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Austin Riley
ATLbats R8th in the orderAtlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals1:06 PMNationals Park
facingBrad Lord3.58 ERA · 8.63 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · 73.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.7% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Riley at the plateHR/PA 2.7%barrel rate 11.8%hard-hit% 44.5%
Home Runs
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.7%1.9%
46th percentileleague avg 2.9%297 batters facedvs RHB · 25th pctseason 2.7% (46th)154 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.1%2.8%
29th percentileleague avg 7.4%297 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.1% (29th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed38.1%33.6%
50th percentileleague avg 38.2%297 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 38.1% (50th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed19.8%16.8%
11th percentileleague avg 26.6%297 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 19.8% (11th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.378.286
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason .378 (45th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmBrad Lord: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 3 | 1.9% |
| vs LHB | 143 | 5 | 3.5% |
| at home ● | 136 | 7 | 5.1% |
| on the road | 161 | 1 | 0.6% |
| season | 297 | 8 | 2.7% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career0 home runs in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.7%3.4%
46th percentileleague avg 3.0%546 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 2.7% (46th)381 PAneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate11.8%11.7%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%546 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 11.8% (82nd)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.5%43.0%
76th percentileleague avg 38.9%546 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 44.5% (76th)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%30.8%33.5%
78th percentileleague avg 26.8%546 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 30.8% (78th)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.391.389
57th percentileleague avg .386546 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason .391 (57th)350 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.179.182
73rd percentileleague avg .146546 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason .179 (73rd)350 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo91.3 mph91.1 mph
89th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph546 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason 91.3 mph (89th)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAustin Riley: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 11 | 3.3% | .382 | 10% (9/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 4 | 1.9% | .321 | 8% (4/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 6 | 2.2% | .293 | 7% (5/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 9 | 3.3% | .422 | 11% (8/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 15 | 2.7% | .359 | 9% (13/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 3.4% | 230 | 11.7% | .389 | .182 | 91.1 |
| vs LHP | 165 | 1.2% | 91 | 12.1% | .386 | .166 | 91.8 |
| on the road ● | 274 | 2.2% | 145 | 8.3% | .285 | .124 | 90.2 |
| at home | 272 | 3.3% | 176 | 14.8% | .486 | .228 | 92.2 |
| season | 546 | 2.7% | 321 | 11.8% | .388 | .177 | 91.3 |
0.5line
OVER+506NoVigfair +516 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+658+22.8% vs market · -28.1% vs season50% boost+759+39.2% vs market · -18.5% vs season
UNDER-590NoVigfair -512 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-454+2.1% vs market · +10.5% vs season50% boost-393+5% vs market · +13.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+8000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
137 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.378.286
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason .378 (45th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.235.201
44th percentileleague avg .239297 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason .235 (44th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG against.210.188
league avg .244-0.034 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .210154 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.1%33.6%
50th percentileleague avg 38.2%297 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 38.1% (50th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.1%2.8%
29th percentileleague avg 7.4%297 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.1% (29th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmBrad Lord: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 37 | 0.24 | .268 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 48 | 0.34 | .400 |
| at home ● | 136 | 52 | 0.38 | .437 |
| on the road | 161 | 33 | 0.20 | .237 |
| season | 297 | 85 | 0.29 | .329 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career1 total bases in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.391.389
57th percentileleague avg .386546 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason .391 (57th)350 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.359.369
21st percentileleague avg .400546 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason .359 (21st)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.220.216
16th percentileleague avg .244546 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .220 (16th)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.179.182
73rd percentileleague avg .146546 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason .179 (73rd)350 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.5%43.0%
