% | 112 | 5.4% | .340 | .130 | 86.1 |
| at home | 144 | 3.5% | 105 | 5.7% | .389 | .131 | 88.8 |
| season | 287 | 2.8% | 217 | 5.5% | .365 | .131 | 87.4 |
0.5line
OVER+335NoVigmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+435no market fair50% boost+502no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardAtlanta Braves @ Washington Nationalssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing