Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · NFL

CLE @ PIT

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 29, 2026 · 6–8 games per defense

PIT defense allowsWhat Cleveland sees

7 games

PIT funnels toward RB targets: 7th-most allowed (21.1%). Offenses pass 1.4 pp more often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
5	Rec yards / game · RB	41.3	+28.8%
Supports OVER Dylan Sampsono16.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 4/10 Quinshon Judkinso9.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL10 6/10
T6	Receptions / game · RB	5.4	+20.4%
Supports OVER Dylan Sampsono2.5 Receptions+105 BovadaL10 4/10 Quinshon Judkinso1.5 Receptions−165 BetMGML10 8/10
7	Target share · RB	21.1%	+3.1 pp
Supports OVER Dylan Sampsono2.5 Receptions+105 BovadaL10 4/10 Quinshon Judkinso1.5 Receptions−165 BetMGML10 8/10 Dylan Sampsono16.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 4/10 Quinshon Judkinso9.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL10 6/10
8	Target share · WR	61.2%	+3.3 pp
Supports OVER KC Concepciono4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L7 3/7 Denzel Bostono3.5 Receptions+115 bet365L7 2/7 Jerry Jeudyo2.5 Receptions+148 FanDuelL10 6/10 Denzel Bostono50.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL7 3/7 KC Concepciono46.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL7 2/7 Jerry Jeudyo21.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10
11	Receptions / game · WR	12.3	+7.4%
Supports OVER KC Concepciono4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L7 3/7 Denzel Bostono3.5 Receptions+115 bet365L7 2/7 Jerry Jeudyo2.5 Receptions+148 FanDuelL10 6/10
T12	QB completions / game	22.0	+2.4%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono19.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 3/10
12	Dropback explosive rate	9.0%	+1.0 pp
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono33.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
T13	Dropbacks / game	38.3	+1.9%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono30.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 3/10
14	QB pass attempts / game	34.1	+1.9%
No lean at 14 of 32 Deshaun Watson30.5 Passing Attemptso −120 · u +100L10 3/10 over
16	Dropback success rate	45.5%	+0.1 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Deshaun Watson210.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over
T16	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.43	−17.3%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Blake Whiteheart0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Carsen Ryan0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Harold Fannin Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +340L10 4/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · RB	0.57	−24.2%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Audric Estime0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L10 4/10 over Dylan Sampson0.5 Anytime TDo +650L10 1/10 over Jaleel McLaughlin0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Michael Burton0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Quinshon Judkins0.5 Anytime TDo +145L10 2/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · WR	147.3	−1.4%
No lean at 17 of 32 Denzel Boston50.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L7 3/7 over KC Concepcion46.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −115L7 2/7 over Jerry Jeudy21.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −110L10 4/10 over
18	QB completion rate	64.4%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Deshaun Watson19.5 Completionso −115 · u −105L10 3/10 over
19	QB pass yards / attempt	6.74	−4.7%
No lean at 19 of 32 Deshaun Watson210.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over
20	QB pass yards / game	230.0	−2.6%
Supports UNDER Deshaun Watsonu210.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T20	Offensive plays faced / game	60.4	−2.0%
Supports UNDER Deshaun Watsonu30.5 Passing Attempts+100 theScore BetL10 7/10
T22	RB carries / game	20.7	−6.6%
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu14.5 Rushing Attempts−130 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu3.5 Rushing Attempts+120 bet365L10 5/10
22	Dropback EPA / play	+0.006	−0.06
Supports UNDER Deshaun Watsonu210.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 7/10
23	Rush explosive rate	8.4%	−0.9 pp
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu11.5 Longest Rush−104 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Deshaun Watsonu9.5 Longest Rush+100 betPARXL10 7/10 Dylan Sampsonu6.5 Longest Rush−130 bet365L10 5/10
T23	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.57	−35.1%
24	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.128	−0.04
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
25	Rec yards / game · TE	41.9	−23.3%
Supports UNDER Harold Fannin Jr.u34.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 6/10
T25	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.57	−37.2%
26	RB yards / carry	3.64	−10.9%
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
27	Rush success rate	34.8%	−5.5 pp
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Deshaun Watsonu25.5 Rush Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
27	RB rush yards / game	75.4	−17.2%
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
27	RZ targets / game · WR	1.71	−32.2%
T29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−24.9%
Supports UNDER Harold Fannin Jr.u3.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 5/10
30	RZ targets / game · TE	0.57	−56.7%
32	Target share · TE	17.2%	−6.8 pp
Supports UNDER Harold Fannin Jr.u3.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 5/10 Harold Fannin Jr.u34.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 6/10
32	Red-zone trips / game	1.86	−43.7%

CLE defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

7 games

CLE leans toward RB rushing yards: 9th-most allowed (104.0). Offenses pass 2.9 pp less often than expected against CLE.

CLE allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rush explosive rate	15.1%	+5.9 pp
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno16.5 Longest Rush+100 Bally BetL10 5/10 Rico Dowdleo9.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L10 5/10 Aaron Rodgerso1.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 6/10
T4	RZ targets / game · RB	1.00	+33.0%
Supports OVER Eli Heidenreicho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 FanDuel Jaylen Warreno0.5 Anytime TD+100 FanDuelL10 1/10 Lew Nicholso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL3 0/3 Rico Dowdleo0.5 Anytime TD+300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Riley Nowakowskio0.5 Anytime TD+6000 Fanatics Travis Homero0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
5	RB yards / carry	4.61	+12.8%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno64.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Rico Dowdleo30.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T8	RZ targets / game · WR	3.00	+19.0%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Bally BetL10 1/10 DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+215 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML7 1/7 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM
9	RB rush yards / game	104.0	+14.1%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno64.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Rico Dowdleo30.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
T10	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+13.9%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Bally BetL10 1/10 DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+215 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML7 1/7 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM
11	Target share · TE	25.2%	+1.2 pp
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+135 theScore BetL10 5/10 Pat Freiermutho2.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 6/10 Pat Freiermutho24.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 6/10 Darnell Washingtono19.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
T12	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.57	+9.7%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+350 BetMGML10 3/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+350 BovadaL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
14	Target share · WR	58.8%	+0.9 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 DK Metcalf4.5 Receptionso +125 · u −136L10 2/10 over Germie Bernard4.5 Receptionso +100 · u −107L7 2/7 over DK Metcalf53.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Germie Bernard43.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L7 2/7 over
14	Rec yards / game · WR	151.4	+1.4%
No lean at 14 of 32 DK Metcalf53.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over Germie Bernard43.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L7 2/7 over
14	Offensive plays faced / game	62.6	+1.5%
No lean at 14 of 32 Aaron Rodgers32.5 Passing Attemptso −121 · u −103L10 8/10 over
15	Rush success rate	41.9%	+1.5 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Jaylen Warren64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −105L10 5/10 over Rico Dowdle30.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over Aaron Rodgers0.5 Rush Yardso −101 · u −108L10 6/10 over
15	QB pass attempts / game	33.9	+1.1%
No lean at 15 of 32 Aaron Rodgers32.5 Passing Attemptso −121 · u −103L10 8/10 over
15	RB carries / game	22.6	+1.8%
No lean at 15 of 32 Jaylen Warren14.5 Rushing Attemptso +105 · u +105L10 4/10 over Rico Dowdle7.5 Rushing Attemptso +110 · u −125L10 6/10 over
15	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.088	0.00
No lean at 15 of 32 Jaylen Warren64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −105L10 5/10 over Rico Dowdle30.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over
T15	Receptions / game · TE	5.6	+1.1%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Darnell Washington2.5 Receptionso +135 · u −130L10 5/10 over Pat Freiermuth2.5 Receptionso −130 · u +117L10 6/10 over
T16	Rec yards / game · TE	49.3	−9.6%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Pat Freiermuth24.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 6/10 over Darnell Washington19.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u +105L10 5/10 over
16	Receptions / game · WR	11.0	−3.9%
No lean at 16 of 32 DK Metcalf4.5 Receptionso +125 · u −136L10 2/10 over Germie Bernard4.5 Receptionso +100 · u −107L7 2/7 over
16	Dropbacks / game	38.0	+1.2%
No lean at 16 of 32 Aaron Rodgers32.5 Passing Attemptso −121 · u −103L10 8/10 over
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.5%	−0.5 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu35.5 Longest Completion−113 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T22	Red-zone trips / game	2.86	−13.4%
23	QB completions / game	20.4	−4.9%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu21.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 4/10
23	QB pass yards / attempt	6.52	−7.8%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
23	Receptions / game · RB	3.9	−14.4%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu2.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu2.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10
24	Dropback EPA / play	−0.003	−0.07
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
25	QB pass yards / game	220.7	−6.5%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
T25	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.57	−37.2%
T25	RZ targets / game · TE	0.86	−34.6%
26	Target share · RB	15.9%	−2.1 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu2.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 4/10 Rico Dowdleu2.5 Receptions+102 betPARXL10 6/10 Jaylen Warrenu24.5 Rec Yards−115 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Rico Dowdleu13.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
28	Dropback success rate	41.4%	−4.1 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
28	QB completion rate	60.3%	−3.9 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu21.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 4/10
29	Rec yards / game · RB	20.0	−37.6%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu24.5 Rec Yards−115 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Rico Dowdleu13.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

PIT defense allowsWhat Cleveland sees

17 games

PIT funnels toward QB passing yards: 3rd-most allowed (261.0). Offenses pass 2.3 pp less often than expected against PIT.

PIT allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Offensive plays faced / game	64.9	+7.2%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono30.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 3/10
T2	RZ targets / game · TE	2.12	+73.3%
Supports OVER Blake Whitehearto0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Carsen Ryano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Harold Fannin Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+340 FanaticsL10 4/10
3	QB pass yards / game	261.0	+16.0%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono210.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10
3	Receptions / game · WR	12.5	+13.6%
Supports OVER KC Concepciono4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L7 3/7 Denzel Bostono3.5 Receptions+115 bet365L7 2/7 Jerry Jeudyo2.5 Receptions+148 FanDuelL10 6/10
4	QB pass attempts / game	36.1	+12.5%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono30.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 3/10
T4	QB completions / game	23.3	+13.0%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono19.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 3/10
4	Rec yards / game · TE	65.9	+23.7%
Supports OVER Harold Fannin Jr.o34.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 4/10
4	Receptions / game · TE	6.2	+18.8%
Supports OVER Harold Fannin Jr.o3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.65	+48.9%
Supports OVER Blake Whitehearto0.5 Anytime TD+2200 Bally BetL10 1/10 Carsen Ryano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGM Harold Fannin Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+340 FanaticsL10 4/10
5	Rec yards / game · WR	163.7	+17.3%
Supports OVER Denzel Bostono50.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL7 3/7 KC Concepciono46.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL7 2/7 Jerry Jeudyo21.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 4/10
6	Dropbacks / game	40.5	+11.0%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono30.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 3/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER Denzel Bostono0.5 Anytime TD+300 FanaticsL7 3/7 Isaiah Bondo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL10 0/10 Jerry Jeudyo0.5 Anytime TD+750 FanDuelL10 0/10 KC Concepciono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL7 0/7 Malachi Corleyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Tylan Wallaceo0.5 Anytime TD+3500 FanaticsL10 0/10
T9	RZ targets / game · WR	2.71	+14.1%
Supports OVER Denzel Bostono0.5 Anytime TD+300 FanaticsL7 3/7 Isaiah Bondo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL10 0/10 Jerry Jeudyo0.5 Anytime TD+750 FanDuelL10 0/10 KC Concepciono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL7 0/7 Malachi Corleyo0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Tylan Wallaceo0.5 Anytime TD+3500 FanaticsL10 0/10
10	QB pass yards / attempt	7.24	+3.1%
Supports OVER Deshaun Watsono210.5 Passing Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10
12	RB carries / game	22.5	+3.1%
Supports OVER Quinshon Judkinso14.5 Rushing Attempts+105 BovadaL10 4/10 Dylan Sampsono3.5 Rushing Attempts−150 bet365L10 5/10
T13	Target share · TE	24.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Harold Fannin Jr.o3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10 Harold Fannin Jr.o34.5 Rec Yards−109 CourtsideL10 4/10
14	Receptions / game · RB	4.5	+5.8%
No lean at 14 of 32 Dylan Sampson2.5 Receptionso +105 · u −122L10 4/10 over Quinshon Judkins1.5 Receptionso −165 · u +140L10 8/10 over
14	Red-zone trips / game	3.24	+1.1%
No lean at 14 of 32 Audric Estime0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L10 4/10 over Blake Whiteheart0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Carsen Ryan0.5 Anytime TDo +4000 Denzel Boston0.5 Anytime TDo +300L7 3/7 over Deshaun Watson0.5 Anytime TDo +450L10 1/10 over Dylan Sampson0.5 Anytime TDo +650L10 1/10 over Harold Fannin Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +340L10 4/10 over Isaiah Bond0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L10 0/10 over Jaleel McLaughlin0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Jerry Jeudy0.5 Anytime TDo +750L10 0/10 over KC Concepcion0.5 Anytime TDo +370L7 0/7 over Malachi Corley0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Michael Burton0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Quinshon Judkins0.5 Anytime TDo +145L10 2/10 over Tylan Wallace0.5 Anytime TDo +3500L10 0/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · RB	31.4	−0.7%
No lean at 15 of 32 Dylan Sampson16.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 4/10 over Quinshon Judkins9.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −109L10 6/10 over
15	Rush explosive rate	9.9%	0.0 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Quinshon Judkins11.5 Longest Rusho −114 · u −104L10 4/10 over Deshaun Watson9.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u +100L10 3/10 over Dylan Sampson6.5 Longest Rusho +100 · u −130L10 5/10 over
16	RB rush yards / game	96.4	+1.6%
No lean at 16 of 32 Quinshon Judkins46.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −114L10 4/10 over Dylan Sampson11.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L10 6/10 over
16	Target share · WR	58.4%	+0.4 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 KC Concepcion4.5 Receptionso −115 · u +106L7 3/7 over Denzel Boston3.5 Receptionso +115 · u −125L7 2/7 over Jerry Jeudy2.5 Receptionso +148 · u −165L10 6/10 over Denzel Boston50.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L7 3/7 over KC Concepcion46.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −115L7 2/7 over Jerry Jeudy21.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −110L10 4/10 over
17	RB yards / carry	4.28	−1.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Quinshon Judkins46.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −114L10 4/10 over Dylan Sampson11.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −109L10 6/10 over
17	QB completion rate	64.6%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Deshaun Watson19.5 Completionso −115 · u −105L10 3/10 over
17	Dropback EPA / play	+0.045	0.00
No lean at 17 of 32 Deshaun Watson210.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over
18	Dropback success rate	45.3%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Deshaun Watson210.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over
T18	RZ targets / game · RB	0.71	−5.7%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Audric Estime0.5 Anytime TDo +1800L10 4/10 over Dylan Sampson0.5 Anytime TDo +650L10 1/10 over Jaleel McLaughlin0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 1/10 over Michael Burton0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Quinshon Judkins0.5 Anytime TDo +145L10 2/10 over
21	Rush success rate	39.9%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Deshaun Watsonu25.5 Rush Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
21	Dropback explosive rate	7.7%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Deshaun Watsonu33.5 Longest Completion−110 betPARXL10 5/10
23	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.087	−0.03
Supports UNDER Quinshon Judkinsu46.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Dylan Sampsonu11.5 Rush Yards−109 betPARXL10 4/10
24	Target share · RB	16.8%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Dylan Sampsonu2.5 Receptions−122 betPARXL10 6/10 Quinshon Judkinsu1.5 Receptions+140 bet365L10 2/10 Dylan Sampsonu16.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Quinshon Judkinsu9.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T31	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.41	−54.2%

CLE defense allowsWhat Pittsburgh sees

17 games

CLE funnels toward TE targets: tied for 6th-most allowed (26.0%). Offenses pass 5.6 pp less often than expected against CLE.