76th percentileleague avg 38.9%546 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 44.5% (76th)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.8%11.7%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%546 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 11.8% (82nd)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.4%23.5%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%546 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 23.4% (46th)230 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupAustin Riley: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 117 | 1.36 | .382 | 35% (30/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 59 | 1.16 | .321 | 31% (16/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 70 | 1.04 | .293 | 30% (20/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 106 | 1.51 | .422 | 37% (26/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 176 | 1.28 | .359 | 34% (46/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 33.6% | 230 | .389 | .182 | 11.7% | 91.1 |
| vs LHP | 165 | 29.1% | 91 | .386 | .166 | 12.1% | 91.8 |
| on the road ● | 274 | 25.5% | 145 | .285 | .124 | 8.3% | 90.2 |
| at home | 272 | 39.0% | 176 | .486 | .228 | 14.8% | 92.2 |
| season | 546 | 32.2% | 321 | .388 | .177 | 11.8% | 91.3 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 45%SZN 52%over rate
OVER-182ProphetXfair -159 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-140+5.3% vs market · -11.2% vs season50% boost-121+12% vs market · -5.5% vs season
UNDER+150theScore Betfair +160 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+195+13.6% vs market · +42.1% vs season50% boost+225+25.1% vs market · +56.6% vs season
1.5line
OVER+150ProphetXfair +155 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost+195+15.6% vs market · -0.9% vs season50% boost+225+27.4% vs market · +9.1% vs season
UNDER-176Caesarsfair -160 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost-135+6.9% vs market · +15.5% vs season50% boost-117+13.9% vs market · +23% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+300BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+368DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+478no market fair50% boost+552no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+770DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1001no market fair50% boost+1155no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1300Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
Hits
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.235.201
44th percentileleague avg .239297 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason .235 (44th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG against.210.188
league avg .244-0.034 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .210154 batters facedneutralneutral
K%21.5%20.1%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%297 batters facedvs RHB · 34th pctseason 21.5% (42nd)154 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
whiff%20.0%20.1%
11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%297 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 20.0% (11th)304 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrad Lord: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 26 | 16.9% | .188 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 29 | 20.3% | .242 |
| at home ● | 136 | 30 | 22.1% | .252 |
| on the road | 161 | 25 | 15.5% | .180 |
| season | 297 | 55 | 18.5% | .213 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career1 hits in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.220.216
16th percentileleague avg .244546 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason .220 (16th)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%78.1%80.0%
14th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%546 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 78.1% (14th)475 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%32.5%31.7%
88th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%546 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 32.5% (88th)731 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%31.7%31.5%
91st percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%546 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 31.7% (91st)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.4%23.5%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%546 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 23.4% (46th)230 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupAustin Riley: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 306 | 66 | .216 | 51% (44/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 184 | 42 | .228 | 53% (27/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 239 | 42 | .176 | 45% (30/67) |
| at home | 70 | 251 | 66 | .263 | 59% (41/70) |
| season | 137 | 490 | 108 | .220 | 52% (71/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 19.7% | 230 | .207 | 23.5% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 165 | 20.0% | 91 | .220 | 23.1% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 274 | 15.3% | 145 | .161 | 15.9% | 26.9% |
| at home | 272 | 24.3% | 176 | .258 | 29.5% | 39.2% |
| season | 546 | 19.8% | 321 | — | 23.4% | 33.6% |
0.5line
OVER-152ProphetXfair -162 · +2.6% vs fair
30% boost-117+14.8% vs market · -3.9% vs season50% boost-101+23% vs market · +3% vs season
UNDER+155DraftKingsfair +157 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+201+17.3% vs market · +45.2% vs season50% boost+232+29.3% vs market · +60.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+290FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1500FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+10000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
