Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · NFL

NE @ MIA

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins · 4:25 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 29, 2026 · 6–8 games per defense

MIA defense allowsWhat New England sees

6 games

MIA funnels toward RB targets: 1st-most allowed (24.0%). Offenses pass 0.5 pp more often than expected against MIA.

MIA allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Target share · RB	24.0%	+5.9 pp
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono2.5 Receptions−123 CourtsideL10 7/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 3/10 Rhamondre Stevensono20.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
1	Dropback success rate	53.9%	+8.5 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
1	QB completion rate	76.6%	+12.4 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo20.5 Completions+100 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
1	Dropback EPA / play	+0.315	+0.25
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
1	RZ targets / game · RB	2.83	+276.3%
Supports OVER Corey Kinero0.5 Anytime TD+400 Bally BetL10 0/10 Rhamondre Stevensono0.5 Anytime TD−130 CourtsideL10 4/10 TreVeyon Hendersono0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10
1	RZ targets / game · TE	2.67	+103.0%
Supports OVER Cameron Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Eli Raridono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo0.5 Anytime TD+160 Bally BetL10 2/10 Tanner Arkino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
T1	Red-zone trips / game	4.33	+31.1%
Supports OVER A.J. Browno0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Cameron Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Corey Kinero0.5 Anytime TD+400 Bally BetL10 0/10 DeMario Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+250 BetMGML10 3/10 Drake Mayeo0.5 Anytime TD+325 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10 Efton Chism IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+333 BetMGML10 2/10 Eli Raridono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo0.5 Anytime TD+160 Bally BetL10 2/10 Kyle Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 1/10 Rhamondre Stevensono0.5 Anytime TD−130 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tanner Arkino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet TreVeyon Hendersono0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10
T2	Receptions / game · TE	7.3	+33.0%
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo4.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 2/10 Eli Raridono2.5 Receptions+112 Bally BetL6 2/6
3	Rec yards / game · RB	46.0	+43.5%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono20.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
3	QB pass yards / attempt	8.10	+14.6%
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
4	Target share · TE	29.3%	+5.3 pp
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo4.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 2/10 Eli Raridono2.5 Receptions+112 Bally BetL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo44.5 Rec Yards−110 BovadaL10 3/10 Eli Raridono24.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL6 3/6
4	Rec yards / game · TE	74.7	+36.9%
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo44.5 Rec Yards−110 BovadaL10 3/10 Eli Raridono24.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL6 3/6
4	Receptions / game · RB	5.7	+25.7%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono2.5 Receptions−123 CourtsideL10 7/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 3/10
4	Touchdowns / game · TE	1.00	+92.4%
Supports OVER Cameron Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Eli Raridono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo0.5 Anytime TD+160 Bally BetL10 2/10 Tanner Arkino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
6	Rush success rate	43.4%	+3.1 pp
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 Drake Mayeo23.5 Rush Yards−112 CourtsideL10 7/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
6	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.33	+46.5%
Supports OVER Corey Kinero0.5 Anytime TD+400 Bally BetL10 0/10 Rhamondre Stevensono0.5 Anytime TD−130 CourtsideL10 4/10 TreVeyon Hendersono0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10
9	RB carries / game	24.2	+9.0%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono12.5 Rushing Attempts−123 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Corey Kinero7.5 Rushing Attempts−145 bet365L10 1/10
T9	Rush explosive rate	10.5%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo12.5 Longest Rush−105 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Rhamondre Stevensono11.5 Longest Rush−110 theScore BetL10 7/10 TreVeyon Hendersono9.5 Longest Rush−105 bet365L10 4/10
10	QB completions / game	22.3	+3.9%
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo20.5 Completions+100 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
11	RB rush yards / game	102.5	+12.5%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
11	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.074	+0.02
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
12	RB yards / carry	4.24	+3.7%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
13	Dropback explosive rate	8.9%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo37.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
15	QB pass yards / game	236.2	0.0%
No lean at 15 of 32 Drake Maye233.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
T28	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.50	−43.0%
T28	RZ targets / game · WR	1.67	−33.8%
29	QB pass attempts / game	29.2	−12.9%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
29	Offensive plays faced / game	57.2	−7.3%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
30	Rec yards / game · WR	115.5	−22.7%
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu40.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kyle Williamsu24.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 8/10 Efton Chism IIIu21.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
30	Receptions / game · WR	9.3	−18.5%
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu3.5 Receptions−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Efton Chism IIIu2.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 9/10 Kyle Williamsu1.5 Receptions−135 theScore BetL10 9/10
31	Dropbacks / game	31.8	−15.3%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
32	Target share · WR	46.7%	−11.2 pp
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu3.5 Receptions−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Efton Chism IIIu2.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 9/10 Kyle Williamsu1.5 Receptions−135 theScore BetL10 9/10 DeMario Douglasu40.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kyle Williamsu24.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 8/10 Efton Chism IIIu21.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10