CLE allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T6	Target share · TE	26.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono2.5 Receptions+135 theScore BetL10 5/10 Pat Freiermutho2.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 6/10 Pat Freiermutho24.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 6/10 Darnell Washingtono19.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
7	Target share · RB	19.6%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno2.5 Receptions−141 betPARXL10 6/10 Rico Dowdleo2.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL10 4/10 Jaylen Warreno24.5 Rec Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 8/10 Rico Dowdleo13.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.4%
Supports OVER Ben Skowroneko0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Bally BetL10 1/10 DK Metcalfo0.5 Anytime TD+215 BovadaL10 2/10 Germie Bernardo0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML7 1/7 Kaden Wetjeno0.5 Anytime TD+2800 BetMGM
11	RB carries / game	22.7	+3.9%
Supports OVER Jaylen Warreno14.5 Rushing Attempts+105 BovadaL10 4/10 Rico Dowdleo7.5 Rushing Attempts+110 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Darnell Washingtono0.5 Anytime TD+350 BetMGML10 3/10 Pat Freiermutho0.5 Anytime TD+350 BovadaL10 3/10 Robert Tonyano0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−1.7%
Supports OVER Eli Heidenreicho0.5 Anytime TD+2000 FanDuel Jaylen Warreno0.5 Anytime TD+100 FanDuelL10 1/10 Lew Nicholso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL3 0/3 Rico Dowdleo0.5 Anytime TD+300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Riley Nowakowskio0.5 Anytime TD+6000 Fanatics Travis Homero0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Darnell Washington0.5 Anytime TDo +350L10 3/10 over Pat Freiermuth0.5 Anytime TDo +350L10 3/10 over Robert Tonyan0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over
17	RB rush yards / game	96.3	+1.5%
No lean at 17 of 32 Jaylen Warren64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −105L10 5/10 over Rico Dowdle30.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · TE	52.2	−2.1%
No lean at 17 of 32 Pat Freiermuth24.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 6/10 over Darnell Washington19.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u +105L10 5/10 over
18	RB yards / carry	4.24	−2.2%
No lean at 18 of 32 Jaylen Warren64.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −105L10 5/10 over Rico Dowdle30.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −110L10 5/10 over
18	Receptions / game · RB	4.1	−3.7%
No lean at 18 of 32 Jaylen Warren2.5 Receptionso −141 · u +125L10 6/10 over Rico Dowdle2.5 Receptionso −114 · u +102L10 4/10 over
19	Rush explosive rate	9.3%	−0.6 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Jaylen Warren16.5 Longest Rusho +100 · u −115L10 5/10 over Rico Dowdle9.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u −104L10 5/10 over Aaron Rodgers1.5 Longest Rusho −110 · u −120L10 6/10 over
19	Dropback explosive rate	7.8%	−0.3 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Aaron Rodgers35.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −113L10 4/10 over
22	QB completion rate	63.2%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu21.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 4/10
T22	Receptions / game · TE	5.1	−3.7%
Supports UNDER Darnell Washingtonu2.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 5/10 Pat Freiermuthu2.5 Receptions+117 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
22	Red-zone trips / game	2.94	−8.2%
23	Rec yards / game · RB	27.4	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu24.5 Rec Yards−115 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Rico Dowdleu13.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	1.88	−20.8%
24	QB pass yards / attempt	6.61	−5.9%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
25	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.091	−0.04
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu64.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Rico Dowdleu30.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
25	Dropback success rate	42.4%	−3.3 pp
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
25	Offensive plays faced / game	58.5	−3.4%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu32.5 Passing Attempts−103 betPARXL10 2/10
27	Rush success rate	37.4%	−4.0 pp
Supports UNDER Jaylen Warrenu64.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Rico Dowdleu30.5 Rush Yards−110 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Aaron Rodgersu0.5 Rush Yards−108 FanDuelL10 4/10
27	Target share · WR	54.4%	−3.6 pp
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu4.5 Receptions−136 betPARXL10 8/10 Germie Bernardu4.5 Receptions−107 DraftKingsL7 5/7 DK Metcalfu53.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Germie Bernardu43.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL7 5/7
T27	RZ targets / game · RB	0.47	−37.6%
29	QB completions / game	18.1	−12.1%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu21.5 Completions−115 bet365L10 4/10
29	Dropback EPA / play	−0.112	−0.16
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
29	Dropbacks / game	33.2	−9.0%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu32.5 Passing Attempts−103 betPARXL10 2/10
30	QB pass attempts / game	28.6	−10.6%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu32.5 Passing Attempts−103 betPARXL10 2/10
30	QB pass yards / game	189.4	−15.8%
Supports UNDER Aaron Rodgersu218.5 Passing Yards−114 FanDuelL10 4/10
30	Receptions / game · WR	8.9	−19.0%
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu4.5 Receptions−136 betPARXL10 8/10 Germie Bernardu4.5 Receptions−107 DraftKingsL7 5/7
32	Rec yards / game · WR	109.9	−21.3%
Supports UNDER DK Metcalfu53.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Germie Bernardu43.5 Rec Yards−110 DraftKingsL7 5/7