H+R+RBI
137 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.235.201
44th percentileleague avg .239297 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason .235 (44th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xERA4.12—
no split for this stat52nd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17297 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.378.286
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason .378 (45th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%9.4%6.5%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%297 batters facedvs RHB · 20th pctseason 9.4% (66th)154 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%21.5%20.1%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%297 batters facedvs RHB · 34th pctseason 21.5% (42nd)154 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmBrad Lord: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 26 | 37 | .255 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 29 | 48 | .359 |
| at home ● | 136 | 30 | 52 | .333 |
| on the road | 161 | 25 | 33 | .281 |
| season | 297 | 55 | 85 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career2 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.641.65
39th percentileleague avg 1.74137 gamesvs RHP · 39th pctseason 1.64 (39th)86 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.298—
no split for this stat36th percentileleague avg .310546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.359.369
21st percentileleague avg .400546 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason .359 (21st)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupAustin Riley: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 66 | 35 | 41 | 1.65 | 43% (37/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 42 | 20 | 20 | 1.61 | 39% (20/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 42 | 28 | 28 | 1.46 | 40% (27/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 66 | 27 | 33 | 1.80 | 43% (30/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 108 | 55 | 61 | 1.64 | 42% (57/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 19.7% | 230 | .207 | .389 | 11.7% | 91.1 |
| vs LHP | 165 | 20.0% | 91 | .220 | .386 | 12.1% | 91.8 |
| on the road ● | 274 | 15.3% | 145 | .161 | .285 | 8.3% | 90.2 |
| at home | 272 | 24.3% | 176 | .258 | .486 | 14.8% | 92.2 |
| season | 546 | 19.8% | 321 | — | .388 | 11.8% | 91.3 |
1.5line
OVER+109ProphetXfair +104 · +2.3% vs fair
30% boost+142+18.2% vs market · +0.6% vs season50% boost+163+28.9% vs market · +9.6% vs season
UNDER-108NoVigfair -107 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost+120+14.2% vs market · +28.7% vs season50% boost+139+23.7% vs market · +39.5% vs season
RBIs
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.12—
no split for this stat52nd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17297 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.378.286
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason .378 (45th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.1%2.8%
29th percentileleague avg 7.4%297 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.1% (29th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%9.4%6.5%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%297 batters facedvs RHB · 20th pctseason 9.4% (66th)154 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmBrad Lord: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 26 | 3 | .268 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 29 | 5 | .400 |
| at home ● | 136 | 30 | 7 | .437 |
| on the road | 161 | 25 | 1 | .237 |
| season | 297 | 55 | 8 | .329 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career1 RBI in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.450.48
54th percentileleague avg 0.44137 gamesvs RHP · 64th pctseason 0.45 (54th)86 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.391.389
57th percentileleague avg .386546 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason .391 (57th)350 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%44.5%43.0%
76th percentileleague avg 38.9%546 PAvs RHP · 71st pctseason 44.5% (76th)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.8%11.7%
82nd percentileleague avg 7.8%546 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 11.8% (82nd)230 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAustin Riley: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 41 | 0.48 | .382 | 30% (26/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 20 | 0.39 | .321 | 31% (16/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 28 | 0.42 | .293 | 30% (20/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 33 | 0.47 | .422 | 31% (22/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 61 | 0.45 | .359 | 31% (42/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 11.5% | 230 | .389 | 11.7% | 43.0% | 91.1 |
| vs LHP | 165 | 10.3% | 91 | .386 | 12.1% | 48.4% | 91.8 |
| on the road ● | 274 | 10.2% | 145 | .285 | 8.3% | 41.4% | 90.2 |
| at home | 272 | 12.1% | 176 | .486 | 14.8% | 47.2% | 92.2 |
| season | 546 | — | 321 | .388 | 11.8% | 44.5% | 91.3 |
0.5line
OVER+186ProphetXfair +188 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+242+18.6% vs market · +4.8% vs season50% boost+279+31.5% vs market · +16.2% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -196 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost-154+9.2% vs market · +14.4% vs season50% boost-133+15.9% vs market · +21.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+525Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+682no market fair50% boost+788no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1600Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.12—