NE defense allowsWhat Miami sees

7 games

NE leans toward TE targets: 10th-most allowed (26.2%). Offenses pass 1.7 pp less often than expected against NE.

NE allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
7	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.056	+0.04
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo61.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−106 CourtsideL10 4/10
T8	QB completion rate	66.2%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso16.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
T8	RZ targets / game · WR	3.00	+19.0%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L3 1/3 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL6 0/6 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL6 1/6 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL10 2/10
9	Dropback explosive rate	9.1%	+1.1 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso33.5 Longest Completion−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
10	Target share · TE	26.2%	+2.2 pp
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho3.5 Receptions+125 BovadaL10 4/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL6 3/6 Greg Dulcicho28.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 7/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Rec Yards−101 CourtsideL6 3/6
T10	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+13.9%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L3 1/3 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL6 0/6 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL6 1/6 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL10 2/10
12	Dropback success rate	46.4%	+1.0 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso184.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
13	QB pass yards / attempt	7.44	+5.2%
Supports OVER Malik Williso184.5 Passing Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
14	Rec yards / game · RB	35.4	+10.6%
No lean at 14 of 32 Ollie Gordon II10.5 Rec Yardso −107 · u −114L10 1/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Rec Yardso +230 · u −310L10 3/10 over
14	QB pass yards / game	239.0	+1.2%
No lean at 14 of 32 Malik Willis184.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
14	Dropback EPA / play	+0.067	0.00
No lean at 14 of 32 Malik Willis184.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
15	Target share · RB	17.8%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Ollie Gordon II1.5 Receptionso +110 · u −125L10 2/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Receptionso +185 · u −245L10 3/10 over Ollie Gordon II10.5 Rec Yardso −107 · u −114L10 1/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Rec Yardso +230 · u −310L10 3/10 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.6%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Ollie Gordon II14.5 Longest Rusho −105 · u −117L10 3/10 over Malik Willis12.5 Longest Rusho −115 · u −110L10 5/10 over Jaylen Wright6.5 Longest Rusho −105 · u −115L10 7/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · WR	149.9	+0.3%
No lean at 15 of 32 Malik Washington40.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over Caleb Douglas39.5 Rec Yardso +100 · u −114L3 2/3 over Chris Bell18.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −113L6 3/6 over
15	Rec yards / game · TE	53.7	−1.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Greg Dulcich28.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 7/10 over Will Kacmarek0.5 Rec Yardso −101 · u −123L6 3/6 over
15	Receptions / game · WR	11.3	−1.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Malik Washington4.5 Receptionso +123 · u −140L10 3/10 over Caleb Douglas2.5 Receptionso −165 · u +132L3 1/3 over Chris Bell1.5 Receptionso −120 · u +102L6 2/6 over
T15	Receptions / game · TE	5.6	+1.1%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Greg Dulcich3.5 Receptionso +125 · u −154L10 4/10 over Will Kacmarek0.5 Receptionso −114 · u −105L6 3/6 over
17	Receptions / game · RB	4.4	−1.8%
No lean at 17 of 32 Ollie Gordon II1.5 Receptionso +110 · u −125L10 2/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Receptionso +185 · u −245L10 3/10 over
T18	QB completions / game	21.3	−0.9%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Malik Willis16.5 Completionso −105 · u −108L10 2/10 over
19	RB yards / carry	4.08	−0.2%
No lean at 19 of 32 Ollie Gordon II61.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −104L10 3/10 over Jaylen Wright15.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L10 4/10 over
19	RB rush yards / game	83.4	−8.4%
No lean at 19 of 32 Ollie Gordon II61.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −104L10 3/10 over Jaylen Wright15.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L10 4/10 over
20	QB pass attempts / game	32.1	−4.0%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
20	Target share · WR	56.1%	−1.8 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu4.5 Receptions−140 BetMGML10 7/10 Caleb Douglasu2.5 Receptions+132 DraftKingsL3 2/3 Chris Bellu1.5 Receptions+102 FanDuelL6 4/6 Malik Washingtonu40.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Caleb Douglasu39.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL3 1/3 Chris Bellu18.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL6 3/6
T20	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.71	−21.8%
T20	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.29	−44.2%
T20	Red-zone trips / game	3.14	−4.9%
20	Dropbacks / game	36.0	−4.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
22	Rush success rate	39.5%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu61.5 Rush Yards−104 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Malik Willisu33.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Jaylen Wrightu15.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
25	RB carries / game	20.4	−7.8%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu15.5 Rushing Attempts−106 betPARXL10 7/10 Jaylen Wrightu4.5 Rushing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
25	Offensive plays faced / game	58.4	−5.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
T28	RZ targets / game · TE	0.71	−46.0%
T30	RZ targets / game · RB	0.29	−61.4%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

MIA defense allowsWhat New England sees

17 games

MIA funnels toward TE targets: 2nd-most allowed (27.8%). Offenses pass 2.9 pp less often than expected against MIA.

MIA allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Dropback success rate	52.3%	+6.6 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
1	QB completion rate	72.0%	+7.7 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo20.5 Completions+100 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
2	Target share · TE	27.8%	+3.9 pp
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo4.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 2/10 Eli Raridono2.5 Receptions+112 Bally BetL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo44.5 Rec Yards−110 BovadaL10 3/10 Eli Raridono24.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL6 3/6
T2	Receptions / game · TE	6.3	+19.7%
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo4.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 2/10 Eli Raridono2.5 Receptions+112 Bally BetL6 2/6
5	RB yards / carry	4.80	+10.7%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
5	Rush explosive rate	12.1%	+2.2 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo12.5 Longest Rush−105 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10 Rhamondre Stevensono11.5 Longest Rush−110 theScore BetL10 7/10 TreVeyon Hendersono9.5 Longest Rush−105 bet365L10 4/10
5	Rec yards / game · TE	65.8	+23.4%
Supports OVER Hunter Henryo44.5 Rec Yards−110 BovadaL10 3/10 Eli Raridono24.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL6 3/6
T5	Receptions / game · RB	4.9	+15.4%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono2.5 Receptions−123 CourtsideL10 7/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 3/10
6	Dropback EPA / play	+0.166	+0.12
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.59	+35.1%
Supports OVER Cameron Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Eli Raridono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo0.5 Anytime TD+160 Bally BetL10 2/10 Tanner Arkino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet
7	RB rush yards / game	107.3	+13.1%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
7	Rec yards / game · RB	36.5	+15.5%
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono20.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
7	QB pass yards / attempt	7.61	+8.4%
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo233.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER A.J. Browno0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 DeMario Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+250 BetMGML10 3/10 Efton Chism IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+333 BetMGML10 2/10 Kyle Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 1/10
T8	Red-zone trips / game	3.65	+13.9%
Supports OVER A.J. Browno0.5 Anytime TD+210 Bally BetL10 3/10 Cameron Latuo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet Corey Kinero0.5 Anytime TD+400 Bally BetL10 0/10 DeMario Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+250 BetMGML10 3/10 Drake Mayeo0.5 Anytime TD+325 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10 Efton Chism IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+333 BetMGML10 2/10 Eli Raridono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL6 2/6 Hunter Henryo0.5 Anytime TD+160 Bally BetL10 2/10 Kyle Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+350 Bally BetL10 1/10 Rhamondre Stevensono0.5 Anytime TD−130 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tanner Arkino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock Bet TreVeyon Hendersono0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10
9	Dropback explosive rate	8.8%	+0.7 pp
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo37.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
11	Rush success rate	43.3%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 Drake Mayeo23.5 Rush Yards−112 CourtsideL10 7/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
11	QB completions / game	21.8	+5.8%
Supports OVER Drake Mayeo20.5 Completions+100 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
T12	Target share · RB	18.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono2.5 Receptions−123 CourtsideL10 7/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 3/10 Rhamondre Stevensono20.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10 Corey Kinero0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
12	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.038	+0.01
Supports OVER Rhamondre Stevensono52.5 Rush Yards−109 CourtsideL10 3/10 Corey Kinero33.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10 TreVeyon Hendersono23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.94	+5.0%
Supports OVER Corey Kinero0.5 Anytime TD+400 Bally BetL10 0/10 Rhamondre Stevensono0.5 Anytime TD−130 CourtsideL10 4/10 TreVeyon Hendersono0.5 Anytime TD+330 Bally BetL10 1/10
14	RB carries / game	22.4	+2.2%
No lean at 14 of 32 Rhamondre Stevenson12.5 Rushing Attemptso −123 · u +100L10 6/10 over Corey Kiner7.5 Rushing Attemptso −145 · u +115L10 1/10 over
15	QB pass yards / game	230.6	+2.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Drake Maye233.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · RB	0.76	+0.9%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Corey Kiner0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 0/10 over Rhamondre Stevenson0.5 Anytime TDo −130L10 4/10 over TreVeyon Henderson0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 1/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · TE	1.18	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Cameron Latu0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Eli Raridon0.5 Anytime TDo +360L6 2/6 over Hunter Henry0.5 Anytime TDo +160L10 2/10 over Tanner Arkin0.5 Anytime TDo +4000
T20	Receptions / game · WR	10.5	−4.5%
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu3.5 Receptions−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Efton Chism IIIu2.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 9/10 Kyle Williamsu1.5 Receptions−135 theScore BetL10 9/10
T20	RZ targets / game · WR	2.12	−10.7%
T23	QB pass attempts / game	30.3	−5.5%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
23	Dropbacks / game	34.9	−4.3%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
23	Offensive plays faced / game	59.8	−1.3%
Supports UNDER Drake Mayeu29.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 4/10
24	Rec yards / game · WR	127.0	−9.0%
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu40.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kyle Williamsu24.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 8/10 Efton Chism IIIu21.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
29	Target share · WR	53.2%	−4.8 pp
Supports UNDER DeMario Douglasu3.5 Receptions−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Efton Chism IIIu2.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 9/10 Kyle Williamsu1.5 Receptions−135 theScore BetL10 9/10 DeMario Douglasu40.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kyle Williamsu24.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 8/10 Efton Chism IIIu21.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10

NE defense allowsWhat Miami sees

17 games

NE funnels toward RB targets: 3rd-most allowed (20.2%). Offenses pass 4.1 pp less often than expected against NE.