no split for this stat52nd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.17297 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.235.201
44th percentileleague avg .239297 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason .235 (44th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%9.4%6.5%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%297 batters facedvs RHB · 20th pctseason 9.4% (66th)154 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmBrad Lord: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 26 | 10 | .255 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 29 | 18 | .359 |
| at home ● | 136 | 30 | 13 | .333 |
| on the road | 161 | 25 | 15 | .281 |
| season | 297 | 55 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career5 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.400.41
35th percentileleague avg 0.46137 gamesvs RHP · 37th pctseason 0.40 (35th)86 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.298—
no split for this stat36th percentileleague avg .310546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%7.7%6.3%
38th percentileleague avg 8.8%546 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 7.7% (38th)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupAustin Riley: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 35 | 0.41 | .284 | 33% (28/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 20 | 0.39 | .308 | 29% (15/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 28 | 0.42 | .274 | 33% (22/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 27 | 0.39 | .312 | 30% (21/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 55 | 0.40 | .293 | 31% (43/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | — | 230 | .207 | 23.5% | 34.8% | 91.1 |
| vs LHP | 165 | — | 91 | .220 | 23.1% | 30.8% | 91.8 |
| on the road ● | 274 | 10.2% | 145 | .161 | 15.9% | 26.9% | 90.2 |
| at home | 272 | 9.9% | 176 | .258 | 29.5% | 39.2% | 92.2 |
| season | 546 | — | 321 | — | 23.4% | 33.6% | 91.3 |
0.5line
OVER+122NoVigpooled fair +131
30% boost+159pooled fair50% boost+183pooled fair
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -133 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost-108+9.9% vs market · +32.3% vs season50% boost+107+18.1% vs market · +42.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Doubles
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.378.286
45th percentileleague avg .386297 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason .378 (45th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed38.1%33.6%
50th percentileleague avg 38.2%297 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 38.1% (50th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.1%2.8%
29th percentileleague avg 7.4%297 batters facedvs RHB · 3rd pctseason 6.1% (29th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed18.0%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat297 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmBrad Lord: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 2 | 1.3% | .268 |
| vs LHB | 143 | 4 | 2.8% | .400 |
| at home ● | 136 | 1 | 0.7% | .437 |
| on the road | 161 | 5 | 3.1% | .237 |
| season | 297 | 6 | 2.0% | .329 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career0 doubles in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.8%3.7%
41st percentileleague avg 4.1%546 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason 3.8% (41st)381 PAneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG.391.389
57th percentileleague avg .386546 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason .391 (57th)350 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.179.182
73rd percentileleague avg .146546 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason .179 (73rd)350 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.4%23.5%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%546 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 23.4% (46th)230 batted ballsneutralneutral
sweet-spot%33.6%34.8%
32nd percentileleague avg 35.3%546 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 33.6% (32nd)230 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupAustin Riley: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 18 | 5.3% | .382 | 21% (18/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 3 | 1.4% | .321 | 6% (3/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 8 | 2.9% | .293 | 12% (8/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 13 | 4.8% | .422 | 19% (13/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 21 | 3.8% | .359 | 15% (21/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 3.7% | 230 | .389 | 23.5% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 165 | 4.2% | 91 | .386 | 23.1% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 274 | 2.9% | 145 | .285 | 15.9% | 26.9% |
| at home | 272 | 4.8% | 176 | .486 | 29.5% | 39.2% |
| season | 546 | 3.8% | 321 | .388 | 23.4% | 33.6% |
0.5line
OVER+460Bovadapooled fair +451
30% boost+598pooled fair50% boost+690pooled fair
UNDER-600BetMGMfair -470 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-462+0.4% vs market · +3% vs season50% boost-400+3.1% vs market · +5.8% vs season
Singles
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.235.201
44th percentileleague avg .239297 batters facedvs RHB · 11th pctseason .235 (44th)138 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
K%21.5%20.1%
42nd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%297 batters facedvs RHB · 34th pctseason 21.5% (42nd)154 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
whiff%20.0%20.1%
11th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%297 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 20.0% (11th)304 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmBrad Lord: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 21 | 13.6% |