NE allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
3	Target share · RB	20.2%	+2.3 pp
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo1.5 Receptions+110 Bally BetL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Receptions+185 bet365L10 3/10 Ollie Gordon IIo10.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL10 1/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Rec Yards+230 bet365L10 3/10
4	Target share · TE	26.8%	+2.9 pp
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho3.5 Receptions+125 BovadaL10 4/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL6 3/6 Greg Dulcicho28.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 7/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Rec Yards−101 CourtsideL6 3/6
T5	Receptions / game · RB	4.9	+15.4%
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo1.5 Receptions+110 Bally BetL10 2/10 Jaylen Wrighto0.5 Receptions+185 bet365L10 3/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.06	+19.2%
Supports OVER Caleb Douglaso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L3 1/3 Chris Bello0.5 Anytime TD+700 Bally BetL6 0/6 Jalen Tolberto0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Jared Wayneo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Kevin Coleman Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1500 FanaticsL6 1/6 Malik Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BovadaL10 2/10
9	Rush success rate	43.7%	+2.3 pp
Supports OVER Ollie Gordon IIo61.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Malik Williso33.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Jaylen Wrighto15.5 Rush Yards−106 CourtsideL10 4/10
9	QB completion rate	66.4%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Malik Williso16.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
10	Receptions / game · TE	5.7	+8.7%
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho3.5 Receptions+125 BovadaL10 4/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL6 3/6
12	Rec yards / game · TE	57.1	+7.1%
Supports OVER Greg Dulcicho28.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 7/10 Will Kacmareko0.5 Rec Yards−101 CourtsideL6 3/6
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Greg Dulcich0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 1/10 over Justin Joly0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Seydou Traore0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L2 0/2 over Will Kacmarek0.5 Anytime TDo +1700L6 0/6 over
T17	QB completions / game	20.6	−0.1%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Malik Willis16.5 Completionso −105 · u −108L10 2/10 over
18	Rec yards / game · RB	29.8	−5.7%
No lean at 18 of 32 Ollie Gordon II10.5 Rec Yardso −107 · u −114L10 1/10 over Jaylen Wright0.5 Rec Yardso +230 · u −310L10 3/10 over
19	Dropback success rate	45.2%	−0.5 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Malik Willis184.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
21	QB pass attempts / game	31.0	−3.3%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
21	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.082	−0.03
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu61.5 Rush Yards−104 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jaylen Wrightu15.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
22	Dropback EPA / play	−0.038	−0.08
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu184.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
23	Rush explosive rate	9.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu14.5 Longest Rush−117 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Malik Willisu12.5 Longest Rush−110 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Jaylen Wrightu6.5 Longest Rush−115 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
23	QB pass yards / attempt	6.66	−5.1%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu184.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	1.88	−20.8%
24	QB pass yards / game	206.6	−8.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu184.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
24	Dropbacks / game	34.8	−4.6%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
25	Dropback explosive rate	7.1%	−1.0 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu33.5 Longest Completion−115 BetMGML10 6/10
26	Receptions / game · WR	9.9	−10.4%
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu4.5 Receptions−140 BetMGML10 7/10 Caleb Douglasu2.5 Receptions+132 DraftKingsL3 2/3 Chris Bellu1.5 Receptions+102 FanDuelL6 4/6
26	RZ targets / game · TE	0.94	−23.2%
27	RB yards / carry	3.93	−9.3%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu61.5 Rush Yards−104 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jaylen Wrightu15.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
27	Rec yards / game · WR	119.5	−14.4%
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu40.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Caleb Douglasu39.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL3 1/3 Chris Bellu18.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL6 3/6
T27	RZ targets / game · RB	0.47	−37.6%
T28	RB carries / game	19.6	−10.1%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu15.5 Rushing Attempts−106 betPARXL10 7/10 Jaylen Wrightu4.5 Rushing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
28	RB rush yards / game	77.1	−18.7%
Supports UNDER Ollie Gordon IIu61.5 Rush Yards−104 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jaylen Wrightu15.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
29	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.59	−34.1%
T30	Target share · WR	52.8%	−5.2 pp
Supports UNDER Malik Washingtonu4.5 Receptions−140 BetMGML10 7/10 Caleb Douglasu2.5 Receptions+132 DraftKingsL3 2/3 Chris Bellu1.5 Receptions+102 FanDuelL6 4/6 Malik Washingtonu40.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Caleb Douglasu39.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL3 1/3 Chris Bellu18.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL6 3/6
30	Offensive plays faced / game	56.8	−6.2%
Supports UNDER Malik Willisu27.5 Passing Attempts−110 FliffL10 9/10
32	Red-zone trips / game	2.35	−26.6%