| vs LHB | 143 | 20 | 14.0% |
| at home ● | 136 | 22 | 16.2% |
| on the road | 161 | 19 | 11.8% |
| season | 297 | 41 | 13.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career1 singles in 5 AB (.200), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%78.1%80.0%
14th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 84.0%546 PAvs RHP · 21st pctseason 78.1% (14th)475 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%32.5%31.7%
88th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%546 PAvs RHP · 85th pctseason 32.5% (88th)731 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.4%23.5%
46th percentileleague avg 23.6%546 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 23.4% (46th)230 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupAustin Riley: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 306 | 37 | .216 | 36% (31/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 184 | 34 | .228 | 43% (22/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 239 | 27 | .176 | 30% (20/67) |
| at home | 70 | 251 | 44 | .263 | 47% (33/70) |
| season | 137 | 490 | 71 | .220 | 39% (53/137) |
● tonight's split
The BatAustin Riley: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 381 | 12.6% | 230 | .207 | 23.5% | 34.8% |
| vs LHP | 165 | 13.9% | 91 | .220 | 23.1% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 274 | 9.9% | 145 | .161 | 15.9% | 26.9% |
| at home | 272 | 16.2% | 176 | .258 | 29.5% | 39.2% |
| season | 546 | 13.2% | 321 | — | 23.4% | 33.6% |
0.5line
OVER+110Hard Rockfair +118 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost+143+11.3% vs market · -6% vs season50% boost+165+21.4% vs market · +2.5% vs season
UNDER-130theScore Betfair -120 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+100+9% vs market · +22.6% vs season50% boost+115+17.4% vs market · +32.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%9.4%6.5%
66th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.5%297 batters facedvs RHB · 20th pctseason 9.4% (66th)154 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%63.1%66.9%
62nd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%297 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason 63.1% (62nd)154 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/93.62.3
league avg 3.4+0.1 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason 3.6154 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmBrad Lord: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 154 | 10 | 6.5% |
| vs LHB | 143 | 18 | 12.6% |
| at home ● | 136 | 13 | 9.6% |
| on the road | 161 | 15 | 9.3% |
| season | 297 | 28 | 9.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAustin Riley vs Brad Lord, career0 walks in 5 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .400 |
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
BB%7.7%6.3%
38th percentileleague avg 8.8%546 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 7.7% (38th)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate32.6%32.7%
64th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%546 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason 32.6% (64th)783 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%68.0%67.7%
league avg 66.9%+1.1% vs league546 PAvs RHPseason 68.0%702 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupAustin Riley: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 23 | 6.8% | .284 | 26% (22/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 19 | 9.1% | .308 | 33% (17/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 27 | 9.9% | .274 | 36% (24/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 15 | 5.5% | .312 | 21% (15/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 42 | 7.7% | .293 | 28% (39/137) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+230Fanaticsfair +248 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost+299+14.9% vs market · +13.6% vs season50% boost+345+28.2% vs market · +26.7% vs season
UNDER-323DraftKingsfair -250 · -6.5% vs fair
30% boost-248+0.1% vs market · +0.3% vs season50% boost-215+4.6% vs market · +4.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
137 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Brad Lord Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.2%—
no split for this stat13th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%1 of 404 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat31st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%3 of 404 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Austin Riley Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.9—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg 27.4546 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.070.06
60th percentileleague avg 0.07137 gamesvs RHP · 56th pctseason 0.07 (60th)86 gamessupports OVERneutral
xBA.212.207
16th percentileleague avg .240546 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (16th)350 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%7.7%6.3%
38th percentileleague avg 8.8%546 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 7.7% (38th)381 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupAustin Riley: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 86 | 338 | 5 | 0.06 | 6% (5/86) |
| vs LHP | 51 | 208 | 4 | 0.08 | 8% (4/51) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 274 | 5 | 0.07 | 7% (5/67) |
| at home | 70 | 272 | 4 | 0.06 | 6% (4/70) |
| season | 137 | 546 | 9 | 0.07 | 7% (9/137) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1750Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2275no market fair50% boost+2625no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardAtlanta Braves @ Washington Nationalssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing